Ben Tiger
08-23 09:53

NVIDIA (NVDA)

Q1 FY2027 revenue hit $81.6B (+85% YoY), with Data Center ~$75B (+92%). Q2 guidance is ~$91B (±2%) at ~75% gross margins (China data-center compute excluded). Demand visibility remains strong (multi-year customer commitments; hyperscaler capex forecasts continue rising). Partnerships and platform expansions (including software/models) reinforce the ecosystem.

Shares trade around $215 (market cap ~$5.2T), consolidating after strong gains. Consensus is Strong Buy with average targets near $300–$310 (substantial upside). Valuation has compressed to more reasonable levels relative to growth.

Future potential: Highest conviction in pure AI compute. Leadership in GPUs, full-stack offerings, and infrastructure financing platforms position it well for sustained multi-year growth. Key near-term catalyst: Aug 26 earnings. Risks include competition, export controls, and any slowdown in hyperscaler spend. Core holding for AI portfolios.

Consensus at $93.6B, Morgan Stanley at $91.1B — Which Bar Is Nvidia Clearing?
Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close (Thursday morning Beijing). Consensus is ~$2.13 EPS on ~$93.63bn revenue; Morgan Stanley models $91.1bn — same print, two verdicts. The harder threshold is behavioral: the stock has fallen the day after earnings four quarters running, so a beat alone no longer pays. It has also told big customers AI server prices rise 15%+ early next year on memory costs: its margin protected, theirs squeezed. Mean target $304.73, ~42% upside. Jackson Hole and Warsh's debut land the same week. Add before the print, wait for both to clear, or rotate to suppliers?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment