The Market Is Stuck. Nvidia Holds the Key. But Watch Out. This week, bonds called the shots. Next week, all eyes turn to **Jensen Huang** and his AI empire. Since the last earnings report, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ stock has gone nowhere. Yet options markets are pricing in a ±5.3% swing by Friday’s close. That’s a $562 billion market cap move, up or down. NVDA The Bull Case: Everything Looks Perfect Nvidia carries a 7.6% weight in the S&P 500. Its forward P/E has cooled to ~20, way below the 5-year average of 63. The stock hasn’t rallied into earnings, less risk of a "buy the rumor, sell the news" flush. On paper, Nvidia has everything it needs to reignite the broader market. But Here’s the Catch, According to Bespoke Nvidia is a "triple-play king": Beat
Nvidia Drops 2.3% a Week Before Earnings — 50% Upside or Bubble?
Nvidia −2.34% Tuesday, a week out from August 26 earnings. BofA sees roughly 55% upside after pricing in AI risk, and notes institutions are still underweight — unusual, in a week when memory and second-tier compute are called crowded trades. The bear case is financing: Nvidia is backing about $105bn of lease guarantees for OpenAI's Ohio data center, which Gundlach likened to "bonds collateralized by bananas"; Huang denies it is circular. On competition, Cerebras claims the fastest accelerator and Groq raised $350m. Add before earnings, wait for the minutes, or rotate to Broadcom?
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