Part 2 And basically a continuation from my bother NVIDIA post earlier this year on my thoughts. NVIDIA reports fiscal Q2 earnings on Wednesday, August 26. Normally that sentence alone would be enough to get attention. But this time the setup is ridiculous. NVIDIA is sitting around a US$5.2 trillion market cap. The stock closed Friday at US$214.72. Wall Street is expecting roughly US$92 billion in quarterly revenue and around US$2.09 adjusted EPS. That would be another extraordinary quarter for a company that is already the largest public company on the planet. And that is exactly where the problem begins. For NVIDIA now, being excellent may no longer be enough. 📊 THE NUMBERS ARE ALREADY INSANE Last quarter, NVIDIA generated US$81.6 billion in revenue, up 85% year on year. Data Center
Consensus at $93.6B, Morgan Stanley at $91.1B — Which Bar Is Nvidia Clearing?
Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close (Thursday morning Beijing). Consensus is ~$2.13 EPS on ~$93.63bn revenue; Morgan Stanley models $91.1bn — same print, two verdicts. The harder threshold is behavioral: the stock has fallen the day after earnings four quarters running, so a beat alone no longer pays. It has also told big customers AI server prices rise 15%+ early next year on memory costs: its margin protected, theirs squeezed. Mean target $304.73, ~42% upside. Jackson Hole and Warsh's debut land the same week. Add before the print, wait for both to clear, or rotate to suppliers?
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