Nvidia Drops 2.3% a Week Before Earnings — 50% Upside or Bubble?

Nvidia −2.34% Tuesday, a week out from August 26 earnings. BofA sees roughly 55% upside after pricing in AI risk, and notes institutions are still underweight — unusual, in a week when memory and second-tier compute are called crowded trades. The bear case is financing: Nvidia is backing about $105bn of lease guarantees for OpenAI's Ohio data center, which Gundlach likened to "bonds collateralized by bananas"; Huang denies it is circular. On competition, Cerebras claims the fastest accelerator and Groq raised $350m. Add before earnings, wait for the minutes, or rotate to Broadcom?

avatar非一般股民
08-22 02:02
nvda
avatarDoTrading
08-21 20:57

Nvidia’s Earnings Could Save the Market… Or It Could Be a Trap...

The Market Is Stuck. Nvidia Holds the Key. But Watch Out. This week, bonds called the shots. Next week, all eyes turn to **Jensen Huang** and his AI empire. Since the last earnings report, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ stock has gone nowhere. Yet options markets are pricing in a ±5.3% swing by Friday’s close. That’s a $562 billion market cap move, up or down. NVDA The Bull Case: Everything Looks Perfect Nvidia carries a 7.6% weight in the S&P 500. Its forward P/E has cooled to ~20, way below the 5-year average of 63. The stock hasn’t rallied into earnings, less risk of a "buy the rumor, sell the news" flush. On paper, Nvidia has everything it needs to reignite the broader market. But Here’s the Catch, According to Bespoke Nvidia is a "triple-play king": Beat
Nvidia’s Earnings Could Save the Market… Or It Could Be a Trap...
avatarISAM
08-20 07:59
Semis have started their journey downhill and I expect 15-20% decline before next rally.
avatarkoolgal
08-20 07:23
The semiconductor selloff is a wake up call for investors.  Option B: Higher yields require further valuation adjustment is the absolute core driver.  You cannot look at the tech stocks valuation in a vacuum. With the US 30 year Treasury Bond yield blasting to a 19 year high of 5.33%, paying extreme premium for future unproven tech earnings does not make sense.  Higher yields from the US bonds is like a vacuum cleaner, sucking the speculative liquidity out of high beta tech stocks. The selloff isn't happening because AI demand died.  It is happening because macro physics are forcing a standard valuation reset across the entire sector. While Option B tells you why the market is dropping, Option E is the ultimate strategy for turning that red ink into long term wealth. B
avatar1PC
08-19
I view it as A&E (Accident & Emergency 🦺) [LOL] [LOL] [LOL].... Wait for the set-up to Buy the Deep [Evil] @Aqa @DiAngel @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
avatarzhingle
08-19
NVIDIA Drops 2.3% Before Earnings — I’m Still Bullish 🚀 NVIDIA just gave investors a better entry point. Shares fell 2.3% Tuesday, as the entire semiconductor complex sold off, with NVDA now sitting around the $225 area ahead of its Aug. 26 earnings. The market is suddenly questioning whether AI spending has gone too far, whether NVIDIA is financing its own demand, and whether challengers like Cerebras and Groq can finally take share. My take? The market is focusing on the wrong risk. I’m bullish into earnings. 1. The fundamental numbers are still extremely hard to ignore NVIDIA’s last quarter was not a company showing signs of slowing down. Q1 FY27 revenue hit $81.6B, +85% YoY, while Data Center revenue reached $75.2B, +92% YoY. Even more important: NVIDIA guided Q2 revenue to approximate
avatar苏36
08-19
I’m leaning toward A — normal profit-taking, with the AI hardware trend still intact. Tuesday’s semiconductor selloff looks more like a valuation reset than a fundamental breakdown. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell about 5%, while memory and optical names such as SNDK, MU and CRDO were hit much harder than Nvidia. The key issue is macro: the 30-year Treasury yield recently reached its highest level since 2007, while Brent crude moved above $90. That combination naturally pressures high-multiple growth stocks. But AI infrastructure demand has not suddenly disappeared. Memory, storage, networking and GPU demand remain tied to massive data-center investment. So I wouldn’t call this an AI-cycle reversal yet. Instead, I’d watch whether SNDK and MU stabilize and reclaim key moving aver
avatarShyon
08-19
I see Tuesday’s semiconductor selloff as normal profit-taking and valuation compression rather than a fundamental breakdown. Higher Treasury yields, oil above $90 and crowded AI trades created the perfect setup for a sharp pullback, especially after the strong recent rally in memory and optical stocks. For me, the key point is that AI demand, memory pricing and data-center CapEx remain intact. I’ll be watching the 50-day moving averages, particularly for $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ , to see whether the sector can stabilize and reclaim key levels. Personally, I’m leaning toward A + E: normal profit-taking and an opportunity to accumulate in stages. I wouldn’t rush in after one red day

Storage Stocks Gave It All Back in One Day: What Triggered the Chip Selloff?

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5% on Tuesday, with memory, storage and optical-networking stocks leading the decline. There was no clear deterioration in industry fundamentals. Rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices and profit-taking in crowded AI trades combined to trigger a sharp valuation reset. 1. Semiconductor Sentiment Reversed in One Session On Monday, AI storage was one of the strongest areas of the market: SanDisk gained 8.9% Micron rose 4.1% Western Digital, Seagate and optical-networking stocks also advanced One day later, the trade reversed sharply. Stock Tuesday Segment SNDK −9.0% NAND and enterprise SSDs WDC −7.4% Data-center HDDs MU −7.0% DRAM and HBM AMD −4.3% AI processors AVGO −3.2% Custom chips and networking NVDA −2.3% AI GPUs COHR −12.8% Optical networkin
Storage Stocks Gave It All Back in One Day: What Triggered the Chip Selloff?

The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday

Hello. Three companies reported on Tuesday. Put the three side by side and no order makes sense. $Fabrinet(FN)$ beat on revenue by about 3.1 per cent and on earnings per share by about 7.5 per cent, both records — and closed down 19.38 per cent at US$482.59. $Home Depot(HD)$ beat on both lines, posted net sales of about US$47.9 billion and its best comparable sales since 2022, and reaffirmed full-year guidance — and closed down 0.12 per cent. $BIDU-SW(09888)$ missed on both revenue and profit, with earnings per share about 22.7 per cent short — and closed down 12.73 per cent. Full marks fell 19 per cent, a pass fell 0.
The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday

Why Nvidia’s $105 Billion Guarantee Makes AI Demand Look Less Independent

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s agreement to support a vast OpenAI data-centre project demonstrates the extraordinary scale of AI infrastructure demand. It also deepens a question investors can no longer ignore: how much future demand is being enabled financially by the company that ultimately expects to sell the chips? Nvidia announced on August 17 that it would invest $1.5 billion in SoftBank-backed SB Energy and provide up to $105 billion of financial guarantees connected with an Ohio data-centre campus leased by OpenAI. The site is intended to reach as much as eight gigawatts, with an initial 800 megawatts expected in 2028. OpenAI’s lease runs for 20 years, and Nvidia will supply the project’s accelerators. Reuters’ August 17 report describes the financing s
Why Nvidia’s $105 Billion Guarantee Makes AI Demand Look Less Independent
avatarJC888
08-17

NVDA hits $236 breakout before Q2 results ?

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is slated to report its Q2 2026 earnings on Wed, 26 Aug 2026. Is it timely to take a closer look at the stock prior to its earnings release ? I think so, especially if there is a chance to take a position before a potential rally. According to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD), the AI chip giant is (currently), holding just above a short handle entry. Near Buy Point ? Last week, shares of the AI chipmaker edged up a fraction, coming in at +0.64%, for the week, enough to put it just -4.8% below a $236.54 buy point from a cup-shape base. Interestingly, NVDA already offered an early entry from a short handle, with the 7 Aug 2026 high of $224.76 marking the exact buy point. The Relative Strength line for the AI chip stock is rising,
NVDA hits $236 breakout before Q2 results ?

Weekly Valuation Watch : Free Cash Flow at Mega-Cap Stocks Is Sending Warning Signals

What deserves the most attention in the U.S. equity market this week is not the movement of the S&P 500 Index itself, but rather the structural changes taking place within the index. From a valuation perspective, the S&P 500’s overall price-to-earnings ratio remains at a relatively elevated level. Valuations in information technology, real estate, industrials, health care, and other sectors are all materially above the broader market, indicating that U.S. equities as a whole still lack a clear valuation cushion. From a fund-flow perspective, SPY has recorded cumulative net inflows of approximately USD 21.6 billion since July, but fund-flow divergence across sectors has become increasingly pronounced. Capital is not simply leaving the equity market; rather, it is being reallocated a
Weekly Valuation Watch : Free Cash Flow at Mega-Cap Stocks Is Sending Warning Signals
Hello hope your doing well 

Gain 5x Leveraged & Inverse Exposure to Magnificent 7 Stocks

Societe Generale's newly launched 5x Long and -5x Short DLCs on the individual Magnificent 7 U.S. stocks have started trading on Wednesday, 12 August. This expansion to 5x U.S. Stock DLCs complements the existing 3x U.S. Stock DLCs range to offer investors more choices in terms of leverage factors. With up to 5x leveraged and inverse exposure to the individual Magnificent 7 stocks' daily percentage performance, investors can express their bullish or bearish views to capture opportunities in both directions of the market. Similar to all the U.S. underlying DLCs, the new 5x DLCs on the Magnificent 7 stocks offer investors a new trading window during SGX market hours when the US market is closed, allowing them to respond to market-moving news during Asian hours. However, investors should note
Gain 5x Leveraged & Inverse Exposure to Magnificent 7 Stocks
avatarMrzorro
08-11
NVIDIA's $500B AI Deal: The Market May Be Reading It Backwards $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ came under pressure after announcing MOUs with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilize $500 billion+ of third-party capital for AI infrastructure. The headline sounds like NVIDIA is taking on another huge financing commitment, and Nvidia's 5Y CDS jumps by almost 6 bps after the news. The $500B Is Mainly Someone Else's Capital The key distinction is between stimulating demand and funding demand with NVIDIA’s own balance sheet. NVIDIA has already invested heavily across its ecosystem, including AI labs, neoclouds and infrastructure partners. That raised a legitimate concern: if NVIDIA increasingly has to finance its own customers, AI demand becomes more circular and more of
avatarderickt
08-08
$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ call got assigned. Would have gotten higher if sell voluntarily. But oh well. Premium did provided some profit too
avatarKipbana
08-08
Avoided the Avalanche in July to maintain 60% return this year. Thanks to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$  

Navigating Semiconductor Volatility: Market Dynamics and Options Strategies for Nvidia and AMD

The divergence between $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia (NVDA) and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD during recent semiconductor market swings highlights how Wall Street is treating the primary AI market leader versus its closest challenger. Market Dynamics: Leader Search vs. Margin Corrections 1. The Market Is Re-Affirming Nvidia’s Dominant Leadership Hyperscaler CapEx Concentration: Earnings reports from big tech cloud providers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon) re-confirmed that AI capital expenditure remains aggressive. Nvidia continues to capture the vast majority of this infrastructure spending due to its integrated hardware-software ecosystem (CUDA) and sold-out 2026 Blackwell GPU capacity. The "Whisper Bar" Diffe
Navigating Semiconductor Volatility: Market Dynamics and Options Strategies for Nvidia and AMD