swq23_興旺發
10-25

Oil breaking $100 is adding pressure to tech already weak on AI capex fears. This rotation to defensives makes sense short term, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, Walmart, Costco and Eli Lilly all showing safe haven bid. I think Berkshire Hathaway with $360B cash and buybacks is best positioned if selloff continues, but defensives look extended now. I see this as one day flight to safety unless oil holds above $100, then AI valuations need to reset further before rebound.

Should Tech Stocks Hedge Risk Before Midterm Votes Are Counted?
QQQ fell 1.37% and the S&P 500 0.52% Monday as tech remained under pressure ahead of U.S. midterms. All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are contested, with results shaping expectations for taxes, AI data-center permits, tech regulation, and fiscal spending. Bulls see a divided Congress limiting major policy shifts; bears warn a contested result could amplify volatility amid AI capex concerns. What will signal risk appetite first: QQQ earnings breadth, S&P 500 defensives, or demand for short-term Treasury bills?
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