Lanceljx
11-12 11:55
Hot CPI, Rising Yields | Is the AI Rally at Risk? 🐯

October US inflation exceeded expectations, with headline CPI rising 0.4% month on month and core CPI increasing 0.3%. The hotter readings revived concerns over prolonged restrictive monetary policy.

On November 10, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell 5.47%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ declined 2.20%, and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ lost 0.68%. However, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ gained 3.91%, suggesting investors remain selective rather than abandoning AI entirely.

Bulls argue strong AI demand and earnings growth can sustain valuations. Bears warn that rising Treasury yields and persistent inflation could trigger further selling.

My take: Treasury yields are the immediate risk, while Fed guidance and AI earnings will determine whether the pullback becomes a deeper correction. A December rate hike remains uncertain, not guaranteed.

I favour gradual accumulation over chasing rebounds, prioritising companies with sustainable cash flow.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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