$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2025 was a reminder that options are less about prediction and more about preparation. My standout takeaway was not a single spectacular win, but how disciplined structures mattered more than bold direction. In a year driven by tariffs, rate surprises, and AI re-rating cycles, defined-risk strategies consistently outperformed emotional conviction. Well-timed call spreads around earnings captured upside without overpaying for volatility. Protective puts and collars proved invaluable during sharp macro drawdowns, preserving capital when sentiment flipped overnight. The toughest losses came from underestimating how quickly implied volatility could compress after major events, even when the thesis was right. The key lesson from

$Broadcom(AVGO)$  The after-hours pullback in Broadcom reflects expectation management rather than a breakdown in fundamentals. Is the semiconductor dip a buying opportunity? Selective rather than broad. The sector has rerated sharply on the AI theme, so any data point that does not exceed lofty expectations invites profit-taking. That said, secular demand for AI infrastructure, networking, and custom silicon remains intact. High-quality names with pricing power, diversified end markets, and visible cash flows still justify accumulation on weakness. Lower-quality, narrative-driven names deserve more caution. Has the market abandoned the AI narrative? No. What we are seeing is a transition from narrative-driven multiple expansion to execution-

Silver’s breakout above its previous peak signals strong momentum. It is benefiting from both monetary demand and tightening industrial supply, so its outperformance relative to gold is not surprising. Gold’s rebound remains intact, supported by the rate-cut cycle, softer real yields, and steady central-bank accumulation. If you entered earlier in the year, your position is likely in profit since spot gold and silver have climbed steadily after the October correction. Short-term swings aside, the structural drivers remain supportive. Gold could retest its previous highs before year-end if real yields drift lower and ETF inflows resume. Seasonality also tends to favour precious metals in December. Silver, however, is showing stronger beta and may continue to lead if risk sentiment improves.

If forced to choose only one market for the next decade, I still lean toward the U.S. The innovation engine remains unmatched, supported by dominant tech moats, strong profitability and deep capital markets. Even if returns cool, structural compounding in AI, cloud, biotech and semiconductors keeps the long-term uptrend intact. Asia is attractive, especially Singapore, with cheaper valuations, stable dividends and healthier policy visibility. It offers steadier income and selective growth, but lacks the global profit engines that drive consistent decade-long outperformance. So my choice is the U.S., with Asia as a complementary allocation rather than the core.

$Oracle(ORCL)$  Assessment of the results Oracle delivered a combination the market finds most punishing: a revenue miss, a cloud miss and a deterioration in free cash flow. The headline figure of –$10 billion FCF is especially troubling because it signals that the company is consuming cash at a time when investors expected cloud expansion to translate into stronger operating leverage. Why the sell-off was so severe The negative reaction is rational. Three pressure points converged. 1. Growth disappointment Oracle has been priced as a beneficiary of the AI-infrastructure cycle. Missing both total revenue and cloud revenue undermines the “acceleration story” that previously pushed the stock to high valuations. 2. Cash-flow shock A large negati

My stance Silver’s breakout is technically impressive and fundamentally supported by the shift in real-rate expectations, yet its volatility profile argues for disciplined entry rather than chasing momentum. Why silver is outperforming gold Silver benefits from a dual identity: part monetary metal, part industrial commodity. As markets lock in a Fed easing path, real yields soften and the monetary bid rises. At the same time, renewed optimism around global manufacturing, solar demand and AI-related electronics boosts the industrial side. Gold is consolidating because positioning is already heavy, while silver had more room to expand. Breakout dynamics The surge above the previous record signals a strong trend, with ETF flows moving into SLV and leveraged vehicles like AGQ. Still, silver’s

Summary view The decision is mildly dovish in the near term yet structurally cautious for the medium term. Markets will likely interpret it as supportive for risk assets, although the path ahead remains uneven. Hawkish or dovish The cut itself is dovish because it confirms the Fed’s willingness to continue easing despite still-sticky services inflation and a labour market that has cooled but not cracked. A sixth cut signals that the policy bias remains on growth support rather than inflation containment. However, the Dot Plot introduces a hawkish undertone. The dispersion is unusually wide, reflecting internal uncertainty about how much slack will actually emerge in 2026. The median showing only one cut implies that the Fed wants markets to temper expectations of a rapid return to ultra-lo

WBD trades more like a deal-option now. The offer price caps upside, yet hostile bids keep a risk premium alive. If a higher offer appears, the stock can reprice quickly, but any regulatory setback may drag it back to pre-rumour levels. Between strategies, a call spread fits better. It keeps risk defined while giving exposure to a possible bid increase. An iron condor is harder to justify because takeover news can break any range overnight. For Netflix, the dip is tempting only if one believes the antitrust noise will fade. Fundamentals are solid, but political scrutiny can weigh on sentiment. A staggered entry or patience may offer safer risk-reward than buying immediately.

Tesla’s robotaxi narrative is partly priced in, but not fully. The share price already reflects optimism about autonomy, yet the market still discounts execution risk, regulatory delays and Tesla’s inconsistent FSD rollout pace. Until Tesla demonstrates reliable, scalable Level-4 performance in real fleets, the valuation does not fully embed the “software recurring-revenue” model that the robotaxi story implies. For the competitive landscape: Waymo Waymo leads on safety, validation miles and regulatory acceptance. Its systems operate with high consistency in geofenced areas and have already accumulated meaningful commercial mileage. Cities are more willing to approve a player that prioritises conservative decision-making and redundant sensor architectures. Tesla Tesla’s advantage is cost.

$Oracle(ORCL)$  Oracle faces a make-or-break moment. The share price collapse and widening CDS spreads show that the market is questioning both leverage risk and the credibility of its long-term AI-infrastructure narrative. The previous guidance of US$600 billion by 2030 was already viewed as highly aspirational. With the stock now down almost 40 percent, expectations have reset sharply. For this earnings release, three elements matter most. 1. Cloud and AI contract visibility If Oracle can show sustained growth in cloud infrastructure, bookings and backlog, the market may stabilise the valuation. Investors want evidence that hyperscaler competition is not eroding Oracle’s momentum. 2. Cash flow strength and balance-sheet comfort The CDS spik

The initial 25bp cut is largely priced in, so the equity reaction hinges on Powell’s tone. If he signals confidence in disinflation and no urgency for further cuts, markets may extend the rally, led by rate-sensitive sectors and high-quality tech. If he hints at data-dependence and a slower path, gains may be modest, since investors have already repositioned aggressively. For 2026, the key is not the number of cuts but the reason behind them. A growth-friendly cutting cycle supports higher valuations through cheaper financing and sustained earnings. A risk-off cutting cycle triggered by weakening labour markets would cap upside and raise volatility. Given current trends, the base case remains a controlled easing path aligned with soft-landing expectations, which is favourable for equities

Crypto’s broad rebound reflects two forces: improving liquidity expectations and rising institutional participation. With rate cuts likely, risk assets may stay supported. Bitcoin and Ethereum remain the main drivers, and strength in related equities shows sentiment is turning constructive. Near term, prices may continue to edge higher, although resistance levels could trigger pullbacks. Volatility will stay elevated because ETF flows are uneven and regulatory headlines can shift sentiment quickly. A consolidation between recent highs and mid-range support is the most probable path. Medium term, the trend remains mildly upward if adoption, infrastructure growth and institutional flows persist. Clearer policy guidelines or stronger macro easing could unlock a stronger rally. Overall view:

The signal that Nvidia may resume H200 sales to China is meaningful because China once accounted for roughly 20 to 25 percent of its data-centre demand. The export restrictions created a structural gap in Nvidia’s growth trajectory, and the company’s attempts to replace that revenue with downgraded “China-compliant” chips had limited success. If policy genuinely shifts, even a partial reopening of the China market could stabilise Nvidia’s forward revenue expectations. That said, one must separate headline reaction from actual earnings impact. Approvals, licensing terms and volume caps are still unknown. China demand is strong, but the competitive landscape has evolved, with local accelerators and Huawei’s Ascend series gaining traction while Nvidia was restricted. The recovery will not be

Regulatory pressure has become the central variable in the Netflix–Warner Bros. situation. Trump’s comments highlight that any US$72 billion bid faces a steep antitrust hurdle, because a Netflix–WBD combination would concentrate both content and distribution power. Even if the economics look attractive, the political overhang creates significant execution risk. That limits near-term bullishness for Netflix, since a large deal with uncertain approval typically weighs on sentiment. Paramount’s proposal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery at US$30 per share is more straightforward. A cash offer places a floor under WBD’s valuation and signals that industry consolidation interest remains strong. The key question is whether WBD’s board views Paramount’s price as credible and whether competing bid

A 25 bp cut on 10 December is largely priced in, so the market’s reaction will depend less on the cut itself and more on Powell’s guidance. If he signals confidence in disinflation and avoids hinting at a policy pause, risk assets can continue to advance. Liquidity conditions are already improving, and seasonality typically supports year-end strength, so an orderly grind higher is still possible. The risk is a “sell the news” move if Powell stresses data-dependence or pushes back against aggressive easing bets. Positioning has shifted repeatedly in the past two months, and any sign of hesitation could trigger short-term volatility. For 2026, the framework should be simple. Cuts will be determined by two forces: the durability of disinflation and the resilience of labour markets. If inflati

$Oracle(ORCL)$   Oracle’s Earnings: Potential Stabilisation or Further Decline? Oracle enters this earnings release in a fragile position. After setting a bold target of six hundred billion dollars in revenue by 2030, the share price surged, only to give back almost all gains as investors questioned the feasibility of that guidance. The recent jump in five-year CDS spreads has added to market anxiety because it signals rising perceived credit risk. Although the comparisons to 2008 are exaggerated, a forty percent drawdown in one quarter shows confidence has weakened sharply. What Could Support a Recovery 1. Cloud momentum. If Oracle demonstrates accelerating adoption of its cloud infrastructure and meaningful backlog growth, it may rebui

Market Outlook After the December Cut A 25bp reduction is already fully discounted, so the immediate reaction hinges on two elements: Powell’s tone and the updated policy path in the Summary of Economic Projections. 1. Relief from the uncertainty premium The past 1 to 2 months have seen wide swings because traders were constantly adjusting the timing and scale of easing. Once the decision is delivered, the uncertainty premium usually narrows. If Powell signals confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path to target, equities typically find support. The first cut in a cycle often lifts valuations because discount rate assumptions stabilise. 2. Risk of a “sell the news” episode Since the cut is expected, markets may briefly fade if Powell emphasises data dependency or warns against assu

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   A useful approach to technical analysis is to treat indicators as decision-support tools rather than prediction engines. Each indicator highlights a different aspect of market behaviour, and combining them thoughtfully often produces more reliable signals. One of the most common mistakes is relying on a single indicator without understanding its assumptions. For example, moving averages help smooth price noise, yet they lag turning points. RSI can identify momentum extremes, but in strong trends it may stay overbought or oversold far longer than expected. MACD offers trend-momentum insights, though its signals are more meaningful when supported by clear price structure. My preferred method is to read indicators in cont

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   Technical indicators are useful only when we understand the logic behind them rather than follow them mechanically. One insight I’ve learnt over the years is that no single indicator works in isolation. Price structure, volume behaviour and broader market context always matter more than any one signal. For example, RSI helps highlight momentum extremes, but it becomes far more reliable when paired with trend direction. In a strong uptrend, “overbought” often reflects persistent strength, not an immediate reversal. Similarly, MACD works best when used to confirm changes in trend rather than predict them too early. I also pay close attention to moving averages as dynamic support and resistance, especially the 20-day and

You raise a very relevant set of questions. The recent reports around Meta Platforms’ (META) potential 30% budget cut to its metaverse unit (Reality Labs) — and corresponding cost-savings — have indeed reignited interest. Below is how I see the situation, and whether I would hold or add now. --- ✅ What works in favour of holding / adding META now Cost discipline may meaningfully improve profitability. Analysts at Mizuho estimate that trimming Reality Labs spend could add roughly US$ 2 per share to 2026 EPS — a non-trivial bump. Given that Reality Labs has been a heavy loss-making drag for years, cutting spending could significantly improve margin clarity.  Refocus on core businesses and AI momentum. The move signals that Meta is pivoting away from a speculative “metaverse bet” toward