How Much Pullback Are You Willing to Tolerate?

Do you agree with the statement: The higher the tolerance for pullback, the more likely to achieve higher returns? Which one do you pick? Enduring a single 50% pullback yields a 100% return; enduring ten 10% pullbacks results in a final gain of 159%.

avatarTigerong
2024-08-04
I think Cutting rates would lower short-term interest rates and could potentially un-invert the yield curve. While some have argued that the inverted yield curve might not be a reliable recession predictor this time, I believe it's too early to conclude. Historically, recessions have often followed the un-inversion of the yield curve, which could happen if three rate cuts totaling a 0.75% reduction in short-term rates boost the yield curve back into positive territory. This could then lead to an official recession declaration. If that happens, it typically signals that the stock market has bottomed and is poised for a subsequent rally.Not only in September, but the futures market is also predicting more than a 50% chance for rate cuts in November and December. After the recent FOMC meeting
avatarDynamicTrade
2024-07-04

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