Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?

Q4 earnings from the S&P 500 are sending mixed signals. Blended Q4 earnings growth stands at 8.2%, marking a potential 10th straight quarter of YoY growth, led by Information Technology and Materials, while Energy and Consumer Discretionary lag. Revenues are growing 7.8%, still solid but below long-term averages. Meanwhile, the forward P/E has climbed to 22.2, well above historical norms, raising questions about how much good news is already priced in. What to focus during this earnings season?

avatarnerdbull1669
03-04 08:27

Can Costco (COST) Provide A Massive Beat To Revise The "Dip" Post Earnings?

$Costco(COST)$ is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Thursday, March 5, 2026, after the market closes. Following a strong Q1, expectations are high, with the stock trading near all-time highs and a premium valuation of approximately 53x P/E. Q2 2026 Earnings Expectations Earnings Per Share (EPS): Consensus estimates are around $4.53 to $4.54, representing a ~12.7% increase year-over-year. Revenue: Projected at $69.22 billion, an 8.6% increase from the prior year. Comparable Sales (Comps): Analysts are looking for total company comp growth of 5.7% to 6.5%. January sales data already showed a robust 7.1% increase, providing a strong tailwind for the quarter. Costco (COST) reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on December 11, 2025. While the
Can Costco (COST) Provide A Massive Beat To Revise The "Dip" Post Earnings?

Can Sea (SE) Revise EPS Misses With Reducing Credit Losses?

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 and full-year 2025 results on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, before the U.S. market opens. After a volatile 2025, the stock is entering this print with significant expectations. Analysts are projecting a year-over-year surge in both revenue and profitability, but recent downward revisions suggest a "show me" story for investors. Key Estimates & Consensus Revenue: ~$6.45B to $6.78B (Est. +36% YoY) Earnings Per Share (EPS): ~$0.90 (Est. +45% YoY) Recent Momentum: The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by roughly 9% over the last 30 days, creating a lower bar for a potential beat but also signaling caution. Sea Limited's (SE) fiscal Q3 2025 results, reported in November 2025, were a classic "mix
Can Sea (SE) Revise EPS Misses With Reducing Credit Losses?
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

(Part 2 of 5) Economic Calendar - 02Mar2026 > Sea Limited?

Earnings Calendar (02Mar2026) I am interested in the earnings of Target, CrowdStrike, Sea, Broadcom, Costco, Kroger and Kura. Let us look at Sea Limited. Stock Performance and Valuation Sea Limited ended the most recent trading day with a closing price of $108.45. Reviewing the one-year price chart reveals a consistent downtrend, which has contributed to a decline of 14.8% over the past year. From a technical analysis standpoint, the recommendation is to strongly sell, reflecting the persistent negative momentum in the stock price. In contrast, analyst sentiment indicates a strong buy recommendation, with a price target set at $180.54. This target suggests a potential upside of more than 66% compared to the last closing price, raising the question of whether the stock deserves renewed
(Part 2 of 5) Economic Calendar - 02Mar2026 > Sea Limited?
avatarKYHBKO
03-02

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook - what 20+ indicators say (02March2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (02Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. The last candle is sitting above the 50-day & 200-day moving average (MA) line. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in the short and long-term outlook. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. The 3 lines have converged, and we may see a trend change. Chaikin Money Flow
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook - what 20+ indicators say (02March2026)

Watch MongoDB (MDB) FY2027 Guidance and AI Monetization Updates

$MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2026 results on Monday, March 2, 2026, after the market closes. The stock has been a high-performer in fiscal 2026, recently benefiting from a re-acceleration in cloud adoption and AI-driven workloads. However, with a high valuation (roughly 12x sales) and a track record of massive price swings, this earnings print is a high-stakes event for both investors and short-term traders. Q4 2026 Consensus Expectations MongoDB (MDB) reported its fiscal Q3 2026 results on December 1, 2025, delivering what many analysts called a "blockbuster" quarter. The report effectively erased lingering concerns about a slowdown in cloud consumption and sent the stock surging over 15% in after-hours trading. Q3 2026
Watch MongoDB (MDB) FY2027 Guidance and AI Monetization Updates
avatarTBI
02-24

[29] CCI, NOW, POOL

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[29] CCI, NOW, POOL
avatarTBI
02-23

[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ
avatarTBI
02-21

[27] CLX, GD, WDAY

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[27] CLX, GD, WDAY
avatarTBI
02-15

[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX

Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 and full-year results on Friday, February 13, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET. The company is currently in a high-stakes transition from a pandemic-focused entity to a diversified biotech platform. While recent "pre-announcements" in January have already shared some high-level figures, the official report will be the definitive signal for 2026 sentiment. Moderna’s (MRNA) Fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported on November 6, 2025, were a pivotal moment for the company. Despite a steep year-over-year revenue decline, the report was widely viewed as a "win" because the company demonstrated it could aggressively manage its transition into a post-pandemic business. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Moderna signi
Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?

Coinbase Global (COIN) Face "Gut Check" For Its Earnings Release

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, February 12, 2026, after the market close. Coming off a year of shifting market dynamics, this report is seen as a "gut check" for the stock, which has faced significant downward pressure over the last month. Investors are increasingly looking past volatile trading fees toward the company's "everything exchange" evolution. Earnings Estimates & Expectations Wall Street has become increasingly cautious leading into this print, with the consensus EPS estimate revised downward by roughly 6% in the last 30 days. Coinbase reported its fiscal Q3 2025 results on October 30, 2025. It was a standout quarter that showcased the company's aggressive "Everything Ex
Coinbase Global (COIN) Face "Gut Check" For Its Earnings Release

Look QuantumScape Corp For Long Term -> Development Of Solid-State, Lithium-Metal Battery Technology

Considering the battery is the most critical component of an electric vehicle (EV), understanding its condition, technology, and management is essential for ensuring long-term satisfaction, reliability, and value in your next vehicle. The battery determines the vehicle's driving range, performance, and charging speed, and it represents a significant portion of the car's overall cost and resale value.  Here is why EV battery consideration is crucial for your next vehicle purchase: 1. It Dictates Real-World Range and Performance  Capacity Loss (Degradation): EV batteries, primarily lithium-ion, naturally degrade over time, losing maximum capacity. While modern batteries are designed to last, understanding that a 10%–15% loss might occur over several years helps manage expectat
Look QuantumScape Corp For Long Term -> Development Of Solid-State, Lithium-Metal Battery Technology

🎁What the Tigers Say | Forget Hype? Earnings Special on Tigers Pick Cash Cows & Value

Hi Tigers 🐯 Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋 The past week was the absolute peak of the Q4 Earnings Season 📊. It was a week that separated the "Real Deal" 💪 from the "Paper Tigers." 📄 We tracked the results of 10 market movers that define our economy right now 🌍: 🤖 The AI Giants: $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Alphabet(GOOG)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ 💾 The Chip Warriors:$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$,$Intel(INTC)$, $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ 🏗️ The Economic Backbone:
🎁What the Tigers Say | Forget Hype? Earnings Special on Tigers Pick Cash Cows & Value

Look For Qualcomm (QCOM) Earnings Concrete "AI revenue" Timeline

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ is set to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, after the market close. The stock enters this print at a crossroads: while it remains the king of the mobile SoC (System on Chip) world, it is fighting a "show me" battle to prove its AI-driven diversification into PCs, automotive, and data centers. Here is an analysis of the upcoming report and the "AI narrative" comparison with AMD. Key Metrics to Watch (Fiscal Q1 2026) The market is bracing for a "beat-and-lower" scenario, where current results look good, but future guidance reflects headwinds in the smartphone market. Qualcomm’s Fiscal Q4 2025 earnings (reported November 5, 2025) were a masterclass in "operational excellence vs. headline noise." While
Look For Qualcomm (QCOM) Earnings Concrete "AI revenue" Timeline
avatarBarcode
02-02

🔥📊🌍 Liquidity, Labour & Earnings Collide: The Week That Decides Whether Markets Break Higher or Reset Risk 📈⚡🔥

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  This week isn’t just another earnings cycle, it’s a stress test of whether liquidity, labour data, and earnings momentum can keep equities climbing while macro and political risks crowd the tape. I’m positioning where that decision shows up first, not after it’s obvious. 02Feb26 ET 🇺🇸 and we’re entering one of those weeks where everything converges at once. Earnings weight, labour data, shutdown politics, tariff talk, sector rotation and global policy signals are all colliding. When catalysts stack like this, price rarely moves gently. It reprices. I’m not trading headlines.
🔥📊🌍 Liquidity, Labour & Earnings Collide: The Week That Decides Whether Markets Break Higher or Reset Risk 📈⚡🔥

Can We See Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Provide A Positive Revision to 2026 guidance?

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 22, 2026, after the market close. Because the company released preliminary results on January 14, much of the revenue data is already known. This shifts the focus of the actual earnings call toward margins, profitability, and 2026 guidance. Q4 2025 Preliminary Numbers (Known) Revenue: ~$2.87 billion (up 19% YoY), beating the $2.73B consensus. Procedure Growth: Worldwide da Vinci/Ion procedures grew ~18%. System Placements: 532 systems placed (vs. 493 last year), including 303 da Vinci 5 (dV5) systems. Ion Growth: Ion procedures surged ~44% YoY, showing strong diversification beyond soft-tissue robotics. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) reported its Fiscal Q
Can We See Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Provide A Positive Revision to 2026 guidance?

Can Goldman Sachs (GS) Break Banks Earnings Drags?

$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 15, 2026, before the market opens. The bank enters this report following a massive rally—shares are up roughly 65% over the last 12 months—and is trading near all-time highs (around $940–$950). This sets a high bar for performance, as much of the "dealmaking renaissance" may already be priced in. Key Consensus Estimates (Q4 2025) Earnings Per Share (EPS): ~$11.69 (Revisions have trended upward by 6% in the last 30 days). Revenue: ~$14.54 billion (Expected growth of ~4.8% YoY). Implied Move: Options markets suggest a potential stock move of +/- 4.5% to 5.5% post-earnings. Goldman Sachs reported its fiscal Q3 2025 results on October 14, 2025. The quarter was ch
Can Goldman Sachs (GS) Break Banks Earnings Drags?
avatarTBI
02-02

[11] NKE, V, MRK

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[11] NKE, V, MRK

Super Earnings Week: US Big Banks Report Cards Highlight

During the January 2026 super earnings week, America’s major banks have all reported results. While each bank has a different business focus, one industry-wide consensus has clearly emerged: short-term expense increases in the name of future technology (AI).The market’s response, however, has been brutally pragmatic. Tolerance for rising costs is fading, and the ROI (return on investment) stress test has officially begun.AI transformation vs. operating expense growth has become the core “battleground” of this earnings season.1. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$: The bold “long-term tech bet”CEO Jamie Dimon has taken a firm stance on higher spending — essentially telling investors, “Trust me.” He argues that investing now in AI, data centers, and cybersecurity
Super Earnings Week: US Big Banks Report Cards Highlight
avatarTBI
01-31

[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW