PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
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avatarPeterDiCarlo
05-02 07:09

$NVDA Bull Signal Triggers as $GOOGL Leads, $TSLA and $META Lag

Cycle signals are driving clear divergence across mega caps—some names remain trapped in bearish structures despite short-term bounces, while others continue to trend cleanly within confirmed bull cycles. The edge comes from waiting for confirmation, not reacting to noise. 1. $Oracle(ORCL)$ $ORCL Smart Money Zone Alert 🚨 This is usually where institutions will step in to save structure and tends to be the bottom most of the time Monthly BX is still pinned dark red and showing selling pressure I will wait for an increase before going long 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $TSLA is trying to hold but I am still not in. Monthly chart is showing overwhelming selling pressure. 70% of the time when price bounces inside a
$NVDA Bull Signal Triggers as $GOOGL Leads, $TSLA and $META Lag
avatarPeterDiCarlo
05-01 07:52

$MSFT and $META Drop as Bear Cycles Persist, $GOOGL Holds Strong

Earnings season is exposing a clear divide between confirmed bull cycles and trap-driven bounces. While some mega caps are rolling over under bearish structure, others continue to trend cleanly within established systems—reinforcing the importance of waiting for confirmation, not chasing narratives. 1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT -5% šŸ”» This is why we stick to the system. Long-term support held, but Monthly BX is still dark red. Sellers still in control. I expect another leg into 380–360. Until $MSFT meets Bull Cycle criteria, it stays out of the fund. 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META -10% šŸ”» Classic trap. This is why we stayed out into earnings. When MBX is dark red and 33FVB is red, ~70% of bounces are r
$MSFT and $META Drop as Bear Cycles Persist, $GOOGL Holds Strong

$META vs $MSFT: Earnings Reaction Depends on Structural Confirmation, Not Narrative

Earnings volatility and crypto sentiment extremes are highlighting the same underlying theme: market positioning matters more than narrative. While mega-cap tech approaches key earnings triggers with mixed cycle signals, Bitcoin sentiment is again exposing how crowd euphoria and cycle structure often diverge sharply from price reality. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META earnings today 🚨 Monthly BX still shows buying pressure, but the 33 FVB is red. Last time we saw this combo, it was a trap. If price reclaims the 33 FVB after earnings and it flips green, I’ll add to the fund. Until then, I stay patient and out. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT earnings today šŸ“¢ Price bottomed where expected, but I’m not tradi
$META vs $MSFT: Earnings Reaction Depends on Structural Confirmation, Not Narrative

Mixed Cycle Signals: $SOFI Weak, $COIN Neutral, $SPY Bullish, $NFLX Bearish

Markets are entering a highly selective phase where cycle confirmation matters more than momentum. While broad indices show early signs of a potential multi-month bull structure, individual names remain split between bearish continuation, trap-driven rebounds, and early accumulation zones. The key distinction is no longer direction alone—but whether buying pressure confirms the move or not. 1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ This is why we wait for Bull Cycles to confirm $SOFI When the MBX is šŸ”“, most bounces are traps, but wouldn’t surprise me if $SOFI sells off to $12.50 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $COIN sitting at major Smart Money support, but I won’t touch it until we confirm buying pressure on th
Mixed Cycle Signals: $SOFI Weak, $COIN Neutral, $SPY Bullish, $NFLX Bearish

IREN, META, AMD — Bullish Signals Building, But No Entries Yet

1. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Watching $IREN for the next bull cycle. MBX increasing but I need the 33 FVB to flip green again before I treat this as a new trend. MBX shows buying pressure, but short-term trend must reverse first. If we get the flip, I’ll add $IREN back to my fund. Till then, no trade 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Big week for $META with earnings Wed. Short-term trend still down. Monthly BX shows buyers, but price must break and hold above this smart money zone. If not, likely another trap. I’ll wait for a clear bullish flip before adding it back to the fund. 3. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Short-term $AMD model just hit final take profit at +67%. 🚨 Long
IREN, META, AMD — Bullish Signals Building, But No Entries Yet

AI & High-Beta Update: $NVDA Bull Setup Forms as $INTC Surges +250% and $HUT Breaks Out

Markets are showing a clear split between mature extended trends and emerging setup phases. While $INTC and $HUT continue strong momentum-driven expansions, $NVDA is building conditions for a potential new bull cycle, and $TSLA remains stuck in a defined institutional resistance zone. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I’m still NOT in $TSLA. So far this rejection is happening right inside my Institutional Sell Zone. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA is setting up for a massive bull cycle. When this setup confirms, historically there’s ~60% odds of a +100% move within 12–18 months. 3. $Intel(INTC)$ Last year we called the bull cycle on $INTC. It’s now up +250% and blew past every exp
AI & High-Beta Update: $NVDA Bull Setup Forms as $INTC Surges +250% and $HUT Breaks Out

$AMD, $INTC, $NVDA, $NOW: AI Cycle Leaders Extend Gains

The market continues to reward trend persistence across key AI and tech leaders, with established bull cycles in AMD and Intel extending strongly, while NVIDIA approaches a critical breakout zone after prolonged compression. In contrast, ServiceNow remains in a structurally weak phase where timing entries depends on clear reversal signals rather than reactive dips. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Last year we called the start of the $AMD bull cycle. Since then it’s rallied +130% and just hit our final long‑term target of $320. These cycles average 44 weeks and +120%. That doesn’t mean this one is over, but the premium up here is very rich. 2. $Intel(INTC)$ $INTC is now up +236% since Monthly BX flipped gr
$AMD, $INTC, $NVDA, $NOW: AI Cycle Leaders Extend Gains

DVN, LMT, ENPH, MU & JACK: Bull Cycles and Breakout Zones

Several names across energy, defense, solar, semiconductors, and consumer sectors are showing constructive setups after strong moves. With smart money zones holding and bullish cycles intact, the focus now shifts to whether these stocks can extend gains or build new bases for the next leg higher. 1. $Devon(DVN)$ $DVN tapped the Smart Money Zone and held. Calls are up about 117% from entry. Now I’m watching to see if price can work into the gap near 50. 2. $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ Watching $LMT over the next couple weeks. Monthly BX is in a bull cycle and price is pulling back into the discount zone. In most cases, this is where we see price base and then push to higher highs within about 9–12 days, if the zon
DVN, LMT, ENPH, MU & JACK: Bull Cycles and Breakout Zones

Momentum vs Rejection: PLUG, HIMS Rally; NFLX, META Face Resistance; TSLA at Inflection

The market is showing a clear split between momentum leaders and names running into key resistance. Stocks like PLUG and HIMS have delivered strong upside from Smart Money Zones, while others such as NFLX and META continue to struggle at major rejection levels. Meanwhile, TSLA sits at a critical inflection point, and late-cycle names like AEHR are increasingly extended. This is a tape where selectivity matters—chasing strength blindly carries risk, while waiting for confirmation remains key. 1. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ $PLUG is up 83% since we highlighted it here on February 16. Price respected the Smart Money Zone with Monthly BX in a bull cycle. Weekly BX then flipped bullish, making this an A+ setup in our system. Next target $3.60 -> $4 šŸŽÆ 2.
Momentum vs Rejection: PLUG, HIMS Rally; NFLX, META Face Resistance; TSLA at Inflection

Bullish Structure Intact Across ENPH TSLA ULTA COIN Setups

Several high-profile stocks are showing early signs of institutional accumulation, with key ā€œsmart money zonesā€ holding and technical structures beginning to shift bullish across names like ENPH, TSLA, ULTA, and COIN. 1. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ $ENPH is building a strong base right above the Smart Money Zone. Point of control support is holding. 70% of the time when this setup forms price rallies back to recent highs within 90 to 120 days. That puts the upside target at $54 by August. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $TSLA has cleared this resistance level on the daily Great sign for the bulls and congrats if you held šŸ¤šŸ„³ 3. $ulta beauty(ULTA)$ $ULTA is pushing out of the S
Bullish Structure Intact Across ENPH TSLA ULTA COIN Setups

AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts

Different phases of the cycle are showing up across these names—momentum, consolidation, and early accumulation. The opportunity lies in recognizing where each one sits. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD is up 44% since we first flagged it. Sold earlier this week. The stock kept running. Congrats to everyone who held through it. If price continues to hold above $280 the next target is $300 to $320. This is what riding a bull cycle looks like. 2. $CAVA Group Inc.(CAVA)$ $CAVA is compressing right now. But strength is quietly building on the monthly chart. Long term bull cycle is confirmed on this setup. 6 to 12 month target is $140 to $170. This is what early looks like before it becomes obvious. 3.
AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts

6 Stocks at Critical Levels: NIO, DLTR, AFRM, NVDA in Focus

A mix of discount entries and momentum continuation setups is emerging across the market. From beaten-down names to leaders like NVDA, key inflection points are forming. 1. $Dollar Tree(DLTR)$ $DLTR is at a make‑or‑break level and, in my view, an ideal entry zone. Price is trading inside our discount zone while the Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle. If this is going to bounce, this is where it happens. 2. $Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ Last two times $AFRM showed this setup, it ran 200% Right now we are back in that same Smart Money Zone. 3. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO is up over 50% since we posted it in December Crazy enough, I still think there is plenty of upside le
6 Stocks at Critical Levels: NIO, DLTR, AFRM, NVDA in Focus

TSLA tests resistance as patience outweighs ā€œbuy-the-dipā€ temptation

Very important spot for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚨 I’m still out of my position, and in last night’s video we broke down this exact resistance level and what needs to happen next. I want to see that level get swept and short-term structure break before I touch it again. And I totally get why ā€œbig discountsā€ are tempting. Buying at a huge discount only works if you’re actually near the bottom. If you buy because it looks cheap and it keeps bleeding, you don’t have a deal… you just get smoked. I’d rather be ā€œlateā€ and join the next multi‑month move with structure and confirmation than try to nail the exact low and risk getting wiped out. Discounts are great when they mark the bottom. But a discount on its own can quickly turn into bag‑holding if the wor
TSLA tests resistance as patience outweighs ā€œbuy-the-dipā€ temptation

$META $MSFT $NFLX Near Triggers as $INTC $MU Extend Cycles

Leaders like Intel Corporation and Micron Technology Inc. continue to extend strong cycles, while Meta Platforms, Inc., Microsoft Corporation, and Netflix Inc. approach key confirmation levels. This is a split market — leaders are trending, while new entries require patience and confirmation. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META is showing strength, but we have been here before. Last time price tested this resistance it rejected hard off the 33 FVB. Monthly chart is showing buying pressure. That is encouraging. But encouraging is not enough. Two things must happen before I go long: Price sweeps this resistance level. Month closes with BX increasing. Both confirm, I am in. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT looks
$META $MSFT $NFLX Near Triggers as $INTC $MU Extend Cycles

$SPY Moves Higher as Long Bias Holds Firm

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is ripping right through that smart money zone. In the article I said I didn’t trust this move and was cautious, but I also said we weren’t buying puts. The fund stayed fully long. We stuck to the system. Monthly BX is increasing again. That is constructive, but we need to wait until the end of April to confirm the next 6–12 month bull cycle. This is why we follow the plan and keep trading long, even while staying objective about potential sell offs. We didn’t short. We didn’t overreact. Now we are being rewarded for that discipline. I’m hoping this was the bottom, but hope is not a plan. We will see how the month closes.
$SPY Moves Higher as Long Bias Holds Firm

$NFLX Pushes Higher but System Still Waiting on Confirmation

$Netflix(NFLX)$ is pushing into the 33 FVB right now Bull Cycle is NOT confirmed just yet. Two things need to happen before I start a position. One. Price continues to push through the 33 FVB. Two. Monthly BX closes confirming buying pressure. Both need to confirm by May 1st. If they do I am in. If not this is just another trap and we stay patient. My system is always a little late because it waits for the monthly candle to close. Late is not bad if it means the signal is stronger. NFLX was showing a clean smart money zone buy last month, but without the Monthly BX increasing, that ā€œbuyā€ can easily be a trap. Look at the same $NFLX setup in 2022. You could have bought that zone and then eaten another 50% drawdown. Or you could have waited for the
$NFLX Pushes Higher but System Still Waiting on Confirmation

$SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is at a key decision level while leaders like Deckers Outdoor Corporation extend and others turn extended. This is a manage, not chase environment — wait for confirmation before new entries. 1. $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$ $DECK is up +15% since bouncing on the 33 FVB Our combined signal system still has this as an open trade setup and the next target is $120 2. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ $EOSE is forming a potential bottom inside the Smart Money Zone. Historically this is where institutions step in to defend structure. Not buying yet. Waiting for the monthly chart to confirm buying pressure before I enter. 3. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)
$SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures

$SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing

Cut losers when your system breaks — no exceptions. Both SoundHound AI Inc. and Snowflake Inc. show the same lesson: once the Monthly BX flips red, macro pressure turns against you. That’s not a dip to buy — it’s risk to avoid. Good trading isn’t about being right, it’s about managing risk. 1. $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Rode $SOUN through a mega rally last year. Sold the rest in January when the MBX flipped red. Stock is down another 50% in 3 months since. Losing trades are part of this. Bag holding is a choice. Stop out when rules break, wait for a clean re-entry. Every time. 2. $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $SNOW is a good example of why the Monthly BX matters. Flipped dark red in January. Down almost 40% since. Sti
$SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing

Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just ripped higher over the past two weeks. That move was fueled by optimism around a US and Iran ceasefire and the possibility of broader de-escalation. Once again, the market reminded us how fast it can recover when sentiment shifts. But I'm not trusting this move blindly. There are a few technical concerns that need to be respected before anyone gets comfortable chasing this bounce. The Monthly BX Is Still Dark Red Even after this rally, the Monthly BX has not flipped. It's still dark red. That matters more than most people realize. When macro buying pressure isn't there, rallies can turn into traps. In real bull cycles, dips lead to breakouts. In weaker conditions, bounces lead to rejection. That's the structural differ
Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY

$AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands

Here comes the real test for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Rooting for the bulls to break through this level šŸ¤ I’m still sitting this one out for now I’m not trying to make money on the next trade. I’m trying to follow my system. The edge comes from consistency, not one setup. Sticking to the system matters more than what happens next. Nothing bad happens from missing a trade. With AMZN, I don’t lose money by sitting this out. I’ve got ~50 positions on and there’s always another opportunity. Worst case, it rips and I miss it. Best case, it pulls back and I get a better entry. Win win for me. Any stock with heavy compression is usually going to underperform with my system MBX doesn’t do well in sideways, low movement environments, and AMZN has been stuck in t
$AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands

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