PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
Quant Trader šŸ’» NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE
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$MSFT $NVDA $NFLX $QQQ signal caution with potential traps and corrections

This week’s scan shows $MSFT nearing historical support, $NVDA and $QQQ flashing bearish monthly setups, and $NFLX’s recent rally may be a bull trap. 1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ MSFT is coming into major support. The monthly bias has been a strong long-term buy zone for this stock historically. But I’m not buying yet. Monthly BX is still red, so I wait for the system to confirm before going long. āœ… 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I’m selling all my $NVDA Monday šŸ”» Monthly BX just flipped dark red after months of chop. Historically this setup often leads to 20–30% corrections or months of dead money. 3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ After getting crushed for months, $NFLX just ripped ~30% in a week…
$MSFT $NVDA $NFLX $QQQ signal caution with potential traps and corrections
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-28 14:12

Rules Over Hope $NVDA $AVGO Cut as $QQQ Weakens

Technical risk is rising across mega-cap tech as multiple Monthly BX signals flip dark red. While this doesn’t guarantee a crash, history suggests elevated odds of meaningful pullbacks or prolonged consolidation. In this environment, capital preservation and disciplined rotation matter more than conviction or hope. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ just flashed a dark red, lower low on the Monthly BX. Historically, that usually means a 5%–10% correction before a real bounce. 🚨 No, I’m not shorting. We’ll just rotate: weak tech falls off, stronger sectors (including DOW names) come in. I’d rather miss an ugly bounce than ride a 10% burn. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA has a very real chance of a 20%–30% correction in the n
Rules Over Hope $NVDA $AVGO Cut as $QQQ Weakens
avatarPeterDiCarlo
02-28 14:11

Monthly BX Turns Red $BABA $CVNA $META $ORCL at Risk

Markets are entering a decisive phase as multiple big-cap names flash dark red monthly signals. While some trends are still holding, momentum is clearly deteriorating and several charts are now setting up for potential corrections. This is a time for discipline, flexibility, and strict adherence to system rules rather than conviction-driven bias. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Plenty of big tech just printed dark red Monthly BX, but $TSLA is still in Bull Cycle. March needs to bounce or we likely get a sharp correction. System is green so I’m still bullish, but I’m not married to this name. If Bear Cycle confirms, I’m out and the thesis is gone. 2. $Alibaba(BABA)$ BABA ripped 20% off the lows but that move is no
Monthly BX Turns Red $BABA $CVNA $META $ORCL at Risk

Will NVIDIA, Netflix & Bitcoin Face Rejection at Monthly Bias Levels?

All three charts are at critical inflection points. NVIDIA risks a 20% pullback if the monthly box closes decisively red. Netflix’s after-hours surge looks like a technical bounce, but higher-timeframe bias remains bearish unless structure flips. Bitcoin may see a short-term relief rally toward $80K, yet monthly sellers still dominate, suggesting any upside could be temporary rather than the start of a sustained trend. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ If $NVDA Monthly BX closes dark red tomorrow, my bullish thesis is dead. āŒ I won’t short it, but I’ll expect up to a 20% pullback toward the Monthly Bias like last time. Until then, there are better places for my capital. 2. $Netflix(NFLX)$ NFLX +10% after hours, perfect b
Will NVIDIA, Netflix & Bitcoin Face Rejection at Monthly Bias Levels?

Bear Signals in Focus: $MSTR $PLTR $HOOD $NFLX

Several high-beta leaders have rolled over, and our system has already flipped bearish on each of them. The key now isn’t emotion or dip-buying — it’s discipline. From $MSTR$’s 66% drop since the October bear signal, to $PLTR$, $HOOD$, and $NFLX$ breaking down from major highs, this is about managing downside, identifying potential bounce zones, and defining the exact conditions required to turn bullish again. Cut fast. Stay objective. Let the system lead. 1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR is down 66% since our bear signal in October. This is why we cut fast and move on. I will pay attention to: • How much further this selloff can go • Where I expect a bounce in the coming weeks • The exact signals I need to turn bullish again 2.
Bear Signals in Focus: $MSTR $PLTR $HOOD $NFLX

Key Market Setups This Week: $NVDA$ $NVO$ $SPY$ $POET$ $SOFI$

This week’s setups highlight a mix of macro trends, long-term bull cycles, and short-term signals. $NVDA$ leads the market momentum, $SPY$ shows the broader bull cycle intact, $POET$ flashes a short-term buy, while $NVO$ reminds us that even strong systems take losses, and $SOFI$ risks a near-term correction. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Earnings this week isn't important for just $NVDA … but the entire market. 🚨 $NVDA is in a macro bull cycle and my long‑term model is targeting $220 in the next 90 days. 2. $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ Closing my $NVO for about a 30% loss… and I’d still take this setup every time Strategy Results $NVO: 25 trades, 2,770% ROI, 41% win rate. 3. $SPDR S&a
Key Market Setups This Week: $NVDA$ $NVO$ $SPY$ $POET$ $SOFI$

Even Winning Systems Take Losses $NVO$

You can have the best system in the world and still get punched in the face. No strategy is immune to losses. 🩸 $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ checked every box for us last month: • Trend showing clean potential reversal • Monthly BX closing with strength • All criteria aligned for a long We took the trade. Then it dropped over 30%. There was nothing to ā€œfix.ā€ No tweak. No magic filter. Just a normal loss inside a winning system. If your criteria is met, you take the trade and you trade the system. Period. We sized it correctly, so the fund is fine. Still sucks. Losing always does. But there is no version of this game where you avoid it. You manage risk, take the kick in the balls, and move on to the next setup. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA to
Even Winning Systems Take Losses $NVO$

NVDA Earnings Decide QQQ Breakout or Correction

Big week for tech. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings + $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ at key inflection. Our long-term model still has us in a Bull Cycle and is pricing in a push to new highs by March–April… IF the Monthly BX flips back to green by Friday. If it closes dark red, we kill the bullish outlook. This week it all comes down to NVDA earnings. Four months of compression are about to resolve. As of now, our Monthly BX model is still pricing in a breakout to new all time highs. But if price sells off and Monthly BX closes red on Friday, we flip bearish and start pricing in a correction toward $140. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited tradin
NVDA Earnings Decide QQQ Breakout or Correction

SPY Expansion Toward 700–720 or Thesis Fails

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ finishing the week green but still compressing. We’ve got a 1B share node and point of control parked right here. That is real size. Long term model stays bullish. Still targeting 700–720 by end of March. Remember: the longer the compression, the bigger the expansion. If this starts to roll and Monthly BX flips red, the bullish thesis is gone. No hesitation. PS: Everyone’s calling for a stock market crash SPY āŒ I’m not there yet. My system still has SPY in a bull cycle, but if one key signal flips, I’m looking for a 10 correction For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
SPY Expansion Toward 700–720 or Thesis Fails

High-Stakes Decision Zones: $SOFI $IREN $NBIS $PLUG $RDDT at Make-or-Break Levels

Several beaten-down names are sitting at critical inflection points. Some are flashing high-reward discount setups with bullish structure intact, while others are one signal away from invalidating the thesis. The next move in these stocks won’t be subtle — it will define whether this is accumulation… or distribution. 1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ The next 2 weeks decide if $SOFI is a dip buy or a future baghold. It’s already down ~40%, trend bias is still green, but if Monthly BX closes dark red I’m killing my bull thesis and walking away. 2. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ IREN back in one of the best buy zones I’ve seen in a year. Monthly BX is still bullish, bias is green, and price has actually pulled into real
High-Stakes Decision Zones: $SOFI $IREN $NBIS $PLUG $RDDT at Make-or-Break Levels

Critical Inflection Points: $TSLA Coiling, $SPY on Bull Watch, $META Rolling, $NVDA Into Earnings

Markets are at decision zones across multiple leaders. Some names are compressing for potential breakouts, others are flashing early warning signs. The key now isn’t prediction — it’s reacting to structure, buying pressure, and confirmation as signals flip. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA has chopped sideways for months while everyone gets bored… my system still reads it as a loaded spring. BX is green, trend bias is bullish, and price is sitting on major volume support. 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ ONDS is up 25% from the exact buy zone my system flagged… and I didn’t take it. In this video I break down why the setup was so clean, why I hesitated anyway. As well as what I’m looking for now before I either
Critical Inflection Points: $TSLA Coiling, $SPY on Bull Watch, $META Rolling, $NVDA Into Earnings

$RR $CLF $BABA $AMD at High-Probability Discount Zones

Defined risk. Clear structure. No hype. Several names are pulling back into validated discount areas while monthly buying pressure remains intact. I’m leaning into setups where structure + BX alignment offer asymmetric risk/reward — and staying disciplined where confirmation fails. 1. $Richtech Robotics(RR)$ RR still wedged up bullish. Month of selling but structure + all criteria intact. I’m getting long here with defined risk. In near wedge support. Out when Monthly BX closes dark red. No hype. Just rules. 2. $cleveland-cliffs(CLF)$ CLF is starting to look like a legit dip buy after this selloff. Monthly BX is still green, price is pulling back into a real discount zone, and the risk/reward here is high. I
$RR $CLF $BABA $AMD at High-Probability Discount Zones

Extreme Discount ≠ Buy Signal: $COIN & BTCUSD Still Bearish Until Demand Confirms

Most traders see ā€œcheapā€ and rush in. I see a trap until proven otherwise. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is trading at an extreme discount and has bounced three times off this support. I’m still not buying. Why? Buying pressure is still overwhelmingly bearish. Monthly BX is holding red. Price has already burned ~50% since the flip. In this setup, trying to nail the exact bottom is gambling. Waiting for confirmation is the higher probability trade. My system has been bearish on BTCUSD since November around 106k and still shows zero real buying pressure. But right now we’re sitting on a KEY support zone in our framework: first downside target near 70k, where 65% of samples historically bounce. āœ… This is a massive area of interest, not a green light.
Extreme Discount ≠ Buy Signal: $COIN & BTCUSD Still Bearish Until Demand Confirms

Positioning in $RIVN $TSLA $ONDS as Momentum Builds and Setups Tighten

Three very different setups, three very different decisions. $RIVN is extended after a sharp breakout, $TSLA looks coiled for a potential expansion, and $ONDS is sitting in a high conviction zone but testing patience on risk reward. This is not about hype. It is about positioning and discipline. 1. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ RIVN is up 30% today and everyone suddenly wants in. We were bullish back at $14–16 when my system flashed the same setup that led to the last 70% run. Up here, I’m not buying – just managing winners. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA has gone nowhere for months. In my system, this is exactly what a coiled move looks like, not a dead stock. Monthly BX is still green, trend bias still
Positioning in $RIVN $TSLA $ONDS as Momentum Builds and Setups Tighten

AAPL and QQQ Show Buyable Dips While HOOD and DUOL Stay Under Pressure

Markets are pulling back, but not all dips are created equal. While fear is rising and headlines are turning negative, my system focuses on structure, trend alignment, and capital positioning rather than emotion. Some names are testing high-probability buy zones, while others remain firmly in distribution. The key right now is selective execution, not blanket dip-buying. 1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL just got smacked 5% on bad headlines + tech weakness… and I still think this is a dip worth watching. Monthly BX is bullish, price pulled back into my trend support, and my buy zone is 260–250. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Everyone’s screaming ā€œcorrectionā€ on $QQQ 🚨 I’m not there yet. This pullback is still a buyable dip in
AAPL and QQQ Show Buyable Dips While HOOD and DUOL Stay Under Pressure

BTC Hits 70K Target, Testing Key Monthly Support

Bitcoin hit our downside target and is now testing the Monthly Bias Target šŸŽÆ Historically a major support and often the bottom. If we’re going to bounce, it’s here. But my Monthly BX is not a buy yet. Discount alone isn’t enough. I need real buying pressure before I turn long‑term bullish again. The level is technically ideal for a bounce — but ideal levels don’t guarantee reversals. What matters now is whether buyers actually step in with conviction. BTCUSD hit the 70K downside target I mapped out and is now sitting on major Monthly Bias support. The same zone that usually marks big bottoms. Traditionally, we will bounce here āœ… But my Monthly BX is still red. Discount alone isn’t enough. I’m not buying until I see real buying pressure.
BTC Hits 70K Target, Testing Key Monthly Support

Support Isn’t a Buy Signal: NFLX, MSFT, HIMS at Critical Levels

Several high-profile names — NFLX, MSFT, and HIMS — are now sitting at major long-term support zones where historical rebounds have been sharp and profitable. These are the exact levels that attract aggressive dip buyers: 1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ NFLX is sitting on the exact support where it has usually bounced hard in the past. This is the spot everyone wants to buy. I’m still not touching it. Until ONE specific signal flips on my system, I won’t go long. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Is now finally the time to buy $MSFT after a 20% drop? Price just hit a massive long‑term support zone that usually marks major bottoms… but my Monthly BX is still dark red, which is not a buy in my system. 3.
Support Isn’t a Buy Signal: NFLX, MSFT, HIMS at Critical Levels

TSLA, IREN, EOSE, ONDS & MU Bounce and Entry Opportunities

Today’s watchlist focuses on five notable names—Tesla Motors (TSLA), Ondas Holdings (ONDS), Micron Technology (MU), IREN Ltd (IREN), and Eos Energy Enterprises (EOSE). Key support levels, discount zones, and monthly momentum indicators highlight potential opportunities and caution areas across these high-activity stocks. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA just bounced off the exact support level I’ve been watching around $420 and is up ~7.5% from last week’s low. Monthly BX is still green, bias still bullish, and I’m targeting 460 next with 550 on deck if the squeeze finally breaks. 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ Most people only noticed $ONDS after it ripped 20%+. The real buy was last week’s panic into my dis
TSLA, IREN, EOSE, ONDS & MU Bounce and Entry Opportunities

Dip-Buy Setups | AMD, TSLA, ZETA Enter Discount Zones āœ…

Some names are finally reaching discount zones, offering asymmetric upside potential while the broader market hesitates. Monthly BX remains green, long-term trends intact, and risk/reward profiles favor selective entries. Here’s how I’m positioning on AMD, TSLA, and ZETA. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD just had the dip everyone wanted… and I’m finally planning to go long āœ… Monthly BX is still green, price pulled back ~15% into my weekly bias (discount zone), and the long‑term model still supports the bull cycle. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Weeks like this are where $TSLA tests your patience. Price flushed into my discount zone while everyone panicked, but the system never flipped bearish Monthly BX still
Dip-Buy Setups | AMD, TSLA, ZETA Enter Discount Zones āœ…

Make-or-Break Levels | QQQ, TSLA, NVDA Hold, COST, MSTR Risky

Some leaders are holding trend and offering controlled dip-buy setups, while others are bouncing into unfavorable risk/reward zones. In this environment, patience, confirmed closes, and respecting higher-timeframe signals matter more than speed. Below is how I’m viewing the key names right now—what I’m staying bullish on, and what I’m deliberately avoiding. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ is at a make-or-break level. This trend needs to hold over the next month or the risk shifts toward a real correction. In our system, this is typically a solid dip-buy opportunity. I stay bullish until the Monthly BX closes dark red. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA patience is your biggest edge. This is why we wait for candles to
Make-or-Break Levels | QQQ, TSLA, NVDA Hold, COST, MSTR Risky

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