$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan A week ago, it seemed that $SPX had a renewed upside momentum, as it was making new all- time highs and internal indicators were improving. But there has been no follow-through this week, and it seems that bullish momentum has been lost. The "culprit" seems to be an increase in T-Bond rates, although that hasn't mattered much before. Even so, the $SPX chart remains positive as long as $SPX remains above support at 7600-7620 (the previous all-time highs). The pullback this week nearly reached that level and was a minor test of that support. There is now resistance at 7744 (where a gap was closed on the $

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on August 3, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/c8HpcRGK1OI$GOTU$ 

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan After the monster rally of 400 points in just a few days in early August, $SPX took a few days to consolidate. Now it is making new all-time highs once again. There should be some support in that consolidation area (7700-7800), with stronger support at the old highs (7620). There is also a gap at the 7600 level which would act as support as well. There has been a good deal of reluctance on the part of the investment community to climb on board this northbound train. But it finally looks like put buying is slowing down, and the rally is spreading out to more and more issues (i.e., breadth is improving).

By Lawrence G. McMillan A little more than a week ago, the FOMC meeting concluded (on July 29th), and traders were not happy. They sold the market before and after the meeting, closing $SPX that day at 7316. But then a series of events both real and psychological took place that released a buying panic. The net effect of this was that $SPX has broken out to new all- time highs, and has not fallen back below the old highs at 7620. That makes the $SPX chart bullish again, for the first time in a while. Targets are always nebulous things, but this could take $SPX to 8,000 or so. Equity-only put-call ratios have not rolled over to buy signals. As much as $SPX has risen, it has been accompanied by continued buying of puts on stocks. That is for protection most likely. So, even though these put-

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on August 3, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/ysPanmtoR3s$GOTU$ 

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan   Despite one downward probe on July 29th, $SPX has managed to trade in a range and close at almost the same price every day. Near- term resistance is at 7430. After that failure on the 29th, the market bounced off the 7300 level with a vengeance the next day, so that is support. Even so, if one looks at the chart of $SPX in Figure 1, it is obvious that there is a new downtrend line that can be drawn, connecting the failed rally attempts that took place during July. There is support at 7300 and then 7240, with potential further support near the rising 200-day moving average in the 7100 area (that a

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan   Despite one downward probe on July 29th, $SPX has managed to trade in a range and close at almost the same price every day. Near- term resistance is at 7430. After that failure on the 29th, the market bounced off the 7300 level with a vengeance the next day, so that is support. Even so, if one looks at the chart of $SPX in Figure 1, it is obvious that there is a new downtrend line that can be drawn, connecting the failed rally attempts that took place during July. There is support at 7300 and then 7240, with potential further support near the rising 200-day moving average in the 7100 area (that a

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on July 27, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/BJtmFg4jZY0$GOTU$ 

$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The market has been frustrating to many over the past two months since new all-time highs were made in early June. Bulls expected another attempt at new highs by now, while bears expected a larger correction (given the uncertainties of Iran, interest rates, etc.). But the fact is, $SPX has remained in a trading range over that time. There is currently resistance at 7580 (July's highs) and then at the all-time highs in the 7600-7620 area. Support was broken slightly yesterday, as $SPX probed downward, but there is support at 7300 or slightly above that level, with further support at the July lows near 72

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on July 21, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/5Ia26thpowI$GOTU$ 

$RSEE$ $QQQP$ $JULD$  By Lawrence G. McMillan It is once again time to consider that $VIX may have bottomed for the year. It is a common occurrence for $VIX to make its annual lows in July and then begin to rise in August. Sometimes that rise is stupendous, as it was two years ago. Most of the time the annual peak for $VIX is reached in October, which is when the market often sells into a strong bottom. We can compose a seasonal chart of $VIX. Chart 1 encompasses the years 1989 through 2025 (the most recent full year of trading). While there is $VIX data for earlier years, including 1987 and even 1988 distorts things too much. The data in Chart 1 u

$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Buying the dip has been working on an intraday basis recently, but the larger picture is that there are dips to buy almost every day. That means that $SPX is not making much progress. Despite breaking out on the upside from the triangle formation that had existed, it has run into resistance at 7580 and has failed to challenge the all-time highs at 7600-7620. This keeps the $SPX chart from being upgraded to "bullish." Rather, it is range-bound at best. There is support at 7420 the lows of early July. Then below that the lower side of the triangle is still in place, and a breakdown below 7300 would be neg

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on July 13, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/LHMRDAvU_OU$GOTU$ 

By Lawrence G. McMillan This week, $SPX has tried to break out over the top of the triangle formation that has inhibited price movement since early June. Indicators have improved somewhat, so that is certainly a possibility. However, the next resistance level at 7600-7620 is the all-time highs, and there would need to be a clear breakout over that level in order to turn the $SPX chart to a fully "bullish" status. There is support at 7420 (tested briefly a couple of times in the past week), with strong support at 7300, near the bottom of the triangle. A move below 7300 would be quite negative, and would probably indicate a quick test of longer-term support in the 7050- 7100 area. Equity-only put-call ratios have been rising for over a month, and that is a bearish weight on the stock market.

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$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on July 6, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/VpZH4zOHnhY$GOTU$ 

By Lawrence G. McMillan The market continues to consolidate in the triangle formation that we had pointed out previously. It is currently trying to break out on the upside. The pink lines on the chart in Figure 1 define the triangle. In a broad sense, a breakout above 7500 would be positive, or a breakdown below 7300 would be negative.   The equity-only put-call ratios are still rising (see Figures 2 and 3). That is, even though $SPX has rallied over the past few days, traders are still buying puts as hedges, if not necessarily for pure speculation. In either case, these ratios will remain on their sell signals for the stock market until they roll over and begin to decline.   A more positive note has been the improvement in breadth recently . The NYSE-based breadth oscillator has

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on June 29, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/4EMV9dQZBls$GOTU$ 

By Lawrence G. McMillan There has been a considerable amount of intraday volatility, but $SPX has not changed much in net closing price. There is major resistance at the all-time highs, 7600-7620. There is strong support in the 7250-7275 area. Those are marked with horizontal lines on the chart in Figure 1. Also marked on that chart in Figure 1 is a triangle formation (pink lines) that show lower highs and higher lows. This formation is typically a precursor to a strong breakout, as long as it makes its move fairly soon. If the trading range action persists beyond the point of the triangle, then the process is voided. Equity-only put-call ratios have continued to climb, as there has been steady put buying even on days when the market has risen. As a result, these ratios both remain on sell

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on June 22, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/NmRNToFnjj0$GOTU$