I've long known that Trump doesn't play by the rules. But the fact that he launched a MEME coin over the weekend still makes me think that if he really gets a second term, he might bring huge risks to the financial markets. And this risk isn't just in the cryptocurrency market. You know, the audience in the cryptocurrency market is relatively small. This risk is likely to spread to the US stock market and even affect the global market.This weekend, people in WeChat Moments and groups were talking about how people got rich overnight with Trump coin. Actually, this kind of thing isn't new. People have made a lot of money from those so-called "shitcoins" and MEME coins before. And Elon Musk is also someone who likes to promote coins. But Trump is about to become the president again. Plus his
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Trump's MEME Coin and Its Impact on Financial Markets
Trump's MEME Coin and Its Impact on Financial Markets
Stock Market Volatility Is Back. Here's How to Play It.
In the past week, a lot of things have changed, and most of the changes are opposite to the main trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. With Trump officially starting his second term in the White House next week, does this "reverse" trend mean a new trend is coming or just the last correction?First of all, let's look at crude oil prices. The price has gone up for three weeks in a row, but it still hasn't helped the bulls get back to the central axis range or break through the downward trend line since 2023. But at least it's not as weak as it was before, hovering around 70. Since there isn't much direct news to drive the oil prices, it's hard to say how reliable this increase is during the semi-holiday period. Whether it can break through the trend line resistance this week or nex
Stock Market Volatility Is Back. Here's How to Play It.
Is A US Stock Market Correction Coming?
In the first week of the year, the U.S. stock index rebounded in a relatively calm environment. As weekly-level lows appear, important swing lows also appear simultaneously. Throughout January, if the stock price goes down again and breaks through the support, we need to be alert to large-scale correction that will follow.Due to the poor performance of heavyweights in the Nasdaq Index, there was actually a slight puncture in the previous weekly market. However, considering the overall synchronization of the index, we still believe that the support area formed by 21000/20983 has not fallen. The last time the Nasdaq broke weekly level was in 24 years, when it fell from 20,000 to around 17,000 at most. In addition, it should be noted that from the monthly chart, the index has left an obvious
Is A US Stock Market Correction Coming?
Trading Strategy For 2025: Retreat For Advancement
2024, which is calm but full of opportunities, is about to pass, although there may still be some meanings of fishing for the moon in the water to explore where the most likely market situation will appear next year. But relatively speaking, we expect that the difficulty of transactions in the coming year will increase, and there will be fewer opportunities to "pick up money" in major categories. Therefore, at this time point, it may be safer to prepare for the 2025 transaction with a relatively conservative thinking.The troika created by the Biden administration is the foundation of transactions in 2024, which is why most of the time or in a prolonged cycle, long gold, Bitcoin, and U.S. stocks during this period are stable transactions. As the new Trump's second term is about to take offi
The Fed shifts its attitude? Here are such trading opportunities
Last week's Federal Reserve decision had no variables in terms of interest rates, and the interest rate cut of 25 basis points was in line with market expectations. However, at the press conference after the meeting, Chairman Powell gave the expectation of only two interest rate cuts in 2025, which was regarded as an eagle statement, so the market showed an obvious overall general decline. Although the short-term decline is obvious, for some trending varieties, the bad news is likely to bring better entry opportunities.From the news point of view, both the dot plot and the Fed's statement hint at an upward trend in medium and long-term interest rates. But it should be noted that the Fed is not much better at predicting the long-term economy than most market participants. This means that th
The Fed shifts its attitude? Here are such trading opportunities
The trend of gold-silver ratio and its trading significance
Gold showed an obvious surge and fall last week, suggesting that an important head of the market has been formed around 2800, and a new round of downward market is in the process of running. At the same time, the performance of the gold-silver ratio above the historical central axis also provides a solid long-term long-term direction of long-gold and short-silver.From the weekly chart of the gold-silver ratio, it can be found that, except for some special stages, the overall ratio will still fluctuate within a relatively reasonable range. Generally speaking, the period when silver is strong and gold is weak will represent the situation where silver makes up for the increase and the overall precious metal is strong, while the environment where gold is particularly strong may only be due to
The trend of gold-silver ratio and its trading significance
Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?
Judging from the existing answers, it is naturally yes. But what needs to be clear is that there is still more than a month before Trump actually moves into the White House.Before the general election, we once discussed the market in Bitcoin, when the price was still brewing a breakthrough below 70,000. "There is not much time left for the bulls" was the main judgment at the time. Because structurally speaking, the adjustment cycle is completely sufficient and sufficient for more than half a year, and that price position, whether it is Harris or Trump, will push for a breakthrough. Then sure enough, the bulls made the final breakthrough. Of course, it must be admitted that after the election results were released, this short-squeeze rise still exceeded expectations. Previously, the high po
Is Trump Really So Great for Bitcoin?
Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?
Nvidia, the leader of U.S. stocks in the past two years, has not performed well in the past few weeks. Although the financial report is not bad, as the main promoter of the "predecessor" Biden, it is obvious that some glory is no longer in the context of Trump's second entry into the palace. The fall in the weekly level of the previous week directly affected the price pattern. Will this mean that the U.S. stock market will take the lead in the change in the future cycle, or will the trend itself change?Nvidia once fell below the weekly low at the end of October last week. Although it finally recovered and left a lower shadow line, it still ended the bullish pattern of "higher lows" after the June adjustment. Looking forward, the fall of the weekly swing low can be traced back to a year ago
Is the U.S. stock market changing its leader or brewing a correction?
Is NOW The Time To Buy Oil!?
The period from Trump's victory in the US election to his official entry into the White House looks expected to make a smooth transition. In addition to Biden's official statement, the crude oil market also gave the same signal. Although the key low of 63.6 was repeatedly tested, the bulls were able to save the day, which implies that there will be no obvious change in risk appetite in the short term.The three key range positions of crude oil: 63-70-84 respectively represent the lowest point of the range, the level of repurchased crude oil reserves previously stated by the US government, and the central axis price in the past two years. Although after the first quarter of this year, oil prices remained trading below the central axis level, and seemed to rebound one wave after another, the
Is NOW The Time To Buy Oil!?
Gold, Long Term Top?
At the end of October, before the US presidential election, we specifically pointed out that gold had reached the medium and long-term target position, and it was time to take profits. At that time, the price of gold was around 2750. Although there were higher highs afterwards, looking back now, it was obviously a suitable appearance. In addition to price changes, more importantly, short-term and medium-term trends, and even long-term structures, gold shows obvious signs of loosening.First of all, from the perspective of the weekly situation, gold broke through the swing low last week, which was the first time since the autumn of 2023, when gold had not yet set a new record high. Generally speaking, if this low point is no longer gradually raised, it means that the obvious rally has stoppe
Gold, Long Term Top?
Trump 2.0 is here, what now?
The much-anticipated U.S. election finally revealed its outcome last week: although Trump seems to be very close to Harris in traditional polls, it actually ended with Trump's big victory. With the second entry of this old acquaintance, the capital market also began to give some feedback. So what assets and changes are worth watching for us?About the crypto marketThere is no doubt that this is the strongest variety after the news that Trump is about to take office. Mainstream coins represented by Bitcoin and a number of altcoins have experienced huge gains in just one week. On the one hand, Trump showed the characteristics of a pro-crypto market during the election campaign; on the other hand, his main election assistant, Musk, is also very keen to "shout" on social media.Although we were
Trump 2.0 is here, what now?
What is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in
The U.S. election is about to give its final answer this week. The ups and downs of swing state data have caused some sensitive assets to take a roller coaster trend around last weekend. However, there are still some varieties fluctuating within a narrow range. Obviously, their breakthrough direction is likely to determine the market tendency in the next stage.Today we are going to talk about copper, which we haven't talked about for a long time. As a wide variety similar to crude oil, copper prices have gone out of a complete bull market and bear market in the first 11 months of this year, and are now just at the central axis level. What's more interesting is that in the past half month, the price has been running within a narrow range of 4.3-4.4 X.Copper has always been said by Dr. Coppe
What is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in
How The U.S. Election Will Impact The Markets
The final chapter of the annual drama American election will come soon. As a hot spot that was regarded as more important than the Fed's interest rate cut at the beginning of the year, how will the election results affect the short-term, medium-and long-term development of the market?In terms of short-term fluctuations, we believe that the main difference between Harris and Trump will be the option of controlling the market. Although the risky assets represented by U.S. stocks have maintained a slow bull pattern recently, the continued weakness of oil prices still indicates that the market is currently expensive.If Trump takes office, it is very likely that he will start smashing the market after officially entering the White House. Or on the day of the general election, it is expected tha
How The U.S. Election Will Impact The Markets
Gold soars but be careful when you consider buying gold now
The time node when silver compensated for the increase and the RMB exchange rate triggered the rise of precious metals in the internal market + various news and fundamentals gathered. These top features that have been talked about before are emerging one after another. As an old bull who has been bullish on gold for many years, now I am more cautious and waiting for a signal to exit. Always remember that pulling the market is the best way to sell goods. Don't go up or chase high is the only way to avoid deep traps and losing money.Silver showed a significant upward trend last week, breaking through the high in mid-May, and opening further higher this Monday. Obviously, the recent comparison of gold and silver trends has completely matched the compensatory effect of silver's late-coming fir
Gold soars but be careful when you consider buying gold now
Is Now a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?
The last time we talked about cryptocurrency was 2-3 months ago, when Bitcoin had just completed a mid-level zigzag adjustment, and it looked like it was about to restart its rally. However, the advancement of the market is another result. The larger A-B-C correction has not broken through the downward channel by mid-October. Considering the approaching time of the U.S. election and the high levels of gold and the other two carriages of the U.S. stock index, the time to keep a long position seems to be increasingly limited at present.From the perspective of the weekly level, Bitcoin once fell below the 50,000 mark in the previous round of deep exploration, which made its height drop significantly even if the subsequent upward market was launched. At present, according to the form, it may b
Is Now a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?
US Dollar Technical Analysis – Attempting to Sneak Higher？
Although domestic investors are focusing on chinese stock market, which opened today, as external observers and traders, we are always paying attention to the changes in the futures market. During the National Day holiday, the performance of crude oil was remarkable, but it was expected. Relatively speaking, the rise of the U.S. dollar index, which had been falling before, after the interest rate cut is also worthy of attention.We have talked about the logic of the rebound of the US dollar before the interest rate decision. A very important point is that in the latest round of interest rate hike-interest rate cut cycle, the foreign exchange market reflects the trend of expected rise/fall and reverse operation after landing. The fact that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates ahead of t
US Dollar Technical Analysis – Attempting to Sneak Higher？
What‘s The Best Time to Trade Stocks For The Rest Of This Year
The long-awaited interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve finally landed in September. With the determination of the path of further easing, the main trading logic for the rest of the year has become clear: maintain the old thinking until before and after the election.Why can we maintain the existing trading ideas after the interest rate cut? On the one hand, judging from market feedback, risky assets have maintained a good trend, including the vane of USD/JPY, which is also a bottom out. This means that the trading pattern of the Biden administration has not changed. On the other hand, after the interest rate cut, Powell gave a "forward-looking guidance" at the press conference that he would cut interest rates twice during the year, each time by 25 basis points, which laid the foundation
What‘s The Best Time to Trade Stocks For The Rest Of This Year
Get Ready For More Market Fluctuations
Oil prices have fallen below the $70 level for the first time since the end of last year. Although they have not yet broken through the low support of nearly two years, their vigilant effect cannot be ignored. Coupled with the fact that the yen has not shown signs of returning to weakness, we may still have to make some preparations for tail risks.As we all know, crude oil, as the king of commodities, has long been highly correlated with the economy. Although under the control of the Biden administration, oil prices have become a range-bound variety in the past two years, but the market cannot run within a range forever. With the new president on the horizon, this kind of breakthrough will come sooner or later. However, if it breaks down before the general election, it may have different r
Get Ready For More Market Fluctuations
How To Beat The Market When A Correction Is looming?
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time this year and the US election at the end of the year approaches, the recent trend of major assets has become increasingly lackluster. This opportunity, which seems to be brewing to break through the market, is actually not highly operable. Coupled with the lack of trading cost performance of several varieties with significant trends, we tend to see more and move less at this stage, which may be a better choice.First of all, on the three carriages mentioned earlier, gold is already very close to the target price expected at the beginning of the year (2575 +). If you get on the bus now to do long positions, it is easy to waste time at high positions or be washed away due to shocks. Although the trend of U.S. stocks is still good,
How To Beat The Market When A Correction Is looming?
2 Trading Opportunities Every Trader Should Know
A sideways oscillating state is often just for the next start. Now there are two assets that the whole world will pay attention to are in this kind of continuous shock and sideways trading. Will they get out of the real market in a short time?The first variety with a relatively short cycle is Bitcoin, which has been very red and extremely red in the last year. However, with the doubling of the market and record highs, the currency price has shown a flag-shaped consolidation pattern since March this year, which has been almost half a year. We have compared the performance of the U.S. stock index and gold before, and we expect that the market will reach a new high after the consolidation of an A-B-C model move. Unfortunately, things backfired, and the performance of the market was tangled, w
2 Trading Opportunities Every Trader Should Know
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