安妮1022 personal page - To The Moon

安妮1022

安妮1022

No personal profile

528Follow

28Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2021-05-09

?

Fearing a repeat of 2013, investors are preparing to scale back bond purchases.

2021-05-21

???

Reports indicate that JD Logistics has set its IPO price at HK$40.36.

2021-07-14

???

Keep holding on! Sister Wood holds these Chinese concept stocks

2021-05-16

?

Last night and this morning: Technology led a two-day rebound in US stocks, while Tesla fell 12% this week.

2021-05-06

?

Why does Elon Musk, the "regulatory fighter," always manage to escape unscathed?

2021-05-05

?

Nio announced that it will enter the Norwegian market in September

2021-09-01

?

Underwater Foam of "Water Moutai"

2021-07-13

?

Missfresh "upgrades"

2021-05-15

?

Alibaba's financial report after anti-monopoly penalties: Fines brought losses, but certainty has returned?

2021-05-10

?

"Sister Wood" laughs at ARK's sharp drop: A slight drop would actually be better, with higher annual returns.

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3569319906313275","uuid":"3569319906313275","gmtCreate":1606226117642,"gmtModify":1608893158758,"name":"安妮1022","pinyin":"an1022anni1022","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":28,"headSize":528,"tweetSize":178,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-4","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Tiger Star","description":"Join the tiger community for 2000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.05.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.09%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.73%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":9907378196,"gmtCreate":1660149913917,"gmtModify":1703478433707,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8398eae8b398da9af0b088f6bae9dde","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907378196","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904923496,"gmtCreate":1659981457217,"gmtModify":1703476576286,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e93716864321515b5168ddce16163717","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904923496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906298465,"gmtCreate":1659546650460,"gmtModify":1705981455240,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6e8791ccd32f2ed8138b56cde573be9d","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906298465","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901064265,"gmtCreate":1659100029657,"gmtModify":1676536257449,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>up","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6a8614cd15e528b7f3906d345b1bfdbd","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901064265","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073239113,"gmtCreate":1657344208532,"gmtModify":1676535995833,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up up up&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>Up up up&nbsp;","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up up up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/42705390a8e6af029ce2f63862863aab","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073239113","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049537636,"gmtCreate":1655814734125,"gmtModify":1676535709995,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>😊","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$😊","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ac74478b566e55e407bee55889f5647","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049537636","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816109151,"gmtCreate":1630473209373,"gmtModify":1676530313217,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/816109151","repostId":"1186121597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186121597","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630468996,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186121597?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-01 12:03","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Underwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186121597","media":"新熵","summary":"在此之前，没人能想到一个“搬运工”居然能够登上亚洲首富的位置傲视群雄。\n经济学家马光远曾调侃，“代表中国财富的不是什么大数据等等的东西，而是普普通通的四瓶水。”这里的“四瓶水”，指的就是茅台、金龙鱼、","content":"<p>Before this, no one could have imagined that a \"porter\" could rise to the position of Asia's richest man and stand out from the crowd.</p><p>Economist Ma Guangyuan once joked, \"What represents China's wealth is not big data or anything like that, but four ordinary bottles of water.\" Here, the \"four bottles of water\" refer to Moutai,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300999\">Golden Dragon</a>Haitian soy sauce, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09633\">Nongfu Spring</a>。</p><p>Nongfu Spring water, priced at 2 yuan per unit, can be found everywhere in supermarkets of all sizes, and it is these inconspicuous bottled waters that support the wealth myth of \"Moutai in the water\".</p><p>How profitable can bottled water be?</p><p>According to Nongfu Spring's financial reports over the years, the gross profit margin of bottled water has reached 60% in recent years. Even with the drag from other business segments, the overall gross profit margin can still exceed 50%. Such a high gross profit margin is rare, and \"Happy Water\" is loved by young people around the world.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">Coca-Cola</a>The gross profit margin is less than 40%, while the gross profit margin of Master Kong's beverages is only around 30%.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's ability to attract revenue is beyond doubt, and it has been jokingly referred to by netizens as \"nature's money-printing machine\".</p><p>Since its listing, Nongfu Spring has attracted a lot of attention, and its stock price seems to have ridden a rollercoaster. After its founder was promoted to Asia's richest man, he fell from his pedestal. His performance in the first half of this year has attracted much attention.</p><p>Is \"Moutai in the water\" still valuable? Is there any valuation risk to the current stock price? Will it be halved again in the future? We hope to find the answers to these questions in the 2021 interim results announcement.</p><p><b>01</b><b>\"Moutai in the Water\" truly lives up to its name.</b></p><p>On August 26, 2021, Nongfu Spring released its interim fiscal year report, showing that its revenue of 15.175 billion yuan lived up to its reputation as the \"Moutai in the water,\" with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, slightly exceeding market consensus expectations.</p><p>According to the financial report data, the 40% growth rate of net profit in the first half of this year is also very impressive, and this surprising performance has restored Zhong Shanshan to the position of China's richest man. However, such a high growth rate is inseparable from the dire situation during the same period last year.</p><p>In the first half of 2020, the beverage market was in a bleak state due to the impact of the pandemic. Overall revenue not only did not increase, but shrank by about 6%. If we ignore the abnormal performance data in 2020 and compare it directly with the same period in 2019, Nongfu Spring's revenue only increased by about 20% in two years.</p><p>This year's surprise stems from the stark contrast with last year, while financial reports from 2017 to 2019 show that Nongfu Spring's revenue growth rate remained stable at around 17% over the three years. Therefore, although Nongfu Spring has been well controlled this year due to the domestic epidemic and the market has gradually recovered, delivering an impressive performance, based on current data, Nongfu Spring is unlikely to have recovered its vitality.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa1357083164446283d471e22ab837db\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Business data shows that drinking water remains the main source of revenue, contributing nearly 60% of the total revenue. As we can see from the 2020 interim financial report data, even in the bleak market environment of 2020, the drinking water business still rose steadily by 0.7% in the first half of the year, and with the overall market recovery this year, the drinking water business rose by 25%.</p><p>The growth rate of other product categories was also very impressive, especially new products such as sparkling water and coffee, which grew by as much as 86%. However, the scale was too small, accounting for only 5.5% of all businesses, and had little impact on overall revenue.</p><p>In recent years, Nongfu Spring has continued to make efforts in the beverage sector, constantly launching new products. Established series such as Scream, Tea π, and Oriental Leaf have been continuously launched, demonstrating their enduring vitality. In the past two years, Nongfu Spring has also been present in the emerging sparkling water field. However, judging from financial data, drinking water products will remain the main theme in the short term.</p><p>For a company, revenue is on the table, while costs are on the inside. Looking good on the outside is important, but looking good on the inside is also important, and the standard for measuring whether both are equally good is gross profit margin.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's gross profit margin has never disappointed, and it remains the same this year. According to the interim report, the gross profit in the first half of the year reached 9.241 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin increasing by 1% year-on-year to 60.9%.</p><p>Regarding the increase in gross profit margin, Nongfu Spring stated at the earnings conference that the main reason was the good control of PET material costs in the first half of this year.</p><p>As an essential packaging material, PET material is of great significance to Nongfu Spring. In its prospectus released last year, Nongfu Spring gave a definite answer: nearly 30% of its costs fall on PET materials. This makes it easy to understand why controlling PET material costs well this year can improve the overall gross profit margin.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0421104a92e863bfc42be28ac7c1a6cf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Regarding the issue of PET materials, Nongfu Spring specifically stated that it has made ample preparations for locking in material prices in the second half of this year, and expects costs in the second half to be similar to those in the first half. However, the situation next year is not optimistic, and it has been mentally prepared for the gross profit margin to drop to the level of 2019.</p><p>If this concern becomes a reality, then next year's profit growth rate will likely be affected to some extent.</p><p>Besides the potential impact of PET material prices, the increase in marketing costs cannot be ignored. At the earnings conference, Nongfu Spring stated that due to the diversity of information acquisition channels, the company's promotion costs have increased significantly.</p><p>Promotion is inextricably linked to performance. If marketing costs are reduced, there will inevitably be a risk of declining performance. Moreover, Nongfu Spring's plan to increase SKUs has never stopped. With the launch of new products and the introduction of new series, marketing costs will inevitably not be saved.</p><p>In the second half of this year, Henan, as a major sales province, successively suffered from rains and epidemics, while Zhejiang and other places were also affected by typhoons. While the pressure on performance will certainly increase, the still strong drinking water business may be able to continue to tell the story of \"Nongfu Spring is a little sweet\".</p><p><b>02</b><b>The stock price has halved, but the bubble remains.</b></p><p>Nongfu Spring achieved good results in this mid-year report, but in stark contrast, its stock price halved in the first half of the year.</p><p>Since its listing in September 2020, Nongfu Spring's market capitalization once exceeded HK$700 billion thanks to its natural water priced at 2 yuan per bottle. In less than six months, its stock price soared, and its P/E once reached 138 times.</p><p>At the beginning of this year, Nongfu Spring's stock price reached its highest point, followed by a sharp drop. The continuous decline in the stock price once caused panic among investors. However, such a drop was not unexpected for Nongfu Spring. Enthusiastic investors needed to remain calm, and the soaring stock price also needed to be corrected.</p><p>Currently, Nongfu Spring's market value has evaporated by hundreds of billions of yuan, and Zhong Shanshan has also fallen from the pedestal of Asia's richest man. The overall stock price has fallen by nearly 40%, but Nongfu Spring's P/E is still as high as 71 times.</p><p>In contrast, among other listed companies in the food and beverage sector, Master Kong's P/E is only 17 times higher, focusing on its Lulu series.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000848\">Chengde Lulu</a>P/E is only 27 times, even though it repeatedly ignites market sentiment.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>Even in P/E, it's only about 40 times.</p><p>Behind excessively high P/E, there is naturally a bubble; Nongfu Spring's stock price is like...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603099\">Changbai mountain</a>Despite the fragile ice on the lake, Nongfu Spring's financial data suggests that its returns cannot keep up with investors' high expectations. If these expectations collapse, its stock price will be halved again.</p><p>Investors' high expectations stem from Nongfu Spring's absolute advantage in the market, but when a company has achieved an absolute advantage in a market, the problem of a ceiling cannot be avoided.</p><p>From the financial report data, we can see that the growth rate of the drinking water business is significantly slower than that of other businesses. If we do not consider the impact of the market environment in 2020, the average annual growth rate of this business has only reached 12% in the two years since 2019. At the performance exchange meeting, Nongfu Spring also admitted that the current growth rate has not yet recovered to the normal level.</p><p>Before its drinking water business reached its ceiling, Nongfu Spring had already begun to expand into other businesses, such as launching beverages such as Scream, Vitamin Water, and Nongfu Orchard, and entering the fields of tea beverages, functional beverages, and fruit juice beverages. According to data from its prospectus, in 2019, the market share of these businesses all reached the third position.</p><p>In its interim financial report, Nongfu Spring also stated that it \"will continue to promote the dual-engine development of drinking water and beverages.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ae118491013a0ac57f72b00f5dfb9c\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>However, in terms of business revenue data, packaged drinking water products contribute nearly 60% of revenue, while tea beverages, functional beverages, fruit juice beverages and other products have clearly not shown the momentum of a \"second engine\".</p><p>In the beverage industry, Nongfu Spring has always been a \"junior\". According to data from the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute, brands such as Master Kong and Uni-President have an absolute advantage in the tea beverage market, and Nongfu Spring's market share has dropped to sixth. In the functional beverage field, Red Bull is the absolute dominant player, occupying more than 50% of the market share, while its competitor is Dongpeng Special Drink. Nongfu Spring's products do not have much of a story.</p><p>Although the beverage business has a high growth rate, it is unfortunately small in scale and has not yet gained its own advantages after several years of growth. The ambitious vision of relying on dual engines to fuel the stock price bubble may still need time as a catalyst, and Nongfu Spring will likely remain the main battleground for water in recent years.</p><p><b>03 Is the future of Nongfu Spring still water?</b></p><p>Water is the source of life, and this is also true for Nongfu Spring.</p><p>With the drinking water market facing a ceiling, Nongfu Spring intends to break the deadlock once again by relying on water sources.</p><p>When Nongfu Spring was first born, facing the already red ocean purified water market, Zhong Shanshan chose to turn around and use purified water and natural water as the debate topic, which sparked a nationwide debate. Nongfu Spring became famous overnight. \"We do not produce water, we are just the transporters of nature.\" To this day, this advertising slogan is still known to everyone.</p><p>In terms of drinking water types, it is generally divided into four types: natural water, natural mineral water, purified water, and mineral water. Purified water refers to artificially treated tap water, while mineral water is made by artificially adding certain mineral components to purified water. Since the water sources are all tap water, the cost is relatively cheap. Currently, these two types are the most common among low-priced water.</p><p>Natural water originates from nature, such as underground spring water and well water, with Nongfu Spring being the most typical example. Natural mineral water has higher requirements for water sources, is more difficult to obtain, and has higher natural costs. Currently, most high-end drinking waters on the market fall into this category, such as Baisuishan and Evian.</p><p>In the natural water sector, Nongfu Spring has an absolute advantage, but in the natural mineral water market, Baisui Mountain, a subsidiary of Jingtian Group, is the leader. According to public information, Baisuishan has a market share of nearly 40%, holding the number one position in the market for ten consecutive years.</p><p>In April of this year, Nongfu Spring launched its first natural mineral water product, Changbaixue, priced at 3 yuan per unit. Compared to Baisui Mountain, it hopes to expand its product matrix in the drinking water business. However, 2-yuan water is currently the mainstream. In the minds of consumers who are interested in low-priced water, the quality of water may not be as important as the price.</p><p>Meanwhile, unlike ordinary natural water, Changbai Snow currently has only one water source: Changbai Mountain. If it wants to cover the whole country, transportation costs will inevitably increase. Although Nongfu Spring stated that the current price of 3 yuan can cover the cost, its profitability is inevitably worrying considering the transportation costs.</p><p>In addition to new products, Nongfu Spring also stated at the performance exchange meeting that its large-packaged water has performed very well this year, with \"the growth rate still slightly higher than that of small-packaged water, which has not changed since before the IPO,\" and believes that competition in large-packaged water will become increasingly fierce in the future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e011521fd4ddc42bbf3e97c3ec9824a6\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a national brand, Nongfu Spring's brand appeal is undeniable. Its absolute leading position in the small-bottled drinking water market and its ability to influence consumer choices in the large-packaged water market are still evident. However, when brand influence is excluded, Nongfu Spring still lacks outstanding features in terms of delivery services and production processes.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's confidence in its large-packaged water business still stems from its nationwide water sources, the national character of its brands, and its capillary-like distributor network. Combined with its solid \"storytelling\" skills, Nongfu Spring tells consumers a story across all scenarios, integrating the concept of natural water into their lives in an attempt to cultivate consumers' dependence on natural water.</p><p>Large-packaged water is gradually invading our lives. After the pandemic and rains, the enthusiasm for stockpiling large-packaged water will also reach a small peak. However, whether large-packaged water can be comparable to small-bottled water in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>In the next few years, Nongfu Spring may still need to rely on its core business to ensure that the stock price bubble does not burst. However, how to develop its core business into a new driving force will become a new problem for Nongfu Spring.</p>","source":"lsy1602476715181","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Underwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUnderwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">新熵</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-01 12:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Before this, no one could have imagined that a \"porter\" could rise to the position of Asia's richest man and stand out from the crowd.</p><p>Economist Ma Guangyuan once joked, \"What represents China's wealth is not big data or anything like that, but four ordinary bottles of water.\" Here, the \"four bottles of water\" refer to Moutai,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300999\">Golden Dragon</a>Haitian soy sauce, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09633\">Nongfu Spring</a>。</p><p>Nongfu Spring water, priced at 2 yuan per unit, can be found everywhere in supermarkets of all sizes, and it is these inconspicuous bottled waters that support the wealth myth of \"Moutai in the water\".</p><p>How profitable can bottled water be?</p><p>According to Nongfu Spring's financial reports over the years, the gross profit margin of bottled water has reached 60% in recent years. Even with the drag from other business segments, the overall gross profit margin can still exceed 50%. Such a high gross profit margin is rare, and \"Happy Water\" is loved by young people around the world.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">Coca-Cola</a>The gross profit margin is less than 40%, while the gross profit margin of Master Kong's beverages is only around 30%.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's ability to attract revenue is beyond doubt, and it has been jokingly referred to by netizens as \"nature's money-printing machine\".</p><p>Since its listing, Nongfu Spring has attracted a lot of attention, and its stock price seems to have ridden a rollercoaster. After its founder was promoted to Asia's richest man, he fell from his pedestal. His performance in the first half of this year has attracted much attention.</p><p>Is \"Moutai in the water\" still valuable? Is there any valuation risk to the current stock price? Will it be halved again in the future? We hope to find the answers to these questions in the 2021 interim results announcement.</p><p><b>01</b><b>\"Moutai in the Water\" truly lives up to its name.</b></p><p>On August 26, 2021, Nongfu Spring released its interim fiscal year report, showing that its revenue of 15.175 billion yuan lived up to its reputation as the \"Moutai in the water,\" with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, slightly exceeding market consensus expectations.</p><p>According to the financial report data, the 40% growth rate of net profit in the first half of this year is also very impressive, and this surprising performance has restored Zhong Shanshan to the position of China's richest man. However, such a high growth rate is inseparable from the dire situation during the same period last year.</p><p>In the first half of 2020, the beverage market was in a bleak state due to the impact of the pandemic. Overall revenue not only did not increase, but shrank by about 6%. If we ignore the abnormal performance data in 2020 and compare it directly with the same period in 2019, Nongfu Spring's revenue only increased by about 20% in two years.</p><p>This year's surprise stems from the stark contrast with last year, while financial reports from 2017 to 2019 show that Nongfu Spring's revenue growth rate remained stable at around 17% over the three years. Therefore, although Nongfu Spring has been well controlled this year due to the domestic epidemic and the market has gradually recovered, delivering an impressive performance, based on current data, Nongfu Spring is unlikely to have recovered its vitality.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa1357083164446283d471e22ab837db\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Business data shows that drinking water remains the main source of revenue, contributing nearly 60% of the total revenue. As we can see from the 2020 interim financial report data, even in the bleak market environment of 2020, the drinking water business still rose steadily by 0.7% in the first half of the year, and with the overall market recovery this year, the drinking water business rose by 25%.</p><p>The growth rate of other product categories was also very impressive, especially new products such as sparkling water and coffee, which grew by as much as 86%. However, the scale was too small, accounting for only 5.5% of all businesses, and had little impact on overall revenue.</p><p>In recent years, Nongfu Spring has continued to make efforts in the beverage sector, constantly launching new products. Established series such as Scream, Tea π, and Oriental Leaf have been continuously launched, demonstrating their enduring vitality. In the past two years, Nongfu Spring has also been present in the emerging sparkling water field. However, judging from financial data, drinking water products will remain the main theme in the short term.</p><p>For a company, revenue is on the table, while costs are on the inside. Looking good on the outside is important, but looking good on the inside is also important, and the standard for measuring whether both are equally good is gross profit margin.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's gross profit margin has never disappointed, and it remains the same this year. According to the interim report, the gross profit in the first half of the year reached 9.241 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin increasing by 1% year-on-year to 60.9%.</p><p>Regarding the increase in gross profit margin, Nongfu Spring stated at the earnings conference that the main reason was the good control of PET material costs in the first half of this year.</p><p>As an essential packaging material, PET material is of great significance to Nongfu Spring. In its prospectus released last year, Nongfu Spring gave a definite answer: nearly 30% of its costs fall on PET materials. This makes it easy to understand why controlling PET material costs well this year can improve the overall gross profit margin.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0421104a92e863bfc42be28ac7c1a6cf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Regarding the issue of PET materials, Nongfu Spring specifically stated that it has made ample preparations for locking in material prices in the second half of this year, and expects costs in the second half to be similar to those in the first half. However, the situation next year is not optimistic, and it has been mentally prepared for the gross profit margin to drop to the level of 2019.</p><p>If this concern becomes a reality, then next year's profit growth rate will likely be affected to some extent.</p><p>Besides the potential impact of PET material prices, the increase in marketing costs cannot be ignored. At the earnings conference, Nongfu Spring stated that due to the diversity of information acquisition channels, the company's promotion costs have increased significantly.</p><p>Promotion is inextricably linked to performance. If marketing costs are reduced, there will inevitably be a risk of declining performance. Moreover, Nongfu Spring's plan to increase SKUs has never stopped. With the launch of new products and the introduction of new series, marketing costs will inevitably not be saved.</p><p>In the second half of this year, Henan, as a major sales province, successively suffered from rains and epidemics, while Zhejiang and other places were also affected by typhoons. While the pressure on performance will certainly increase, the still strong drinking water business may be able to continue to tell the story of \"Nongfu Spring is a little sweet\".</p><p><b>02</b><b>The stock price has halved, but the bubble remains.</b></p><p>Nongfu Spring achieved good results in this mid-year report, but in stark contrast, its stock price halved in the first half of the year.</p><p>Since its listing in September 2020, Nongfu Spring's market capitalization once exceeded HK$700 billion thanks to its natural water priced at 2 yuan per bottle. In less than six months, its stock price soared, and its P/E once reached 138 times.</p><p>At the beginning of this year, Nongfu Spring's stock price reached its highest point, followed by a sharp drop. The continuous decline in the stock price once caused panic among investors. However, such a drop was not unexpected for Nongfu Spring. Enthusiastic investors needed to remain calm, and the soaring stock price also needed to be corrected.</p><p>Currently, Nongfu Spring's market value has evaporated by hundreds of billions of yuan, and Zhong Shanshan has also fallen from the pedestal of Asia's richest man. The overall stock price has fallen by nearly 40%, but Nongfu Spring's P/E is still as high as 71 times.</p><p>In contrast, among other listed companies in the food and beverage sector, Master Kong's P/E is only 17 times higher, focusing on its Lulu series.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000848\">Chengde Lulu</a>P/E is only 27 times, even though it repeatedly ignites market sentiment.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>Even in P/E, it's only about 40 times.</p><p>Behind excessively high P/E, there is naturally a bubble; Nongfu Spring's stock price is like...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603099\">Changbai mountain</a>Despite the fragile ice on the lake, Nongfu Spring's financial data suggests that its returns cannot keep up with investors' high expectations. If these expectations collapse, its stock price will be halved again.</p><p>Investors' high expectations stem from Nongfu Spring's absolute advantage in the market, but when a company has achieved an absolute advantage in a market, the problem of a ceiling cannot be avoided.</p><p>From the financial report data, we can see that the growth rate of the drinking water business is significantly slower than that of other businesses. If we do not consider the impact of the market environment in 2020, the average annual growth rate of this business has only reached 12% in the two years since 2019. At the performance exchange meeting, Nongfu Spring also admitted that the current growth rate has not yet recovered to the normal level.</p><p>Before its drinking water business reached its ceiling, Nongfu Spring had already begun to expand into other businesses, such as launching beverages such as Scream, Vitamin Water, and Nongfu Orchard, and entering the fields of tea beverages, functional beverages, and fruit juice beverages. According to data from its prospectus, in 2019, the market share of these businesses all reached the third position.</p><p>In its interim financial report, Nongfu Spring also stated that it \"will continue to promote the dual-engine development of drinking water and beverages.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ae118491013a0ac57f72b00f5dfb9c\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>However, in terms of business revenue data, packaged drinking water products contribute nearly 60% of revenue, while tea beverages, functional beverages, fruit juice beverages and other products have clearly not shown the momentum of a \"second engine\".</p><p>In the beverage industry, Nongfu Spring has always been a \"junior\". According to data from the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute, brands such as Master Kong and Uni-President have an absolute advantage in the tea beverage market, and Nongfu Spring's market share has dropped to sixth. In the functional beverage field, Red Bull is the absolute dominant player, occupying more than 50% of the market share, while its competitor is Dongpeng Special Drink. Nongfu Spring's products do not have much of a story.</p><p>Although the beverage business has a high growth rate, it is unfortunately small in scale and has not yet gained its own advantages after several years of growth. The ambitious vision of relying on dual engines to fuel the stock price bubble may still need time as a catalyst, and Nongfu Spring will likely remain the main battleground for water in recent years.</p><p><b>03 Is the future of Nongfu Spring still water?</b></p><p>Water is the source of life, and this is also true for Nongfu Spring.</p><p>With the drinking water market facing a ceiling, Nongfu Spring intends to break the deadlock once again by relying on water sources.</p><p>When Nongfu Spring was first born, facing the already red ocean purified water market, Zhong Shanshan chose to turn around and use purified water and natural water as the debate topic, which sparked a nationwide debate. Nongfu Spring became famous overnight. \"We do not produce water, we are just the transporters of nature.\" To this day, this advertising slogan is still known to everyone.</p><p>In terms of drinking water types, it is generally divided into four types: natural water, natural mineral water, purified water, and mineral water. Purified water refers to artificially treated tap water, while mineral water is made by artificially adding certain mineral components to purified water. Since the water sources are all tap water, the cost is relatively cheap. Currently, these two types are the most common among low-priced water.</p><p>Natural water originates from nature, such as underground spring water and well water, with Nongfu Spring being the most typical example. Natural mineral water has higher requirements for water sources, is more difficult to obtain, and has higher natural costs. Currently, most high-end drinking waters on the market fall into this category, such as Baisuishan and Evian.</p><p>In the natural water sector, Nongfu Spring has an absolute advantage, but in the natural mineral water market, Baisui Mountain, a subsidiary of Jingtian Group, is the leader. According to public information, Baisuishan has a market share of nearly 40%, holding the number one position in the market for ten consecutive years.</p><p>In April of this year, Nongfu Spring launched its first natural mineral water product, Changbaixue, priced at 3 yuan per unit. Compared to Baisui Mountain, it hopes to expand its product matrix in the drinking water business. However, 2-yuan water is currently the mainstream. In the minds of consumers who are interested in low-priced water, the quality of water may not be as important as the price.</p><p>Meanwhile, unlike ordinary natural water, Changbai Snow currently has only one water source: Changbai Mountain. If it wants to cover the whole country, transportation costs will inevitably increase. Although Nongfu Spring stated that the current price of 3 yuan can cover the cost, its profitability is inevitably worrying considering the transportation costs.</p><p>In addition to new products, Nongfu Spring also stated at the performance exchange meeting that its large-packaged water has performed very well this year, with \"the growth rate still slightly higher than that of small-packaged water, which has not changed since before the IPO,\" and believes that competition in large-packaged water will become increasingly fierce in the future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e011521fd4ddc42bbf3e97c3ec9824a6\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a national brand, Nongfu Spring's brand appeal is undeniable. Its absolute leading position in the small-bottled drinking water market and its ability to influence consumer choices in the large-packaged water market are still evident. However, when brand influence is excluded, Nongfu Spring still lacks outstanding features in terms of delivery services and production processes.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's confidence in its large-packaged water business still stems from its nationwide water sources, the national character of its brands, and its capillary-like distributor network. Combined with its solid \"storytelling\" skills, Nongfu Spring tells consumers a story across all scenarios, integrating the concept of natural water into their lives in an attempt to cultivate consumers' dependence on natural water.</p><p>Large-packaged water is gradually invading our lives. After the pandemic and rains, the enthusiasm for stockpiling large-packaged water will also reach a small peak. However, whether large-packaged water can be comparable to small-bottled water in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>In the next few years, Nongfu Spring may still need to rely on its core business to ensure that the stock price bubble does not burst. However, how to develop its core business into a new driving force will become a new problem for Nongfu Spring.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3y_QHBcqCdxCMeQxdqyYaQ\">新熵</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c73365999f228bdf66df7f52d79a4b4","relate_stocks":{"600519":"贵州茅台"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3y_QHBcqCdxCMeQxdqyYaQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186121597","content_text":"在此之前，没人能想到一个“搬运工”居然能够登上亚洲首富的位置傲视群雄。\n经济学家马光远曾调侃，“代表中国财富的不是什么大数据等等的东西，而是普普通通的四瓶水。”这里的“四瓶水”，指的就是茅台、金龙鱼、海天酱油，以及农夫山泉。\n单价2元的农夫山泉在大大小小的超市随处可见，而正是这些不起眼的瓶装水，撑起来一个“水中茅台”的财富神话。\n瓶装水的利润能有多高？\n据农夫山泉的历年财报数据显示，近几年瓶装水的毛利率可以达到60%，哪怕加上其他业务板块的拖后腿，整体毛利率也能够超过50%。这样的高毛利率并不多见，深受全球年轻人喜爱的“快乐水”可口可乐，毛利率不到40%，而康师傅旗下饮品的毛利率仅有30%上下。\n农夫山泉的吸金能力毋庸置疑，被网友们戏称为“大自然的印钞机”。\n自上市开始，农夫山泉就吸引到大批目光，股价彷佛坐上了过山车，创始人被捧上亚洲首富之后，又跌落神坛，今年上半年战绩如何，更是备受关注。\n“水中茅台”还值钱吗？目前股价有估值风险吗？未来还会再次腰斩吗？这些问题的答案我们都希望能够在2021年中期业绩公告中找到。\n01“水中茅台”名副其实\n2021年8月26日，农夫山泉发布财年中报，151.75亿的营收不负“水中茅台”的称号，同比增速超过30%，略微超出市场一致预期。\n就财报数据来看，今年上半年净利润40%的增长速度也十分亮眼，这份令人惊喜的成绩单也把钟睒睒重新捧回中国首富的位置。然而，这样的高增速离不开去年同时期狼狈姿态的衬托。\n2020年上半年，受疫情影响，饮料市场一片惨淡，整体营收不仅没有上升，反而缩减6%左右，如果跳过2020年不正常的业绩数据，直接与2019年同期相比，两年的时间内，农夫山泉的营收仅上涨20%左右。\n今年的惊艳源自与去年的惨烈对比，而2017年至2019年财报数据显示，三年间农夫山泉的营收增速稳定在17%左右。以此来看，今年的农夫山泉虽然因国内疫情受到良好控制，市场逐步回暖，交出一份好看的成绩单，但就目前数据来看，农夫山泉恐怕仍旧没有恢复元气。\n\n从业务数据来看，饮用水依旧是营收主力，凭借一己之力贡献了近60%的收入。从2020年中期财报数据中我们可以看到，哪怕在2020年的惨淡市场环境中，上半年饮用水业务仍旧坚挺地上涨0.7%，而今年的市场整体回暖，饮用水业务更是直接上涨了25%。\n其他品类业务的增速也非常亮眼，尤其是气泡水、咖啡等新产品，增速高达86%，但无奈体量过小，在所有业务中占比不过5.5%，对整体营收影响甚微。\n近几年农夫山泉在饮料板块持续发力，不断推出新品，尖叫、茶π、东方树叶等老牌系列均不断上新，展现出持久的生命力，近两年新兴的气泡水领域，也有农夫山泉的影子。但就财务数据来看，短时间内，饮用水产品依旧是主旋律。\n对于一家企业来说，营收是表，成本是里。面子好看很重要，里子好看也很重要，而衡量两者是否同样好看的标准，就是毛利率。\n农夫山泉的毛利率从来都不令人失望，今年依旧如此。据中报数据显示，上半年毛利高达92.41亿元，毛利率较上年增长1%，达到60.9%。\n对于毛利率上涨，农夫山泉方在业绩交流会上表示，主要原因是今年上半年PET材料成本控制得好。\n作为必不可少的包装，PET材料对农夫山泉意义非凡，在去年发布的招股书中，农夫山泉给出了确切答案，近三成的成本都落在PET材料，这就不难理解，为何今年PET材料成本控制得好，就能够提高整体的毛利率。\n\n针对PET材料的问题，农夫山泉方特别提出，今年下半年的材料价格锁定准备较为充分，预计下半年的成本与上半年类似，但明年的情况不容乐观，已经做好毛利率下降至2019年水平的心理准备。\n如果这项担忧成了现实，那么明年的利润增速恐怕会受到一定影响。\n除了PET材料价格可能带来的影响，营销成本的提高也不容忽视，在业绩交流会上，农夫山泉方表示，由于信息获取渠道的多样性，公司的推广成本提升很多。\n推广跟业绩有不可分割的关系，如果缩减营销成本，不可避免的，业绩也将会有下降风险，更何况农夫山泉增加SKU的计划从未停止，新品上市、旧系列上新，营销成本必然不能节约。\n今年下半年，河南作为销售大省，先后遭遇雨灾和疫情，同时浙江等地也遭受台风影响，业绩压力固然会增大，但依旧坚挺的饮用水业务或许能够将继续讲着“农夫山泉有点甜”的故事。\n02股价腰斩，泡沫还在\n这份年中成绩单，农夫山泉拿到了一个不错的成绩，但与此形成鲜明对比的是，在上半年腰斩的股价。\n自2020年9月上市，农夫山泉靠着2元一瓶的天然水，市值一度超过7000亿港元，随后不到半年的时间，股价一路飙升，市盈率一度高达138倍。\n今年年初，农夫山泉的股价达到最高点，随后一路暴跌，跌跌不休的股价一度引发投资者的恐慌，但这样的跌幅，对于农夫山泉来说并不突兀，热情的投资者需要冷静，高涨的股价也需要回调。\n目前，农夫山泉的市值已经蒸发数千亿，钟睒睒也走下亚洲首富的神坛，股价整体跌幅近40%，但目前农夫山泉的市盈率仍旧高达71倍。\n反观同为食品饮料板块的一众上市公司，康师傅市盈率仅有17倍，主打露露系列的承德露露市盈率不过27倍，就连一次次引爆市场情绪的贵州茅台，市盈率也不过才40倍左右。\n过高的市盈率背后自然有泡沫存在，农夫山泉的股价像是长白山湖面上脆弱的冰层，就财务数据来看，农夫山泉的回报能力确实追不上投资者的高预期，一旦预期崩塌，股价将会再一次迎来腰斩。\n投资者的高预期源自农夫山泉在市场上的绝对优势，但当企业在一个市场做出了绝对优势，天花板的问题就无法回避。\n从财报数据中我们能够看到，饮用水业务增速相较于其它业务明显较慢，如果不考虑2020年市场环境带来的影响，自2019年至今，两年的时间中这项业务的增速平均每年仅达到12%，在业绩交流会上，农夫山泉也承认目前的增速仍旧没有恢复到正常水平。\n在饮用水业务看见天花板之前，农夫山泉就已经开始在其它业务上布局，如推出尖叫、维他命水、农夫果园等饮料，入局茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料等业务领域，就招股书中数据显示，2019年时，这些业务的市场占有率均达到第三的位置。\n在中期财报中，农夫山泉也表示“将持续推动饮用水和饮料双引擎发展的格局”。\n\n但就业务营收数据来看，包装饮用水产品贡献近六成营收，茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料以及其它产品明显没有走出“第二个引擎”的气势。\n在饮料领域，农夫山泉一直是“后辈”，据前瞻产业研究院数据显示，在茶饮料市场康师傅、统一等品牌占据绝对优势，农夫山泉市场占有率已降至第六，在功能饮料领域，红牛则是绝对的霸主，占据超50%的市场份额，而其对手则是东鹏特饮，农夫山泉旗下的产品并没有太多的故事。\n饮料业务虽然增速很高，无奈体量较小，几年的成长依旧没有走出自己的优势。靠双引擎为填充股价泡沫提供动力的美好愿景可能还需要时间的催化剂，近几年的农夫山泉大概还是水的主场。\n03农夫山泉的未来还是水？\n水是生命之源，对农夫山泉来说，也是如此。\n饮用水市场的天花板压在头顶，农夫山泉意欲再次靠水源打破僵局。\n在农夫山泉刚刚诞生时，面对已经是红海的纯净水市场，钟睒睒选择转身，以纯净水和天然水为辩题，引发一场全民性的辩论会，农夫山泉一战成名，“我们不生产水，我们只是大自然的搬运工”，时至今日，这句广告词仍旧妇孺皆知。\n从饮用水种类来看，普遍分为天然水、天然矿泉水、纯净水、矿物质水四种，其中纯净水指人工处理过的自来水，矿物质水则是在纯净水的基础上人工添加一定的矿物质成分，由于水源均是自来水，成本价较为便宜，目前低价水中最常见的也是这两种类型。\n而天然水则源自大自然，如地下泉水、井水等，农夫山泉就是最典型的代表。天然矿泉水对水源地要求更高，取水难度也更大，自然成本也更高，目前市面上的高端饮用水基本都属于此类，例如百岁山、依云等。\n在天然水领域中，农夫山泉拥有绝对优势，但是在天然矿泉水赛道，景田集团旗下的百岁山才是老大。据公开消息显示，百岁山市场占有率接近40%，连续十年占据市场第一的位置。\n今年4月，农夫山泉推出首款单价3元的天然矿泉水产品长白雪，对标百岁山，希望扩大自己在饮用水业务的产品矩阵，但目前2元水才是主流，在低价水面向的消费者心中，水质好坏可能并没有价格高低重要。\n同时，与普通天然水不同，长白雪的水源地目前仅有长白山一处，若想覆盖全国，运输成本不可避免会有所上升，虽然农夫山泉方表示，目前定价3元能够覆盖成本，但考虑到运输成本，其盈利能力不免令人担忧。\n除了新品，在业绩交流会上农夫山泉方也表示，今年大包装水成绩非常好，“增速仍然略高于小包装水，从IPO之前到现在都没有改变”，并认为接下来大包装水的竞争会越来越激烈。\n\n作为国民品牌，农夫山泉的品牌号召力毋庸置疑，在小瓶装饮用水市场的绝对领先地位，在大包装水市场依旧能够发挥余热，影响消费者的选择，但当排除品牌影响力，农夫山泉在配送服务、生产工艺等方面依旧没有突出的特点。\n在大包装水业务的底气依旧源自分布在全国的水源地、品牌的国民性、堪比毛细血管的经销商网络，配合扎实的“讲故事”功底，农夫山泉给消费者讲出一个全场景的故事，把天然水的概念揉进生活，企图培养消费者对天然水的依赖。\n目前大包装水正在逐渐入侵生活，疫情和雨灾过后，储备热情也会把大包装水碰上一个小高潮，但未来大包装水是否能够与小瓶水比肩，还需要时间告诉我们答案。\n未来几年内，或许农夫山泉还需要靠老本行“搬水”，来保障股价泡沫不会被刺破，但如何让老本行发展成新动力，将会成为农夫山泉新的问题。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"600519":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837134026,"gmtCreate":1629863062065,"gmtModify":1676530155686,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/837134026","repostId":"2162332140","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2162332140","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629856211,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162332140?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-25 09:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162332140","media":"金融界网站","summary":"格隆汇8月25日丨京东健康(6618.HK)涨12.66%，报82.75港元，三日累涨逾42%，总市值2637亿港元。　　京东健康公布2021年中期业绩，收入约人民币136.38亿元，同比增长55.4%;毛利33.07亿元，同比增长49.1%；期间亏损4.54亿元，同比减少91.5%；期间非国际财务报告准则盈利6.67亿元，同比增长79.9%；公司所有者应占亏损约4.55亿元，同比减少约91.51%。","content":"<p><html><body><div>Gelonghui, August 25 |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">JD Health</a>(6618.HK) rose 12.66% to HK$82.75, up more than 42% in three days, with a total market capitalization of HK$263.7 billion. JD Health announced its 2021 interim results, with revenue of approximately RMB 13.638 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.4%; Gross profit was 3.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.1%; The company incurred a loss of 454 million yuan during the period, a decrease of 91.5% year-on-year; Non-IFRS profit for the period was RMB 667 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.9%; The loss attributable to owners of the company was approximately RMB 455 million, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 91.51%.</p><p><div></div></div></body></html></p>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金融界网站</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 09:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div>Gelonghui, August 25 |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">JD Health</a>(6618.HK) rose 12.66% to HK$82.75, up more than 42% in three days, with a total market capitalization of HK$263.7 billion. JD Health announced its 2021 interim results, with revenue of approximately RMB 13.638 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.4%; Gross profit was 3.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.1%; The company incurred a loss of 454 million yuan during the period, a decrease of 91.5% year-on-year; Non-IFRS profit for the period was RMB 667 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.9%; The loss attributable to owners of the company was approximately RMB 455 million, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 91.51%.</p><p><div></div></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://hk.jrj.com.cn/2021/08/25095033314604.shtml\">金融界网站</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b904424fda58da24219d03c64923c79e","relate_stocks":{"06618":"京东健康"},"source_url":"http://hk.jrj.com.cn/2021/08/25095033314604.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162332140","content_text":"格隆汇8月25日丨京东健康(6618.HK)涨12.66%，报82.75港元，三日累涨逾42%，总市值2637亿港元。　　京东健康公布2021年中期业绩，收入约人民币136.38亿元，同比增长55.4%;毛利33.07亿元，同比增长49.1%；期间亏损4.54亿元，同比减少91.5%；期间非国际财务报告准则盈利6.67亿元，同比增长79.9%；公司所有者应占亏损约4.55亿元，同比减少约91.51%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"06618":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832614488,"gmtCreate":1629619510444,"gmtModify":1676530081055,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832614488","repostId":"1182861188","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182861188","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629595474,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182861188?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-22 09:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The future of Chinese concept stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182861188","media":"全球宏观投机","summary":"中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值。中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。","content":"<p><b>What is a global macro perspective?</b></p><p>Global macroeconomics, as a distinctive investment and trading category, focuses on seeking medium-term opportunities for large-scale asset price movements from the perspectives of global and national economic cycles, financial conditions, and geopolitics. These price movements can be upward or downward. The application of global macroeconomic thinking to asset allocation is most typically exemplified by the Yale Endowment during the Swensen era; The most typical example for more flexible and adaptable trading is the quantum fund managed by Druckenmiller and Soros.</p><p>Following the financial crisis, global macroeconomic trading methods have been greatly questioned because the performance of funds of this style has been unsatisfactory in recent years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56d17afac58a03d34f987776cb9caeb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 1: Poor performance of macro hedge funds</b></p><p><b>Unique macroeconomic factors of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>We refer to the biases in investors' brains that actually affect asset prices as macroeconomic factors, or price drivers. Experienced investors know that many factors influence asset prices, many of which are micro-level or industry-specific. The term \"macro\" does not mean that only macroeconomic data or events necessarily affect prices, but rather refers to various variables that have a real impact on prices over a long period of time. For example, some studies have found that the impact of Beijing's smog on investor sentiment is generally low on smoggy days, making it easier for investors to sell rather than buy. However, this is not the macroeconomic factor we are talking about, because its impact on asset prices is not consistently effective. However, the expected profit growth rate of a company is a macroeconomic factor affecting stock prices, because almost at any time this variable will affect investors' perception of stocks and the market, thereby prompting investors to make buying and selling behaviors.</p><p>So, what are the macroeconomic factors affecting Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>First, we examine the relationship between China's economic cycle, financial conditions, and Chinese concept stocks. We have found that Chinese concept stocks are as closely related to the Chinese economic cycle as the A50 stock index, and in terms of market performance, the correlation between Chinese concept stocks and the A50 is also slightly stronger.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a12ca677a0fd4785103236eb19cfe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 2: China's economic fundamentals and Chinese concept stock indices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13e3524abfeebfafd9bb4c4c966d6998\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 3 Chinese concept stocks, A50 and ChiNext</b></p><p>The stronger correlation between Chinese concept stocks and large-cap stocks indicates that these companies are more closely related to the economic cycle. At the same time, investors' evaluation of stocks largely relies on their judgment of the economic outlook.</p><p>Secondly, we examine the relationship between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq index. On average, the linear correlation coefficient between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq reached 0.7 over the past five years, while the correlation coefficient has recently dropped to 0.44. The recent significant deviation of Chinese concept stocks from the Nasdaq indicates that other macroeconomic factors are dominating price movements.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4efa4c73e5ae6b81ddfa0938211f2231\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"498\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 4 shows that the deviation between the Chinese concept stock index and the Nasdaq has reached a historical high.</b></p><p>Third, what are the reasons for the current sharp decline in Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>Clearly, a series of recent regulatory policies introduced by China have significantly increased market uncertainty. The characteristics of Chinese concept stocks are completely similar to those of A-shares, and they are very sensitive to changes in economic and regulatory policies. However, the recent sharp drop in Chinese concept stocks has added an additional layer of uncertainty: Sino-US relations have severely impacted the performance of Chinese concept stocks, thus becoming a truly long-term macroeconomic factor affecting prices.</p><p>From this perspective, the future of Chinese concept stocks is full of turbulence because geopolitical uncertainty is the worst kind of uncertainty, and it is difficult to plan in advance. Once it occurs, the market fluctuates very quickly. At the same time, the development process of uncertainty is also very tortuous. For example, if the China Securities Regulatory Commission expresses its goodwill towards the financial market and stabilizes expectations in the capital market tonight, the market will rebound sharply. It is often difficult to assess the stage at which uncertainty develops and when it is confirmed to have ended.</p><p>So has the current uncertainty disappeared? In the short term, market tensions should have eased, which may support a rebound in Chinese concept stocks. However, in the medium to long term, regulatory policies and geopolitical changes in both China and the United States have become a fundamental variable influencing investment in Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>The future of Chinese concept stocks</p><p>A significant portion of Chinese companies listed in the US are among the most promising growth companies in China. This is Bill Huang's main reason for betting on these stocks, for example.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>China's paid music market is still in its infancy, and there are countless consumption scenarios where paid music can be introduced. But this is indeed a long and tortuous process. From this perspective, there are still some excellent listed companies in the Chinese concept stock market, some of which will inevitably become great companies in the future, and their stocks will also create tremendous appreciation.</p><p>However, Chinese concept stocks face two huge challenges: first, the impact of China's economic policies, which have become more frequent recently, and second, the impact of geopolitics. The capital market will become a battleground for the competition between China and the United States, and Chinese concept stocks will become victims. In professional terms, the future uncertainty of Chinese concept stocks has been amplified, resulting in low valuations. Similarly, Hong Kong stocks are the lowest-valued market in the world because they face a unique environment of uncertainty: the economies, finance, policies, and geopolitics of both China and the United States can affect Hong Kong stocks at any time and significantly.</p><p>In short, the future of Chinese concept stocks lies in their Hong Kong-listed nature and marginalization, a process that may continue until a new stage emerges in Sino-US geopolitical relations.</p><p>Bill Huang witnessed the most glorious period of Chinese concept stocks and personally experienced the beginning and end of that glorious period. For the capital market, we are already dead in the long run, so there is no need to discuss long-term issues.</p>","source":"qqggdh","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The future of Chinese concept stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe future of Chinese concept stocks\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">全球宏观投机</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-22 09:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What is a global macro perspective?</b></p><p>Global macroeconomics, as a distinctive investment and trading category, focuses on seeking medium-term opportunities for large-scale asset price movements from the perspectives of global and national economic cycles, financial conditions, and geopolitics. These price movements can be upward or downward. The application of global macroeconomic thinking to asset allocation is most typically exemplified by the Yale Endowment during the Swensen era; The most typical example for more flexible and adaptable trading is the quantum fund managed by Druckenmiller and Soros.</p><p>Following the financial crisis, global macroeconomic trading methods have been greatly questioned because the performance of funds of this style has been unsatisfactory in recent years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56d17afac58a03d34f987776cb9caeb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 1: Poor performance of macro hedge funds</b></p><p><b>Unique macroeconomic factors of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>We refer to the biases in investors' brains that actually affect asset prices as macroeconomic factors, or price drivers. Experienced investors know that many factors influence asset prices, many of which are micro-level or industry-specific. The term \"macro\" does not mean that only macroeconomic data or events necessarily affect prices, but rather refers to various variables that have a real impact on prices over a long period of time. For example, some studies have found that the impact of Beijing's smog on investor sentiment is generally low on smoggy days, making it easier for investors to sell rather than buy. However, this is not the macroeconomic factor we are talking about, because its impact on asset prices is not consistently effective. However, the expected profit growth rate of a company is a macroeconomic factor affecting stock prices, because almost at any time this variable will affect investors' perception of stocks and the market, thereby prompting investors to make buying and selling behaviors.</p><p>So, what are the macroeconomic factors affecting Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>First, we examine the relationship between China's economic cycle, financial conditions, and Chinese concept stocks. We have found that Chinese concept stocks are as closely related to the Chinese economic cycle as the A50 stock index, and in terms of market performance, the correlation between Chinese concept stocks and the A50 is also slightly stronger.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a12ca677a0fd4785103236eb19cfe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 2: China's economic fundamentals and Chinese concept stock indices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13e3524abfeebfafd9bb4c4c966d6998\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 3 Chinese concept stocks, A50 and ChiNext</b></p><p>The stronger correlation between Chinese concept stocks and large-cap stocks indicates that these companies are more closely related to the economic cycle. At the same time, investors' evaluation of stocks largely relies on their judgment of the economic outlook.</p><p>Secondly, we examine the relationship between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq index. On average, the linear correlation coefficient between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq reached 0.7 over the past five years, while the correlation coefficient has recently dropped to 0.44. The recent significant deviation of Chinese concept stocks from the Nasdaq indicates that other macroeconomic factors are dominating price movements.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4efa4c73e5ae6b81ddfa0938211f2231\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"498\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 4 shows that the deviation between the Chinese concept stock index and the Nasdaq has reached a historical high.</b></p><p>Third, what are the reasons for the current sharp decline in Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>Clearly, a series of recent regulatory policies introduced by China have significantly increased market uncertainty. The characteristics of Chinese concept stocks are completely similar to those of A-shares, and they are very sensitive to changes in economic and regulatory policies. However, the recent sharp drop in Chinese concept stocks has added an additional layer of uncertainty: Sino-US relations have severely impacted the performance of Chinese concept stocks, thus becoming a truly long-term macroeconomic factor affecting prices.</p><p>From this perspective, the future of Chinese concept stocks is full of turbulence because geopolitical uncertainty is the worst kind of uncertainty, and it is difficult to plan in advance. Once it occurs, the market fluctuates very quickly. At the same time, the development process of uncertainty is also very tortuous. For example, if the China Securities Regulatory Commission expresses its goodwill towards the financial market and stabilizes expectations in the capital market tonight, the market will rebound sharply. It is often difficult to assess the stage at which uncertainty develops and when it is confirmed to have ended.</p><p>So has the current uncertainty disappeared? In the short term, market tensions should have eased, which may support a rebound in Chinese concept stocks. However, in the medium to long term, regulatory policies and geopolitical changes in both China and the United States have become a fundamental variable influencing investment in Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>The future of Chinese concept stocks</p><p>A significant portion of Chinese companies listed in the US are among the most promising growth companies in China. This is Bill Huang's main reason for betting on these stocks, for example.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>China's paid music market is still in its infancy, and there are countless consumption scenarios where paid music can be introduced. But this is indeed a long and tortuous process. From this perspective, there are still some excellent listed companies in the Chinese concept stock market, some of which will inevitably become great companies in the future, and their stocks will also create tremendous appreciation.</p><p>However, Chinese concept stocks face two huge challenges: first, the impact of China's economic policies, which have become more frequent recently, and second, the impact of geopolitics. The capital market will become a battleground for the competition between China and the United States, and Chinese concept stocks will become victims. In professional terms, the future uncertainty of Chinese concept stocks has been amplified, resulting in low valuations. Similarly, Hong Kong stocks are the lowest-valued market in the world because they face a unique environment of uncertainty: the economies, finance, policies, and geopolitics of both China and the United States can affect Hong Kong stocks at any time and significantly.</p><p>In short, the future of Chinese concept stocks lies in their Hong Kong-listed nature and marginalization, a process that may continue until a new stage emerges in Sino-US geopolitical relations.</p><p>Bill Huang witnessed the most glorious period of Chinese concept stocks and personally experienced the beginning and end of that glorious period. For the capital market, we are already dead in the long run, so there is no need to discuss long-term issues.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg\">全球宏观投机</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc9de4d397ebba7835e00e3691884586","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182861188","content_text":"什么是全球宏观视角\n全球宏观作为一种富有特色的投资和交易类别，侧重从全球以及各国经济周期、金融条件和地缘政治的视角寻求中期的大型资产价格运动机会，这个价格变动方向，可以向上，也可以向下。全球宏观思路用于资产配置，最典型的是斯文森时代的耶鲁捐赠基金；而用于更加灵活多变的交易，最典型的是德鲁肯米勒和索罗斯共同管理时代的量子基金。\n金融危机以后，全球宏观交易方式受到很大的质疑，原因在于这种风格的基金近些年的表现不如人意。图一   宏观对冲基金表现不佳\n中概股的独特宏观因子\n我们把实际影响资产价格的投资者大脑中的偏见称之为宏观因子，或者价格驱动因素。略有经验的投资者都知道，影响资产价格的因素非常多，很多都是微观或者产业因素。我们命名为宏观，并不是说一定是宏观经济数据或者事件才会影响价格，而是泛指各种持续长期对价格产生真实影响的变量。比如，有人研究了北京雾霾对投资者情绪的影响，雾霾天投资者情绪总体偏低，更容易卖出而不是买进。但是这并不是我们所讲的宏观因子，因为它对资产价格的影响不是持续有效的。但是，公司盈利增速预期就是影响股票价格的宏观因子，因为几乎在任何时候，这个变量都会影响投资者对股票和市场的感知，从而促使投资者做出买卖行为。\n那么，影响中概股的宏观因子有哪些呢？\n首先考察中国经济周期、金融条件与中概股的关系。我们发现，中概股与中国经济周期关联之紧密，完全不亚于A50股票指数，而在市场表现方面，中概股与A50的相关性也略强。图二 中国经济基本面与中概股指数图三 中概股、A50与创业板\n我中概股与大股票相关性更强，说明这些公司与经济周期的关联度更高，同时，投资者对股票的评估很大程度上面依赖于经济前景的判断。\n其二、我们考察中概股与纳斯达克指数的关系。平均看，过去五年，中概股与纳指的线性相关系数达到了0.7，而最近的相关系数下降到0.44。中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值\n其三、中概股目前大跌的原因是什么？\n显然是中国最近出台的一系列监管政策，使得市场的不确定性大增。中概股这个特征跟A股完全类似，对经济政策、监管政策的变化非常敏感。但是，中概股这次大跌多了一层额外的不确定性：中美关系严重影响中概股的表现，从而成为一个真正长期影响价格的宏观因子。\n从这个角度讲，中概股未来充满颠簸，因为地缘政治的不确定性是最坏的不确定性，很难事先规划，一旦发生，市场波动的速度极快，同时，不确定性发展过程也非常曲折，比如今晚中国证监会表达对金融市场以及稳定资本市场预期的善意，这个时候市场就会猛烈的反弹。通常很难评估不确定性发展的阶段以及何时确认结束。\n那么当下的不确定性消失了吗？短期市场的紧张情绪应该得到了缓和，可能支持中概股有一波反弹，但是就中长期来看，中美两国的监管政策、地缘政治的变化，已经成为了中概股投资的一个基本影响变量。\n中概股的未来\n中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。这是比尔黄押注这些股票的主要理由，比如腾讯音乐，中国的音乐付费市场才刚刚启动，还有无数消费场景可以引入付费音乐。但这的确是一个长期充满曲折的过程。从这个角度讲，中概股依然有一些非常优秀的上市公司，其中必然有一些在未来成为伟大的公司，其股票也会创造极大的增值。\n然而，中概股面临两个巨大的挑战：一是中国经济政策的冲击，这种冲击在最近开始变得频繁，二是地缘政治的冲击。资本市场会成为中美角逐的一个战场，而中概股会成为其中的受害者，从专业的术语讲：中概股未来的不确定性已经放大，带来的结果就是估值偏低。而与其类似的是港股，港股是世界上估值最低的市场，因为港股面临独特的不确定性环境：中美两国的经济、金融、政策和地缘政治都可以随时和大幅影响港股。\n一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。\n比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。对资本市场而言，长期我们都已经死了，所以不需要去讨论长期的问题。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TTTN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836476740,"gmtCreate":1629518877780,"gmtModify":1676530064436,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836476740","repostId":"1169407618","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831441517,"gmtCreate":1629343681039,"gmtModify":1676530009591,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831441517","repostId":"2160734776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831440348,"gmtCreate":1629343379684,"gmtModify":1676530009520,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831440348","repostId":"2160730619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830476690,"gmtCreate":1629094793110,"gmtModify":1676529927903,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830476690","repostId":"2159324637","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894431299,"gmtCreate":1628845983911,"gmtModify":1676529873058,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894431299","repostId":"1140657992","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140657992","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628844078,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140657992?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-13 16:41","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Hang Seng Index Company: Li Auto will be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index after August 25.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140657992","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月13日，恒生指数公司公告，理想汽车符合相关指数的快速纳入规则要求，将于2021年8月25日(星期三)收市后被纳入恒生综合指数（恒生综合行业指数 – 非必需性消费、恒生综合大型股指数、恒生综合大中型","content":"<p>On August 13, Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited announced that Li Auto meets the requirements of the fast-track inclusion rules for relevant indices and will be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index (Hang Seng Composite Industry Index – Discretionary Consumption, Hang Seng Composite Large Cap Index, Hang Seng Composite Large and Mid-Cap Index) and the Hang Seng Consumer Goods Manufacturing and Services Index after the close of trading on August 25, 2021 (Wednesday), effective from August 26, 2021 (Thursday).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0699420bd90095b0930543caf54f9764\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hang Seng Index Company: Li Auto will be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index after August 25.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHang Seng Index Company: Li Auto will be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index after August 25.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-13 16:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On August 13, Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited announced that Li Auto meets the requirements of the fast-track inclusion rules for relevant indices and will be included in the Hang Seng Composite Index (Hang Seng Composite Industry Index – Discretionary Consumption, Hang Seng Composite Large Cap Index, Hang Seng Composite Large and Mid-Cap Index) and the Hang Seng Consumer Goods Manufacturing and Services Index after the close of trading on August 25, 2021 (Wednesday), effective from August 26, 2021 (Thursday).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0699420bd90095b0930543caf54f9764\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3461c9400040bdfdce3ecdd4882fbed","relate_stocks":{"02015":"理想汽车-W","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140657992","content_text":"8月13日，恒生指数公司公告，理想汽车符合相关指数的快速纳入规则要求，将于2021年8月25日(星期三)收市后被纳入恒生综合指数（恒生综合行业指数 – 非必需性消费、恒生综合大型股指数、恒生综合大中型股指数）、恒生消费品制造及服务业指数，并于2021年8月26日(星期四)起生效。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02015":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896868569,"gmtCreate":1628569915651,"gmtModify":1703508301673,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896868569","repostId":"1182709857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182709857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628555798,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182709857?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-10 08:36","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"CATL: The Truth About the Rise of A-Share Trillion-Dollar Giants","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182709857","media":"苏宁金融研究院","summary":"“茅指数”似乎已经不香了。\n过去几年，各行各业的“茅”一直是公认的核心资产，受到各路投资者的竞相追捧。然而今年春节过后，“茅指数”突然集体哑火，反倒是新能源车、光伏、半导体、医美、医疗服务等赛道异军突","content":"<p>The \"Mao Index\" seems to be no longer attractive.</p><p>Over the past few years, \"Mao\" has been recognized as a core asset in various industries and has been highly sought after by investors. However, after the Spring Festival this year, the \"Maotai Index\" suddenly went silent. Instead, sectors such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, semiconductors, medical aesthetics, and medical services emerged as dark horses, with a large number of strong stocks emerging, setting off a market rally comparable to a bull market.</p><p>In response, some institutions have proposed a new concept benchmarked against the \"Maotai Index\" – the \"Ningxia Portfolio,\" to represent a basket of leading companies in high-growth sectors with better prosperity and better alignment with future industry directions, including lithium battery leaders.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">CATL</a>He is also the absolute leader of the \"Ning duo\".</p><p>Riding the wave of new energy vehicles, CATL, once a \"hidden champion,\" has taken center stage. Its market capitalization has soared from around 240 billion yuan in early 2020 to 1.3 trillion yuan today, more than fivefold in a year and a half, surpassing...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601857\">PetroChina</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">China Merchants Bank</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601318\">Ping An</a>Waiting for the giants. The company's founder, Zeng Yuqun, saw his net worth soar, not only leaving Li Ka-shing, Jack Ma, and Ma Huateng behind, but also once becoming China's richest man.</p><p>What are the secrets behind CATL's phenomenal rise?</p><p><b>1</b></p><p>In 2011, Zeng Yuqun, then president and CEO of ATL, embarked on his second entrepreneurial journey. He completely spun off ATL's automotive power division and founded CATL New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) in his hometown of Ningde, Fujian, focusing on the research, development, production and sales of new energy vehicle power batteries and energy storage systems.</p><p>Relying on the strong lithium-ion battery technology background of its founding team, CATL has developed rapidly, its industrial system is becoming increasingly complete, its business boundaries are constantly expanding, and its national and even global influence is increasing. In June 2018, it successfully listed on the A-share ChiNext board. Today, CATL has grown into a leading enterprise in the lithium battery industry, possessing core technological advantages and strong R&D capabilities in key areas such as battery systems, battery materials, and battery recycling. It has also formed a complete production and service system, which is rarely rivaled in the world.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aef6c10e539c50cd43c9c9d2e40a85fb\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>In terms of performance</b>From 2016 to 2020, CATL's operating revenue increased from RMB 14.88 billion to RMB 50.32 billion, with an average annual growth rate of 35.6%. Net profit attributable to the parent company increased from 2.85 billion yuan to 5.58 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 18.3%, demonstrating extremely high-quality growth potential. Although the company encountered some minor operational difficulties in the first half of 2020 due to the impact of the pandemic, in 2021, thanks to factors such as stable pandemic prevention and control, the continued high prosperity of the new energy vehicle industry, and the emergence of carbon neutrality, the company returned to a high growth track. In the first quarter, revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company achieved year-on-year growth rates of 112.24% and 163.38%, respectively.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that CATL has been actively expanding into the global market and overseas customers in recent years, which has greatly promoted the rapid growth of its overseas business. According to the company's financial report, 4.37% of CATL's revenue in 2019 came from overseas business, while in 2020, the proportion of overseas business surged to 15.7%. Statistics from SNEResearch show that the company's installed capacity in overseas markets was only 0.2 GWh in 2019, but increased to approximately 5.3 GWh in 2020, representing a year-on-year increase of 25 times.</p><p><b>Regarding specific business operations,</b>CATL has now formed a \"one body, two wings\" structure based on power battery systems and extending into lithium battery materials and energy storage. Among them, power battery systems contribute nearly 80% of the company's revenue, while lithium battery materials and energy storage account for 6.81% and 3.86% of the revenue, respectively. Compared to the power battery business of other companies in the industry, although CATL's gross profit margin for power batteries has declined in recent years due to factors such as declining battery prices and rising battery material costs, it is still higher than BYD's overall.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300014\">EVE Energy</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002074\">Guoxuan High-Tech</a>Waiting for competitors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e96daa791f260abb81ccdcd76a2341c\" tg-width=\"686\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, several sets of data can reflect CATL's position in both the domestic and global markets:</p><p>(1) In 2020, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published a valid catalog of more than 6,800 new energy vehicle models, of which more than 3,400 models were equipped with power batteries by CATL, accounting for about 50%, making it the power battery manufacturer with the most supporting models. (2) In 2020, the total installed capacity of power batteries in China was 63.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 2%, of which CATL's installed capacity reached 31.9 GWh, with a market share of 50%; (3) In 2020, the global installed capacity of electric vehicle batteries reached 142.8 GWh, with CATL ranking first with a market share of 24% and an installed capacity of approximately 34.27 GWh; LG Energy Solutions ranked second with a market share of 23.5% and an installed capacity of approximately 33.56 GWh; (4) From 2017 to 2020, CATL ranked first in the world in terms of power battery usage for four consecutive years. At this point, CATL's fundamentals have been largely outlined.</p><p><b>2</b></p><p>CATL's achievements today are by no means accidental, and there are roughly three reasons for this.</p><p><b>First, we will focus on promoting technological innovation.</b></p><p>The company has always attached great importance to the research and development of products and technologies. Data shows that CATL's R&D expenditure in 2020 was 3.569 billion yuan, accounting for 7.1% of the company's revenue, with a compound annual growth rate of 33.2% over the past five years. In contrast, LG Chem, another major international power battery giant, invested 2.42 billion yuan in battery R&D in 2020, accounting for only 3.3% of its revenue, and its compound annual growth rate over the past five years is only 9.7%. Thanks to its generous investment in research and development, CATL's product performance and quality have been continuously improved, and its competitiveness has become increasingly prominent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e847ddbfc60831dbf6cb3c467c5b58d0\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At the same time, the company has vigorously expanded its R&D centers and production bases in recent years, and has now completed the comprehensive layout of four R&D centers and five production bases at home and abroad. In addition, the company has established cooperative relationships with many research institutions and schools at home and abroad, and has made early arrangements for cutting-edge technologies with strong future certainty. For example, in January of this year, the company successively disclosed three solid-state battery-related patents, and its current technology reserves are about 10 years. The company has also invested 3.3 billion yuan to build a world-class 21C innovation laboratory, establishing three main directions: new energy storage material chemistry systems, new energy storage system design and engineering, and new energy storage system application scenarios. It is expected that some facilities will be put into use by the end of this year. This has created a high technological barrier for CATL.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528e051e41809a2abb65d31af120fa35\" tg-width=\"671\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Secondly, a vertically integrated layout of the industrial chain.</b></p><p>Since 2018, CATL has successively increased its expansion into the upstream of lithium batteries, entering the lithium, nickel, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate materials, and lithium battery equipment sectors through joint ventures, equity participation, and strategic cooperation agreements. It has multiple high-quality suppliers to choose from in each sector. At the same time, the company will also adopt independent research and development methods to enhance its control over intermediate links. For example, in the electrolyte segment, CATL provides the core electrolyte formula, which is manufactured by suppliers.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002709\">Tianci Materials</a>CATL accounts for half of the supply, while CATL itself also possesses new lithium salt technology and self-built production capacity reserves. This greatly strengthens the collaboration and cooperation between the upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, and ensures the improvement of the supply and utilization efficiency of key resources.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135e1636f948e8779d6858e66bd3665f\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Moreover, CATL has completed an important strategy of deploying battery recycling. Relying on its subsidiary Guangdong Bangpu, it has worked with upstream and downstream customers in the industry chain to create a closed loop of \"battery production → use → tiered utilization → recycling and resource regeneration\". Currently, the company has a processing capacity of 120,000 tons of waste batteries, which can achieve a recycling rate of 99.3% of nickel, cobalt and manganese metals. The domestic proportion of waste battery recycling reaches 51%, covering major power battery markets such as the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and central China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f96f577122e14585a292f67d3566e6\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><b>Third, we are deeply integrated with numerous high-quality clients.</b></p><p>CATL has the broadest and highest-quality customer base in the industry. Domestically,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Emerging electric vehicle manufacturers such as XPeng and Li Auto have all chosen CATL's power battery products, while leading traditional passenger vehicle manufacturers such as SAIC, GAC, FAW, Geely and Dongfeng have also carried out business cooperation with CATL, established joint ventures and established close cooperative relationships. Overseas, CATL has successfully become a global leader in new energy vehicles.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>With its supply chain, the company indirectly exports its products through the sale of domestically produced Model 3s to Europe. At the same time, it also holds large orders from internationally renowned automakers such as BMW and Daimler. The company has also established strategic partnerships with major state-owned enterprises such as State Grid, China Energy Engineering Corporation, and State Power Investment Corporation. Through strong alliances and complementary advantages, they are committed to in-depth research in energy storage projects, scientific and technological research and development, and other fields. These not only laid the foundation for absorbing CATL's rapidly expanding production capacity, but also opened up broader growth opportunities for the company.</p><p>In addition, CATL boasts a professional, diversified, and international management team, with core management personnel accumulating profound professional knowledge and rich practical experience in power batteries and related fields. The company also places great emphasis on the introduction and training of professional talents, and has established a sound qualification management system and training mechanism to provide good incentives for employees' career development.</p><p>All of the above constitute a sufficiently broad moat for CATL.</p><p><b>3</b></p><p>CATL's phenomenal rise can be largely attributed to the high prosperity of its industry. This high prosperity is expected to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p>Looking at the present, global climate change caused by emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide has become one of the biggest challenges facing all mankind, while problems such as energy shortages and environmental pollution are also becoming increasingly prominent. Against this backdrop, the development concept of \"green, energy-saving, and environmental protection\" has become a global consensus. my country has also formally proposed the \"dual carbon\" goal of \"peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060\". This is not only related to the transformation and upgrading of my country's industries, breakthroughs in scientific and technological strength, and even high-quality sustainable development of the economy and society, but also closely related to the fate of all mankind and cannot be neglected.</p><p>The electrification of automobiles is a key part of achieving the \"dual carbon\" goal.</p><p>In fact, with policy support in recent years, the domestic new energy vehicle market has experienced explosive growth. Now, the subsidy policy has entered a phase-out period, and the main theme of the development of the new energy vehicle market is gradually shifting from subsidy incentives to product and market-driven development. This has also attracted a flood of cross-industry giants such as traditional automakers, the Internet and mobile phones. Furthermore, with the increasing changes in the understanding and attitudes of consumers, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the C-end market is constantly increasing. Data shows that in 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">Guoxin Energy</a>The proportion of passenger vehicles has climbed to over 90%. Considering that the overall market penetration rate of new energy vehicles in my country has just exceeded 6%, which is still some distance from the industry target of \"reaching a penetration rate of 20% by 2025\", it is expected that new energy vehicles will continue to maintain rapid growth in the next few years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a459757b14c77877f9b7c902808490da\" tg-width=\"718\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At the same time, overseas new energy vehicles are also entering a period of rapid growth. Taking the United States as an example, due to various reasons, the share of electric vehicles in the global market in the United States has always been low, and only Tesla dominates the market. However, faced with the rapid development of the global new energy vehicle industry, the United States clearly does not want to fall behind. Therefore, we see that Biden recently signed an executive order setting a goal of achieving a 50% share of electric vehicle sales in the United States by 2030, which undoubtedly gives a significant boost to the global new energy vehicle market.</p><p>Against the backdrop of the above, the demand for lithium battery products in domestic and international markets will inevitably rise accordingly. This is undoubtedly a historic opportunity and a great benefit for CATL, the industry leader.</p><p>Moreover, under the major trend of energy transition, the proportion of renewable energy is constantly increasing, and wind power generation and...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">solar energy</a>The rapid growth in power generation has objectively created a large-scale potential demand for energy storage applications, and CATL is increasing its investment in the energy storage business—it's worth noting that this is another sector worth hundreds of billions or even trillions of yuan.</p><p>Therefore, CATL's development in the next few years is highly promising. The strong certainty of earnings growth also gives the company greater investment value. This is why CATL rose to second place among the top ten holdings of mainland mutual funds in the second quarter, alongside the company that has held the top spot for several consecutive quarters.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>The distance is getting closer and closer.</p><p>However, from another perspective, the reason why CATL's stock price has surged over the past year and a half is the result of the \"Davis double-hit\" effect triggered by the combined rise in profits and valuations. It also reflects investors' optimistic expectations for the company's development prospects in the past. But whether the company's performance can continue to exceed market expectations in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>Currently, the company's P/E percentile is as high as 93.66%, which is at an absolute high level since its listing and does not have a high safety margin; Moreover, the company's stock price has reached around 540 yuan per share, so even if you only buy one lot, the price is quite high. Therefore, for ordinary investors, although CATL is an industry leader, it may not be an ideal investment target.</p><p>So, what should those who don't want to miss the investment opportunity in the new energy vehicle sector do?</p><p>Here, we suggest that everyone pay more attention to the upstream and downstream of CATL's industry chain, and find high-growth companies with relatively reasonable stock prices and valuations. Operate rationally and avoid blindly chasing high prices. We believe that you will definitely get satisfactory returns.</p>","source":"lsy1568689437122","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CATL: The Truth About the Rise of A-Share Trillion-Dollar Giants</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCATL: The Truth About the Rise of A-Share Trillion-Dollar Giants\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">苏宁金融研究院</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-10 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The \"Mao Index\" seems to be no longer attractive.</p><p>Over the past few years, \"Mao\" has been recognized as a core asset in various industries and has been highly sought after by investors. However, after the Spring Festival this year, the \"Maotai Index\" suddenly went silent. Instead, sectors such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, semiconductors, medical aesthetics, and medical services emerged as dark horses, with a large number of strong stocks emerging, setting off a market rally comparable to a bull market.</p><p>In response, some institutions have proposed a new concept benchmarked against the \"Maotai Index\" – the \"Ningxia Portfolio,\" to represent a basket of leading companies in high-growth sectors with better prosperity and better alignment with future industry directions, including lithium battery leaders.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">CATL</a>He is also the absolute leader of the \"Ning duo\".</p><p>Riding the wave of new energy vehicles, CATL, once a \"hidden champion,\" has taken center stage. Its market capitalization has soared from around 240 billion yuan in early 2020 to 1.3 trillion yuan today, more than fivefold in a year and a half, surpassing...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601857\">PetroChina</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">China Merchants Bank</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601318\">Ping An</a>Waiting for the giants. The company's founder, Zeng Yuqun, saw his net worth soar, not only leaving Li Ka-shing, Jack Ma, and Ma Huateng behind, but also once becoming China's richest man.</p><p>What are the secrets behind CATL's phenomenal rise?</p><p><b>1</b></p><p>In 2011, Zeng Yuqun, then president and CEO of ATL, embarked on his second entrepreneurial journey. He completely spun off ATL's automotive power division and founded CATL New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) in his hometown of Ningde, Fujian, focusing on the research, development, production and sales of new energy vehicle power batteries and energy storage systems.</p><p>Relying on the strong lithium-ion battery technology background of its founding team, CATL has developed rapidly, its industrial system is becoming increasingly complete, its business boundaries are constantly expanding, and its national and even global influence is increasing. In June 2018, it successfully listed on the A-share ChiNext board. Today, CATL has grown into a leading enterprise in the lithium battery industry, possessing core technological advantages and strong R&D capabilities in key areas such as battery systems, battery materials, and battery recycling. It has also formed a complete production and service system, which is rarely rivaled in the world.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aef6c10e539c50cd43c9c9d2e40a85fb\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>In terms of performance</b>From 2016 to 2020, CATL's operating revenue increased from RMB 14.88 billion to RMB 50.32 billion, with an average annual growth rate of 35.6%. Net profit attributable to the parent company increased from 2.85 billion yuan to 5.58 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 18.3%, demonstrating extremely high-quality growth potential. Although the company encountered some minor operational difficulties in the first half of 2020 due to the impact of the pandemic, in 2021, thanks to factors such as stable pandemic prevention and control, the continued high prosperity of the new energy vehicle industry, and the emergence of carbon neutrality, the company returned to a high growth track. In the first quarter, revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company achieved year-on-year growth rates of 112.24% and 163.38%, respectively.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that CATL has been actively expanding into the global market and overseas customers in recent years, which has greatly promoted the rapid growth of its overseas business. According to the company's financial report, 4.37% of CATL's revenue in 2019 came from overseas business, while in 2020, the proportion of overseas business surged to 15.7%. Statistics from SNEResearch show that the company's installed capacity in overseas markets was only 0.2 GWh in 2019, but increased to approximately 5.3 GWh in 2020, representing a year-on-year increase of 25 times.</p><p><b>Regarding specific business operations,</b>CATL has now formed a \"one body, two wings\" structure based on power battery systems and extending into lithium battery materials and energy storage. Among them, power battery systems contribute nearly 80% of the company's revenue, while lithium battery materials and energy storage account for 6.81% and 3.86% of the revenue, respectively. Compared to the power battery business of other companies in the industry, although CATL's gross profit margin for power batteries has declined in recent years due to factors such as declining battery prices and rising battery material costs, it is still higher than BYD's overall.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300014\">EVE Energy</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002074\">Guoxuan High-Tech</a>Waiting for competitors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e96daa791f260abb81ccdcd76a2341c\" tg-width=\"686\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, several sets of data can reflect CATL's position in both the domestic and global markets:</p><p>(1) In 2020, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published a valid catalog of more than 6,800 new energy vehicle models, of which more than 3,400 models were equipped with power batteries by CATL, accounting for about 50%, making it the power battery manufacturer with the most supporting models. (2) In 2020, the total installed capacity of power batteries in China was 63.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 2%, of which CATL's installed capacity reached 31.9 GWh, with a market share of 50%; (3) In 2020, the global installed capacity of electric vehicle batteries reached 142.8 GWh, with CATL ranking first with a market share of 24% and an installed capacity of approximately 34.27 GWh; LG Energy Solutions ranked second with a market share of 23.5% and an installed capacity of approximately 33.56 GWh; (4) From 2017 to 2020, CATL ranked first in the world in terms of power battery usage for four consecutive years. At this point, CATL's fundamentals have been largely outlined.</p><p><b>2</b></p><p>CATL's achievements today are by no means accidental, and there are roughly three reasons for this.</p><p><b>First, we will focus on promoting technological innovation.</b></p><p>The company has always attached great importance to the research and development of products and technologies. Data shows that CATL's R&D expenditure in 2020 was 3.569 billion yuan, accounting for 7.1% of the company's revenue, with a compound annual growth rate of 33.2% over the past five years. In contrast, LG Chem, another major international power battery giant, invested 2.42 billion yuan in battery R&D in 2020, accounting for only 3.3% of its revenue, and its compound annual growth rate over the past five years is only 9.7%. Thanks to its generous investment in research and development, CATL's product performance and quality have been continuously improved, and its competitiveness has become increasingly prominent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e847ddbfc60831dbf6cb3c467c5b58d0\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At the same time, the company has vigorously expanded its R&D centers and production bases in recent years, and has now completed the comprehensive layout of four R&D centers and five production bases at home and abroad. In addition, the company has established cooperative relationships with many research institutions and schools at home and abroad, and has made early arrangements for cutting-edge technologies with strong future certainty. For example, in January of this year, the company successively disclosed three solid-state battery-related patents, and its current technology reserves are about 10 years. The company has also invested 3.3 billion yuan to build a world-class 21C innovation laboratory, establishing three main directions: new energy storage material chemistry systems, new energy storage system design and engineering, and new energy storage system application scenarios. It is expected that some facilities will be put into use by the end of this year. This has created a high technological barrier for CATL.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528e051e41809a2abb65d31af120fa35\" tg-width=\"671\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Secondly, a vertically integrated layout of the industrial chain.</b></p><p>Since 2018, CATL has successively increased its expansion into the upstream of lithium batteries, entering the lithium, nickel, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate materials, and lithium battery equipment sectors through joint ventures, equity participation, and strategic cooperation agreements. It has multiple high-quality suppliers to choose from in each sector. At the same time, the company will also adopt independent research and development methods to enhance its control over intermediate links. For example, in the electrolyte segment, CATL provides the core electrolyte formula, which is manufactured by suppliers.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002709\">Tianci Materials</a>CATL accounts for half of the supply, while CATL itself also possesses new lithium salt technology and self-built production capacity reserves. This greatly strengthens the collaboration and cooperation between the upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, and ensures the improvement of the supply and utilization efficiency of key resources.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135e1636f948e8779d6858e66bd3665f\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Moreover, CATL has completed an important strategy of deploying battery recycling. Relying on its subsidiary Guangdong Bangpu, it has worked with upstream and downstream customers in the industry chain to create a closed loop of \"battery production → use → tiered utilization → recycling and resource regeneration\". Currently, the company has a processing capacity of 120,000 tons of waste batteries, which can achieve a recycling rate of 99.3% of nickel, cobalt and manganese metals. The domestic proportion of waste battery recycling reaches 51%, covering major power battery markets such as the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and central China.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f96f577122e14585a292f67d3566e6\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><b>Third, we are deeply integrated with numerous high-quality clients.</b></p><p>CATL has the broadest and highest-quality customer base in the industry. Domestically,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Emerging electric vehicle manufacturers such as XPeng and Li Auto have all chosen CATL's power battery products, while leading traditional passenger vehicle manufacturers such as SAIC, GAC, FAW, Geely and Dongfeng have also carried out business cooperation with CATL, established joint ventures and established close cooperative relationships. Overseas, CATL has successfully become a global leader in new energy vehicles.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>With its supply chain, the company indirectly exports its products through the sale of domestically produced Model 3s to Europe. At the same time, it also holds large orders from internationally renowned automakers such as BMW and Daimler. The company has also established strategic partnerships with major state-owned enterprises such as State Grid, China Energy Engineering Corporation, and State Power Investment Corporation. Through strong alliances and complementary advantages, they are committed to in-depth research in energy storage projects, scientific and technological research and development, and other fields. These not only laid the foundation for absorbing CATL's rapidly expanding production capacity, but also opened up broader growth opportunities for the company.</p><p>In addition, CATL boasts a professional, diversified, and international management team, with core management personnel accumulating profound professional knowledge and rich practical experience in power batteries and related fields. The company also places great emphasis on the introduction and training of professional talents, and has established a sound qualification management system and training mechanism to provide good incentives for employees' career development.</p><p>All of the above constitute a sufficiently broad moat for CATL.</p><p><b>3</b></p><p>CATL's phenomenal rise can be largely attributed to the high prosperity of its industry. This high prosperity is expected to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p>Looking at the present, global climate change caused by emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide has become one of the biggest challenges facing all mankind, while problems such as energy shortages and environmental pollution are also becoming increasingly prominent. Against this backdrop, the development concept of \"green, energy-saving, and environmental protection\" has become a global consensus. my country has also formally proposed the \"dual carbon\" goal of \"peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060\". This is not only related to the transformation and upgrading of my country's industries, breakthroughs in scientific and technological strength, and even high-quality sustainable development of the economy and society, but also closely related to the fate of all mankind and cannot be neglected.</p><p>The electrification of automobiles is a key part of achieving the \"dual carbon\" goal.</p><p>In fact, with policy support in recent years, the domestic new energy vehicle market has experienced explosive growth. Now, the subsidy policy has entered a phase-out period, and the main theme of the development of the new energy vehicle market is gradually shifting from subsidy incentives to product and market-driven development. This has also attracted a flood of cross-industry giants such as traditional automakers, the Internet and mobile phones. Furthermore, with the increasing changes in the understanding and attitudes of consumers, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the C-end market is constantly increasing. Data shows that in 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">Guoxin Energy</a>The proportion of passenger vehicles has climbed to over 90%. Considering that the overall market penetration rate of new energy vehicles in my country has just exceeded 6%, which is still some distance from the industry target of \"reaching a penetration rate of 20% by 2025\", it is expected that new energy vehicles will continue to maintain rapid growth in the next few years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a459757b14c77877f9b7c902808490da\" tg-width=\"718\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At the same time, overseas new energy vehicles are also entering a period of rapid growth. Taking the United States as an example, due to various reasons, the share of electric vehicles in the global market in the United States has always been low, and only Tesla dominates the market. However, faced with the rapid development of the global new energy vehicle industry, the United States clearly does not want to fall behind. Therefore, we see that Biden recently signed an executive order setting a goal of achieving a 50% share of electric vehicle sales in the United States by 2030, which undoubtedly gives a significant boost to the global new energy vehicle market.</p><p>Against the backdrop of the above, the demand for lithium battery products in domestic and international markets will inevitably rise accordingly. This is undoubtedly a historic opportunity and a great benefit for CATL, the industry leader.</p><p>Moreover, under the major trend of energy transition, the proportion of renewable energy is constantly increasing, and wind power generation and...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">solar energy</a>The rapid growth in power generation has objectively created a large-scale potential demand for energy storage applications, and CATL is increasing its investment in the energy storage business—it's worth noting that this is another sector worth hundreds of billions or even trillions of yuan.</p><p>Therefore, CATL's development in the next few years is highly promising. The strong certainty of earnings growth also gives the company greater investment value. This is why CATL rose to second place among the top ten holdings of mainland mutual funds in the second quarter, alongside the company that has held the top spot for several consecutive quarters.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>The distance is getting closer and closer.</p><p>However, from another perspective, the reason why CATL's stock price has surged over the past year and a half is the result of the \"Davis double-hit\" effect triggered by the combined rise in profits and valuations. It also reflects investors' optimistic expectations for the company's development prospects in the past. But whether the company's performance can continue to exceed market expectations in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>Currently, the company's P/E percentile is as high as 93.66%, which is at an absolute high level since its listing and does not have a high safety margin; Moreover, the company's stock price has reached around 540 yuan per share, so even if you only buy one lot, the price is quite high. Therefore, for ordinary investors, although CATL is an industry leader, it may not be an ideal investment target.</p><p>So, what should those who don't want to miss the investment opportunity in the new energy vehicle sector do?</p><p>Here, we suggest that everyone pay more attention to the upstream and downstream of CATL's industry chain, and find high-growth companies with relatively reasonable stock prices and valuations. Operate rationally and avoid blindly chasing high prices. We believe that you will definitely get satisfactory returns.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nR466duKz_3kFBYJopa3dw\">苏宁金融研究院</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/983e0432c72ee1117f6c5b8a19ed6e25","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nR466duKz_3kFBYJopa3dw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182709857","content_text":"“茅指数”似乎已经不香了。\n过去几年，各行各业的“茅”一直是公认的核心资产，受到各路投资者的竞相追捧。然而今年春节过后，“茅指数”突然集体哑火，反倒是新能源车、光伏、半导体、医美、医疗服务等赛道异军突起，一大批强势个股纷纷涌现，掀起了一波堪比牛市的行情。\n对此，有机构提出了一个对标“茅指数”的新概念——“宁组合”，用以表征那些处于高成长性赛道、景气度更好、更符合未来产业方向的一揽子龙头公司，而锂电龙头宁德时代又是“宁组合”里绝对的带头大哥。\n借着新能源汽车的东风，曾经的“隐形冠军”宁德时代来到了舞台中央，其市值由2020年初的2400亿元左右一路飙升到今天的1.3万亿元，一年半的时间里翻了5倍有余，先后超越中国石油、招商银行和中国平安等巨头。公司创始人曾毓群的身价更是水涨船高，不仅把李嘉诚、马云、马化腾甩在了身后，甚至还一度坐上了中国首富的宝座。\n宁德时代的现象级崛起，背后究竟有何奥秘？\n1\n2011年，时任新能源科技有限公司（ATL）总裁兼CEO的曾毓群开启了自己的二次创业之路——他将ATL的汽车动力部分完全剥离出来，在自己的家乡福建宁德创立了宁德时代新能源科技有限公司（CATL)，专注于新能源汽车动力电池、储能系统的研发、生产和销售。\n依托创始团队雄厚的锂离子电池技术背景，宁德时代发展迅速，产业体系日益完备，业务边界不断扩张，全国乃至全球影响力日益提升，2018年6月顺利登陆A股创业板上市。如今，宁德时代已成长为锂电行业不折不扣的领军企业，在电池系统、电池材料、电池回收等关键领域都拥有核心技术优势和强大的研发能力，并且形成了完善的生产服务体系，放眼世界都鲜逢敌手。\n\n业绩方面，2016~2020年，宁德时代的营业收入由148.8亿元增至503.2亿元，年均增速高达35.6%；归母净利润由28.5亿元增至55.8亿元，年均增速为18.3%，表现出极为优质的成长性。虽然2020年上半年受疫情影响，公司经营遇到了一些小麻烦，不过到了2021年，得益于疫情防控稳定、新能源汽车行业持续高景气、碳中和风口爆发等因素，公司再度重回高成长轨道，一季度的营收和归母净利润分别实现了112.24%和163.38%的同比增速。\n值得一提的是，宁德时代近年来积极布局全球市场，并积极拓展海外客户，极大地推动了海外业务的迅猛增长。根据公司财报，宁德时代2019年营收中的4.37%来自于海外业务，而在2020年，海外业务所占比重暴涨至15.7%。来自SNEResearch的统计显示，2019年公司海外市场装机量仅0.2GWh，2020年增加至约5.3GWh，同比增幅高达25倍。\n具体业务方面，宁德时代目前已经形成了以动力电池系统为基础、向着锂电池材料和储能延伸的“一体两翼”格局，其中动力电池系统贡献了公司接近80%的收入，锂电池材料和储能的营收占比则分别为6.81%和3.86%。对比业内其他公司的动力电池业务，尽管受电池价格下降、电池材料成本上涨等因素影响，近几年宁德时代的动力电池毛利率呈现出下滑之势，但整体上依然高于比亚迪、亿纬锂能、国轩高科等竞争对手。\n\n此外，还有几组数据可以反映宁德时代在国内以及全球市场中的地位：\n\n （1）2020年工信部公布的新能源车型有效目录共6800余款，其中由宁德时代配套动力电池的车型有3400余款，占比约50%，是配套车型最多的动力电池厂商；（2）2020年国内动力电池装机总量为63.6GWh，同比增长2%，其中宁德时代装机量达31.9GWh，市占率达到50%；（3）2020年全球电动汽车电池装机量达到142.8GWh，宁德时代以24%的市占率位居第一，装机量约34.27GWh；排名第二的LG能源解决方案公司，市场份额23.5%，装机量约33.56GWh；（4）2017~2020年，宁德时代动力电池使用量连续四年排名全球第一。\n\n至此，宁德时代的基本面已大体勾勒完毕。\n2\n宁德时代能有今天的成就绝非偶然，究其原因大体有三。\n其一，着力推动技术创新。\n公司向来非常重视产品和技术工艺的研发。数据显示，2020年宁德时代研发支出35.69亿元，占公司营收比重为7.1%，近五年复合增速高达33.2%。相比之下，国际另一大动力电池巨头LG化学，2020年电池板块研发投入为24.2亿元，占营收比重仅有3.3%，且近五年复合增速只有9.7%。得益于在研发方面的不吝投入，宁德时代的产品性能和质量不断提升，竞争力日益凸显。\n\n与此同时，公司近些年大力拓展研发中心和生产基地，现已在海内外完成了四大研发中心、五大生产基地的全面布局。另外，公司还与国内外多家研究机构和学校建立了合作关系，并对未来确定性较强的前沿技术进行了抢先布局，比如今年1月，公司相继公开了三项固体电池相关专利，目前技术储备在10年左右；公司还斥资数33亿元筹建了对标国际一流的21C创新实验室，确立了新储能材料化学体系、新储能系统设计和工程、新储能系统应用场景三大主攻方向，预计部分设施将于今年年底投入使用。如此便构筑了宁德时代较高的技术壁垒。\n\n其二，产业链垂直一体化布局。\n自2018年以来，宁德时代陆续加大对于锂电池上游的延伸力度，以合资、参股、签署战略合作协议等方式，先后进入锂、镍、三元材料、磷酸铁锂材料、锂电设备等环节，在每个环节都拥有多个优质供应商选择；同时，公司也会采用自主研发的方式来增强对中间环节的把控能力。例如在电解液环节，宁德时代提供电解液核心配方，由供应商代工，其中天赐材料的供应占据半壁江山，而宁德时代自己也拥有新型锂盐技术及自建产能储备。如此便极大程度地加强了产业链上下游协同与合作，确保了关键资源的供应和利用效率的提高。\n\n不仅如此，宁德时代还完成了布局电池回收的重要战略，依托子公司广东邦普，与产业链上下游客户携手打造了“电池生产→使用→梯次利用→回收与资源再生”的闭环。目前，公司已有12万吨废旧电池处理能力，可实现99.3%的镍钴锰金属回收率，废旧电池回收国内占比达51%，覆盖长三角、珠三角、中部地区等主要动力电池市场。\n\n其三，与众多优质客户深度绑定。\n宁德时代拥有业内最为广泛且优质的客户群体。在国内，蔚来、小鹏、理想等造车新势力均选用了宁德时代的动力电池产品，而上汽、广汽、一汽、吉利、东风等一线传统乘用车厂商也纷纷与宁德时代开展业务合作，设立合资企业，建立起紧密的合作关系。在海外，宁德时代成功进入全球新能车龙头特斯拉的供应链，借助国产Model 3销往欧洲来间接实现产品出口，同时公司还手握宝马、戴勒姆等国际知名车企的大订单。公司还与国家电网、中国能建、国家电投等大央企都建立起了战略合作伙伴关系，通过强强联合与优势互补，共同致力于储能项目、科技研发等领域的深入攻关。这些不仅为消化宁德时代迅猛扩张的产能奠定了基础，还打开了公司更广阔的增长空间。\n此外，宁德时代还拥有专业化、多元化、国际化的管理团队，核心管理人员在动力电池及相关领域积累了深厚的专业知识和丰富的实践经验。公司还格外注重专业人才的引进和培养，并形成了完善的任职资格管理体系和培训机制，为员工的职业发展提供良好的激励。\n上述种种，也构成了宁德时代足够宽阔的护城河。\n3\n宁德时代的现象级崛起，很大程度上要归因于所属赛道的高景气。而在可预见的未来，这一高景气还将继续保持下去。\n放眼当下，由二氧化碳等温室气体排放引起的全球气候变化已经成为全人类面临的最大挑战之一，而能源紧缺、环境污染等问题同样日益突出。在此背景下，“绿色、节能、环保”的发展理念已成为全球共识，我国也正式提出了“2030年碳排放达峰、2060 年碳中和”的“双碳”目标，不仅关乎到我国产业的转型升级、科技实力的突破乃至经济社会的高质量可持续发展，还与全人类的命运息息相关，怠慢不得。\n汽车的电动化转型，正是实现“双碳”目标的关键一环。\n事实上，近些年在政策的扶持下，国内新能源汽车市场呈现出爆发式增长。而今，补贴政策已进入退坡期，新能源汽车市场发展的主旋律正逐步从补贴激励向着产品与市场驱动方向转变，这也吸引着传统车企、互联网与手机等跨界巨头的纷纷涌入。另外，伴随着广大用户的认识和观念日益转变，致使新能源汽车在C端的渗透率不断提高，数据显示，2020年我国新能源乘用车占比已攀升至90%以上。考虑到目前我国新能源汽车整体市场渗透率刚刚超过6%，距离“2025年渗透率达到20%”的产业目标还有一定差距，预计接下来几年新能源汽车将继续保持高速增长。\n\n与此同时，海外新能源汽车也在步入增长的快车道。以美国为例，此前由于种种原因，美国电动汽车在全球市场中所占份额一直较低，赛道上也仅有特斯拉一家独大。不过，面对全球新能源汽车产业的来势汹汹，美国显然不想落后。于是我们看到，近日拜登签署了行政命令，明确了2030年美国电动汽车销量占比达到50%的目标，无疑是为全球新能源汽车市场狠狠地助了一把力。\n基于上述背景，海内外市场对于锂电池产品的需求必然也会水涨船高，这对于业内龙头宁德时代而言，当然是历史性的机遇和极大的利好。\n不仅如此，在能源转型的大趋势下，可再生能源占比不断提高，风力发电量和太阳能发电量迅猛增长，客观上形成了对于储能应用的大规模潜在需求，而宁德时代正在加大储能业务方面的布局力度——要知道，这又是一个千亿乃至万亿级别的赛道。\n如此看来，宁德时代未来几年的发展是非常值得期待的，业绩增长的较强确定性，也赋予了公司更大的投资价值，这便是为什么在内地公募基金二季度十大重仓股当中，宁德时代冲至重仓股的第二位，与蝉联多季榜首的贵州茅台距离越来越近。\n然而从另一个角度看，宁德时代之所以能在过去一年半的时间里股价大涨，是盈利和估值共同上升引发“戴维斯双击”效应的结果，也反映出投资者过去对于公司发展前景的乐观预期，但未来公司业绩能否持续超出市场预期，尚且不得而知。\n从目前来看，公司市盈率分位数高达93.66%，处于上市以来的绝对高位，不具备较高的安全边际；而且公司股价已高达540元左右/股，哪怕只买一手，价格也着实不菲。因此对于普通投资者来说，宁德时代虽然是行业龙头，却未必是理想的投资标的。\n那么，不想错过新能源汽车赛道投资风口的人又该怎么办呢？\n在此建议各位不妨多关注一下宁德时代产业链上下游，去挖掘那些同样具有高成长性、且股价和估值都相对合理的高性价比公司，理性操作，避免盲目追高，相信你一定能获得满意的回报。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"300750":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891420154,"gmtCreate":1628413859478,"gmtModify":1703506043954,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/891420154","repostId":"1183672765","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183672765","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628396628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183672765?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-08 12:23","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"Market news: ByteDance restarts IPO plan","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183672765","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月8日，英国金融时报援引消息人士称，字节跳动已经重启其上市计划，计划在2022年年初在香港上市。字节跳动目前估值约1800亿美元，消息人士透露，字节跳动可能在9月提交上市最终指引信，并预计最快可能在","content":"<p>On August 8, the Financial Times, citing sources, reported that ByteDance has restarted its IPO plans, aiming to list in Hong Kong in early 2022. ByteDance is currently valued at approximately $180 billion. Sources revealed that ByteDance may submit its final IPO guidance letter in September and expects to go public as early as the fourth quarter of this year or early 2022.</p><p>ByteDance was reportedly valued at $180 billion in a funding round last December. Since last year, the company has been rumored to be considering an initial public offering (IPO) plan to conduct all or part of its business in the United States or Hong Kong, but has never admitted it.</p><p>In late March of this year, ByteDance hired former Xiaomi executive Shou Zi Chew as the newly established Chief Financial Officer (CFO). During his tenure as CFO of Xiaomi, Shou Zi Chew helped Xiaomi complete its Hong Kong IPO.</p><p>However, ByteDance did not have a chief financial officer before hiring Shou Zi Chew. This move was widely interpreted as ByteDance preparing for an IPO.</p><p>In addition, in mid-April this year, media reported that ByteDance submitted an underwriter appointment letter to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, initiated the listing process in Hong Kong, and will submit its listing application in the second quarter. ByteDance responded at the time: We would not comment on this.</p><p>On June 17, ByteDance released its first official financial statistics and disclosure: its actual revenue in 2020 reached 236.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111%; The company incurred an operating loss of 14.7 billion yuan.</p><p>On the same day, Liang Rubo, the new CEO who succeeded Zhang Yiming, said: \"The company is growing and entering a new stage. We hope to be more transparent and open both internally and externally. Therefore, while updating our business progress, we will also release our business data and financial situation, including revenue and profit, to all employees.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Market news: ByteDance restarts IPO plan</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarket news: ByteDance restarts IPO plan\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-08 12:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On August 8, the Financial Times, citing sources, reported that ByteDance has restarted its IPO plans, aiming to list in Hong Kong in early 2022. ByteDance is currently valued at approximately $180 billion. Sources revealed that ByteDance may submit its final IPO guidance letter in September and expects to go public as early as the fourth quarter of this year or early 2022.</p><p>ByteDance was reportedly valued at $180 billion in a funding round last December. Since last year, the company has been rumored to be considering an initial public offering (IPO) plan to conduct all or part of its business in the United States or Hong Kong, but has never admitted it.</p><p>In late March of this year, ByteDance hired former Xiaomi executive Shou Zi Chew as the newly established Chief Financial Officer (CFO). During his tenure as CFO of Xiaomi, Shou Zi Chew helped Xiaomi complete its Hong Kong IPO.</p><p>However, ByteDance did not have a chief financial officer before hiring Shou Zi Chew. This move was widely interpreted as ByteDance preparing for an IPO.</p><p>In addition, in mid-April this year, media reported that ByteDance submitted an underwriter appointment letter to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, initiated the listing process in Hong Kong, and will submit its listing application in the second quarter. ByteDance responded at the time: We would not comment on this.</p><p>On June 17, ByteDance released its first official financial statistics and disclosure: its actual revenue in 2020 reached 236.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111%; The company incurred an operating loss of 14.7 billion yuan.</p><p>On the same day, Liang Rubo, the new CEO who succeeded Zhang Yiming, said: \"The company is growing and entering a new stage. We hope to be more transparent and open both internally and externally. Therefore, while updating our business progress, we will also release our business data and financial situation, including revenue and profit, to all employees.\"</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57922dcc5f7a43f1fddaf18d1a519025","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183672765","content_text":"8月8日，英国金融时报援引消息人士称，字节跳动已经重启其上市计划，计划在2022年年初在香港上市。字节跳动目前估值约1800亿美元，消息人士透露，字节跳动可能在9月提交上市最终指引信，并预计最快可能在今年第四季度或者2022年年初实现上市。\n据悉，字节跳动在去年12月的一轮融资中估值为1800亿美元，从去年去该公司一直被传出在考虑于美国或香港进行全部或部分业务的首次公开募股上市计划，但从未承认。\n今年3月下旬，字节跳动聘请小米前高管周受资担任新设立的首席财务官（CFO）一职。而周受资在小米担任CFO期间，帮助小米完成了赴港上市。\n但在聘请周受资之前，字节跳动并没有首席财务官。此举曾被广泛解读为字节跳动在为IPO事宜做准备。\n此外，在今年4月中旬媒体报道称，字节跳动向港交所提交了承销商聘用函，启动了赴港上市流程，并将于第二季度递交上市申请。字节跳动当时回应：对此不予置评。\n6月17日，字节跳动首次以官方口径统计并披露了财务情况：2020年实际收入达2366亿元，同比增长111%；经营亏损147亿元。\n当日，接任张一鸣的新任CEO梁汝波表示：“公司变大，也在进入新阶段，我们希望对内对外更加透明、开放，所以在更新业务进展的同时，也会向全员公布我们的业务数据和财务情况，包括收入和利润。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899785405,"gmtCreate":1628215555407,"gmtModify":1703503300233,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899785405","repostId":"1186213069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809656986,"gmtCreate":1627368101645,"gmtModify":1703488505006,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/809656986","repostId":"2154544996","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174939651,"gmtCreate":1627056190773,"gmtModify":1703483576461,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174939651","repostId":"1129536436","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172239577,"gmtCreate":1626961784399,"gmtModify":1703481441156,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172239577","repostId":"1174948099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":107749648,"gmtCreate":1620543462884,"gmtModify":1704344835350,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/107749648","repostId":"2133968366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133968366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620524343,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2133968366?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-09 09:39","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fearing a repeat of 2013, investors are preparing to scale back bond purchases.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133968366","media":"金融界网站","summary":"美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了……　　随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。　　在2月底小幅上涨后，衡量货币、国债和美国股市隐含波动性的指标有所回落，这表明投资者认为美联储不会立即宣布削减购债。","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve hasn't even begun discussing tapering its bond purchases yet, and some investors are already taking precautions...</p><p>As the Federal Reserve draws ever closer to tapering its quantitative easing,<b>Investors who vividly remember the market turmoil of 2013 are trying to reduce the risk of their portfolios.</b>In May 2013, then-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled that he would begin tapering bond purchases, followed by a surge in global bond yields and a sharp decline in risky assets.<b>Some fund managers are worried about another surge in volatility, so they are turning to longer-term, high-yield bonds to seek safety. Other fund managers, however, believe that reducing bond purchases will not trigger panic and are betting on emerging market assets.</b></p><p>Economists expect the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its asset purchases by the end of this year. However, Federal Reserve officials said it is too early to change monetary policy in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as the economies of the UK and Canada improved, monetary authorities in both countries began to slow down bond purchases. This has led investors to believe that the Federal Reserve may also reduce quantitative easing when the economy is growing.</p><p>\"The biggest threat to the market remains the volatility of bond yields,\" said Pilar Gomez-Bravo, head of investment at MFS investment Management. \"Risky assets are valued highly, and investors don't have much room for complacency.\"</p><p>Gomez-Bravo believes that junk bonds can also be invested as an asset compared to investment-grade bonds. Junk bonds are less vulnerable to yield resets. Investment-grade bonds have longer maturities and are more sensitive to interest rates.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jeffrey</a>Sherif Hamid, a credit strategist at Jefferies Financial Group Inc., believes leveraged loans are even a better option.</p><p>Bloomberg data shows that investment-grade bonds are already under pressure.<b>The largest highly rated credit exchange-traded fund (ETF) is experiencing its longest capital outflow since 2013.</b></p><p>During the market turmoil in 2013, the bond market was the first to be affected. In the month following Bernanke's speech, the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield jumped 50 basis points. During the same period, the MSCI International Emerging Markets Index fell 14%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index fell 4%. Currently, the index, which is dominated by technology stocks, expects a P/E of 26 times, while the expected P/E at the time was only 15 times.</p><p>The world's largest asset management company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(BlackRock Inc.) Believe that,<b>Most of the volatility in the bond market has probably already occurred, and emerging market assets should perform much better.</b></p><p>Ben Powell, chief Asia-Pacific investment strategist at BlackRock investment Institute, believes that no major events have occurred so far, and yields may rise slightly.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond has risen by about 66 basis points this year and is currently around 1.53%. The Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Bond Total Return Index has fallen by more than 3% this year.</p><p>BlackRock stated that factors such as economic recovery, massive stimulus programs, and overall dollar stability are sufficient to protect risky assets, including those in developing countries, from the impact of the Federal Reserve's tapering of quantitative easing.</p><p>Ben Powell stated that the company increased its holdings of developed and emerging market stocks, and in terms of fixed income, they actually increased their holdings of emerging market local currency bonds last week.</p><p>After rising slightly at the end of February, indicators measuring the implied volatility of currencies, Treasury Bond, and U.S. stocks have retreated, suggesting that investors believe the Federal Reserve will not immediately announce a tapering of bond purchases. However, options market trading activity suggests that the annual central bank governors' meeting in Jackson Hole in August may be the beginning of discussions on tightening bond-buying programs.</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2021/05/cms_20210508015903792.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Meanwhile, Win Thin, global head of foreign exchange strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., said investors should carefully analyze the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which, based on past experience, will first discuss downsizing. The minutes of the April meeting will be released on May 19.</p>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fearing a repeat of 2013, investors are preparing to scale back bond purchases.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFearing a repeat of 2013, investors are preparing to scale back bond purchases.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金融界网站</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-09 09:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve hasn't even begun discussing tapering its bond purchases yet, and some investors are already taking precautions...</p><p>As the Federal Reserve draws ever closer to tapering its quantitative easing,<b>Investors who vividly remember the market turmoil of 2013 are trying to reduce the risk of their portfolios.</b>In May 2013, then-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled that he would begin tapering bond purchases, followed by a surge in global bond yields and a sharp decline in risky assets.<b>Some fund managers are worried about another surge in volatility, so they are turning to longer-term, high-yield bonds to seek safety. Other fund managers, however, believe that reducing bond purchases will not trigger panic and are betting on emerging market assets.</b></p><p>Economists expect the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its asset purchases by the end of this year. However, Federal Reserve officials said it is too early to change monetary policy in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as the economies of the UK and Canada improved, monetary authorities in both countries began to slow down bond purchases. This has led investors to believe that the Federal Reserve may also reduce quantitative easing when the economy is growing.</p><p>\"The biggest threat to the market remains the volatility of bond yields,\" said Pilar Gomez-Bravo, head of investment at MFS investment Management. \"Risky assets are valued highly, and investors don't have much room for complacency.\"</p><p>Gomez-Bravo believes that junk bonds can also be invested as an asset compared to investment-grade bonds. Junk bonds are less vulnerable to yield resets. Investment-grade bonds have longer maturities and are more sensitive to interest rates.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jeffrey</a>Sherif Hamid, a credit strategist at Jefferies Financial Group Inc., believes leveraged loans are even a better option.</p><p>Bloomberg data shows that investment-grade bonds are already under pressure.<b>The largest highly rated credit exchange-traded fund (ETF) is experiencing its longest capital outflow since 2013.</b></p><p>During the market turmoil in 2013, the bond market was the first to be affected. In the month following Bernanke's speech, the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield jumped 50 basis points. During the same period, the MSCI International Emerging Markets Index fell 14%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index fell 4%. Currently, the index, which is dominated by technology stocks, expects a P/E of 26 times, while the expected P/E at the time was only 15 times.</p><p>The world's largest asset management company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(BlackRock Inc.) Believe that,<b>Most of the volatility in the bond market has probably already occurred, and emerging market assets should perform much better.</b></p><p>Ben Powell, chief Asia-Pacific investment strategist at BlackRock investment Institute, believes that no major events have occurred so far, and yields may rise slightly.</p><p>The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond has risen by about 66 basis points this year and is currently around 1.53%. The Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Bond Total Return Index has fallen by more than 3% this year.</p><p>BlackRock stated that factors such as economic recovery, massive stimulus programs, and overall dollar stability are sufficient to protect risky assets, including those in developing countries, from the impact of the Federal Reserve's tapering of quantitative easing.</p><p>Ben Powell stated that the company increased its holdings of developed and emerging market stocks, and in terms of fixed income, they actually increased their holdings of emerging market local currency bonds last week.</p><p>After rising slightly at the end of February, indicators measuring the implied volatility of currencies, Treasury Bond, and U.S. stocks have retreated, suggesting that investors believe the Federal Reserve will not immediately announce a tapering of bond purchases. However, options market trading activity suggests that the annual central bank governors' meeting in Jackson Hole in August may be the beginning of discussions on tightening bond-buying programs.</p><p><img src=\"http://img.jrjimg.cn/2021/05/cms_20210508015903792.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Meanwhile, Win Thin, global head of foreign exchange strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., said investors should carefully analyze the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which, based on past experience, will first discuss downsizing. The minutes of the April meeting will be released on May 19.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2021/05/08015932714137.shtml\">金融界网站</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1d75a2b7a7bd95e0102711f4f871de","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时",".DJI":"道琼斯","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"http://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2021/05/08015932714137.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133968366","content_text":"美联储还没开始讨论缩减购债，一些投资者已经未雨绸缪了……随着美联储缩减量化宽松的步伐越来越近，对2013年的市场动荡记忆犹新的投资者们正努力减少投资组合的风险。2013年5月，时任美联储主席伯南克发出将开始缩减购债的信号，随后全球债券收益率飙升，风险资产大跌。一些基金经理担心波动率再次飙升，故转向较长期限的高收益债券寻求避险；而另一些基金经理则认为，缩减购债规模不会引发恐慌，并押注新兴市场资产。经济学家预计美联储将在今年年底前开始削减资产购买规模。但美联储官员表示，现在改变应对新冠疫情的货币政策还为时过早。然而，随着英国和加拿大经济的改善，两国货币当局开始减缓债券购买。这让投资者们觉得美联储也有可能会在经济增长的时候缩减量化宽松。美富信投资管理（MFS investment Management）投资主管Pilar Gomez-Bravo表示：“对市场而言，最大的威胁仍是债券收益率的波动性。风险资产的估值较高，投资者并没有太多自满的空间。”Gomez-Bravo认为，与投资级债券相比，垃圾债券也可以作为一种资产投资。在收益率重置时，垃圾债并不那么容易受到影响。投资级债券的期限更长，对利率的敏感性也更高。杰富瑞金融集团（Jefferies Financial Group Inc．）信贷策略师哈米德（Sherif Hamid）认为，杠杆贷款甚至是一个更好的选择。彭博的数据显示，投资级债券已经面临压力，最大的高评级信用交易所交易基金（ETF）正经历着2013年以来最长时间的资金外流。在2013年市场动荡中，债券市场最先受到影响。在伯南克发表讲话后的一个月里，10年期美国国债收益率跃升了50个基点。同期MSCI国际新兴市场指数下跌14%，纳斯达克100指数下跌4%。目前，以科技股为主的指数预期市盈率为26倍，而当时的预期市盈率仅为15倍。全球最大的资产管理公司贝莱德（BlackRock Inc．）认为，债券市场的大部分波动可能已经发生，新兴市场资产的表现应该会好得多。贝莱德投资研究所（BlackRock investment Institute）首席亚太投资策略师本・鲍威尔（Ben Powell）认为目前已经没有什么重大事件发生，收益率可能会小幅走高。10年期美国国债收益率今年以来上涨了约66个基点，目前在1.53%附近。今年以来，彭博巴克莱美国国债总回报指数（Bloomberg Barclays U.S． Treasury Total Return Index）下跌超过3%。贝莱德表示，经济复苏、大规模刺激计划和美元总体稳定等因素，足以让风险资产（包括发展中国家的风险资产）免受美联储缩减量化宽松的影响。本・鲍威尔表示，该公司增持了发达国家和新兴市场股票，在固定收益方面，他们上周实际上增持了新兴市场本币债券。在2月底小幅上涨后，衡量货币、国债和美国股市隐含波动性的指标有所回落，这表明投资者认为美联储不会立即宣布削减购债。但期权市场交易活动表明，8月份在Jackson Hole举行的央行行长年会或许是讨论收紧购债计划的开始。与此同时，布朗兄弟哈里曼公司（Brown Brothers Harriman &Co．）全球外汇策略主管Win Thin表示，投资者应仔细分析联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要，根据以往经验，会议将首先讨论缩减规模。4月份的会议记录将于5月19日公布。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"DXD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"QID":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SH":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130477050,"gmtCreate":1621563522070,"gmtModify":1704359722822,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130477050","repostId":"1197907753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197907753","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621562334,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197907753?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-21 09:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reports indicate that JD Logistics has set its IPO price at HK$40.36.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197907753","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月21日讯，京东物流据悉将IPO发行价定为40.36港元/股，位于招股价区间低端。5月17日，京东物流在港交所发布公告，正式启动股份全球公开发售。根据公告，本次全球公开发售总计6.092亿股，每股发","content":"<p>On May 21, JD Logistics reportedly set its IPO price at HK$40.36 per share, which is at the low end of the offering price range.</p><p>May 17th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02618\">JD Logistics</a>The Hong Kong Stock Exchange issued an announcement officially launching a global public offering of shares. According to the announcement, the global public offering totals 609.2 million shares, with an offer price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share. The offering period is from May 17th to May 21st, and the company is expected to officially begin trading on May 28th.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Its third listed subsidiary. According to market sources, the international placement portion of the IPO received full subscriptions on the first day.</p><p>JD Logistics' IPO was led by Bank of America Securities.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>Joint sponsorship. Meanwhile, cornerstone investors agreed to subscribe for approximately HK$11.9 billion worth of shares, including SoftBank, Temasek, and China Chengtong Investment. Regarding the use of the funds raised, the prospectus shows that 55% of the funds raised will be used to upgrade and expand six major logistics networks; 20% of the funds raised will be used to develop advanced technologies related to supply chain solutions and logistics services; 15% of the funds raised will be used to expand the breadth and depth of integrated supply chain solutions.</p><p>In its prospectus, JD Logistics also mentioned the challenges posed by the current fierce external competition. In summary, JD Logistics currently lacks an advantage over established logistics providers in terms of customer base, nor does it have an overwhelming advantage over new logistics providers. Future development opportunities and risks coexist.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reports indicate that JD Logistics has set its IPO price at HK$40.36.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReports indicate that JD Logistics has set its IPO price at HK$40.36.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-21 09:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On May 21, JD Logistics reportedly set its IPO price at HK$40.36 per share, which is at the low end of the offering price range.</p><p>May 17th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02618\">JD Logistics</a>The Hong Kong Stock Exchange issued an announcement officially launching a global public offering of shares. According to the announcement, the global public offering totals 609.2 million shares, with an offer price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share. The offering period is from May 17th to May 21st, and the company is expected to officially begin trading on May 28th.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Its third listed subsidiary. According to market sources, the international placement portion of the IPO received full subscriptions on the first day.</p><p>JD Logistics' IPO was led by Bank of America Securities.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>Joint sponsorship. Meanwhile, cornerstone investors agreed to subscribe for approximately HK$11.9 billion worth of shares, including SoftBank, Temasek, and China Chengtong Investment. Regarding the use of the funds raised, the prospectus shows that 55% of the funds raised will be used to upgrade and expand six major logistics networks; 20% of the funds raised will be used to develop advanced technologies related to supply chain solutions and logistics services; 15% of the funds raised will be used to expand the breadth and depth of integrated supply chain solutions.</p><p>In its prospectus, JD Logistics also mentioned the challenges posed by the current fierce external competition. In summary, JD Logistics currently lacks an advantage over established logistics providers in terms of customer base, nor does it have an overwhelming advantage over new logistics providers. Future development opportunities and risks coexist.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197907753","content_text":"5月21日讯，京东物流据悉将IPO发行价定为40.36港元/股，位于招股价区间低端。5月17日，京东物流在港交所发布公告，正式启动股份全球公开发售。根据公告，本次全球公开发售总计6.092亿股，每股发售价格区间39.36港元至43.36港元，发售时间段为5月17日至5月21日，预计将于5月28日正式上市交易，这也是京东旗下第三家上市的子公司。有市场消息称，首日招股国际配售部分已录得足额认购。本次京东物流IPO由美银证券、高盛、海通国际联席保荐。同时，名基石投资者同意认购约119亿港元股票，包括软银、淡马锡、中国诚通投资等。对于募资用途，招股书显示，55%的募资将用于升级和扩展六大物流网络；20%的募资将用于开发与供应链解决方案和物流服务相关的先进技术；15%的募资将用于扩展一体化供应链解决方案的广度与深度。招股书中，京东物流也提及当下激烈的外部竞争所带来的挑战。综合来看，目前京东物流在客户量方面对比老牌物流厂商无法体现优势，面对新型物流厂商又无压倒性优势，未来发展机遇与风险并存。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145695116,"gmtCreate":1626220353335,"gmtModify":1703755651329,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145695116","repostId":"1179493532","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179493532","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1626219749,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179493532?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 07:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Keep holding on! Sister Wood holds these Chinese concept stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179493532","media":"Wind万得","summary":"方舟基金的木头姐（Cathie Wood）以专注投资颠覆性公司出名，因长期坚守特斯拉让她名利双收，她同样看好中国科技公司的发展，今年的中概表现并不尽如人意，但她的ARKK基金依然坚守这几家公司。\nAR","content":"<p>Cathie Wood of Ark Fund is known for her focus on investing in disruptive companies, and for her long-term commitment to...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>This has brought her both fame and fortune. She is also optimistic about the development of Chinese technology companies. Although the performance of Chinese concept companies this year has not been satisfactory, her ARKK fund still holds onto these companies.</p><p>ARK was founded by Cathie Wood in 2014.<b>ARK focuses on investing in \"disruptive innovation\" opportunities, namely gene technology,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>Technology, artificial intelligence, energy storage, and blockchain technology</b>。</p><p>In January of this year, the ARK series of funds won more than traditional investment management giants.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>State Street has more funds. ARK adheres to the strategy of \"buying small and mid-cap growth stocks and selling large-cap value stocks\".</p><p><b>ARK's six actively managed ETFs are:</b></p><p><b>ARKK (Disruptive Innovation):</b>This fund is a combination of four other actively managed ETFs and is also the largest ETF by market capitalization. Founded on October 31, 2014, it had net assets of US$22 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 500% since its inception, but down 3.98% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/891a4f018135ff0b41dc36f3d3901936\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKQ (Automation Technology and Robotics):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies developing businesses in areas such as automated transportation, robotics, automation, 3D printing, energy storage, and space exploration. Founded on September 30, 2014, it had net assets of US$3.3 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 300% since its inception and up 10% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f21edca86bb37224676d5c4a3a1be9c\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKW (Next Generation Internet):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies in cloud computing and cybersecurity, e-commerce, big data and artificial intelligence, Internet of Things and mobile technologies, social platforms, blockchain, and P2P technologies. Founded on September 30, 2014, it had net assets of US$6.9 billion as of the end of March this year, an increase of over 600% since its inception and a year-to-date increase of 0.74%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77843e4fce6853d2b9ed142b994c0e1b\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"295\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKG (Genomic Revolution):</b>This fund mainly invests in companies in Crispr, gene editing technology, targeted research and treatment, bioinformatics, molecular diagnostics, stem cells, and agricultural biology. Founded on October 31, 2014, it had net assets of US$9.4 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 350% since its inception, but down 4.85% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e7359506a0c6cdca0b1fc69d4b2421a\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKF (Fintech Innovation):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies in transaction innovation, blockchain technology, risk transformation, frictionless funding platforms, customer-facing platforms, and new intermediaries. Founded on April 1, 2019, it had net assets of US$3.9 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 160% since its inception and up 2.53% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fb18a5f77361e8f42a08bd0c352ce93\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKX (Space Exploration):</b>The fund officially went public on March 30 this year, mainly investing in orbital and suborbital aerospace stocks, propulsion technology stocks, and aerospace beneficiary stocks. Founded on March 30, 2021, its net assets amounted to US$63 million as of the end of March this year, almost unchanged since its inception.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92952d95f7669a63c855a200f048b238\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Of these six funds, Tesla remains the favorite. Apart from ARKF and ARKX, Tesla is the largest position in both funds, accounting for about 10% of the fund's total.</p><p><b>Regarding Chinese concept stocks,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Sister Wood's favorite</b>Apart from ARKG, which does not hold any positions in Chinese concept stocks, four funds hold positions in these two companies. The other Chinese concept stocks are all well-known large technology companies, such as Meituan and Alibaba.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f46cefa5c28679cd758b2c44dfe434e\" tg-width=\"350\" tg-height=\"702\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In a recent interview with CNBC, Sister Mutou said that the decline in tech stocks is not a cause for concern. If we look at long-term returns over the next five years, \"nothing has changed except the price.\" She even raised her annual earnings forecast.<b>It is expected to generate a compound annual return of 25%-30% this year.</b>This is more than 10 percentage points higher than the 15% she predicted in February.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Keep holding on! Sister Wood holds these Chinese concept stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKeep holding on! Sister Wood holds these Chinese concept stocks\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-14 07:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood of Ark Fund is known for her focus on investing in disruptive companies, and for her long-term commitment to...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>This has brought her both fame and fortune. She is also optimistic about the development of Chinese technology companies. Although the performance of Chinese concept companies this year has not been satisfactory, her ARKK fund still holds onto these companies.</p><p>ARK was founded by Cathie Wood in 2014.<b>ARK focuses on investing in \"disruptive innovation\" opportunities, namely gene technology,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>Technology, artificial intelligence, energy storage, and blockchain technology</b>。</p><p>In January of this year, the ARK series of funds won more than traditional investment management giants.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>State Street has more funds. ARK adheres to the strategy of \"buying small and mid-cap growth stocks and selling large-cap value stocks\".</p><p><b>ARK's six actively managed ETFs are:</b></p><p><b>ARKK (Disruptive Innovation):</b>This fund is a combination of four other actively managed ETFs and is also the largest ETF by market capitalization. Founded on October 31, 2014, it had net assets of US$22 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 500% since its inception, but down 3.98% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/891a4f018135ff0b41dc36f3d3901936\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKQ (Automation Technology and Robotics):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies developing businesses in areas such as automated transportation, robotics, automation, 3D printing, energy storage, and space exploration. Founded on September 30, 2014, it had net assets of US$3.3 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 300% since its inception and up 10% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f21edca86bb37224676d5c4a3a1be9c\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKW (Next Generation Internet):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies in cloud computing and cybersecurity, e-commerce, big data and artificial intelligence, Internet of Things and mobile technologies, social platforms, blockchain, and P2P technologies. Founded on September 30, 2014, it had net assets of US$6.9 billion as of the end of March this year, an increase of over 600% since its inception and a year-to-date increase of 0.74%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77843e4fce6853d2b9ed142b994c0e1b\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"295\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKG (Genomic Revolution):</b>This fund mainly invests in companies in Crispr, gene editing technology, targeted research and treatment, bioinformatics, molecular diagnostics, stem cells, and agricultural biology. Founded on October 31, 2014, it had net assets of US$9.4 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 350% since its inception, but down 4.85% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e7359506a0c6cdca0b1fc69d4b2421a\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKF (Fintech Innovation):</b>This fund primarily invests in companies in transaction innovation, blockchain technology, risk transformation, frictionless funding platforms, customer-facing platforms, and new intermediaries. Founded on April 1, 2019, it had net assets of US$3.9 billion as of the end of March this year, up more than 160% since its inception and up 2.53% year-to-date.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fb18a5f77361e8f42a08bd0c352ce93\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>ARKX (Space Exploration):</b>The fund officially went public on March 30 this year, mainly investing in orbital and suborbital aerospace stocks, propulsion technology stocks, and aerospace beneficiary stocks. Founded on March 30, 2021, its net assets amounted to US$63 million as of the end of March this year, almost unchanged since its inception.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92952d95f7669a63c855a200f048b238\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Of these six funds, Tesla remains the favorite. Apart from ARKF and ARKX, Tesla is the largest position in both funds, accounting for about 10% of the fund's total.</p><p><b>Regarding Chinese concept stocks,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Sister Wood's favorite</b>Apart from ARKG, which does not hold any positions in Chinese concept stocks, four funds hold positions in these two companies. The other Chinese concept stocks are all well-known large technology companies, such as Meituan and Alibaba.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f46cefa5c28679cd758b2c44dfe434e\" tg-width=\"350\" tg-height=\"702\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In a recent interview with CNBC, Sister Mutou said that the decline in tech stocks is not a cause for concern. If we look at long-term returns over the next five years, \"nothing has changed except the price.\" She even raised her annual earnings forecast.<b>It is expected to generate a compound annual return of 25%-30% this year.</b>This is more than 10 percentage points higher than the 15% she predicted in February.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d875ae57a1b42a1d0d289994d6bd23b8","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179493532","content_text":"方舟基金的木头姐（Cathie Wood）以专注投资颠覆性公司出名，因长期坚守特斯拉让她名利双收，她同样看好中国科技公司的发展，今年的中概表现并不尽如人意，但她的ARKK基金依然坚守这几家公司。\nARK（方舟投资）由Cathie Wood在2014年创立，ARK专注于投资“颠覆性创新”的机会，即基因科技、机器人技术、人工智能、能量存储和区块链技术。\n今年一月ARK系列基金赢得了比传统投资管理巨头贝莱德、道富更多的资金。ARK坚持“买入成长中小盘股，卖出价值大盘股”的策略。\nARK旗下的6只主动型ETF分别为:\nARKK（颠覆性创新）：这只基金是其他四只主动型ETF的综合，也是市值最大的一支ETF。成立于2014年10月31日，截止今年3月底净资产规模220亿美元，成立以来涨超500%，年初至今下跌3.98%。\n\nARKQ（自动技术与机器人）：本支基金主要投资在自动运输、机器人、自动化、3D打印、能源储存、太空探索等方面发展业务的公司。成立于2014年9月30日，截止今年3月底净资产规模33亿美元，成立以来涨超300%，年初至今涨10%。\n\nARKW（下一代互联网）:本基金主要投资在云计算和网络安全、电子商务、大数据和人工智能、物联网和移动技术、社交平台、区块链和P2P技术方面的公司。成立于2014年9月30日，截止今年3月底净资产规模69亿美元，成立以来上涨超600%，年初至今涨0.74%。\n\nARKG（基因组革命）：本支基金主要投资在Crispr、基因编辑技术、针对性研究治疗、生物信息学、分子诊断、干细胞、农业生物学方面的公司。成立于2014年10月31日，截止今年3月底净资产规模94亿美元，成立以来上涨超350%，年初至今下跌4.85%。\n\nARKF（金融科技创新）：本支基金主要投资在交易创新、区块链技术、风险转化、无摩擦资金平台、面向客户的平台、新中介方面的公司。成立于2019年4月1日，截止今年3月底净资产规模39亿美元，成立以来涨超160%，年初至今上涨2.53%。\n\nARKX(太空探索）：该基金于今年3月30日正式上市交易，主要投资于轨道和亚轨道航天类股、推动技术类股和航天受益类股。成立于2021年3月30日，截止今年3月底净资产规模6300万美元，成立以来几乎持平。\n\n这六只基金里，特斯拉依然是最爱，除了ARKF和ARKX，特斯拉均为第一大头寸，持股约占基金总额的10%。\n中概股方面，腾讯和京东是木头姐最爱，除了ARKG不持有任何中概股头寸外，分别有四只基金都持有这两家公司，其他中概股都是大家耳熟能详的大型科技公司，比如美团、阿里等。\n\n木头姐在最近一次接受CNBC采访时表示，科技股回落不值得担忧，如果放眼5年看长期收益，“除了价格之外，什么都没有改变”。她甚至上调了年度收益预期，预计今年将产生25%-30%的年度复合回报，比她2月预计的15%高出逾10个百分点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,"TTTN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192100096,"gmtCreate":1621154674215,"gmtModify":1704353452604,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192100096","repostId":"1164480285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164480285","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621039073,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164480285?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-15 08:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning: Technology led a two-day rebound in US stocks, while Tesla fell 12% this week.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164480285","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美债收益率大跌提升投资者风险偏好，纳指大涨逾2％，中概股集体反弹；美国输油管道重开，美油、布油双双大涨逾2％；14个月牛市后，贝佐斯等亿万富豪纷纷减持股票 ，大佬Q1持仓 ：桥水建仓特斯拉抛黄金","content":"<p><b>Abstract:</b></p><p><ul><li>The sharp drop in US Treasury yields boosted investor risk appetite, causing the Nasdaq to surge more than 2% and Chinese concept stocks to rebound collectively.</li><li>With the reopening of U.S. oil pipelines, both U.S. and Brent crude oil prices surged by more than 2%.</li><li>After a 14-month bull market, billionaires such as Bezos have reduced their stock holdings.</li><li>Big name Q1 holdings: Bridgewater Associates builds positions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Selling gold, Soros builds a position<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>Clearance Sale Palantir.</li></ul><b>Overseas markets</b></p><p><b>1. Falling US Treasury yields helped US stocks record their second consecutive rise! The Nasdaq surged over 2%, and Chinese concept stocks rebounded collectively.</b></p><p>The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher and closed higher across the board on Friday as U.S. retail sales in April failed to grow and fell short of expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields plummeted, boosting investor risk appetite. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 360.68 points to 34,382.13, a gain of 1.06%. The Nasdaq rose 304.99 points to 13,429.98, or 2.32%. The S&P 500 rose 61.35 points to 4,173.85, or 1.49%.</p><p>Chinese concept stocks as a whole have seen a relatively strong rebound. As of Friday's close,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up 1.66%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>ADR rose 3.64%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 3.85%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Up 1.67%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 3.77%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Up 10.72%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 9.08%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 7.05%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Up 6.50%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>Up 11.25%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">Jinko Solar</a>Up 2.47%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 2.69%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>Up 5.38%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Up 5.99%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">Youdao</a>Up 8.64%.</p><p><b>2. Bank of England Governor says inflation will not last; European stocks closed higher across the board on Friday.</b></p><p>European stocks continued their sharp rebound on Friday (May 14) as investor concerns about inflation slowed as the decline in commodity prices, following a sell-off at the start of trading this week.</p><p><b>3. With the reopening of US oil pipelines, both US and Brent crude oil prices surged by more than 2%! Both rose for the third consecutive week.</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed higher on Friday and have also risen this week as a key U.S. fuel pipeline reopened after being forced to shut down over the weekend due to a ransomware attack.</p><p><b>4. A stronger US dollar pushed gold prices up 0.8%, marking their second consecutive gain! Hit a new closing high in over three months</b></p><p>Gold futures for June delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $14.10 to settle at $1,838.10 an ounce, a gain of 0.8%, marking their highest closing price since February 10. The contract also closed up nearly 0.1% on Thursday. In overall trading this week, gold futures prices rose by about 0.4% based on the main contract.</p><p><b>5. Dogecoin surges over 40%! Musk speaks out again: Will cooperate with Dogecoin developers</b></p><p>Dogecoin prices surged on Friday after Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, a supporter of the cryptocurrency, posted a message on social media, and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase announced it would offer Dogecoin trading.</p><p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135988454\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Top investors in Q1: Bridgewater builds a position in Tesla, Soros builds a position in Vipshop.</b></a></p><p>Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, increased its holdings in consumer and bank stocks in the first quarter of this year, while selling gold ETFs and technology stocks, but also built positions.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>。 Soros's family office also sold off some tech stocks, including big data star Palantir, which directly sold off its holdings. However, it also increased its holdings in many Chinese concept stocks, including newly added long positions.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>。</p><p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135600444\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Bridgewater Associates Q1 Holdings: Increased holdings in consumer stocks, bought back Tesla shares; reduced holdings in Chinese concept stocks.</b></a></p><p>According to statistics from 13F data platform Whalewisdom, in Bridgewater's Q1 holdings, a total of 204 targets were increased, 123 targets were reduced, 127 targets were newly added, and 197 targets were sold. From an overall perspective, Bridgewater's main focus in the first quarter was on consumer stocks.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">S&P 500 ETF</a>Funds such as gold ETFs have significantly reduced their holdings.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Federal Reserve's Mester: Policy is in good shape; now is not the time for adjustments.</b></p><p>Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said the Fed's policy is currently in a good state. She also downplayed signals from economic data, saying the data would be volatile as the economy restarted.</p><p><b>2. Americans are no longer willing to spend money? Retail sales did not grow in April and were weaker than expected.</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Commerce Department on Friday showed that overall retail sales remained roughly flat month-on-month in April, with an upward revision to a 10.7% increase in March. A Bloomberg survey shows that economists' median forecast is for 1% growth in April.</p><p><b>3. Is the Federal Reserve ready to surrender? Big short Schiff: US inflation will \"explode\" and the dollar is losing its purchasing power.</b></p><p>According to renowned investor and financial commentator Peter Schiff, the Federal Reserve will not fight inflation in the United States. This is because even if they tried to fight, they were destined to fail, so they wouldn't even try. For this reason, I have been telling everyone that there will be no war on inflation. The Fed is now ready to surrender. Inflation will undoubtedly win big. In fact, the future inflation problem will be much more dire than the market expects. If the weakness in gold prices is indeed due to higher-than-expected inflation, then investors should seize the opportunity to buy now.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135600094\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Secure your profits! After 14 months of bull market, billionaires such as Bezos have reduced their stock holdings</b></a></p><p>The world's richest shareholders are selling their shares to secure their profits. Including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Jeff Bezos and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Company insiders, including co-founder Sergey Brin, have recently accelerated their share reductions to seize the opportunity presented by the 14-month bull market to cash out.</p><p><b>5. Unable to distinguish between good news and bad news for inflation, American investors have reason to be anxious.</b></p><p>It is widely believed that inflation is a positive factor for the stock market. However, over the past week, inflation has risen far beyond economists' expectations, causing panic among U.S. stock market investors. One Wall Street analyst said that a closer look at historical records might reveal why investors behave the way they do.</p><p><b>6. New bond king Gunlak: There is reason to worry about inflation, which may force the Federal Reserve to rate hike.</b></p><p>\"In my opinion, the market is starting to get a little worried (about inflation) this week,\" Gunlach said. He then added, \"This is the biggest discrepancy between the consumer price index and economists' expectations in years, and perhaps even the biggest in my entire career.\"</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135860760\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Earnings reports from Disney, Airbnb, and DoorDash reveal a new economic normal after the pandemic.</b></a><b></b></p><p>Airbnb says interest in travel has surged again as vaccines become more widely available. The company noted a significant increase in travel bookings in the UK immediately after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced a gradual exit from lockdown in February. For U.S. customers aged 60 and older, searches for Airbnb summer travel increased by more than 60% between February and March this year.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135860665\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Amazon is launching another large-scale recruitment campaign, planning to hire 10,000 permanent employees in the UK.</b></a></p><p>During the COVID-19 pandemic, many companies laid off employees, but Amazon, the world's largest online retailer, bucked the trend. Amazon announced today that it will be hiring 10,000 more people in the UK, bringing the company's total number of employees in the UK to 55,000 by the end of 2021.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135607690\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Following Musk's lead, Square backed down, with media reports indicating it has no intention of acquiring more Bitcoin.</b></a></p><p>Among the companies that had previously purchased Bitcoin as reserves, some chose to stop. According to reports, after losing $20 million on related investments, payment fintech company Square has stated that it has no intention of purchasing more Bitcoin as a reserve.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning: Technology led a two-day rebound in US stocks, while Tesla fell 12% this week.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning: Technology led a two-day rebound in US stocks, while Tesla fell 12% this week.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-15 08:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Abstract:</b></p><p><ul><li>The sharp drop in US Treasury yields boosted investor risk appetite, causing the Nasdaq to surge more than 2% and Chinese concept stocks to rebound collectively.</li><li>With the reopening of U.S. oil pipelines, both U.S. and Brent crude oil prices surged by more than 2%.</li><li>After a 14-month bull market, billionaires such as Bezos have reduced their stock holdings.</li><li>Big name Q1 holdings: Bridgewater Associates builds positions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Selling gold, Soros builds a position<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>Clearance Sale Palantir.</li></ul><b>Overseas markets</b></p><p><b>1. Falling US Treasury yields helped US stocks record their second consecutive rise! The Nasdaq surged over 2%, and Chinese concept stocks rebounded collectively.</b></p><p>The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher and closed higher across the board on Friday as U.S. retail sales in April failed to grow and fell short of expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields plummeted, boosting investor risk appetite. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 360.68 points to 34,382.13, a gain of 1.06%. The Nasdaq rose 304.99 points to 13,429.98, or 2.32%. The S&P 500 rose 61.35 points to 4,173.85, or 1.49%.</p><p>Chinese concept stocks as a whole have seen a relatively strong rebound. As of Friday's close,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up 1.66%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>ADR rose 3.64%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 3.85%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Up 1.67%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">NetEase</a>Up 3.77%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Up 10.72%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 9.08%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 7.05%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Up 6.50%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>Up 11.25%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">Jinko Solar</a>Up 2.47%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Up 2.69%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>Up 5.38%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Up 5.99%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">Youdao</a>Up 8.64%.</p><p><b>2. Bank of England Governor says inflation will not last; European stocks closed higher across the board on Friday.</b></p><p>European stocks continued their sharp rebound on Friday (May 14) as investor concerns about inflation slowed as the decline in commodity prices, following a sell-off at the start of trading this week.</p><p><b>3. With the reopening of US oil pipelines, both US and Brent crude oil prices surged by more than 2%! Both rose for the third consecutive week.</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed higher on Friday and have also risen this week as a key U.S. fuel pipeline reopened after being forced to shut down over the weekend due to a ransomware attack.</p><p><b>4. A stronger US dollar pushed gold prices up 0.8%, marking their second consecutive gain! Hit a new closing high in over three months</b></p><p>Gold futures for June delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $14.10 to settle at $1,838.10 an ounce, a gain of 0.8%, marking their highest closing price since February 10. The contract also closed up nearly 0.1% on Thursday. In overall trading this week, gold futures prices rose by about 0.4% based on the main contract.</p><p><b>5. Dogecoin surges over 40%! Musk speaks out again: Will cooperate with Dogecoin developers</b></p><p>Dogecoin prices surged on Friday after Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, a supporter of the cryptocurrency, posted a message on social media, and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase announced it would offer Dogecoin trading.</p><p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135988454\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Top investors in Q1: Bridgewater builds a position in Tesla, Soros builds a position in Vipshop.</b></a></p><p>Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, increased its holdings in consumer and bank stocks in the first quarter of this year, while selling gold ETFs and technology stocks, but also built positions.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>。 Soros's family office also sold off some tech stocks, including big data star Palantir, which directly sold off its holdings. However, it also increased its holdings in many Chinese concept stocks, including newly added long positions.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>。</p><p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135600444\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Bridgewater Associates Q1 Holdings: Increased holdings in consumer stocks, bought back Tesla shares; reduced holdings in Chinese concept stocks.</b></a></p><p>According to statistics from 13F data platform Whalewisdom, in Bridgewater's Q1 holdings, a total of 204 targets were increased, 123 targets were reduced, 127 targets were newly added, and 197 targets were sold. From an overall perspective, Bridgewater's main focus in the first quarter was on consumer stocks.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">S&P 500 ETF</a>Funds such as gold ETFs have significantly reduced their holdings.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Federal Reserve's Mester: Policy is in good shape; now is not the time for adjustments.</b></p><p>Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said the Fed's policy is currently in a good state. She also downplayed signals from economic data, saying the data would be volatile as the economy restarted.</p><p><b>2. Americans are no longer willing to spend money? Retail sales did not grow in April and were weaker than expected.</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Commerce Department on Friday showed that overall retail sales remained roughly flat month-on-month in April, with an upward revision to a 10.7% increase in March. A Bloomberg survey shows that economists' median forecast is for 1% growth in April.</p><p><b>3. Is the Federal Reserve ready to surrender? Big short Schiff: US inflation will \"explode\" and the dollar is losing its purchasing power.</b></p><p>According to renowned investor and financial commentator Peter Schiff, the Federal Reserve will not fight inflation in the United States. This is because even if they tried to fight, they were destined to fail, so they wouldn't even try. For this reason, I have been telling everyone that there will be no war on inflation. The Fed is now ready to surrender. Inflation will undoubtedly win big. In fact, the future inflation problem will be much more dire than the market expects. If the weakness in gold prices is indeed due to higher-than-expected inflation, then investors should seize the opportunity to buy now.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135600094\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Secure your profits! After 14 months of bull market, billionaires such as Bezos have reduced their stock holdings</b></a></p><p>The world's richest shareholders are selling their shares to secure their profits. Including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Jeff Bezos and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Company insiders, including co-founder Sergey Brin, have recently accelerated their share reductions to seize the opportunity presented by the 14-month bull market to cash out.</p><p><b>5. Unable to distinguish between good news and bad news for inflation, American investors have reason to be anxious.</b></p><p>It is widely believed that inflation is a positive factor for the stock market. However, over the past week, inflation has risen far beyond economists' expectations, causing panic among U.S. stock market investors. One Wall Street analyst said that a closer look at historical records might reveal why investors behave the way they do.</p><p><b>6. New bond king Gunlak: There is reason to worry about inflation, which may force the Federal Reserve to rate hike.</b></p><p>\"In my opinion, the market is starting to get a little worried (about inflation) this week,\" Gunlach said. He then added, \"This is the biggest discrepancy between the consumer price index and economists' expectations in years, and perhaps even the biggest in my entire career.\"</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135860760\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Earnings reports from Disney, Airbnb, and DoorDash reveal a new economic normal after the pandemic.</b></a><b></b></p><p>Airbnb says interest in travel has surged again as vaccines become more widely available. The company noted a significant increase in travel bookings in the UK immediately after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced a gradual exit from lockdown in February. For U.S. customers aged 60 and older, searches for Airbnb summer travel increased by more than 60% between February and March this year.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135860665\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Amazon is launching another large-scale recruitment campaign, planning to hire 10,000 permanent employees in the UK.</b></a></p><p>During the COVID-19 pandemic, many companies laid off employees, but Amazon, the world's largest online retailer, bucked the trend. Amazon announced today that it will be hiring 10,000 more people in the UK, bringing the company's total number of employees in the UK to 55,000 by the end of 2021.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135607690\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Following Musk's lead, Square backed down, with media reports indicating it has no intention of acquiring more Bitcoin.</b></a></p><p>Among the companies that had previously purchased Bitcoin as reserves, some chose to stop. According to reports, after losing $20 million on related investments, payment fintech company Square has stated that it has no intention of purchasing more Bitcoin as a reserve.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","NTES":"网易","BABA":"阿里巴巴","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","03086":"华夏纳指"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164480285","content_text":"摘要：美债收益率大跌提升投资者风险偏好，纳指大涨逾2％，中概股集体反弹；美国输油管道重开，美油、布油双双大涨逾2％；14个月牛市后，贝佐斯等亿万富豪纷纷减持股票 ，大佬Q1持仓 ：桥水建仓特斯拉抛黄金，索罗斯建仓唯品会清仓Palantir。海外市场1、美债收益率下跌助美股录得二连涨！纳指大涨逾2％，中概股集体反弹美股三大指数周五高开高走全线收涨，因美国4月零售销售未见增长并逊于预期，美债收益率大跌，提升了投资者的风险偏好情绪。截至收盘，道指涨360.68点，报34382.13点，涨幅为1.06%；纳指涨304.99点，报13429.98点，涨幅为2.32%；标普500指数涨61.35点，报4173.85点，涨幅为1.49%。中概股整体出现了较为强劲的反弹。截至周五收盘，阿里巴巴涨1.66%、腾讯ADR涨3.64%、百度涨3.85%、京东涨1.67%、网易涨3.77%、哔哩哔哩涨10.72%、小鹏汽车涨9.08%、蔚来汽车涨7.05%、理想汽车涨6.50%、嘉楠科技涨11.25%、晶科能源涨2.47%、拼多多涨2.69%、好未来涨5.38%、新东方涨5.99%、有道涨8.64%。2、英国央行行长称通胀不会持续 欧股周五全线收涨投资者对通胀的担忧随着大宗商品价格的回落放缓，欧洲股市周五（5月14日）继续大幅反弹，此前股市在本周交易开始时遭遇抛售。3、美国输油管道重开，美油、布油双双大涨逾2％！本周均连续第三周走高原油期货价格周五收盘上涨，本周也同样走高，原因是美国一条关键的燃油输送管道在上周末因受到勒索软件攻击而被迫关闭后重新开放。4、美元走强推动金价收高0.8％，录得二连涨！创3个多月收盘新高纽约商品交易所6月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨14.10美元，报收于每盎司1838.10美元，涨幅为0.8%，创下了自2月10日以来的最高收盘价，此前该合约在周四的交易中也收盘上涨近0.1%在本周的整体交易中，按主力合约计算，黄金期货价格累计上涨了0.4%左右。5、狗狗币飙涨逾40％！马斯克再发声：将与狗狗币开发商合作狗狗币价格周五飙升，原因是这种加密货币的支持者、特斯拉（NASDAQ:TSLA）首席执行官埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）在社交媒体上发布了一条消息，且加密货币交易所Coinbase称其将提供狗狗币交易。6、大佬Q1投资：桥水建仓特斯拉，索罗斯建仓唯品会全球最大对冲基金桥水今年一季度增持消费类股和银行股，抛售黄金ETF和科技股，但建仓了特斯拉。索罗斯的家族办公室也抛售了一些科技股，其中大数据明星Palantir直接清仓，但同时增持了不少中概股，包括新进做多唯品会。7、桥水基金Q1持仓：加仓消费买回特斯拉，中概股遭减持根据13F数据平台Whalewisdom统计，在桥水Q1持仓中，总共增持204个标的、减持123个标的、新进127个标的、清仓197个标的。从整体操作来看，桥水一季度主要加仓方向为消费股，对于标普500ETF、黄金ETF等基金工具做出了较大减持。国际宏观1、美联储梅斯特：政策处于良好状态 现在不是进行调整的时候克里夫兰联邦储备银行行长洛蕾塔·梅斯特（Loretta Mester）表示，美联储的政策目前处于良好状态。她还淡化了经济数据发出的信号，称随着经济重启，数据将会表现不稳定。2、美国人不愿意花钱了？4月零售销售未见增长，并逊于预期美国商务部周五公布的数据显示，4月整体零售额环比基本持平，3月上修为增长10.7%。彭博调查显示，经济学家预估中值为4月增长1%。3、美联储已准备投降？大空头席夫：美国通胀将“爆炸”，美元正丧失购买力在著名投资人、财经评论家席夫（Peter Schiff）看来美，联储不会和通货膨胀作战的。这么说是因为，哪怕他们尝试去作战，也注定将会失败，所以，他们根本就连尝试都不会去尝试。出于这个原因，我一直在告诉大家，不会有针对通货膨胀的战争。联储现在就已经准备好投降了。通货膨胀毫无疑问将大获全胜。事实上，未来的通胀问题将比市场所预计的可怕得多。如果金价的疲软真的是因为通货膨胀高过预期的缘故，那么投资者现在就应该抓住机会买进。4、落袋为安！14个月牛市后，贝佐斯等亿万富豪纷纷减持股票全世界最富有的股东们纷纷出售持股、落袋为安。包括亚马逊的杰夫·贝佐斯和谷歌联合创始人Sergey Brin在内，企业内部人士最近加快减持步伐，抓住14个月大牛市的机会变现。5、分不清通胀到底是喜讯还是噩耗 美国投资者有理由心惊肉跳人们普遍认为，对于股市来说，通货膨胀是个利好因素。但是，在过去的一周内，远超经济学家预期的通胀攀升，让美国股市的投资者们惊慌失措。一位华尔街分析师表示，仔细翻看历史记录，或许就能知道投资者们为何会有如此表现了。6、新债王冈拉克：有理由担心通胀，可能迫使美联储加息冈拉克表示：“在我看来，本周市场开始有点担心（通胀）了。”他随后补充说：“这是多年来消费者物价指数与经济学家预期相差最大的一次，甚至可能是我整个职业生涯中最大的一次。”公司新闻1、迪士尼、爱彼迎和DoorDash的财报揭示了疫情后的经济新常态爱彼迎表示，随着疫苗变得更加普及，人们对旅游的兴趣再次飙升。该公司指出，在英国首相鲍里斯-约翰逊2月份宣布逐步退出封锁后，英国的旅游预订量立即大幅增加。对于60岁及以上的美国客户来说，今年2月至3月，Airbnb上夏季旅游的搜索量增长了60%以上。2、亚马逊再次大规模招聘 计划在英吸纳10000名永久雇员新冠期间大量企业纷纷裁员，但全球最大在线零售商亚马逊却成为逆流而上的公司。亚马逊今日宣布将在英国增加招聘1万人，到2021年底，公司在英国的总雇员人数将达到5.5万人。3、跟风马斯克收手，媒体称Square无意购买更多比特币此前曾经购买比特币作为储备的企业当中，有人选择了停手。根据报道，在相关投资上损失了2000万美元之后，支付金融技术公司Square表示无意购买更多的比特币作储备。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QLD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"TTTN":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"03086":0.9,"JD":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"QID":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NTES":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581608528633395","authorId":"3581608528633395","name":"林癸源","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64ab6cd5db62119f730277b3a65da70c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3581608528633395","authorIdStr":"3581608528633395"},"content":"[smile] [smile]","text":"[smile] [smile]","html":"[smile] [smile]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102727944,"gmtCreate":1620255953988,"gmtModify":1704340742232,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102727944","repostId":"2133541023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133541023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620204124,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2133541023?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-05 16:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Why does Elon Musk, the \"regulatory fighter,\" always manage to escape unscathed?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133541023","media":"腾讯新闻","summary":"【划重点】\n1美国联邦机构认为马斯克违反了法律规定，危及公众安全。马斯克则表示，是他们阻碍了项目进展。2马斯克惯于通过个人社交媒体公开贬低监管机构，其中不乏粗俗用语。3马斯克称，当和监管机构出现分歧时","content":"<p>[Highlight]</p><p>1. U.S. federal agencies believe that Musk violated the law and endangered public safety. Musk stated that they were the ones who hindered the project's progress. 2. Musk is accustomed to publicly disparaging regulators through his personal social media, often using vulgar language. 3. Musk stated that when disagreements arise with regulators, \"it's almost always because of new technologies that outdated regulations haven't considered.\" On March 21, after consulting with commercial space companies such as SpaceX, the FAA simplified launch permit regulations. 5<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>After meeting with state officials, including the Nevada Attorney General, Nevada officials ultimately agreed to allow Tesla to restrict investigators' access to the factory's inspection area. In 2018, after Tesla released its data, the NTSB chairman demanded that Tesla stop leaking information about the investigation, and Musk hung up on him immediately.</p><p>[Editor's Note] From Tesla electric cars to SpaceX spacecraft, Musk has become one of the world's most successful entrepreneurs. At the same time, he also rewrote the rules for dealing with American regulators. As CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, Musk is constantly in conflict with a large number of U.S. government agencies, and usually manages to escape unscathed.</p><p>The following is the text of the article:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6977b2195dd8bc1ff8fc9036c761b9f\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Elon Musk, CEO of electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla and space exploration technology company SpaceX, is a focal point in the eyes of many U.S. regulators. These institutions have been closely monitoring Musk's practices of circumventing regulations or ignoring law enforcement, but Musk has always emerged as the ultimate winner. It can be said that Musk defeated a large number of agencies that regulate financial markets and workplace conditions, and ensure the safety of highways and spaceflight.</p><p>Most corporate CEOs deliberately avoid regulators, or at least maintain a certain level of goodwill in their eyes. Many people accused by regulators of crossing the line always choose to pay fines or agree to make improvements.</p><p>Elon Musk, the world's richest man, is accustomed to breaking with tradition and is sought after by some investors. He adopted a completely different strategy, not letting regulations get in the way of his ambitious goals of disrupting transportation with Tesla electric vehicles or conquering Mars with SpaceX spacecraft.</p><p>U.S. federal agencies believe Musk violated the law and endangered public safety. Musk stated that they were the ones hindering progress.</p><p>The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) has determined that Tesla and its main regulator, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), failed to implement the board's recommendations to prevent the abuse of the company's advanced driver assistance systems. Both agencies are currently investigating a recent fatal crash involving a Tesla Model S electric vehicle in Texas.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a85e9dc41ddb1885dfeb0aa70bdba2f4\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SpaceX's Starship prototype SN8 launched</p><p>The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) also criticized Musk's SpaceX for launching a Starship prototype last December without obtaining FAA permission. Musk, on his personal social media, mocked the FAA's space division as \"completely bad to the core.\"</p><p>Coarse language</p><p>Even compared to other Silicon Valley tech giants who have expressed dissatisfaction with regulators, Musk stands out. Instead of compromising with regulators, they habitually disparage them publicly through personal social media, often using vulgar language.</p><p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has requested information from Musk about whether Tesla reviews Musk's publicly available information. This was also the main content of the lawsuit that led to the settlement agreement between the two parties in 2018 regarding Musk's inappropriate tweets. But a tweet Musk posted last summer clearly used vulgar language to subtly mock the SEC: \"SEC, a three-letter acronym with the middle word being Elon's.\"</p><p>When contacted for comment, Musk simply replied with a \"poop\" emoji. When asked to elaborate, Musk declined to comment on his communications with regulators or his views on regulation. Musk said on his personal social media on Tuesday that he agrees with the regulators' opinion \"99.9% of the time.\" But he added that when disagreements arise, \"it is almost always because of new technologies that have not been considered by outdated regulations.\"</p><p>Tesla and SpaceX also did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>The NHTSA stated that they are \"closely evaluating potential measures to ensure that drivers can take the most effective measures to ensure their own safety, including ensuring they fully understand that they bear full responsibility for vehicle operation.\" An FAA spokesperson said that SpaceX has taken \"corrective measures\" to enhance public safety since the launch last December. An SEC spokesperson declined to comment.</p><p>Instead of encouraging Musk to comply with regulatory trends, some investors reveled in his unusual behavior. Nathan Weiss, an independent research analyst who has long followed Tesla, said that Musk's fans \"see him as a freedom fighter and cheer him on.\"</p><p>SpaceX has designed rockets and spacecraft that can send cargo and people into space, and they have been successfully put into use. Just last week, a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket sent four astronauts to the International Space Station, marking the company's first manned space mission using a second-hand spacecraft and rocket. Earlier this month, NASA awarded SpaceX a contract worth approximately $2.89 billion to build a lunar lander for the astronaut lunar exploration program.</p><p>SpaceX is also developing a reusable spacecraft system to transport people and cargo to Mars. According to SpaceX's website, the company had clashes with regulators while testing its latest Starship prototype.</p><p>At the end of last year, tensions between the company and the FAA intensified as the December 9 test launch date approached. On December 7, Musk stated on his personal social media that the chances of the launch being completely successful were only one-third, given that it was common for spacecraft to make mistakes during the early stages of test flights. For the FAA, the toughest test is whether a potential explosion would pose a threat to the surrounding community.</p><p>Aviation experts say that atmospheric conditions such as temperature, wind direction, and cloud cover can all affect the distance the blast shock wave travels. The FAA calculated that the risk of public injury from this launch test could exceed the threshold. SpaceX submitted its own risk analysis assessment report to the FAA. An FAA spokesperson stated that the agency rejects SpaceX's analysis and will not compromise on established safety standards.</p><p>Fireball soars into the air</p><p>Ultimately, SpaceX sent the spaceship prototype to an altitude of 10 kilometers above the ground. SN8 returned to the ground nearly 7 minutes after launch, but exploded violently upon impact, sending fireballs soaring into the air. No one was injured and there were no reports of property damage.</p><p>After the FAA asked SpaceX to postpone flight tests originally scheduled for January of this year, Musk publicly accused the regulator of hindering research and development progress, saying its regulations were outdated. On January 28, Musk wrote on his personal social media: \"Their rules are for a small number of one-time launches each year from some government facilities. If these rules were followed, humans would never reach Mars.\"</p><p>An FAA spokesperson said that on March 12, FAA Administrator Stephen Dickson called Musk to protest, emphasizing that he must comply with FAA regulations. According to briefings submitted by the FAA to three congressional panels, SpaceX ultimately modified its pre-launch procedures to prevent further unauthorized launches. The FAA stated that it now requires SpaceX to have an inspector present to supervise spacecraft launches, rather than observing remotely.</p><p>On March 21, after consulting with commercial space companies such as SpaceX, the FAA simplified the launch permit regulations.</p><p>Since conducting flight tests last December, SpaceX has conducted flight tests of three Starship prototypes in Boca Chica, subject to FAA launch permits. But each prototype exploded on its way back to the launch pad.</p><p>In March of this year, the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) ruled that Tesla violated U.S. labor law by obstructing employees from forming unions, and ordered Musk to delete a tweet that discouraged employees from forming unions. Tesla appealed the decision this month, saying the NLRB's ruling \"violated the law.\"</p><p>Musk's tweet has not yet been deleted. The NLRB also declined to comment.</p><p>Tesla and Partners<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PC\">Panasonic</a>Automotive battery packs are manufactured at the Nevada Gigafactory. Tesla also refused requests from U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) officials to inspect its Nevada Gigafactory.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c668d08a4400c79c1b54fc8dd46b3288\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Electric vehicles produced at Tesla's Fremont, California factory are being loaded onto vehicles.</p><p>Records show that in 2019, the Nevada Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) attempted to conduct a comprehensive inspection of the Gigafactory, but was thwarted by Tesla for nearly three months. This battery-producing Gigafactory is one of the largest in Nevada, employing approximately 7,800 people.</p><p>The reason is that on the same day that year, one employee working at the factory was cut and another employee lost a finger. Nevada OSHA has required Tesla to request a third-party agency to assess the safety of its machines. But Tesla missed the deadline to submit a report to OSHA, and Jess Lankford, the chief administrator of OSHA in Nevada, ordered a comprehensive inspection of the factory in March 2019.</p><p>OSHA investigators wrote that they were unable to make recommendations on the nine potential hazards identified during the initial attempt to inspect the factory because Tesla refused to allow employees to be interviewed to determine whether company management was aware of these issues. According to the report submitted by OSHA investigators, they were prohibited from continuing work when they returned to the factory the next day. Tesla lawyer Yesenia Villase or stated that, based on the inspection report and emails exchanged, OSHA had no legal basis for conducting the inspection, and therefore Tesla \"shelved\" OSHA's inspection of the factory until the issue was resolved.</p><p>One investigator noted in the report that when they asked to sign a statement that Tesla refused to conduct an inspection, they were refused by company representatives.</p><p>A spokesperson for Nevada OSHA stated that most employers communicate with Tesla in a completely different way, and they all cooperate with investigators' requests. She said the law requires business employers to comply with OSHA's inspection, interview and documentation requirements. However, Nevada OSHA encountered difficulties when inspecting Tesla.</p><p>Lankford declined to comment outside of the OSHA statement. Villaceno did not respond to a request for comment.</p><p>After several weeks of standoff, Nevada OSHA obtained administrative permission from a judge on May 20, 2019, to conduct a full inspection of Tesla's Gigafactory.</p><p>According to video footage captured by a local police body camera, an OSHA supervisor inspected the Tesla factory the following morning with a search warrant and a deputy sheriff.</p><p>The video shows the deputy sheriff expressing sympathy for the OSHA investigators' plight as they waited for Tesla representatives at the factory gate.</p><p>Still rejected</p><p>“They’re very difficult to deal with; they’re almost like us,” the deputy sheriff said.</p><p>Despite investigators holding a search warrant, a Tesla manager refused them entry to the factory.</p><p>According to Ray Fierro, a former Nevada Department of Commerce and Industry official who attended the meeting, Tesla subsequently met with state officials, including the Nevada Attorney General.</p><p>Fiero revealed that Nevada officials ultimately agreed to allow Tesla to restrict investigators' access to the factory's inspection area, while reporting to the judge that OSHA had obtained the necessary cooperation. The subsequent inspection resulted in three supplementary reports, two of which were about Tesla's refusal to provide documents such as injury records, and the other about a fall hazard at the factory. Investigators reiterated that Tesla does not allow investigators to conduct face-to-face interviews with employees.</p><p>An agency spokesperson said that OSHA has not yet been able to conduct a comprehensive inspection of the Tesla factory.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77788e3bad8c8fcaba4494edf114a14\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla's Nevada Gigafactory</p><p>A more prominent issue currently facing Tesla concerns its advanced driver assistance features. This driver assistance system, called Autopilot, has been linked to a series of car accidents and has been repeatedly scrutinized by regulators.</p><p>Kris Poland, the NTSB's deputy director for highway safety, said that in some ways, this reflects a lack of clear regulatory rules in emerging safety areas. He appreciated Tesla engineers' willingness to share data and technical expertise upon request.</p><p>Following a fatal crash involving a Tesla electric vehicle in Florida in 2016, the NTSB found that Tesla technology was inextricably linked to the accident because it allowed drivers to keep their hands off the steering wheel for extended periods. The NHTSA stated that Tesla had attempted to design a system to prevent drivers from abusing the Autopilot system.</p><p>The NTSB had urged six automakers to limit the way drivers use driver assistance systems. With the exception of Tesla, each company listed the measures they had taken to reduce system abuse, which were also approved by the NTSB. The NTSB clearly stated that Tesla developed a \"failed system with clearly foreseeable misuse\" because it failed to prevent drivers from using Autopilot for purposes other than its design.</p><p>Texas car accident</p><p>Following a fatal Tesla Model S electric vehicle crash in Texas this month, local police said they found two men inside the vehicle, but neither was in the driver's seat.</p><p>This accident has raised questions about whether and how the vehicle involved can drive without a driver. A Tesla executive said last Monday that someone may have been in the driver's seat when the accident occurred. The accident is still under investigation. Musk said on his personal social media that early data showed the car's Autopilot system was not activated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc3ecb6ea883d096458dea41295824b6\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Musk attended a press conference following the successful launch of SpaceX's first manned space mission.</p><p>In 2018, the NTSB investigated an accident involving Tesla vehicles. Tesla later released preliminary data on the accident and stated on its website that the likelihood of a fatal crash was reduced by 3.7 times when drivers were using Autopilot. Auto safety experts and statisticians question Tesla's claims.</p><p>According to a letter from the NTSB to Tesla, after Tesla released the data, NTSB Chairman Robert Sumwalt called Musk, demanding that his company stop leaking information about the investigation. When Tesla publicly shared information again, Sumwater told Musk that he would no longer cooperate with Tesla on the accident investigation.</p><p>Sumwater later said in a speech that Musk hung up on him directly. In response to the criticism, Tesla said it had chosen to withdraw from the investigation, saying the NTSB was \"more concerned with making headlines than actually improving safety.\" (Jiaohan)</p>","source":"TXXW","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why does Elon Musk, the \"regulatory fighter,\" always manage to escape unscathed?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy does Elon Musk, the \"regulatory fighter,\" always manage to escape unscathed?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">腾讯新闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-05 16:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>[Highlight]</p><p>1. U.S. federal agencies believe that Musk violated the law and endangered public safety. Musk stated that they were the ones who hindered the project's progress. 2. Musk is accustomed to publicly disparaging regulators through his personal social media, often using vulgar language. 3. Musk stated that when disagreements arise with regulators, \"it's almost always because of new technologies that outdated regulations haven't considered.\" On March 21, after consulting with commercial space companies such as SpaceX, the FAA simplified launch permit regulations. 5<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>After meeting with state officials, including the Nevada Attorney General, Nevada officials ultimately agreed to allow Tesla to restrict investigators' access to the factory's inspection area. In 2018, after Tesla released its data, the NTSB chairman demanded that Tesla stop leaking information about the investigation, and Musk hung up on him immediately.</p><p>[Editor's Note] From Tesla electric cars to SpaceX spacecraft, Musk has become one of the world's most successful entrepreneurs. At the same time, he also rewrote the rules for dealing with American regulators. As CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, Musk is constantly in conflict with a large number of U.S. government agencies, and usually manages to escape unscathed.</p><p>The following is the text of the article:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6977b2195dd8bc1ff8fc9036c761b9f\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Elon Musk, CEO of electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla and space exploration technology company SpaceX, is a focal point in the eyes of many U.S. regulators. These institutions have been closely monitoring Musk's practices of circumventing regulations or ignoring law enforcement, but Musk has always emerged as the ultimate winner. It can be said that Musk defeated a large number of agencies that regulate financial markets and workplace conditions, and ensure the safety of highways and spaceflight.</p><p>Most corporate CEOs deliberately avoid regulators, or at least maintain a certain level of goodwill in their eyes. Many people accused by regulators of crossing the line always choose to pay fines or agree to make improvements.</p><p>Elon Musk, the world's richest man, is accustomed to breaking with tradition and is sought after by some investors. He adopted a completely different strategy, not letting regulations get in the way of his ambitious goals of disrupting transportation with Tesla electric vehicles or conquering Mars with SpaceX spacecraft.</p><p>U.S. federal agencies believe Musk violated the law and endangered public safety. Musk stated that they were the ones hindering progress.</p><p>The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) has determined that Tesla and its main regulator, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), failed to implement the board's recommendations to prevent the abuse of the company's advanced driver assistance systems. Both agencies are currently investigating a recent fatal crash involving a Tesla Model S electric vehicle in Texas.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a85e9dc41ddb1885dfeb0aa70bdba2f4\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SpaceX's Starship prototype SN8 launched</p><p>The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) also criticized Musk's SpaceX for launching a Starship prototype last December without obtaining FAA permission. Musk, on his personal social media, mocked the FAA's space division as \"completely bad to the core.\"</p><p>Coarse language</p><p>Even compared to other Silicon Valley tech giants who have expressed dissatisfaction with regulators, Musk stands out. Instead of compromising with regulators, they habitually disparage them publicly through personal social media, often using vulgar language.</p><p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has requested information from Musk about whether Tesla reviews Musk's publicly available information. This was also the main content of the lawsuit that led to the settlement agreement between the two parties in 2018 regarding Musk's inappropriate tweets. But a tweet Musk posted last summer clearly used vulgar language to subtly mock the SEC: \"SEC, a three-letter acronym with the middle word being Elon's.\"</p><p>When contacted for comment, Musk simply replied with a \"poop\" emoji. When asked to elaborate, Musk declined to comment on his communications with regulators or his views on regulation. Musk said on his personal social media on Tuesday that he agrees with the regulators' opinion \"99.9% of the time.\" But he added that when disagreements arise, \"it is almost always because of new technologies that have not been considered by outdated regulations.\"</p><p>Tesla and SpaceX also did not respond to requests for comment.</p><p>The NHTSA stated that they are \"closely evaluating potential measures to ensure that drivers can take the most effective measures to ensure their own safety, including ensuring they fully understand that they bear full responsibility for vehicle operation.\" An FAA spokesperson said that SpaceX has taken \"corrective measures\" to enhance public safety since the launch last December. An SEC spokesperson declined to comment.</p><p>Instead of encouraging Musk to comply with regulatory trends, some investors reveled in his unusual behavior. Nathan Weiss, an independent research analyst who has long followed Tesla, said that Musk's fans \"see him as a freedom fighter and cheer him on.\"</p><p>SpaceX has designed rockets and spacecraft that can send cargo and people into space, and they have been successfully put into use. Just last week, a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket sent four astronauts to the International Space Station, marking the company's first manned space mission using a second-hand spacecraft and rocket. Earlier this month, NASA awarded SpaceX a contract worth approximately $2.89 billion to build a lunar lander for the astronaut lunar exploration program.</p><p>SpaceX is also developing a reusable spacecraft system to transport people and cargo to Mars. According to SpaceX's website, the company had clashes with regulators while testing its latest Starship prototype.</p><p>At the end of last year, tensions between the company and the FAA intensified as the December 9 test launch date approached. On December 7, Musk stated on his personal social media that the chances of the launch being completely successful were only one-third, given that it was common for spacecraft to make mistakes during the early stages of test flights. For the FAA, the toughest test is whether a potential explosion would pose a threat to the surrounding community.</p><p>Aviation experts say that atmospheric conditions such as temperature, wind direction, and cloud cover can all affect the distance the blast shock wave travels. The FAA calculated that the risk of public injury from this launch test could exceed the threshold. SpaceX submitted its own risk analysis assessment report to the FAA. An FAA spokesperson stated that the agency rejects SpaceX's analysis and will not compromise on established safety standards.</p><p>Fireball soars into the air</p><p>Ultimately, SpaceX sent the spaceship prototype to an altitude of 10 kilometers above the ground. SN8 returned to the ground nearly 7 minutes after launch, but exploded violently upon impact, sending fireballs soaring into the air. No one was injured and there were no reports of property damage.</p><p>After the FAA asked SpaceX to postpone flight tests originally scheduled for January of this year, Musk publicly accused the regulator of hindering research and development progress, saying its regulations were outdated. On January 28, Musk wrote on his personal social media: \"Their rules are for a small number of one-time launches each year from some government facilities. If these rules were followed, humans would never reach Mars.\"</p><p>An FAA spokesperson said that on March 12, FAA Administrator Stephen Dickson called Musk to protest, emphasizing that he must comply with FAA regulations. According to briefings submitted by the FAA to three congressional panels, SpaceX ultimately modified its pre-launch procedures to prevent further unauthorized launches. The FAA stated that it now requires SpaceX to have an inspector present to supervise spacecraft launches, rather than observing remotely.</p><p>On March 21, after consulting with commercial space companies such as SpaceX, the FAA simplified the launch permit regulations.</p><p>Since conducting flight tests last December, SpaceX has conducted flight tests of three Starship prototypes in Boca Chica, subject to FAA launch permits. But each prototype exploded on its way back to the launch pad.</p><p>In March of this year, the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) ruled that Tesla violated U.S. labor law by obstructing employees from forming unions, and ordered Musk to delete a tweet that discouraged employees from forming unions. Tesla appealed the decision this month, saying the NLRB's ruling \"violated the law.\"</p><p>Musk's tweet has not yet been deleted. The NLRB also declined to comment.</p><p>Tesla and Partners<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PC\">Panasonic</a>Automotive battery packs are manufactured at the Nevada Gigafactory. Tesla also refused requests from U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) officials to inspect its Nevada Gigafactory.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c668d08a4400c79c1b54fc8dd46b3288\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Electric vehicles produced at Tesla's Fremont, California factory are being loaded onto vehicles.</p><p>Records show that in 2019, the Nevada Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) attempted to conduct a comprehensive inspection of the Gigafactory, but was thwarted by Tesla for nearly three months. This battery-producing Gigafactory is one of the largest in Nevada, employing approximately 7,800 people.</p><p>The reason is that on the same day that year, one employee working at the factory was cut and another employee lost a finger. Nevada OSHA has required Tesla to request a third-party agency to assess the safety of its machines. But Tesla missed the deadline to submit a report to OSHA, and Jess Lankford, the chief administrator of OSHA in Nevada, ordered a comprehensive inspection of the factory in March 2019.</p><p>OSHA investigators wrote that they were unable to make recommendations on the nine potential hazards identified during the initial attempt to inspect the factory because Tesla refused to allow employees to be interviewed to determine whether company management was aware of these issues. According to the report submitted by OSHA investigators, they were prohibited from continuing work when they returned to the factory the next day. Tesla lawyer Yesenia Villase or stated that, based on the inspection report and emails exchanged, OSHA had no legal basis for conducting the inspection, and therefore Tesla \"shelved\" OSHA's inspection of the factory until the issue was resolved.</p><p>One investigator noted in the report that when they asked to sign a statement that Tesla refused to conduct an inspection, they were refused by company representatives.</p><p>A spokesperson for Nevada OSHA stated that most employers communicate with Tesla in a completely different way, and they all cooperate with investigators' requests. She said the law requires business employers to comply with OSHA's inspection, interview and documentation requirements. However, Nevada OSHA encountered difficulties when inspecting Tesla.</p><p>Lankford declined to comment outside of the OSHA statement. Villaceno did not respond to a request for comment.</p><p>After several weeks of standoff, Nevada OSHA obtained administrative permission from a judge on May 20, 2019, to conduct a full inspection of Tesla's Gigafactory.</p><p>According to video footage captured by a local police body camera, an OSHA supervisor inspected the Tesla factory the following morning with a search warrant and a deputy sheriff.</p><p>The video shows the deputy sheriff expressing sympathy for the OSHA investigators' plight as they waited for Tesla representatives at the factory gate.</p><p>Still rejected</p><p>“They’re very difficult to deal with; they’re almost like us,” the deputy sheriff said.</p><p>Despite investigators holding a search warrant, a Tesla manager refused them entry to the factory.</p><p>According to Ray Fierro, a former Nevada Department of Commerce and Industry official who attended the meeting, Tesla subsequently met with state officials, including the Nevada Attorney General.</p><p>Fiero revealed that Nevada officials ultimately agreed to allow Tesla to restrict investigators' access to the factory's inspection area, while reporting to the judge that OSHA had obtained the necessary cooperation. The subsequent inspection resulted in three supplementary reports, two of which were about Tesla's refusal to provide documents such as injury records, and the other about a fall hazard at the factory. Investigators reiterated that Tesla does not allow investigators to conduct face-to-face interviews with employees.</p><p>An agency spokesperson said that OSHA has not yet been able to conduct a comprehensive inspection of the Tesla factory.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77788e3bad8c8fcaba4494edf114a14\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla's Nevada Gigafactory</p><p>A more prominent issue currently facing Tesla concerns its advanced driver assistance features. This driver assistance system, called Autopilot, has been linked to a series of car accidents and has been repeatedly scrutinized by regulators.</p><p>Kris Poland, the NTSB's deputy director for highway safety, said that in some ways, this reflects a lack of clear regulatory rules in emerging safety areas. He appreciated Tesla engineers' willingness to share data and technical expertise upon request.</p><p>Following a fatal crash involving a Tesla electric vehicle in Florida in 2016, the NTSB found that Tesla technology was inextricably linked to the accident because it allowed drivers to keep their hands off the steering wheel for extended periods. The NHTSA stated that Tesla had attempted to design a system to prevent drivers from abusing the Autopilot system.</p><p>The NTSB had urged six automakers to limit the way drivers use driver assistance systems. With the exception of Tesla, each company listed the measures they had taken to reduce system abuse, which were also approved by the NTSB. The NTSB clearly stated that Tesla developed a \"failed system with clearly foreseeable misuse\" because it failed to prevent drivers from using Autopilot for purposes other than its design.</p><p>Texas car accident</p><p>Following a fatal Tesla Model S electric vehicle crash in Texas this month, local police said they found two men inside the vehicle, but neither was in the driver's seat.</p><p>This accident has raised questions about whether and how the vehicle involved can drive without a driver. A Tesla executive said last Monday that someone may have been in the driver's seat when the accident occurred. The accident is still under investigation. Musk said on his personal social media that early data showed the car's Autopilot system was not activated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc3ecb6ea883d096458dea41295824b6\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Musk attended a press conference following the successful launch of SpaceX's first manned space mission.</p><p>In 2018, the NTSB investigated an accident involving Tesla vehicles. Tesla later released preliminary data on the accident and stated on its website that the likelihood of a fatal crash was reduced by 3.7 times when drivers were using Autopilot. Auto safety experts and statisticians question Tesla's claims.</p><p>According to a letter from the NTSB to Tesla, after Tesla released the data, NTSB Chairman Robert Sumwalt called Musk, demanding that his company stop leaking information about the investigation. When Tesla publicly shared information again, Sumwater told Musk that he would no longer cooperate with Tesla on the accident investigation.</p><p>Sumwater later said in a speech that Musk hung up on him directly. In response to the criticism, Tesla said it had chosen to withdraw from the investigation, saying the NTSB was \"more concerned with making headlines than actually improving safety.\" (Jiaohan)</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JqJZMJs3P1gPGeeBCUVX1g\">腾讯新闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738db90100dde472164b78d670af0821","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JqJZMJs3P1gPGeeBCUVX1g","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133541023","content_text":"【划重点】\n1美国联邦机构认为马斯克违反了法律规定，危及公众安全。马斯克则表示，是他们阻碍了项目进展。2马斯克惯于通过个人社交媒体公开贬低监管机构，其中不乏粗俗用语。3马斯克称，当和监管机构出现分歧时，“几乎总是因为过时法规未曾考虑过的新技术。”43月21日，在听取了SpaceX等商业太空公司的意见后，FAA简化了发射许可的规定。5特斯拉会见了包括内华达州总检察长在内的州官，最终内华达州官员们同意让特斯拉限制调查员进入工厂的检查范围。62018年，在特斯拉公开数据后，NTSB主席要求特斯拉停止泄露有关调查的信息，结果马斯克直接挂断了他的电话。\n【编者按】从特斯拉电动汽车到SpaceX星际飞船，马斯克已经成为世界上最成功的企业家之一。与此同时他还改写了与美国监管机构打交道的规则。作为特斯拉和SpaceX的首席执行官，马斯克总是与一大堆美国政府机构发生冲突，通常还都能侥幸逃脱。\n以下为文章正文：\n电动汽车制造商特斯拉和太空探索技术公司SpaceX的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)是很多美国监管机构眼中的焦点人物。这些机构一直在关注马斯克绕开法规监管或者无视执法行为的做法，但马斯克总能成为最终的赢家。可以说，马斯克战胜了一大堆监管金融市场和工作场所条件、保证高速公路和太空飞行安全的机构。\n大多数公司首席执行官总是刻意避开监管机构，或者至少会让自己在他们眼中保持一定好感。许多被监管机构指控越界的人总是选择缴纳罚款或同意作出改进。\n世界首富马斯克惯于打破传统的举动受到一些投资者的追捧。他采取了完全不同的策略，根本不让法规监管阻碍他用特斯拉电动汽车颠覆交通运输或用SpaceX星际飞船征服火星的宏大目标。\n美国联邦机构认为马斯克违反了法律规定，危及公众安全。马斯克则表示，是他们阻碍了进展。\n美国国家运输安全委员会(NTSB)认定，特斯拉和其主要监管机构美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)未能执行该委员会的建议，去防止公司高级辅助驾驶系统被滥用。目前两家机构都在调查最近发生在德克萨斯州的一起涉及特斯拉Model S电动汽车致命车祸。\nSpaceX旗下星际飞船原型SN8发射升空\n美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)也批评马斯克领导的SpaceX去年12月份在根本没有获得FAA许可的情况下将星际飞船原型发射升空。马斯克则在个人社交媒体上嘲讽FAA太空部门“完全坏到根上”。\n粗话连篇\n即便与硅谷其他对监管机构表示不满的科技大佬相比，马斯克也显得与众不同。其行事方式不是与监管机构相互妥协，而是惯于通过个人社交媒体公开贬低监管机构，其中不乏粗俗用语。\n美国证券交易委员会(SEC)曾要求马斯克提供信息，说明特斯拉是否审查马斯克的公开信息。这也是2018年双方就马斯克乱发推文引起法律诉讼、最终达成和解协议的主要内容。但马斯克去年夏天发布的一条推文明显用粗俗语言暗讽SEC：“SEC，三个字母的首字母缩写，中间单词是埃隆的（Elon’s）。”\n当联系马斯克发表评论时，他只是回复了一个“便便”的表情。当被要求详细说明时，马斯克拒绝就他与监管机构的沟通或对监管的看法提供任何意见。马斯克周二在个人社交媒体上说，自己在“99.9%的情况下”认可监管机构的意见。但他还补充说，当出现分歧时，“几乎总是因为过时法规未曾考虑过的新技术。”\n特斯拉和SpaceX也没有回复置评请求。\nNHTSA表示，他们正在“密切评估潜在措施，以确保司机能够采取最有效手段确保自身安全，包括让他们充分理解自己对车辆运行负有全部责任。”FAA一位发言人则表示，自去年12月份的发射活动以来，SpaceX已经采取了“纠正措施”，加强了公共安全。SEC发言人拒绝置评。\n一些投资者非但没有鼓励马斯克顺应监管大势，反而一味对其反常行为感到陶醉。长期关注特斯拉的独立研究分析师内森·韦斯(Nathan Weiss)说，马斯克的粉丝们“把他视为自由斗士，为他加油助威”。\nSpaceX已经设计出将货物和人员送入太空的火箭和飞船，并已成功投入使用。就在上周，SpaceX旗下一枚猎鹰9号火箭将四名宇航员送入国际空间站，这是该公司首次使用二手飞船和火箭完成载人航天任务。本月早些时候，美国宇航局（NASA）授予SpaceX一份总额约28.9亿美元的合同，为宇航员探月计划打造登月飞船。\nSpaceX还在开发将人类和货物运往火星的可重复使用星际飞船系统。SpaceX网站显示，公司在测试其最新的星际飞船原型时曾与监管机构发生过冲突。\n去年年底，随着12月9日测试发射日期的临近，公司与FAA的紧张气氛加剧。12月7日，马斯克在个人社交媒体上表示，这次发射完全成功的几率只有三分之一，毕竟飞船在早期试飞阶段出错是司空见惯的事实。对FAA来说，最严峻的考验在于可能发生的爆炸是否会对周围社区造成威胁。\n航空专家说，温度、风向和云层等大气条件都会影响爆炸冲击波传播的距离。FAA计算出，这次发射测试造成公众受伤的风险可能会超过阈值。SpaceX向FAA提交了自己的风险分析评估报告。FAA发言人表示，本机构拒绝接受SpaceX的分析报告，并且不会在既定的安全标准面前让步。\n火球腾空\n最终SpaceX还是将这艘星际飞船原型送上了距地10公里的高空。SN8发射近7分钟后返回地面，结果在撞击中发生剧烈爆炸，现场火球腾空而起。没有人受伤，也没有财产损失的报告。\n在FAA要求SpaceX推迟原定于今年1月份的飞行测试后，马斯克公开指责这家监管机构阻碍研发进展，并称其法规已经过时。1月28日，马斯克在个人社交媒体上写道：“他们的规定是针对每年从一些政府设施少量进行的一次性发射。如果遵循这些规则，人类永远不会到达火星。”\nFAA发言人说，3月12日FAA局长斯蒂芬·迪克森(Stephen Dickson)给马斯克打电话提出抗议，强调他必须遵守FAA的规定。根据FAA向三个国会小组提交的简报，SpaceX最终修改了发射前程序，避免再有未经许可的发射出现。FAA表示，现在要求SpaceX在飞船发射时有一名检查员到场监督，而不是远程观察。\n3月21日，在听取了SpaceX等商业太空公司的意见后，FAA简化了发射许可的规定。\n自去年12月份进行飞行测试以来，SpaceX在获得FAA发射许可的前提下，又在博卡奇卡对三艘星际飞船原型进行了飞行测试。但每艘原型都在返回发射台时发生爆炸。\n今年3月份，美国国家劳工关系委员会(NLRB)裁定，特斯拉阻碍员工成立工会，违反了美国劳动法，并命令马斯克删除一条不鼓励员工成立工会的推文。特斯拉本月对这一决定提出上诉，称NLRB的裁决“违反法律规定”。\n目前马斯克的推文仍没有删除。NLRB也拒绝置评。\n特斯拉与合作伙伴松下在内华达州超级工厂生产车用电池组。特斯拉还拒绝了美国职业安全与健康管理局(OSHA)官员检查内华达州超级工厂的要求。\n特斯拉加州弗里蒙特工厂生产的电动汽车装车\n相关记录显示，2019年内华达州职业安全与健康管理局(OSHA)试图对超级工厂进行全面检查，但被特斯拉阻挠了近三个月的时间。这家生产电池的超级工厂是内华达州最大工厂之一，约有7800名员工。\n原因是当年同一天，一名在工厂工作的员工被割伤，另一名员工失去了一根手指。内华达州OSHA要求特斯拉申请第三方机构评估其机器安全性。但特斯拉错过了向OSHA提交报告的最后期限，内华达州OSHA首席行政官杰西·兰克福德(Jess Lankford)于2019年3月下令对工厂进行全面检查。\nOSHA调查员写道，他们无法就最初尝试检查工厂时发现的9方面潜在危险提出建议，因为特斯拉拒绝让员工接受采访，以确定公司管理层是否知晓这些问题。根据OSHA调查员提交的报告，他们第二天再到工厂时就被禁止继续工作。特斯拉律师耶森尼亚·比利亚塞诺（YeseniaVillase or）表示，根据检查报告和往来的电子邮件，OSHA并没有进行检查的合法依据，因此特斯拉在问题解决前“搁置”了OSHA对工厂的检查。\n一名调查员在报告中指出，当他们要求签署一份是特斯拉拒绝进行检查的声明时，遭到公司代表的拒绝。\n内华达州OSHA一名发言人表示，大多数雇主与特斯拉进行沟通的方式完全不同，它们都会应调查员要求给予配合。她说，法律要求企业雇主遵守OSHA的检查、面谈和提交文件要求。但内华达州OSHA检查特斯拉时却遇到了困难。\n兰克福德拒绝在OSHA声明之外发表评论。比利亚塞诺没有回复置评请求。\n在接下来长达几周的对峙之后，内华达州OSHA于2019年5月20日从一名法官那里获得了行政许可，对特斯拉超级工厂进行全面检查。\n据当地警用执法记录仪所拍摄的视频画面显示，第二天早上，一名OSHA主管带着搜查令和一名副警长一道检查了特斯拉工厂。\n视频显示，当他们在厂门口等待特斯拉代表时，这位副警长对OSHA调查员的遭遇表示同情。\n仍然遭拒\n“他们很难对付,快和我们差不多了，”这位副警长说。\n尽管调查员手持搜查令，但一名特斯拉经理还是拒绝他们进入工厂。\n据参加会议的内华达商业和工业部前官员雷·菲耶罗(Ray Fierro)说，特斯拉随后会见了包括内华达州总检察长在内的州官。\n菲耶罗透露，最终内华达州官员们同意让特斯拉限制调查员进入工厂的检查范围，同时向法官报告OSHA获得了必要配合。随后进行的检查产生了三项附属报告，其中两份是关于特斯拉拒绝提供受伤记录等文件，另一份是工厂存在坠落危险。调查人员再次指出，特斯拉不允许调查员与员工进行面谈。\n机构发言人说，迄今为止OSHA还没能对特斯拉工厂进行全面检查。\n特斯拉内华达州超级工厂\n特斯拉目前面临的一个更突出问题涉及其高级辅助驾驶功能。这个名为Autopilot的辅助驾驶系统与一系列车祸相关，已多次受到监管部门的审查。\nNTSB负责公路安全的副主任克里斯·波兰德(Kris Poland)表示，从某种程度上说，这反映新兴安全领域缺乏明确的监管规则。他对特斯拉工程师应要求共享数据和技术专业知识的做法表示赞赏。\n2016年佛罗里达州发生一起涉及特斯拉电动汽车的致命车祸后，NTSB发现，特斯拉技术和这起事故脱不开干系，因为其允许司机长时间不把手放在方向盘上。NHTSA则表示，特斯拉曾试图设计一套系统，防止驾驶员滥用Autopilot系统。\nNTSB曾敦促六家汽车制造商限制司机使用辅助驾驶系统的方式。除特斯拉外，每家公司都列出了它们为减少系统滥用所采取的措施，也获得了NTSB的认可。NTSB明确表示，由于没能阻止司机在非设计目的下使用Autopilot，特斯拉开发的是一个“显然存在可预见误用性的失败系统”。\n德州车祸\n本月，德克萨斯州发生一起特斯拉Model S电动汽车致命车祸后，当地警方称他们在涉事汽车里发现了两名男子，但两人都不在驾驶座上。\n这次事故让人们质疑，涉事车辆在无人驾驶情况下是否能够行驶以及如何行驶。一名特斯拉高管上周一表示，事故发生时可能有人在驾驶位上。目前车祸仍在调查当中。马斯克则在个人社交媒体上说，早期数据显示，这辆车上的Autopilot系统没有激活。\nSpaceX龙飞船首次载人航天任务成功后，马斯克出席新闻发布会\n2018年，NTSB对一起涉及特斯拉汽车的事故进行了调查。之后特斯拉公布了事故的初步数据，并在其网站上表示，驾驶员在使用Autopilot情况下发生致命车祸的可能性降低了3.7倍。汽车安全专家和统计学家质疑特斯拉的说法。\n据NTSB写给特斯拉的信显示，在特斯拉公开数据后，NTSB主席罗伯特·萨姆沃特(Robert Sumwalt)致电马斯克，要求他的公司停止泄露有关调查的信息。当特斯拉再次公开分享信息时，萨姆沃特告诉马斯克将不再与特斯拉就事故调查进行合作。\n萨姆沃特后来在一次讲话中说，马斯克直接挂断了他的电话。在回应批评时，特斯拉表示，自己选择退出调查，说NTSB“更关心的是头条新闻，而不是真正提高安全性”。（皎晗）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102688090,"gmtCreate":1620206384410,"gmtModify":1704340169579,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102688090","repostId":"1145122586","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145122586","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620206045,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145122586?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-05 17:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Nio announced that it will enter the Norwegian market in September","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145122586","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"蔚来发布挪威战略：蔚来宣布将于今年9月在挪威开启首款车型——智能电动旗舰SUV——全新ES8的交付。智能电动旗舰轿车ET7将于明年登陆挪威市场。这是蔚来进入中国以外市场的第一步。CEO李斌表示：蔚来从","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Nio releases Norway strategy: It announced it will launch its first model in Norway this September.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>The delivery of the all-new ES8, an electric flagship SUV. The intelligent electric flagship sedan ET7 will be launched in the Norwegian market next year. This is Nio' first step into markets outside of China.</p><p>CEO Li Bin stated: \"Since its inception, Nio has been committed to becoming a global brand, providing high-quality products and services to users worldwide.\" Norway was chosen as the first market outside of China not only because Norway is the most friendly country for electric vehicles, but also because Norway's culture of environmental protection and pursuit of innovation shares many similarities with NIO's vision.</p><p>Marius Hayler, General Manager of Nio Norway: Nio is about to enter the Norwegian market, creating a pleasant lifestyle for Norwegian users and building a community that starts with cars, sharing joy and growing together.</p><p>Following this news, Nio shares rose more than 1% in pre-market trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe13ffd9d4898378d3681a117d919eba\" tg-width=\"858\" tg-height=\"701\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio announced that it will enter the Norwegian market in September</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio announced that it will enter the Norwegian market in September\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-05 17:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Nio releases Norway strategy: It announced it will launch its first model in Norway this September.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">smart</a>The delivery of the all-new ES8, an electric flagship SUV. The intelligent electric flagship sedan ET7 will be launched in the Norwegian market next year. This is Nio' first step into markets outside of China.</p><p>CEO Li Bin stated: \"Since its inception, Nio has been committed to becoming a global brand, providing high-quality products and services to users worldwide.\" Norway was chosen as the first market outside of China not only because Norway is the most friendly country for electric vehicles, but also because Norway's culture of environmental protection and pursuit of innovation shares many similarities with NIO's vision.</p><p>Marius Hayler, General Manager of Nio Norway: Nio is about to enter the Norwegian market, creating a pleasant lifestyle for Norwegian users and building a community that starts with cars, sharing joy and growing together.</p><p>Following this news, Nio shares rose more than 1% in pre-market trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe13ffd9d4898378d3681a117d919eba\" tg-width=\"858\" tg-height=\"701\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f36b37eb8e9efe8641c7be55a7da26d","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145122586","content_text":"蔚来发布挪威战略：蔚来宣布将于今年9月在挪威开启首款车型——智能电动旗舰SUV——全新ES8的交付。智能电动旗舰轿车ET7将于明年登陆挪威市场。这是蔚来进入中国以外市场的第一步。CEO李斌表示：蔚来从成立一开始就致力于成为一个全球品牌，为全世界的用户提供好的产品和服务。选择挪威作为中国以外的第一个市场，不仅仅因为挪威是对电动汽车最友好的国家，更因为挪威热爱环保，追求创新的文化与NIO的愿景有很多的共同之处 。蔚来汽车挪威总经理Marius Hayler：蔚来即将进入挪威市场，为挪威用户创造愉悦的生活方式，打造一个以车为起点，分享欢乐、共同成长的社区。受此消息影响，蔚来盘前涨超1%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816109151,"gmtCreate":1630473209373,"gmtModify":1676530313217,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/816109151","repostId":"1186121597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186121597","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630468996,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186121597?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-01 12:03","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Underwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186121597","media":"新熵","summary":"在此之前，没人能想到一个“搬运工”居然能够登上亚洲首富的位置傲视群雄。\n经济学家马光远曾调侃，“代表中国财富的不是什么大数据等等的东西，而是普普通通的四瓶水。”这里的“四瓶水”，指的就是茅台、金龙鱼、","content":"<p>Before this, no one could have imagined that a \"porter\" could rise to the position of Asia's richest man and stand out from the crowd.</p><p>Economist Ma Guangyuan once joked, \"What represents China's wealth is not big data or anything like that, but four ordinary bottles of water.\" Here, the \"four bottles of water\" refer to Moutai,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300999\">Golden Dragon</a>Haitian soy sauce, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09633\">Nongfu Spring</a>。</p><p>Nongfu Spring water, priced at 2 yuan per unit, can be found everywhere in supermarkets of all sizes, and it is these inconspicuous bottled waters that support the wealth myth of \"Moutai in the water\".</p><p>How profitable can bottled water be?</p><p>According to Nongfu Spring's financial reports over the years, the gross profit margin of bottled water has reached 60% in recent years. Even with the drag from other business segments, the overall gross profit margin can still exceed 50%. Such a high gross profit margin is rare, and \"Happy Water\" is loved by young people around the world.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">Coca-Cola</a>The gross profit margin is less than 40%, while the gross profit margin of Master Kong's beverages is only around 30%.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's ability to attract revenue is beyond doubt, and it has been jokingly referred to by netizens as \"nature's money-printing machine\".</p><p>Since its listing, Nongfu Spring has attracted a lot of attention, and its stock price seems to have ridden a rollercoaster. After its founder was promoted to Asia's richest man, he fell from his pedestal. His performance in the first half of this year has attracted much attention.</p><p>Is \"Moutai in the water\" still valuable? Is there any valuation risk to the current stock price? Will it be halved again in the future? We hope to find the answers to these questions in the 2021 interim results announcement.</p><p><b>01</b><b>\"Moutai in the Water\" truly lives up to its name.</b></p><p>On August 26, 2021, Nongfu Spring released its interim fiscal year report, showing that its revenue of 15.175 billion yuan lived up to its reputation as the \"Moutai in the water,\" with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, slightly exceeding market consensus expectations.</p><p>According to the financial report data, the 40% growth rate of net profit in the first half of this year is also very impressive, and this surprising performance has restored Zhong Shanshan to the position of China's richest man. However, such a high growth rate is inseparable from the dire situation during the same period last year.</p><p>In the first half of 2020, the beverage market was in a bleak state due to the impact of the pandemic. Overall revenue not only did not increase, but shrank by about 6%. If we ignore the abnormal performance data in 2020 and compare it directly with the same period in 2019, Nongfu Spring's revenue only increased by about 20% in two years.</p><p>This year's surprise stems from the stark contrast with last year, while financial reports from 2017 to 2019 show that Nongfu Spring's revenue growth rate remained stable at around 17% over the three years. Therefore, although Nongfu Spring has been well controlled this year due to the domestic epidemic and the market has gradually recovered, delivering an impressive performance, based on current data, Nongfu Spring is unlikely to have recovered its vitality.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa1357083164446283d471e22ab837db\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Business data shows that drinking water remains the main source of revenue, contributing nearly 60% of the total revenue. As we can see from the 2020 interim financial report data, even in the bleak market environment of 2020, the drinking water business still rose steadily by 0.7% in the first half of the year, and with the overall market recovery this year, the drinking water business rose by 25%.</p><p>The growth rate of other product categories was also very impressive, especially new products such as sparkling water and coffee, which grew by as much as 86%. However, the scale was too small, accounting for only 5.5% of all businesses, and had little impact on overall revenue.</p><p>In recent years, Nongfu Spring has continued to make efforts in the beverage sector, constantly launching new products. Established series such as Scream, Tea π, and Oriental Leaf have been continuously launched, demonstrating their enduring vitality. In the past two years, Nongfu Spring has also been present in the emerging sparkling water field. However, judging from financial data, drinking water products will remain the main theme in the short term.</p><p>For a company, revenue is on the table, while costs are on the inside. Looking good on the outside is important, but looking good on the inside is also important, and the standard for measuring whether both are equally good is gross profit margin.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's gross profit margin has never disappointed, and it remains the same this year. According to the interim report, the gross profit in the first half of the year reached 9.241 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin increasing by 1% year-on-year to 60.9%.</p><p>Regarding the increase in gross profit margin, Nongfu Spring stated at the earnings conference that the main reason was the good control of PET material costs in the first half of this year.</p><p>As an essential packaging material, PET material is of great significance to Nongfu Spring. In its prospectus released last year, Nongfu Spring gave a definite answer: nearly 30% of its costs fall on PET materials. This makes it easy to understand why controlling PET material costs well this year can improve the overall gross profit margin.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0421104a92e863bfc42be28ac7c1a6cf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Regarding the issue of PET materials, Nongfu Spring specifically stated that it has made ample preparations for locking in material prices in the second half of this year, and expects costs in the second half to be similar to those in the first half. However, the situation next year is not optimistic, and it has been mentally prepared for the gross profit margin to drop to the level of 2019.</p><p>If this concern becomes a reality, then next year's profit growth rate will likely be affected to some extent.</p><p>Besides the potential impact of PET material prices, the increase in marketing costs cannot be ignored. At the earnings conference, Nongfu Spring stated that due to the diversity of information acquisition channels, the company's promotion costs have increased significantly.</p><p>Promotion is inextricably linked to performance. If marketing costs are reduced, there will inevitably be a risk of declining performance. Moreover, Nongfu Spring's plan to increase SKUs has never stopped. With the launch of new products and the introduction of new series, marketing costs will inevitably not be saved.</p><p>In the second half of this year, Henan, as a major sales province, successively suffered from rains and epidemics, while Zhejiang and other places were also affected by typhoons. While the pressure on performance will certainly increase, the still strong drinking water business may be able to continue to tell the story of \"Nongfu Spring is a little sweet\".</p><p><b>02</b><b>The stock price has halved, but the bubble remains.</b></p><p>Nongfu Spring achieved good results in this mid-year report, but in stark contrast, its stock price halved in the first half of the year.</p><p>Since its listing in September 2020, Nongfu Spring's market capitalization once exceeded HK$700 billion thanks to its natural water priced at 2 yuan per bottle. In less than six months, its stock price soared, and its P/E once reached 138 times.</p><p>At the beginning of this year, Nongfu Spring's stock price reached its highest point, followed by a sharp drop. The continuous decline in the stock price once caused panic among investors. However, such a drop was not unexpected for Nongfu Spring. Enthusiastic investors needed to remain calm, and the soaring stock price also needed to be corrected.</p><p>Currently, Nongfu Spring's market value has evaporated by hundreds of billions of yuan, and Zhong Shanshan has also fallen from the pedestal of Asia's richest man. The overall stock price has fallen by nearly 40%, but Nongfu Spring's P/E is still as high as 71 times.</p><p>In contrast, among other listed companies in the food and beverage sector, Master Kong's P/E is only 17 times higher, focusing on its Lulu series.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000848\">Chengde Lulu</a>P/E is only 27 times, even though it repeatedly ignites market sentiment.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>Even in P/E, it's only about 40 times.</p><p>Behind excessively high P/E, there is naturally a bubble; Nongfu Spring's stock price is like...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603099\">Changbai mountain</a>Despite the fragile ice on the lake, Nongfu Spring's financial data suggests that its returns cannot keep up with investors' high expectations. If these expectations collapse, its stock price will be halved again.</p><p>Investors' high expectations stem from Nongfu Spring's absolute advantage in the market, but when a company has achieved an absolute advantage in a market, the problem of a ceiling cannot be avoided.</p><p>From the financial report data, we can see that the growth rate of the drinking water business is significantly slower than that of other businesses. If we do not consider the impact of the market environment in 2020, the average annual growth rate of this business has only reached 12% in the two years since 2019. At the performance exchange meeting, Nongfu Spring also admitted that the current growth rate has not yet recovered to the normal level.</p><p>Before its drinking water business reached its ceiling, Nongfu Spring had already begun to expand into other businesses, such as launching beverages such as Scream, Vitamin Water, and Nongfu Orchard, and entering the fields of tea beverages, functional beverages, and fruit juice beverages. According to data from its prospectus, in 2019, the market share of these businesses all reached the third position.</p><p>In its interim financial report, Nongfu Spring also stated that it \"will continue to promote the dual-engine development of drinking water and beverages.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ae118491013a0ac57f72b00f5dfb9c\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>However, in terms of business revenue data, packaged drinking water products contribute nearly 60% of revenue, while tea beverages, functional beverages, fruit juice beverages and other products have clearly not shown the momentum of a \"second engine\".</p><p>In the beverage industry, Nongfu Spring has always been a \"junior\". According to data from the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute, brands such as Master Kong and Uni-President have an absolute advantage in the tea beverage market, and Nongfu Spring's market share has dropped to sixth. In the functional beverage field, Red Bull is the absolute dominant player, occupying more than 50% of the market share, while its competitor is Dongpeng Special Drink. Nongfu Spring's products do not have much of a story.</p><p>Although the beverage business has a high growth rate, it is unfortunately small in scale and has not yet gained its own advantages after several years of growth. The ambitious vision of relying on dual engines to fuel the stock price bubble may still need time as a catalyst, and Nongfu Spring will likely remain the main battleground for water in recent years.</p><p><b>03 Is the future of Nongfu Spring still water?</b></p><p>Water is the source of life, and this is also true for Nongfu Spring.</p><p>With the drinking water market facing a ceiling, Nongfu Spring intends to break the deadlock once again by relying on water sources.</p><p>When Nongfu Spring was first born, facing the already red ocean purified water market, Zhong Shanshan chose to turn around and use purified water and natural water as the debate topic, which sparked a nationwide debate. Nongfu Spring became famous overnight. \"We do not produce water, we are just the transporters of nature.\" To this day, this advertising slogan is still known to everyone.</p><p>In terms of drinking water types, it is generally divided into four types: natural water, natural mineral water, purified water, and mineral water. Purified water refers to artificially treated tap water, while mineral water is made by artificially adding certain mineral components to purified water. Since the water sources are all tap water, the cost is relatively cheap. Currently, these two types are the most common among low-priced water.</p><p>Natural water originates from nature, such as underground spring water and well water, with Nongfu Spring being the most typical example. Natural mineral water has higher requirements for water sources, is more difficult to obtain, and has higher natural costs. Currently, most high-end drinking waters on the market fall into this category, such as Baisuishan and Evian.</p><p>In the natural water sector, Nongfu Spring has an absolute advantage, but in the natural mineral water market, Baisui Mountain, a subsidiary of Jingtian Group, is the leader. According to public information, Baisuishan has a market share of nearly 40%, holding the number one position in the market for ten consecutive years.</p><p>In April of this year, Nongfu Spring launched its first natural mineral water product, Changbaixue, priced at 3 yuan per unit. Compared to Baisui Mountain, it hopes to expand its product matrix in the drinking water business. However, 2-yuan water is currently the mainstream. In the minds of consumers who are interested in low-priced water, the quality of water may not be as important as the price.</p><p>Meanwhile, unlike ordinary natural water, Changbai Snow currently has only one water source: Changbai Mountain. If it wants to cover the whole country, transportation costs will inevitably increase. Although Nongfu Spring stated that the current price of 3 yuan can cover the cost, its profitability is inevitably worrying considering the transportation costs.</p><p>In addition to new products, Nongfu Spring also stated at the performance exchange meeting that its large-packaged water has performed very well this year, with \"the growth rate still slightly higher than that of small-packaged water, which has not changed since before the IPO,\" and believes that competition in large-packaged water will become increasingly fierce in the future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e011521fd4ddc42bbf3e97c3ec9824a6\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a national brand, Nongfu Spring's brand appeal is undeniable. Its absolute leading position in the small-bottled drinking water market and its ability to influence consumer choices in the large-packaged water market are still evident. However, when brand influence is excluded, Nongfu Spring still lacks outstanding features in terms of delivery services and production processes.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's confidence in its large-packaged water business still stems from its nationwide water sources, the national character of its brands, and its capillary-like distributor network. Combined with its solid \"storytelling\" skills, Nongfu Spring tells consumers a story across all scenarios, integrating the concept of natural water into their lives in an attempt to cultivate consumers' dependence on natural water.</p><p>Large-packaged water is gradually invading our lives. After the pandemic and rains, the enthusiasm for stockpiling large-packaged water will also reach a small peak. However, whether large-packaged water can be comparable to small-bottled water in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>In the next few years, Nongfu Spring may still need to rely on its core business to ensure that the stock price bubble does not burst. However, how to develop its core business into a new driving force will become a new problem for Nongfu Spring.</p>","source":"lsy1602476715181","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Underwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUnderwater Foam of \"Water Moutai\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">新熵</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-01 12:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Before this, no one could have imagined that a \"porter\" could rise to the position of Asia's richest man and stand out from the crowd.</p><p>Economist Ma Guangyuan once joked, \"What represents China's wealth is not big data or anything like that, but four ordinary bottles of water.\" Here, the \"four bottles of water\" refer to Moutai,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300999\">Golden Dragon</a>Haitian soy sauce, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09633\">Nongfu Spring</a>。</p><p>Nongfu Spring water, priced at 2 yuan per unit, can be found everywhere in supermarkets of all sizes, and it is these inconspicuous bottled waters that support the wealth myth of \"Moutai in the water\".</p><p>How profitable can bottled water be?</p><p>According to Nongfu Spring's financial reports over the years, the gross profit margin of bottled water has reached 60% in recent years. Even with the drag from other business segments, the overall gross profit margin can still exceed 50%. Such a high gross profit margin is rare, and \"Happy Water\" is loved by young people around the world.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">Coca-Cola</a>The gross profit margin is less than 40%, while the gross profit margin of Master Kong's beverages is only around 30%.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's ability to attract revenue is beyond doubt, and it has been jokingly referred to by netizens as \"nature's money-printing machine\".</p><p>Since its listing, Nongfu Spring has attracted a lot of attention, and its stock price seems to have ridden a rollercoaster. After its founder was promoted to Asia's richest man, he fell from his pedestal. His performance in the first half of this year has attracted much attention.</p><p>Is \"Moutai in the water\" still valuable? Is there any valuation risk to the current stock price? Will it be halved again in the future? We hope to find the answers to these questions in the 2021 interim results announcement.</p><p><b>01</b><b>\"Moutai in the Water\" truly lives up to its name.</b></p><p>On August 26, 2021, Nongfu Spring released its interim fiscal year report, showing that its revenue of 15.175 billion yuan lived up to its reputation as the \"Moutai in the water,\" with a year-on-year growth rate of over 30%, slightly exceeding market consensus expectations.</p><p>According to the financial report data, the 40% growth rate of net profit in the first half of this year is also very impressive, and this surprising performance has restored Zhong Shanshan to the position of China's richest man. However, such a high growth rate is inseparable from the dire situation during the same period last year.</p><p>In the first half of 2020, the beverage market was in a bleak state due to the impact of the pandemic. Overall revenue not only did not increase, but shrank by about 6%. If we ignore the abnormal performance data in 2020 and compare it directly with the same period in 2019, Nongfu Spring's revenue only increased by about 20% in two years.</p><p>This year's surprise stems from the stark contrast with last year, while financial reports from 2017 to 2019 show that Nongfu Spring's revenue growth rate remained stable at around 17% over the three years. Therefore, although Nongfu Spring has been well controlled this year due to the domestic epidemic and the market has gradually recovered, delivering an impressive performance, based on current data, Nongfu Spring is unlikely to have recovered its vitality.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa1357083164446283d471e22ab837db\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Business data shows that drinking water remains the main source of revenue, contributing nearly 60% of the total revenue. As we can see from the 2020 interim financial report data, even in the bleak market environment of 2020, the drinking water business still rose steadily by 0.7% in the first half of the year, and with the overall market recovery this year, the drinking water business rose by 25%.</p><p>The growth rate of other product categories was also very impressive, especially new products such as sparkling water and coffee, which grew by as much as 86%. However, the scale was too small, accounting for only 5.5% of all businesses, and had little impact on overall revenue.</p><p>In recent years, Nongfu Spring has continued to make efforts in the beverage sector, constantly launching new products. Established series such as Scream, Tea π, and Oriental Leaf have been continuously launched, demonstrating their enduring vitality. In the past two years, Nongfu Spring has also been present in the emerging sparkling water field. However, judging from financial data, drinking water products will remain the main theme in the short term.</p><p>For a company, revenue is on the table, while costs are on the inside. Looking good on the outside is important, but looking good on the inside is also important, and the standard for measuring whether both are equally good is gross profit margin.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's gross profit margin has never disappointed, and it remains the same this year. According to the interim report, the gross profit in the first half of the year reached 9.241 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin increasing by 1% year-on-year to 60.9%.</p><p>Regarding the increase in gross profit margin, Nongfu Spring stated at the earnings conference that the main reason was the good control of PET material costs in the first half of this year.</p><p>As an essential packaging material, PET material is of great significance to Nongfu Spring. In its prospectus released last year, Nongfu Spring gave a definite answer: nearly 30% of its costs fall on PET materials. This makes it easy to understand why controlling PET material costs well this year can improve the overall gross profit margin.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0421104a92e863bfc42be28ac7c1a6cf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Regarding the issue of PET materials, Nongfu Spring specifically stated that it has made ample preparations for locking in material prices in the second half of this year, and expects costs in the second half to be similar to those in the first half. However, the situation next year is not optimistic, and it has been mentally prepared for the gross profit margin to drop to the level of 2019.</p><p>If this concern becomes a reality, then next year's profit growth rate will likely be affected to some extent.</p><p>Besides the potential impact of PET material prices, the increase in marketing costs cannot be ignored. At the earnings conference, Nongfu Spring stated that due to the diversity of information acquisition channels, the company's promotion costs have increased significantly.</p><p>Promotion is inextricably linked to performance. If marketing costs are reduced, there will inevitably be a risk of declining performance. Moreover, Nongfu Spring's plan to increase SKUs has never stopped. With the launch of new products and the introduction of new series, marketing costs will inevitably not be saved.</p><p>In the second half of this year, Henan, as a major sales province, successively suffered from rains and epidemics, while Zhejiang and other places were also affected by typhoons. While the pressure on performance will certainly increase, the still strong drinking water business may be able to continue to tell the story of \"Nongfu Spring is a little sweet\".</p><p><b>02</b><b>The stock price has halved, but the bubble remains.</b></p><p>Nongfu Spring achieved good results in this mid-year report, but in stark contrast, its stock price halved in the first half of the year.</p><p>Since its listing in September 2020, Nongfu Spring's market capitalization once exceeded HK$700 billion thanks to its natural water priced at 2 yuan per bottle. In less than six months, its stock price soared, and its P/E once reached 138 times.</p><p>At the beginning of this year, Nongfu Spring's stock price reached its highest point, followed by a sharp drop. The continuous decline in the stock price once caused panic among investors. However, such a drop was not unexpected for Nongfu Spring. Enthusiastic investors needed to remain calm, and the soaring stock price also needed to be corrected.</p><p>Currently, Nongfu Spring's market value has evaporated by hundreds of billions of yuan, and Zhong Shanshan has also fallen from the pedestal of Asia's richest man. The overall stock price has fallen by nearly 40%, but Nongfu Spring's P/E is still as high as 71 times.</p><p>In contrast, among other listed companies in the food and beverage sector, Master Kong's P/E is only 17 times higher, focusing on its Lulu series.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000848\">Chengde Lulu</a>P/E is only 27 times, even though it repeatedly ignites market sentiment.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">Kweichow Moutai</a>Even in P/E, it's only about 40 times.</p><p>Behind excessively high P/E, there is naturally a bubble; Nongfu Spring's stock price is like...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603099\">Changbai mountain</a>Despite the fragile ice on the lake, Nongfu Spring's financial data suggests that its returns cannot keep up with investors' high expectations. If these expectations collapse, its stock price will be halved again.</p><p>Investors' high expectations stem from Nongfu Spring's absolute advantage in the market, but when a company has achieved an absolute advantage in a market, the problem of a ceiling cannot be avoided.</p><p>From the financial report data, we can see that the growth rate of the drinking water business is significantly slower than that of other businesses. If we do not consider the impact of the market environment in 2020, the average annual growth rate of this business has only reached 12% in the two years since 2019. At the performance exchange meeting, Nongfu Spring also admitted that the current growth rate has not yet recovered to the normal level.</p><p>Before its drinking water business reached its ceiling, Nongfu Spring had already begun to expand into other businesses, such as launching beverages such as Scream, Vitamin Water, and Nongfu Orchard, and entering the fields of tea beverages, functional beverages, and fruit juice beverages. According to data from its prospectus, in 2019, the market share of these businesses all reached the third position.</p><p>In its interim financial report, Nongfu Spring also stated that it \"will continue to promote the dual-engine development of drinking water and beverages.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ae118491013a0ac57f72b00f5dfb9c\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>However, in terms of business revenue data, packaged drinking water products contribute nearly 60% of revenue, while tea beverages, functional beverages, fruit juice beverages and other products have clearly not shown the momentum of a \"second engine\".</p><p>In the beverage industry, Nongfu Spring has always been a \"junior\". According to data from the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute, brands such as Master Kong and Uni-President have an absolute advantage in the tea beverage market, and Nongfu Spring's market share has dropped to sixth. In the functional beverage field, Red Bull is the absolute dominant player, occupying more than 50% of the market share, while its competitor is Dongpeng Special Drink. Nongfu Spring's products do not have much of a story.</p><p>Although the beverage business has a high growth rate, it is unfortunately small in scale and has not yet gained its own advantages after several years of growth. The ambitious vision of relying on dual engines to fuel the stock price bubble may still need time as a catalyst, and Nongfu Spring will likely remain the main battleground for water in recent years.</p><p><b>03 Is the future of Nongfu Spring still water?</b></p><p>Water is the source of life, and this is also true for Nongfu Spring.</p><p>With the drinking water market facing a ceiling, Nongfu Spring intends to break the deadlock once again by relying on water sources.</p><p>When Nongfu Spring was first born, facing the already red ocean purified water market, Zhong Shanshan chose to turn around and use purified water and natural water as the debate topic, which sparked a nationwide debate. Nongfu Spring became famous overnight. \"We do not produce water, we are just the transporters of nature.\" To this day, this advertising slogan is still known to everyone.</p><p>In terms of drinking water types, it is generally divided into four types: natural water, natural mineral water, purified water, and mineral water. Purified water refers to artificially treated tap water, while mineral water is made by artificially adding certain mineral components to purified water. Since the water sources are all tap water, the cost is relatively cheap. Currently, these two types are the most common among low-priced water.</p><p>Natural water originates from nature, such as underground spring water and well water, with Nongfu Spring being the most typical example. Natural mineral water has higher requirements for water sources, is more difficult to obtain, and has higher natural costs. Currently, most high-end drinking waters on the market fall into this category, such as Baisuishan and Evian.</p><p>In the natural water sector, Nongfu Spring has an absolute advantage, but in the natural mineral water market, Baisui Mountain, a subsidiary of Jingtian Group, is the leader. According to public information, Baisuishan has a market share of nearly 40%, holding the number one position in the market for ten consecutive years.</p><p>In April of this year, Nongfu Spring launched its first natural mineral water product, Changbaixue, priced at 3 yuan per unit. Compared to Baisui Mountain, it hopes to expand its product matrix in the drinking water business. However, 2-yuan water is currently the mainstream. In the minds of consumers who are interested in low-priced water, the quality of water may not be as important as the price.</p><p>Meanwhile, unlike ordinary natural water, Changbai Snow currently has only one water source: Changbai Mountain. If it wants to cover the whole country, transportation costs will inevitably increase. Although Nongfu Spring stated that the current price of 3 yuan can cover the cost, its profitability is inevitably worrying considering the transportation costs.</p><p>In addition to new products, Nongfu Spring also stated at the performance exchange meeting that its large-packaged water has performed very well this year, with \"the growth rate still slightly higher than that of small-packaged water, which has not changed since before the IPO,\" and believes that competition in large-packaged water will become increasingly fierce in the future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e011521fd4ddc42bbf3e97c3ec9824a6\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a national brand, Nongfu Spring's brand appeal is undeniable. Its absolute leading position in the small-bottled drinking water market and its ability to influence consumer choices in the large-packaged water market are still evident. However, when brand influence is excluded, Nongfu Spring still lacks outstanding features in terms of delivery services and production processes.</p><p>Nongfu Spring's confidence in its large-packaged water business still stems from its nationwide water sources, the national character of its brands, and its capillary-like distributor network. Combined with its solid \"storytelling\" skills, Nongfu Spring tells consumers a story across all scenarios, integrating the concept of natural water into their lives in an attempt to cultivate consumers' dependence on natural water.</p><p>Large-packaged water is gradually invading our lives. After the pandemic and rains, the enthusiasm for stockpiling large-packaged water will also reach a small peak. However, whether large-packaged water can be comparable to small-bottled water in the future remains to be seen.</p><p>In the next few years, Nongfu Spring may still need to rely on its core business to ensure that the stock price bubble does not burst. However, how to develop its core business into a new driving force will become a new problem for Nongfu Spring.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3y_QHBcqCdxCMeQxdqyYaQ\">新熵</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c73365999f228bdf66df7f52d79a4b4","relate_stocks":{"600519":"贵州茅台"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/3y_QHBcqCdxCMeQxdqyYaQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186121597","content_text":"在此之前，没人能想到一个“搬运工”居然能够登上亚洲首富的位置傲视群雄。\n经济学家马光远曾调侃，“代表中国财富的不是什么大数据等等的东西，而是普普通通的四瓶水。”这里的“四瓶水”，指的就是茅台、金龙鱼、海天酱油，以及农夫山泉。\n单价2元的农夫山泉在大大小小的超市随处可见，而正是这些不起眼的瓶装水，撑起来一个“水中茅台”的财富神话。\n瓶装水的利润能有多高？\n据农夫山泉的历年财报数据显示，近几年瓶装水的毛利率可以达到60%，哪怕加上其他业务板块的拖后腿，整体毛利率也能够超过50%。这样的高毛利率并不多见，深受全球年轻人喜爱的“快乐水”可口可乐，毛利率不到40%，而康师傅旗下饮品的毛利率仅有30%上下。\n农夫山泉的吸金能力毋庸置疑，被网友们戏称为“大自然的印钞机”。\n自上市开始，农夫山泉就吸引到大批目光，股价彷佛坐上了过山车，创始人被捧上亚洲首富之后，又跌落神坛，今年上半年战绩如何，更是备受关注。\n“水中茅台”还值钱吗？目前股价有估值风险吗？未来还会再次腰斩吗？这些问题的答案我们都希望能够在2021年中期业绩公告中找到。\n01“水中茅台”名副其实\n2021年8月26日，农夫山泉发布财年中报，151.75亿的营收不负“水中茅台”的称号，同比增速超过30%，略微超出市场一致预期。\n就财报数据来看，今年上半年净利润40%的增长速度也十分亮眼，这份令人惊喜的成绩单也把钟睒睒重新捧回中国首富的位置。然而，这样的高增速离不开去年同时期狼狈姿态的衬托。\n2020年上半年，受疫情影响，饮料市场一片惨淡，整体营收不仅没有上升，反而缩减6%左右，如果跳过2020年不正常的业绩数据，直接与2019年同期相比，两年的时间内，农夫山泉的营收仅上涨20%左右。\n今年的惊艳源自与去年的惨烈对比，而2017年至2019年财报数据显示，三年间农夫山泉的营收增速稳定在17%左右。以此来看，今年的农夫山泉虽然因国内疫情受到良好控制，市场逐步回暖，交出一份好看的成绩单，但就目前数据来看，农夫山泉恐怕仍旧没有恢复元气。\n\n从业务数据来看，饮用水依旧是营收主力，凭借一己之力贡献了近60%的收入。从2020年中期财报数据中我们可以看到，哪怕在2020年的惨淡市场环境中，上半年饮用水业务仍旧坚挺地上涨0.7%，而今年的市场整体回暖，饮用水业务更是直接上涨了25%。\n其他品类业务的增速也非常亮眼，尤其是气泡水、咖啡等新产品，增速高达86%，但无奈体量过小，在所有业务中占比不过5.5%，对整体营收影响甚微。\n近几年农夫山泉在饮料板块持续发力，不断推出新品，尖叫、茶π、东方树叶等老牌系列均不断上新，展现出持久的生命力，近两年新兴的气泡水领域，也有农夫山泉的影子。但就财务数据来看，短时间内，饮用水产品依旧是主旋律。\n对于一家企业来说，营收是表，成本是里。面子好看很重要，里子好看也很重要，而衡量两者是否同样好看的标准，就是毛利率。\n农夫山泉的毛利率从来都不令人失望，今年依旧如此。据中报数据显示，上半年毛利高达92.41亿元，毛利率较上年增长1%，达到60.9%。\n对于毛利率上涨，农夫山泉方在业绩交流会上表示，主要原因是今年上半年PET材料成本控制得好。\n作为必不可少的包装，PET材料对农夫山泉意义非凡，在去年发布的招股书中，农夫山泉给出了确切答案，近三成的成本都落在PET材料，这就不难理解，为何今年PET材料成本控制得好，就能够提高整体的毛利率。\n\n针对PET材料的问题，农夫山泉方特别提出，今年下半年的材料价格锁定准备较为充分，预计下半年的成本与上半年类似，但明年的情况不容乐观，已经做好毛利率下降至2019年水平的心理准备。\n如果这项担忧成了现实，那么明年的利润增速恐怕会受到一定影响。\n除了PET材料价格可能带来的影响，营销成本的提高也不容忽视，在业绩交流会上，农夫山泉方表示，由于信息获取渠道的多样性，公司的推广成本提升很多。\n推广跟业绩有不可分割的关系，如果缩减营销成本，不可避免的，业绩也将会有下降风险，更何况农夫山泉增加SKU的计划从未停止，新品上市、旧系列上新，营销成本必然不能节约。\n今年下半年，河南作为销售大省，先后遭遇雨灾和疫情，同时浙江等地也遭受台风影响，业绩压力固然会增大，但依旧坚挺的饮用水业务或许能够将继续讲着“农夫山泉有点甜”的故事。\n02股价腰斩，泡沫还在\n这份年中成绩单，农夫山泉拿到了一个不错的成绩，但与此形成鲜明对比的是，在上半年腰斩的股价。\n自2020年9月上市，农夫山泉靠着2元一瓶的天然水，市值一度超过7000亿港元，随后不到半年的时间，股价一路飙升，市盈率一度高达138倍。\n今年年初，农夫山泉的股价达到最高点，随后一路暴跌，跌跌不休的股价一度引发投资者的恐慌，但这样的跌幅，对于农夫山泉来说并不突兀，热情的投资者需要冷静，高涨的股价也需要回调。\n目前，农夫山泉的市值已经蒸发数千亿，钟睒睒也走下亚洲首富的神坛，股价整体跌幅近40%，但目前农夫山泉的市盈率仍旧高达71倍。\n反观同为食品饮料板块的一众上市公司，康师傅市盈率仅有17倍，主打露露系列的承德露露市盈率不过27倍，就连一次次引爆市场情绪的贵州茅台，市盈率也不过才40倍左右。\n过高的市盈率背后自然有泡沫存在，农夫山泉的股价像是长白山湖面上脆弱的冰层，就财务数据来看，农夫山泉的回报能力确实追不上投资者的高预期，一旦预期崩塌，股价将会再一次迎来腰斩。\n投资者的高预期源自农夫山泉在市场上的绝对优势，但当企业在一个市场做出了绝对优势，天花板的问题就无法回避。\n从财报数据中我们能够看到，饮用水业务增速相较于其它业务明显较慢，如果不考虑2020年市场环境带来的影响，自2019年至今，两年的时间中这项业务的增速平均每年仅达到12%，在业绩交流会上，农夫山泉也承认目前的增速仍旧没有恢复到正常水平。\n在饮用水业务看见天花板之前，农夫山泉就已经开始在其它业务上布局，如推出尖叫、维他命水、农夫果园等饮料，入局茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料等业务领域，就招股书中数据显示，2019年时，这些业务的市场占有率均达到第三的位置。\n在中期财报中，农夫山泉也表示“将持续推动饮用水和饮料双引擎发展的格局”。\n\n但就业务营收数据来看，包装饮用水产品贡献近六成营收，茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料以及其它产品明显没有走出“第二个引擎”的气势。\n在饮料领域，农夫山泉一直是“后辈”，据前瞻产业研究院数据显示，在茶饮料市场康师傅、统一等品牌占据绝对优势，农夫山泉市场占有率已降至第六，在功能饮料领域，红牛则是绝对的霸主，占据超50%的市场份额，而其对手则是东鹏特饮，农夫山泉旗下的产品并没有太多的故事。\n饮料业务虽然增速很高，无奈体量较小，几年的成长依旧没有走出自己的优势。靠双引擎为填充股价泡沫提供动力的美好愿景可能还需要时间的催化剂，近几年的农夫山泉大概还是水的主场。\n03农夫山泉的未来还是水？\n水是生命之源，对农夫山泉来说，也是如此。\n饮用水市场的天花板压在头顶，农夫山泉意欲再次靠水源打破僵局。\n在农夫山泉刚刚诞生时，面对已经是红海的纯净水市场，钟睒睒选择转身，以纯净水和天然水为辩题，引发一场全民性的辩论会，农夫山泉一战成名，“我们不生产水，我们只是大自然的搬运工”，时至今日，这句广告词仍旧妇孺皆知。\n从饮用水种类来看，普遍分为天然水、天然矿泉水、纯净水、矿物质水四种，其中纯净水指人工处理过的自来水，矿物质水则是在纯净水的基础上人工添加一定的矿物质成分，由于水源均是自来水，成本价较为便宜，目前低价水中最常见的也是这两种类型。\n而天然水则源自大自然，如地下泉水、井水等，农夫山泉就是最典型的代表。天然矿泉水对水源地要求更高，取水难度也更大，自然成本也更高，目前市面上的高端饮用水基本都属于此类，例如百岁山、依云等。\n在天然水领域中，农夫山泉拥有绝对优势，但是在天然矿泉水赛道，景田集团旗下的百岁山才是老大。据公开消息显示，百岁山市场占有率接近40%，连续十年占据市场第一的位置。\n今年4月，农夫山泉推出首款单价3元的天然矿泉水产品长白雪，对标百岁山，希望扩大自己在饮用水业务的产品矩阵，但目前2元水才是主流，在低价水面向的消费者心中，水质好坏可能并没有价格高低重要。\n同时，与普通天然水不同，长白雪的水源地目前仅有长白山一处，若想覆盖全国，运输成本不可避免会有所上升，虽然农夫山泉方表示，目前定价3元能够覆盖成本，但考虑到运输成本，其盈利能力不免令人担忧。\n除了新品，在业绩交流会上农夫山泉方也表示，今年大包装水成绩非常好，“增速仍然略高于小包装水，从IPO之前到现在都没有改变”，并认为接下来大包装水的竞争会越来越激烈。\n\n作为国民品牌，农夫山泉的品牌号召力毋庸置疑，在小瓶装饮用水市场的绝对领先地位，在大包装水市场依旧能够发挥余热，影响消费者的选择，但当排除品牌影响力，农夫山泉在配送服务、生产工艺等方面依旧没有突出的特点。\n在大包装水业务的底气依旧源自分布在全国的水源地、品牌的国民性、堪比毛细血管的经销商网络，配合扎实的“讲故事”功底，农夫山泉给消费者讲出一个全场景的故事，把天然水的概念揉进生活，企图培养消费者对天然水的依赖。\n目前大包装水正在逐渐入侵生活，疫情和雨灾过后，储备热情也会把大包装水碰上一个小高潮，但未来大包装水是否能够与小瓶水比肩，还需要时间告诉我们答案。\n未来几年内，或许农夫山泉还需要靠老本行“搬水”，来保障股价泡沫不会被刺破，但如何让老本行发展成新动力，将会成为农夫山泉新的问题。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"600519":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142427314,"gmtCreate":1626170308138,"gmtModify":1703754734920,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142427314","repostId":"1117185498","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117185498","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626170117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117185498?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-13 17:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Missfresh \"upgrades\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117185498","media":" 虎嗅APP","summary":"2021年6月25日晚，每日优鲜正式以“MF”为证券代码在纳斯达克挂牌上市，而在2021 年 6 月 29 日，叮咚买菜正式也以 \"DDL\" 为证券代码在纽约证券交易所挂牌上市。每日优鲜是“前置仓模式","content":"<p>On the evening of June 25, 2021, Missfresh was officially listed on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol \"MF\", while on June 29, 2021, Dingdong Maicai was also officially listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol \"DDL\".<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767b9cf77863e436be7a6d19423d17e5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Missfresh is a pioneer of the \"pre-positioned warehouse model\". In 2019, its total transaction volume (GMV) reached 7.6 billion yuan, while Dingdong Maicai's GMV was 4.7 billion yuan. In 2020, Missfresh's growth slowed down, while Dingdong Maicai expanded rapidly, with its GMV soaring to 13 billion yuan.</p><p>Entering 2021, Dingdong Maicai became even more aggressive, with cash outflow from operating activities reaching 1.01 billion yuan in Q1, equivalent to 50% of the total for the whole of 2020. During the same period, Missfresh's operating cash outflow was less than 600 million yuan.</p><p>Missfresh's slowdown in its expansion must have its own plans.</p><p>The forward warehouse model targets first- and second-tier cities.</p><p>Missfresh was founded in October 2014 and began establishing/operating \"distributed micro-warehouses\" in May of the following year, becoming a pioneer in the DMW model. As of the end of March 2021, it operated 631 forward warehouses (total area of 200,000 square meters) in 16 cities, with more than 4,300 SKUs.</p><p>Missfresh's core team came from Lenovo Joyvio and has a deep understanding and operational experience in the entire fruit industry chain. Missfresh has established a comprehensive traceable quality control system, with over 80% of its products sourced directly from the place of origin. DMW's standard products (4,300 SKUs) can be delivered within 39 minutes of a user's order (as of March 31, 2021, 22,000 riders participated in the delivery). There are also over 20,000 next-day delivery SKUs on the platform.</p><p>In 2019, Missfresh's GMV (total transaction volume) was 7.6 billion yuan; In 2020, the pace of expansion slowed down (no rash actions were taken during the pandemic), and GMV remained the same as the previous year;<b>The pace accelerated dramatically in 2021, with GMV reaching 710 million yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 37.8%.</b></p><p>In 2020, Missfresh had 8.7 million active users (whose actual payments exceeded purchase costs), with an average annual consumption of 713 yuan per person.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb17afe3a0e9203ee66cf91defd9366f\" tg-width=\"806\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>In 2020, Missfresh received 65.1 million orders, averaging 8.2 items per order, with an average order value of 94.6 yuan, which was higher than other players in the pre-positioned warehouse sector.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3812567b9a7cd9a8b732d60cc1871115\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to data provided in the prospectus, the average price of each item was RMB 11.8 in the 12 months ending March 2021. On average, each DMW serves 12,500 users, and each rider delivers 50 orders per day.</p><p>Missfresh's \"front-end warehouse\" mainly targets relatively high-income groups in first- and second-tier cities, with an average order value of nearly 100 yuan far exceeding that of many front-end warehouse or community group buying players.</p><p>Where did all the money go?</p><p>Missfresh's main business is online retail (through apps and mini-programs).</p><p>Revenue in 2020 was 6.13 billion yuan, of which 97.9% came from merchandise sales; In Q1 2021, revenue was 1.53 billion yuan, of which 1.49 billion yuan came from merchandise sales.</p><p><b>90% of cost of sales is used for procurement</b></p><p>Cost of sales includes procurement, processing, packaging, impairment of inventories and freight charges for imported goods.</p><p>In 2019, procurement costs reached 5.33 billion yuan, accounting for 97.2% of the total cost; In 2020, procurement costs fell to 4.74 billion yuan, accounting for 96% of total costs; In Q1 2020, procurement costs amounted to 1.27 billion yuan, accounting for 94.8% of total costs and 85.1% of commodity sales revenue.</p><p>Procurement costs account for an extremely high proportion of total costs (approximately 95%), which means that other costs such as processing, packaging, and damage are extremely low (approximately 5%), demonstrating Missfresh's management level and operational efficiency.</p><p>For example, the problem of damage has long plagued fresh food retail. The prospectus shows that in 2020, DMW's merchandise turnover days were 1.8 days, with an average damage rate as low as 2.5%, lower than that of its competitors.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730e740e90114d3f25324c062918a7f3\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>60% of the performance fees will be used for logistics.</b></p><p>Performance costs include three parts: first, logistics (including transportation, warehousing, and distribution); Second, DMW and quality control center leasing; Thirdly, there are payment-related transaction fees.</p><p>The main component of Missfresh's fulfillment costs is logistics expenses.</p><p>In 2018, logistics expenditures amounted to 836 million yuan, accounting for 67.4% of fulfillment costs; Other expenses amounted to 400 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.24 billion, accounting for 34.9% of net revenue in 2018.</p><p>In 2019, logistics expenditures totaled 1.173 billion yuan, accounting for 64% of fulfillment costs; Other expenditures amounted to 660 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.83 billion, reducing their proportion to 30.5% of net revenue in 2019.</p><p>In 2020, logistics expenditures amounted to 940 million yuan, accounting for 59.7% of fulfillment costs; Other expenditures amounted to 640 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.58 billion, accounting for 25.7% of net revenue in 2020.</p><p>Dingdong Maicai's fulfillment fees account for approximately 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh's sales revenue, perhaps due to its extensive use of outsourcing services.</p><p>In 2019, outsourcing expenditures totaled 1.26 billion yuan, accounting for 65.1% of performance expenses; Other expenditures amounted to 680 million; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 1.94 billion yuan, accounting for 50.3% of merchandise sales revenue, 18.6 percentage points higher than Missfresh. Dingdong did not disclose the number of pre-positioned warehouses, and the related costs should be included in the outsourcing expenditure.</p><p>In 2020, outsourcing expenditures totaled 2.51 billion yuan, accounting for 62.2% of performance costs; Other expenditures amounted to 1.53 billion; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 4.04 billion yuan, reducing their proportion to 36.1% of merchandise sales revenue, but still nearly 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh.</p><p>In Q1 2021, outsourcing expenditures amounted to 890 million yuan, accounting for 59.7% of fulfillment expenses; Other expenditures: 600 million; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 1.48 billion yuan, accounting for 39.5% of merchandise sales revenue, which was 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f950907118cfce3e404c62bebd87fd2\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"442\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Marketing expenses account for only 10% of revenue.</b></p><p>In any track of the \"new economy,\" high marketing fees are the most popular \"trump card\" used by players. From Pinduoduo to Nio, from TAL Education Group to Kuaishou, marketing fees often amount to billions or tens of billions.</p><p>Missfresh's absolute market fees have been declining year after year, and there is no other new economy company like it. In 2018, marketing expenses were nearly 800 million yuan, accounting for 22.4% of revenue; In 2019, marketing expenses were 740 million yuan, accounting for 12.3% of revenue; In 2020, marketing expenses were less than 600 million yuan, accounting for 9.6% of revenue;<b>In Q1 2021, marketing expenses amounted to 170 million yuan, slightly rebounding to 11% of revenue.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b92c40560833423cd9a3a33b36ef44a\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In 2019, Missfresh's R&D expenses reached 470 million yuan, accounting for 7.8% of its revenue (compared to Dingdong Maicai's R&D expenses of 91.15 million yuan in the same year). In 2020, R&D expenses fell to 370 million yuan (Dingdong Maicai's R&D expenses increased to 320 million yuan), accounting for 6% of revenue;<b>In Q1 2021, R&D expenses amounted to 95 million yuan, accounting for 6.2% of revenue.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd0956c79f09168c93a6c6e73026c31c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In Q1 2021, procurement costs accounted for 85% of product sales revenue, benefiting consumers, while Missfresh began to \"upgrade\".</p><p>Missfresh \"upgrades\"</p><p>Why take it to the next level? Let's look at Missfresh's cost and fee structure.</p><p>In 2018, the fulfillment expense ratio was 35%, the marketing expense ratio was 22.4%, the administrative expense ratio was 8.1%, the R&D expense ratio was 6.5%, and the total expense ratio was 72%.</p><p>In 2019, the total expense ratio dropped to 57%, and the gross profit margin was 8.7%.</p><p><b>In 2020, the total expense ratio further decreased to 46.3%, the gross profit margin increased significantly to 19.4%, and the operating loss ratio narrowed to 26.8%. Although it lost its title of \"number one in scale\", 2020 was the year with the greatest improvement in Missfresh's operating conditions.</b></p><p>Looking at quarterly data, the peak total expense ratio in both 2019 and 2020 occurred in the third quarter: in Q3 2019, the fulfillment expense ratio was 33%, the market expense ratio was 13%, and the total expense ratio was 60.8%. In Q3 2020, the fulfillment expense ratio was 28%, the market expense ratio was 12%, and the total expense ratio was 50.6%, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to Q3 2019.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d547d49a3878be04fe08ce576609ffb\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Dingdong Maicai's quarterly data reflects a different mindset:</p><p><b>In Q1 2020, the operating loss rate was only 11.4%; In Q4 2020 and Q1 2021, Dingdong's operating losses widened sharply, reaching 1.23 billion yuan and 1.33 billion yuan respectively, indicating a clear intention to seize the \"peak of scale\".</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/090043c22803052bb73ec528f3838c8a\" tg-width=\"808\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Missfresh and Dingdong Maicai are representatives of the pre-positioned warehouse model. The advantages of this model are self-evident, leveraging the advantages of near-field retail, faster service delivery, and a more stable service experience. However, there are also different choices regarding whether to prioritize scale or operational quality.</p><p><b>In Q1 2021, Missfresh's procurement costs accounted for 85.1% of its sales revenue, while fulfillment costs accounted for 29.5%. Dingdong Maicai was about 10 percentage points higher.</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, Dingdong Maicai burned through cash aggressively, surpassing Missfresh in scale, but its operating losses also increased proportionally.</p><p>Therefore, the forward warehouse model should not be the whole picture, but rather a node in the business layout, or a business prototype before a more comprehensive business model is formed.</p><p>Open up the track</p><p><b>Missfresh's focus in the past two years has not been on burning money to acquire customers and increase GMV, but on building a smart retail system—RAIN.</b>(Retail AI Network)</p><p>After four years of integration, the RAIN system has covered all aspects of suppliers, logistics, and retail, and is responsible for 98% of replenishment, 97% of procurement, and 85% of inventory turnover management.</p><p>\"Front-loading warehouses are the first step,\" and the second step is to use the core capabilities gained from operating front-loading warehouses to help traditional farmers' markets. According to the prospectus, Missfresh has already partnered with 54 farmers' markets in 14 cities, and 33 farmers' markets in another 10 cities are ready.</p><p>“We will directly help them with their e-commerce business, setting up front-end warehouses and in-store warehouses, and taking full control of end-to-end operations. We will not just sell software, but build a platform,” said Wang Jun, CFO of Missfresh.</p><p>JD.com's self-operated gross profit margin is less than 10%, and coupled with fulfillment costs, it makes almost no profit. The gross profit mainly comes from improving logistics, finance and other services to third-party sellers. What many people don't know is that Starbucks' self-operated stores don't make money either; all profits come from franchise stores (Starbucks' US stores are half self-operated and half franchised, but in China, they are all self-operated due to competition). Missfresh's strategy is similar to that of JD.com and Starbucks: to build a good reputation through self-operation, run a successful business model, cultivate a team, and generate profits through the platform.</p><p>What Missfresh really wants to do is transform \"farmers' markets\" across towns and cities across the country by leveraging the knowledge and capabilities accumulated through the operation of DMWs.</p><p><b>Missfresh is undergoing a transformation, firstly, shifting from the pre-positioned warehouse sector, which mainly deals in fresh produce, to the community retail sector, and secondly, shifting from self-operated to a platform.</b></p><p>The deployment of more than 630 DMWs in China, a country with a population of 1.4 billion, is truly a drop in the ocean. In 2020, China's community retail scale approached 12 trillion yuan. Faced with such a large market, the difference between 7 billion GMV and 10 billion GMV is like 50 steps and 100 steps in a long march.</p>","source":"lsy1571189977230","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Missfresh \"upgrades\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMissfresh \"upgrades\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\"> 虎嗅APP</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On the evening of June 25, 2021, Missfresh was officially listed on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol \"MF\", while on June 29, 2021, Dingdong Maicai was also officially listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol \"DDL\".<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767b9cf77863e436be7a6d19423d17e5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Missfresh is a pioneer of the \"pre-positioned warehouse model\". In 2019, its total transaction volume (GMV) reached 7.6 billion yuan, while Dingdong Maicai's GMV was 4.7 billion yuan. In 2020, Missfresh's growth slowed down, while Dingdong Maicai expanded rapidly, with its GMV soaring to 13 billion yuan.</p><p>Entering 2021, Dingdong Maicai became even more aggressive, with cash outflow from operating activities reaching 1.01 billion yuan in Q1, equivalent to 50% of the total for the whole of 2020. During the same period, Missfresh's operating cash outflow was less than 600 million yuan.</p><p>Missfresh's slowdown in its expansion must have its own plans.</p><p>The forward warehouse model targets first- and second-tier cities.</p><p>Missfresh was founded in October 2014 and began establishing/operating \"distributed micro-warehouses\" in May of the following year, becoming a pioneer in the DMW model. As of the end of March 2021, it operated 631 forward warehouses (total area of 200,000 square meters) in 16 cities, with more than 4,300 SKUs.</p><p>Missfresh's core team came from Lenovo Joyvio and has a deep understanding and operational experience in the entire fruit industry chain. Missfresh has established a comprehensive traceable quality control system, with over 80% of its products sourced directly from the place of origin. DMW's standard products (4,300 SKUs) can be delivered within 39 minutes of a user's order (as of March 31, 2021, 22,000 riders participated in the delivery). There are also over 20,000 next-day delivery SKUs on the platform.</p><p>In 2019, Missfresh's GMV (total transaction volume) was 7.6 billion yuan; In 2020, the pace of expansion slowed down (no rash actions were taken during the pandemic), and GMV remained the same as the previous year;<b>The pace accelerated dramatically in 2021, with GMV reaching 710 million yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 37.8%.</b></p><p>In 2020, Missfresh had 8.7 million active users (whose actual payments exceeded purchase costs), with an average annual consumption of 713 yuan per person.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb17afe3a0e9203ee66cf91defd9366f\" tg-width=\"806\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>In 2020, Missfresh received 65.1 million orders, averaging 8.2 items per order, with an average order value of 94.6 yuan, which was higher than other players in the pre-positioned warehouse sector.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3812567b9a7cd9a8b732d60cc1871115\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to data provided in the prospectus, the average price of each item was RMB 11.8 in the 12 months ending March 2021. On average, each DMW serves 12,500 users, and each rider delivers 50 orders per day.</p><p>Missfresh's \"front-end warehouse\" mainly targets relatively high-income groups in first- and second-tier cities, with an average order value of nearly 100 yuan far exceeding that of many front-end warehouse or community group buying players.</p><p>Where did all the money go?</p><p>Missfresh's main business is online retail (through apps and mini-programs).</p><p>Revenue in 2020 was 6.13 billion yuan, of which 97.9% came from merchandise sales; In Q1 2021, revenue was 1.53 billion yuan, of which 1.49 billion yuan came from merchandise sales.</p><p><b>90% of cost of sales is used for procurement</b></p><p>Cost of sales includes procurement, processing, packaging, impairment of inventories and freight charges for imported goods.</p><p>In 2019, procurement costs reached 5.33 billion yuan, accounting for 97.2% of the total cost; In 2020, procurement costs fell to 4.74 billion yuan, accounting for 96% of total costs; In Q1 2020, procurement costs amounted to 1.27 billion yuan, accounting for 94.8% of total costs and 85.1% of commodity sales revenue.</p><p>Procurement costs account for an extremely high proportion of total costs (approximately 95%), which means that other costs such as processing, packaging, and damage are extremely low (approximately 5%), demonstrating Missfresh's management level and operational efficiency.</p><p>For example, the problem of damage has long plagued fresh food retail. The prospectus shows that in 2020, DMW's merchandise turnover days were 1.8 days, with an average damage rate as low as 2.5%, lower than that of its competitors.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/730e740e90114d3f25324c062918a7f3\" tg-width=\"726\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>60% of the performance fees will be used for logistics.</b></p><p>Performance costs include three parts: first, logistics (including transportation, warehousing, and distribution); Second, DMW and quality control center leasing; Thirdly, there are payment-related transaction fees.</p><p>The main component of Missfresh's fulfillment costs is logistics expenses.</p><p>In 2018, logistics expenditures amounted to 836 million yuan, accounting for 67.4% of fulfillment costs; Other expenses amounted to 400 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.24 billion, accounting for 34.9% of net revenue in 2018.</p><p>In 2019, logistics expenditures totaled 1.173 billion yuan, accounting for 64% of fulfillment costs; Other expenditures amounted to 660 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.83 billion, reducing their proportion to 30.5% of net revenue in 2019.</p><p>In 2020, logistics expenditures amounted to 940 million yuan, accounting for 59.7% of fulfillment costs; Other expenditures amounted to 640 million; The total performance fees amounted to RMB 1.58 billion, accounting for 25.7% of net revenue in 2020.</p><p>Dingdong Maicai's fulfillment fees account for approximately 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh's sales revenue, perhaps due to its extensive use of outsourcing services.</p><p>In 2019, outsourcing expenditures totaled 1.26 billion yuan, accounting for 65.1% of performance expenses; Other expenditures amounted to 680 million; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 1.94 billion yuan, accounting for 50.3% of merchandise sales revenue, 18.6 percentage points higher than Missfresh. Dingdong did not disclose the number of pre-positioned warehouses, and the related costs should be included in the outsourcing expenditure.</p><p>In 2020, outsourcing expenditures totaled 2.51 billion yuan, accounting for 62.2% of performance costs; Other expenditures amounted to 1.53 billion; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 4.04 billion yuan, reducing their proportion to 36.1% of merchandise sales revenue, but still nearly 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh.</p><p>In Q1 2021, outsourcing expenditures amounted to 890 million yuan, accounting for 59.7% of fulfillment expenses; Other expenditures: 600 million; The total fulfillment fees amounted to 1.48 billion yuan, accounting for 39.5% of merchandise sales revenue, which was 10 percentage points higher than Missfresh.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f950907118cfce3e404c62bebd87fd2\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"442\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Marketing expenses account for only 10% of revenue.</b></p><p>In any track of the \"new economy,\" high marketing fees are the most popular \"trump card\" used by players. From Pinduoduo to Nio, from TAL Education Group to Kuaishou, marketing fees often amount to billions or tens of billions.</p><p>Missfresh's absolute market fees have been declining year after year, and there is no other new economy company like it. In 2018, marketing expenses were nearly 800 million yuan, accounting for 22.4% of revenue; In 2019, marketing expenses were 740 million yuan, accounting for 12.3% of revenue; In 2020, marketing expenses were less than 600 million yuan, accounting for 9.6% of revenue;<b>In Q1 2021, marketing expenses amounted to 170 million yuan, slightly rebounding to 11% of revenue.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b92c40560833423cd9a3a33b36ef44a\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In 2019, Missfresh's R&D expenses reached 470 million yuan, accounting for 7.8% of its revenue (compared to Dingdong Maicai's R&D expenses of 91.15 million yuan in the same year). In 2020, R&D expenses fell to 370 million yuan (Dingdong Maicai's R&D expenses increased to 320 million yuan), accounting for 6% of revenue;<b>In Q1 2021, R&D expenses amounted to 95 million yuan, accounting for 6.2% of revenue.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd0956c79f09168c93a6c6e73026c31c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In Q1 2021, procurement costs accounted for 85% of product sales revenue, benefiting consumers, while Missfresh began to \"upgrade\".</p><p>Missfresh \"upgrades\"</p><p>Why take it to the next level? Let's look at Missfresh's cost and fee structure.</p><p>In 2018, the fulfillment expense ratio was 35%, the marketing expense ratio was 22.4%, the administrative expense ratio was 8.1%, the R&D expense ratio was 6.5%, and the total expense ratio was 72%.</p><p>In 2019, the total expense ratio dropped to 57%, and the gross profit margin was 8.7%.</p><p><b>In 2020, the total expense ratio further decreased to 46.3%, the gross profit margin increased significantly to 19.4%, and the operating loss ratio narrowed to 26.8%. Although it lost its title of \"number one in scale\", 2020 was the year with the greatest improvement in Missfresh's operating conditions.</b></p><p>Looking at quarterly data, the peak total expense ratio in both 2019 and 2020 occurred in the third quarter: in Q3 2019, the fulfillment expense ratio was 33%, the market expense ratio was 13%, and the total expense ratio was 60.8%. In Q3 2020, the fulfillment expense ratio was 28%, the market expense ratio was 12%, and the total expense ratio was 50.6%, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to Q3 2019.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d547d49a3878be04fe08ce576609ffb\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Dingdong Maicai's quarterly data reflects a different mindset:</p><p><b>In Q1 2020, the operating loss rate was only 11.4%; In Q4 2020 and Q1 2021, Dingdong's operating losses widened sharply, reaching 1.23 billion yuan and 1.33 billion yuan respectively, indicating a clear intention to seize the \"peak of scale\".</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/090043c22803052bb73ec528f3838c8a\" tg-width=\"808\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Missfresh and Dingdong Maicai are representatives of the pre-positioned warehouse model. The advantages of this model are self-evident, leveraging the advantages of near-field retail, faster service delivery, and a more stable service experience. However, there are also different choices regarding whether to prioritize scale or operational quality.</p><p><b>In Q1 2021, Missfresh's procurement costs accounted for 85.1% of its sales revenue, while fulfillment costs accounted for 29.5%. Dingdong Maicai was about 10 percentage points higher.</b></p><p>In the second half of 2020, Dingdong Maicai burned through cash aggressively, surpassing Missfresh in scale, but its operating losses also increased proportionally.</p><p>Therefore, the forward warehouse model should not be the whole picture, but rather a node in the business layout, or a business prototype before a more comprehensive business model is formed.</p><p>Open up the track</p><p><b>Missfresh's focus in the past two years has not been on burning money to acquire customers and increase GMV, but on building a smart retail system—RAIN.</b>(Retail AI Network)</p><p>After four years of integration, the RAIN system has covered all aspects of suppliers, logistics, and retail, and is responsible for 98% of replenishment, 97% of procurement, and 85% of inventory turnover management.</p><p>\"Front-loading warehouses are the first step,\" and the second step is to use the core capabilities gained from operating front-loading warehouses to help traditional farmers' markets. According to the prospectus, Missfresh has already partnered with 54 farmers' markets in 14 cities, and 33 farmers' markets in another 10 cities are ready.</p><p>“We will directly help them with their e-commerce business, setting up front-end warehouses and in-store warehouses, and taking full control of end-to-end operations. We will not just sell software, but build a platform,” said Wang Jun, CFO of Missfresh.</p><p>JD.com's self-operated gross profit margin is less than 10%, and coupled with fulfillment costs, it makes almost no profit. The gross profit mainly comes from improving logistics, finance and other services to third-party sellers. What many people don't know is that Starbucks' self-operated stores don't make money either; all profits come from franchise stores (Starbucks' US stores are half self-operated and half franchised, but in China, they are all self-operated due to competition). Missfresh's strategy is similar to that of JD.com and Starbucks: to build a good reputation through self-operation, run a successful business model, cultivate a team, and generate profits through the platform.</p><p>What Missfresh really wants to do is transform \"farmers' markets\" across towns and cities across the country by leveraging the knowledge and capabilities accumulated through the operation of DMWs.</p><p><b>Missfresh is undergoing a transformation, firstly, shifting from the pre-positioned warehouse sector, which mainly deals in fresh produce, to the community retail sector, and secondly, shifting from self-operated to a platform.</b></p><p>The deployment of more than 630 DMWs in China, a country with a population of 1.4 billion, is truly a drop in the ocean. In 2020, China's community retail scale approached 12 trillion yuan. Faced with such a large market, the difference between 7 billion GMV and 10 billion GMV is like 50 steps and 100 steps in a long march.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yweGz4PVifmvU7Eb6UjTsA\"> 虎嗅APP</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767b9cf77863e436be7a6d19423d17e5","relate_stocks":{"MF":"MindForge Inc."},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yweGz4PVifmvU7Eb6UjTsA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117185498","content_text":"2021年6月25日晚，每日优鲜正式以“MF”为证券代码在纳斯达克挂牌上市，而在2021 年 6 月 29 日，叮咚买菜正式也以 \"DDL\" 为证券代码在纽约证券交易所挂牌上市。每日优鲜是“前置仓模式”的先驱，2019年总交易金额（GMV）达到76亿，叮咚买菜GMV为47亿。2020年每日优鲜增速放缓，叮咚买菜极速扩张、GMV冲高到130亿。\n进入2021年，叮咚买菜更加激进，Q1经营活动现金流出达10.1亿，相当于2020全年的50%。同期，每日优鲜经营活动现金流出不到6亿。\n每日优鲜放缓扩张速度，想必有自己的打算。\n前置仓模式瞄准“一二线”\n每日优鲜创立于2014年10月，次年5月开始设立/运营“分布式微仓”，成为DMW模式的先行者。截至2021年3月末，在16个城市运营631个前置仓（总面积20万平方米），SKU超过4300个。\n每日优鲜核心团队出身联想佳沃，对水果全产业链有很深的理解和运营经验。每日优鲜建立了完善的可追溯品控体系，80%以上自原产地直接采购。DMW常备的商品（4300个SKU），可在用户下单39分钟内送达（截至2021年3月31日，参与配送的骑手有2.2万人）；平台上还有超2万款次日达SKU。\n2019年，每日优鲜GMV（总成交额）为76亿；2020年放慢扩张步伐（疫情中没有冒然行事），GMV与上年持平；2021年骤然加速，4月份GMV达到7.1亿、同比增长37.8%。\n2020年，每日优鲜有效用户（实付金额超过采购成本）数达870万，人均年消费713元；2020年，每日优鲜订单数达6510万，平均每单8.2件商品，客单价94.6元，客单价高于前置仓领域的其他玩家。根据招股文件提供的数据测算，截至2021年3月末的12个月内，每件商品平均价格为11.8元；平均每个DMW服务1.25万用户、每位骑手每天送50单。\n每日优鲜开启的“前置仓库”主要面向一、二线城市收入相对较高的群体，近百元的客单价远高于众多前置仓或社区团购玩家。\n钱都去哪儿了？\n每日优鲜主营线上零售（通过APP及小程序）。\n2020年营收61.3亿，其中97.9%为商品销售；2021年Q1营收15.3亿、其中14.9亿为商品销售。\n销售成本九成用于采购\n销售成本包括采购、加工、包装、存货减值及进口商品运费。\n2019年采购成本53.3亿、占总成本的97.2%；2020年采购成本降至47.4亿、占总成本的96%；2020年Q1，采购成本12.7亿、占总成本的94.8%，占商品销售收入的85.1%。\n采购成本占总成本的比例极高（约为95%），意味着加工、包装、货损等其它成本极低（约为5%），说明每日优鲜的管理水平和运营效率。\n例如困扰生鲜零售已久的货损问题，招股文件显示2020年DMW商品周转天数为1.8天，平均货损率低至2.5%，低于友商。履约费用六成用于物流\n履约费用包括三个部分：一是物流（含运输、仓储、配送）；二是DMW及品控中心租赁；三是与支付相关的手续费。\n每日优鲜履约费用的主体是物流支出。\n2018年物流支出8.36亿、占履约费用的67.4%；其它支出为4亿；履约费用总额12.4亿，占2018年净收入的34.9%。\n2019年物流支出11.73亿、占履约费用的64%；其它支出6.6亿；履约费用总额18.3亿，占2019年净收入的比例降至30.5%。\n2020年物流支出9.4亿、占履约费用的59.7%；其它支出6.4亿；履约费用总额15.8亿，占2020年净收入的25.7%。\n叮咚买菜履约费用占商品销售收入的比例大致比每日优鲜高10个百分点，原因或许是大量采用外包服务。\n2019年外包支出12.6亿、占履约费用的65.1%；其它支出6.8亿；履约费用总额19.4亿，占商品销售收入的50.3%，比每日优鲜高18.6个百分点。叮咚没有披露前置仓数量，相关费用应该包含在外包支出中。\n2020年外包支出25.1亿、占履约费用的62.2%；其它支出15.3亿；履约费用总额40.4亿，占商品销售收入的比例降至36.1%，但仍比每日优鲜高将近10个百分点。\n2021年Q1外包支出8.9亿、占履约费用的59.7%；其它支出6亿；履约费用总额14.8亿，占商品销售收入的39.5%，比每日优鲜高10个百分点。市场费用仅为营收的一成\n在“新经济”的任何一条赛道上，高额市场费用是选手们最爱使用的“杀手锏”，从拼多多到蔚来，从好未来到快手，市场费用动辄几十亿、几百亿。\n每日优鲜市场费用的绝对金额连年下降，这样的新经济公司找不出第二家。2018年市场费用近8个亿，占营收的22.4%；2019年市场费用7.4亿，占营收的12.3%；2020年市场费用不到6亿，占营收的9.6%；2021年Q1市场费用1.7亿，占营收的比例略微回升到11%。\n2019年，每日优鲜研发费用达到4.7亿、占营收的7.8%（同年叮咚买菜研发费用为9115万）；2020年，研发费用回落到3.7亿（叮咚买菜研发费用增至3.2亿）、占营收的6%；2021年Q1，研发费用9500万、占营收的6.2%。2021年Q1，采购成本占商品销售收入的85%，消费者得到实惠，每日优鲜却开始“升维”了。\n每日优鲜“升维”\n为什么要升维，看看每日优鲜的成本、费用结构。\n2018年履约费用率35%，市场费用率22.4%，行政费用率8.1%，研发费用率6.5%，总费用率72%。\n2019年总费用率降至57%，毛利润率8.7%。\n2020年总费用率进一步降至46.3%，毛利润率大幅提高到19.4%，经营亏损率收窄至26.8%。虽然失去“规模第一”桂冠，2020年却是每日优鲜经营状况改善最大的一年。\n从季度数据看，2019年、2020年总费用率峰值均出现在第三季度：2019年Q3，履约费用率33%、市场费用率13%，总费用率60.8%；2020年Q3，履约费用率28%、市场费用率12%，总费用率50.6%、较2019年Q3下降10个百分点。\n\n叮咚买菜季度数据折射出另一番心态：\n2020年Q1营亏损率只有11.4%；2020年Q4、2021年Q1，叮咚经营亏损急剧放大，分别为12.3亿、13.3亿，抢占“规模至高点”意图十分明显。\n\n每日优鲜与叮咚买菜与是前置仓模式的“课代表”。该模式的优点自不待言，发挥了近场零售的优势，更快的服务时效、更稳定的服务体验，但也存在着是要规模还是要经营质量的不同选择。\n2021年Q1，每日优鲜采购成本占商品销售收入的85.1%，履约费用占29.5%，叮咚买菜还要高大约10个百分点。\n2020下半年，叮咚买菜大肆烧钱，规模反超每日优鲜，但经营亏损亦成比例反超。\n所以前置仓模式不应该是全部，而应该是业务布局中的某一个节点，或是覆盖性更强的业务模式形成前的业务原型。\n开辟赛道\n每日优鲜近两年的工作重点不是烧钱获客、拔高GMV，而是打造智慧零售系统——RAIN（Retail AI Network）。\n经过四年磨合，RAIN系统已经涵盖供应商、物流、零售等所有环节，承担了98%的补货、97%的采购和85%的库存周转管理。\n“前置仓是第一步”，第二步是将运营前置仓库获得的核心能力用于帮助传统菜市场。招股文件披露，每日优鲜已经在14座城市与54个菜市场展开合作，另有10座城市的33个菜市场已准备就绪。\n“我们会直接帮他们做电商业务，把前置仓、店内仓搭起来，全面接管端到端的运营，不只是卖一个软件，而是搭一个平台。”每日优鲜CFO王珺如是说。\n京东自营毛利润率不到10%，加上履约成本几乎不赚钱，毛利润主要来自向第三方卖家提高物流、金融等服务。许多人不知道的是星巴克自营店也不赚钱，利润全部来自加盟店（星巴克美国门店一半自营一半加盟，在中国因为竞争需要全部为自营）。自营赚口碑、跑通模式、练团伍，平台赚利润，每日优鲜的思路与京东、星巴克异曲同工。\n每日优鲜真正想做的是通过运营DMW积累的知识、获得的能力去改造遍布全国大小城镇的“菜市场”。\n每日优鲜正在经历转型，一是从主营生鲜的前置仓赛道切换到社区零售赛道，二是从自营转向平台。\n630多个DMW放到14亿人口的中国，实在是沧海一粟。2020年中国社区零售规模接近12万亿。面对如此大的市场，70亿GMV与100亿GMV之间的区别，犹如万里长征中的50步和100步。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196502452,"gmtCreate":1621067127176,"gmtModify":1704352657889,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196502452","repostId":"2135983925","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135983925","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"有品好玩的科技，一切与你有关","home_visible":1,"media_name":"品玩","id":"1086141561","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02e1edb8fd87972c9239aa3a01b9bc8"},"pubTimestamp":1621054056,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135983925?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-15 12:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Alibaba's financial report after anti-monopoly penalties: Fines brought losses, but certainty has returned?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135983925","media":"品玩","summary":"4月10日，市场监管总局判定阿里巴巴自2015年以来滥用其市场支配地位，对平台内商家提出“二选一”要求，从而获取了不正当竞争优势。这一罚款创下了中国反垄断罚款的记录。此次罚款的依据很多指向淘系电商，阿里巴巴的核心商业业务。此次财报在不考虑一次性反垄断罚款的前提下，阿里巴巴的营收增长较为稳定。同时从上个季度开始明确规划出了较为长期的整体战略，看起来阿里巴巴的确定性正在回来。","content":"<p>On May 13,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>(NYSE:BABA) announced its quarterly financial results ended March 31, 2021, and fiscal year 2021 results in pre-market trading. Affected by an anti-monopoly fine of 18.228 billion yuan (4% of Alibaba's sales in 2019), Alibaba suffered a net loss of 7.654 billion yuan for the quarter, breaking its long-standing profit record. Excluding the fine and other impacting factors, non-GAAP net profit for the quarter would have been RMB 26.216 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 18%.<img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/14/A6312p6RPp9t6Q1dSe4Kx29K58S79QPX.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is Alibaba's first financial report since the anti-monopoly fine. Beyond the losses incurred from the one-time fine, the market has gained a clearer understanding of the regulatory environment Alibaba will face in the future, and Alibaba itself is emphasizing that its business is regaining stability.</p><p>\"The market potential is still enormous, whether in core businesses or other areas. If we say we will guarantee profits today, true long-term investors will think Alibaba is foolish,\" said Alibaba CFO Wu Wei during the earnings call. \"We can guarantee that our investments are highly targeted, disciplined, and expanding our potential market.\"</p><p>Overall, Alibaba continued its strategic direction from the previous quarter, but the focus of its specific measures has changed slightly: in terms of core business, it will strengthen merchant operations, continue to use Taobao Special Edition to develop lower-tier markets, and tap into the value of existing users. On the other hand, it continues to exert its efforts in the new retail business, beginning to integrate Hema, Sun Art Group and external supply chain resources, strengthen the construction of \"digital commerce infrastructure\", and at the same time form an MMC business group to once again demonstrate to the outside world its determination to win community group buying.</p><p><b>Core business, Alibaba's \"regular program\"</b></p><p>According to this financial report, Alibaba's revenue for the quarter was 187.395 billion yuan, excluding...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06808\">Sun Art Retail</a>Following the resulting growth, revenue reached 159.952 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40%.</p><p>Specifically, as of March 31, Alibaba's revenue in its four businesses—core commerce, cloud computing, digital media and entertainment, innovation, and others—was RMB 161.365 billion, RMB 16.761 billion, RMB 8.047 billion, and RMB 1.222 billion, respectively. Among them, core commerce revenue accounted for 86% of total revenue, a slight increase year-on-year, but the overall revenue structure did not change much. In comparison, core commercial revenue declined by 17.5% quarter-on-quarter this quarter, due to seasonal revenue growth brought about by last year's Double 11 shopping festival, which returned to normal levels this quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/JBMcSb22_2x6z74tKJj6eT6AjMQ43bzF.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In terms of user data, Alibaba's mobile monthly active users reached 925 million in the quarter, an increase of 23 million compared to the previous quarter. In the 12 months ending March 2021, Alibaba's ecosystem had over 1 billion annual active consumers (AACs) globally, of which 811 million AACs were in the Chinese retail market, including Taobao and Tmall, an increase of 32 million month-on-month, while overseas AACs reached 240 million. In addition, the financial report shows that the transaction volume (GMV) of goods in Alibaba's ecosystem reached 8.119 trillion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/2Q6Z2GCCmCAxi2h025cH_Y7Mhfpk1j5i.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>After years of development, how Taobao e-commerce can maintain its growth rate has always been a topic of much attention.</p><p>On April 10, the State Administration for Market Regulation ruled that Alibaba had abused its market dominance since 2015 by imposing a \"choose one of two\" requirement on merchants on its platform, thereby gaining an unfair competitive advantage. This fine sets a record for anti-monopoly fines in China. The basis for this fine largely points to Taobao e-commerce, Alibaba's core business.</p><p>Beyond the single anti-monopoly penalty, what is more important is the change in China's regulatory environment. Alibaba's many corresponding measures in its core business sectors reflect its response to these changes: for example, it lowers entry barriers for merchants and reduces their operating costs in various ways to enhance its attractiveness to the supply side.</p><p>Meanwhile, although Alibaba's mobile MAU in the Chinese retail market exceeded 900 million for the first time in the fourth quarter of last year, the year-on-year growth rate was only 9.4%. In other words, Taobao's e-commerce user base is also facing a slowdown in growth. It cannot rely solely on extensive traffic growth; refined operations are the key to future business growth.</p><p>Therefore, Alibaba has recently launched a series of new policies. For example, Tmall will begin to implement a \"trial operation\" period for the first time in multiple industries, and the \"three treasures and one coupon\" (i.e., store treasure, single product treasure, matching treasure, and coupons), which are very important for Taobao merchants, will also be changed from the original paid model to free. These efforts are partly in response to anti-monopoly rectification efforts, and partly to explore new growth points for Taobao platforms. In fact, since last year, Taobao platforms, including Tmall and Juhuasuan, have also paid great attention to supporting and cultivating new brands. Recently, Taobao's industry leader, Kev, pointed out at a media conference that \"Taobao's growth lies in new product categories and new supply.\" Reducing the burden on merchants and cultivating new brands are undoubtedly aimed at activating new demand with new supply and bringing greater growth to the Taobao ecosystem.</p><p>On the consumer side, Taobao e-commerce platforms place greater emphasis on tapping into user potential. Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang pointed out in the earnings call that<b>“</b>After acquiring new customers, another key consideration is how to maximize the lifecycle value of each customer. This involves a lot of cross-selling, and to this end, we will build a profile of each user and provide them with personalized customization.<b>”</b></p><p>In addition, the Taobao Special Edition is also an important part of Alibaba's e-commerce strategy, enabling it to continue its efforts in lower-tier markets, build an e-commerce matrix, and cover the needs of various consumers. In the past year, the Taobao Special Edition has achieved 130 million MAUs.</p><p>“Taobao Special Edition focuses on factories and farms in terms of supply, and then directly supplies goods to price-sensitive consumers,” Zhang Yong clearly stated. “There is still huge population space in the vast lower-tier cities and rural areas. For example, in the entire fiscal year, we added 84 million users to the Chinese retail market, 70% of whom came from lower-tier regions. We hope to reach 1 billion purchasing users in China in the coming fiscal year, which is also our second area of investment.”</p><p><b>New Retail Strategy: E-commerce Infrastructure</b></p><p>Investment is not limited to \"defense\"; it also requires attack. Alibaba has once again emphasized its investment in new retail.</p><p>In October last year, Alibaba Group announced an investment of HK$28 billion (approximately US$3.6 billion) to acquire approximately 72% of Sun Art Retail Group's shares, becoming its largest controlling shareholder. According to reports, three Alibaba executives joined the management team of Sun Art Group in December of the same year. With the support of Sun Art Retail Group, Alibaba is continuously increasing its investment in the field of new retail.</p><p>Unlike before, Alibaba put forward a clearer concept for its new retail business in this financial report: to strengthen the construction of \"Digital Commerce Infrastructure\" by integrating online and offline resources to cover different service radii and improve the consumer experience. Building upon its existing one-hour delivery (Hema Fresh), half-day and same-day delivery (Tmall Supermarket, Sun Art Retail), and multi-day delivery (Cainiao Yizhan), Alibaba has recently begun to expand into the community group buying sector, providing consumers with \"order today, pick up tomorrow\" services and enriching the forms of its new retail business.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/fHjQa05jth21rxs6Q43C6X9636xSfnzd.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to Late Post, Alibaba established the MMC Business Group on March 1, integrating RetailConnect's community group-buying business and Hema Market, focusing on community group-buying business. The head of this business group is Dai Shan (pseudonym: Su Quan), one of Alibaba's eighteen Arhats, who is also the president of Alibaba's B2B business group. At an internal meeting, Dai Shan stated that there would be no upper limit to investment in community group buying.</p><p>During the earnings call in February this year, Zhang Yong stated, \"Buying groceries through Taobao can help consumers, especially those in lower-tier cities, more easily access local dishes and help us acquire new users. We will continue to utilize different resources, including new retail, enterprises, and diverse supply channels.\" He also emphasized that Taobao Grocery will not rely on cash-burning subsidies for business expansion, but will place greater emphasis on user experience and business sustainability. In the future, Taobao Grocery will be promoted nationwide.</p><p>Although the vision is promising, judging from the current competition in the community group buying sector, Taobao Maicai started too late and lags behind competitors such as Meituan Maicai and Chengxin Youxuan. What's even more worrying is that community group buying remains a huge money-burning pit, and it's currently difficult to see any \"money coming back\". In the past few days, news has surfaced that Didi is going to spin off its Orange Heart Preferred business and list it separately. Although there is no concrete evidence yet, it is vaguely clear that the community group buying business will drag down the company more than it will benefit it. Even a company as large as Alibaba can hardly guarantee that it can truly make community group buying bigger and stronger.</p><p>Excluding the one-time anti-monopoly fine, Alibaba's revenue growth is relatively stable in this financial report. Meanwhile, since last quarter, Alibaba has clearly outlined a relatively long-term overall strategy, and it seems that Alibaba's certainty is returning.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba's financial report after anti-monopoly penalties: Fines brought losses, but certainty has returned?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba's financial report after anti-monopoly penalties: Fines brought losses, but certainty has returned?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086141561\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02e1edb8fd87972c9239aa3a01b9bc8);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">品玩 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-15 12:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On May 13,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>(NYSE:BABA) announced its quarterly financial results ended March 31, 2021, and fiscal year 2021 results in pre-market trading. Affected by an anti-monopoly fine of 18.228 billion yuan (4% of Alibaba's sales in 2019), Alibaba suffered a net loss of 7.654 billion yuan for the quarter, breaking its long-standing profit record. Excluding the fine and other impacting factors, non-GAAP net profit for the quarter would have been RMB 26.216 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 18%.<img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/14/A6312p6RPp9t6Q1dSe4Kx29K58S79QPX.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This is Alibaba's first financial report since the anti-monopoly fine. Beyond the losses incurred from the one-time fine, the market has gained a clearer understanding of the regulatory environment Alibaba will face in the future, and Alibaba itself is emphasizing that its business is regaining stability.</p><p>\"The market potential is still enormous, whether in core businesses or other areas. If we say we will guarantee profits today, true long-term investors will think Alibaba is foolish,\" said Alibaba CFO Wu Wei during the earnings call. \"We can guarantee that our investments are highly targeted, disciplined, and expanding our potential market.\"</p><p>Overall, Alibaba continued its strategic direction from the previous quarter, but the focus of its specific measures has changed slightly: in terms of core business, it will strengthen merchant operations, continue to use Taobao Special Edition to develop lower-tier markets, and tap into the value of existing users. On the other hand, it continues to exert its efforts in the new retail business, beginning to integrate Hema, Sun Art Group and external supply chain resources, strengthen the construction of \"digital commerce infrastructure\", and at the same time form an MMC business group to once again demonstrate to the outside world its determination to win community group buying.</p><p><b>Core business, Alibaba's \"regular program\"</b></p><p>According to this financial report, Alibaba's revenue for the quarter was 187.395 billion yuan, excluding...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06808\">Sun Art Retail</a>Following the resulting growth, revenue reached 159.952 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40%.</p><p>Specifically, as of March 31, Alibaba's revenue in its four businesses—core commerce, cloud computing, digital media and entertainment, innovation, and others—was RMB 161.365 billion, RMB 16.761 billion, RMB 8.047 billion, and RMB 1.222 billion, respectively. Among them, core commerce revenue accounted for 86% of total revenue, a slight increase year-on-year, but the overall revenue structure did not change much. In comparison, core commercial revenue declined by 17.5% quarter-on-quarter this quarter, due to seasonal revenue growth brought about by last year's Double 11 shopping festival, which returned to normal levels this quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/JBMcSb22_2x6z74tKJj6eT6AjMQ43bzF.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In terms of user data, Alibaba's mobile monthly active users reached 925 million in the quarter, an increase of 23 million compared to the previous quarter. In the 12 months ending March 2021, Alibaba's ecosystem had over 1 billion annual active consumers (AACs) globally, of which 811 million AACs were in the Chinese retail market, including Taobao and Tmall, an increase of 32 million month-on-month, while overseas AACs reached 240 million. In addition, the financial report shows that the transaction volume (GMV) of goods in Alibaba's ecosystem reached 8.119 trillion yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/2Q6Z2GCCmCAxi2h025cH_Y7Mhfpk1j5i.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>After years of development, how Taobao e-commerce can maintain its growth rate has always been a topic of much attention.</p><p>On April 10, the State Administration for Market Regulation ruled that Alibaba had abused its market dominance since 2015 by imposing a \"choose one of two\" requirement on merchants on its platform, thereby gaining an unfair competitive advantage. This fine sets a record for anti-monopoly fines in China. The basis for this fine largely points to Taobao e-commerce, Alibaba's core business.</p><p>Beyond the single anti-monopoly penalty, what is more important is the change in China's regulatory environment. Alibaba's many corresponding measures in its core business sectors reflect its response to these changes: for example, it lowers entry barriers for merchants and reduces their operating costs in various ways to enhance its attractiveness to the supply side.</p><p>Meanwhile, although Alibaba's mobile MAU in the Chinese retail market exceeded 900 million for the first time in the fourth quarter of last year, the year-on-year growth rate was only 9.4%. In other words, Taobao's e-commerce user base is also facing a slowdown in growth. It cannot rely solely on extensive traffic growth; refined operations are the key to future business growth.</p><p>Therefore, Alibaba has recently launched a series of new policies. For example, Tmall will begin to implement a \"trial operation\" period for the first time in multiple industries, and the \"three treasures and one coupon\" (i.e., store treasure, single product treasure, matching treasure, and coupons), which are very important for Taobao merchants, will also be changed from the original paid model to free. These efforts are partly in response to anti-monopoly rectification efforts, and partly to explore new growth points for Taobao platforms. In fact, since last year, Taobao platforms, including Tmall and Juhuasuan, have also paid great attention to supporting and cultivating new brands. Recently, Taobao's industry leader, Kev, pointed out at a media conference that \"Taobao's growth lies in new product categories and new supply.\" Reducing the burden on merchants and cultivating new brands are undoubtedly aimed at activating new demand with new supply and bringing greater growth to the Taobao ecosystem.</p><p>On the consumer side, Taobao e-commerce platforms place greater emphasis on tapping into user potential. Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang pointed out in the earnings call that<b>“</b>After acquiring new customers, another key consideration is how to maximize the lifecycle value of each customer. This involves a lot of cross-selling, and to this end, we will build a profile of each user and provide them with personalized customization.<b>”</b></p><p>In addition, the Taobao Special Edition is also an important part of Alibaba's e-commerce strategy, enabling it to continue its efforts in lower-tier markets, build an e-commerce matrix, and cover the needs of various consumers. In the past year, the Taobao Special Edition has achieved 130 million MAUs.</p><p>“Taobao Special Edition focuses on factories and farms in terms of supply, and then directly supplies goods to price-sensitive consumers,” Zhang Yong clearly stated. “There is still huge population space in the vast lower-tier cities and rural areas. For example, in the entire fiscal year, we added 84 million users to the Chinese retail market, 70% of whom came from lower-tier regions. We hope to reach 1 billion purchasing users in China in the coming fiscal year, which is also our second area of investment.”</p><p><b>New Retail Strategy: E-commerce Infrastructure</b></p><p>Investment is not limited to \"defense\"; it also requires attack. Alibaba has once again emphasized its investment in new retail.</p><p>In October last year, Alibaba Group announced an investment of HK$28 billion (approximately US$3.6 billion) to acquire approximately 72% of Sun Art Retail Group's shares, becoming its largest controlling shareholder. According to reports, three Alibaba executives joined the management team of Sun Art Group in December of the same year. With the support of Sun Art Retail Group, Alibaba is continuously increasing its investment in the field of new retail.</p><p>Unlike before, Alibaba put forward a clearer concept for its new retail business in this financial report: to strengthen the construction of \"Digital Commerce Infrastructure\" by integrating online and offline resources to cover different service radii and improve the consumer experience. Building upon its existing one-hour delivery (Hema Fresh), half-day and same-day delivery (Tmall Supermarket, Sun Art Retail), and multi-day delivery (Cainiao Yizhan), Alibaba has recently begun to expand into the community group buying sector, providing consumers with \"order today, pick up tomorrow\" services and enriching the forms of its new retail business.</p><p><img src=\"https://cdn.pingwest.com/portal/2021/05/13/fHjQa05jth21rxs6Q43C6X9636xSfnzd.png?x-oss-process=style/article-body\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">According to Late Post, Alibaba established the MMC Business Group on March 1, integrating RetailConnect's community group-buying business and Hema Market, focusing on community group-buying business. The head of this business group is Dai Shan (pseudonym: Su Quan), one of Alibaba's eighteen Arhats, who is also the president of Alibaba's B2B business group. At an internal meeting, Dai Shan stated that there would be no upper limit to investment in community group buying.</p><p>During the earnings call in February this year, Zhang Yong stated, \"Buying groceries through Taobao can help consumers, especially those in lower-tier cities, more easily access local dishes and help us acquire new users. We will continue to utilize different resources, including new retail, enterprises, and diverse supply channels.\" He also emphasized that Taobao Grocery will not rely on cash-burning subsidies for business expansion, but will place greater emphasis on user experience and business sustainability. In the future, Taobao Grocery will be promoted nationwide.</p><p>Although the vision is promising, judging from the current competition in the community group buying sector, Taobao Maicai started too late and lags behind competitors such as Meituan Maicai and Chengxin Youxuan. What's even more worrying is that community group buying remains a huge money-burning pit, and it's currently difficult to see any \"money coming back\". In the past few days, news has surfaced that Didi is going to spin off its Orange Heart Preferred business and list it separately. Although there is no concrete evidence yet, it is vaguely clear that the community group buying business will drag down the company more than it will benefit it. Even a company as large as Alibaba can hardly guarantee that it can truly make community group buying bigger and stronger.</p><p>Excluding the one-time anti-monopoly fine, Alibaba's revenue growth is relatively stable in this financial report. Meanwhile, since last quarter, Alibaba has clearly outlined a relatively long-term overall strategy, and it seems that Alibaba's certainty is returning.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b711513c169934e01f1d8bdaae6fad","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135983925","content_text":"5月13日，阿里巴巴（NYSE:BABA）在盘前公布了截至2021年3月31日的季度财报和2021财年业绩。受182.28亿元反垄断罚款的影响（阿里巴巴2019年销售额的4%），阿里巴巴当季净亏损为76.54亿人民币，打破常年盈利记录；若不计该罚款及其他影响因素，当季非公认会计准则（non-GAAP）净利润应为262.16亿，同比增长18%。这是反垄断罚款后阿里巴巴的首份财报，在一次性罚款带来的亏损之外，市场对于阿里巴巴今后所处的监管环境有了更清晰认知，阿里巴巴自己也在强调业务正重新找回稳定性——“市场的潜力还非常大，无论是在核心商业，还是在其他领域。如果今天我们说会保利润，对于真正的长期投资人来讲，会认为阿里巴巴很愚蠢。”在财报的电话会议上，阿里巴巴CFO武卫表示。“我们可以保证在投入的时候是highly targeted（高度针对性的），是有纪律性的，而且是在扩大我们的潜力市场。”综合来看，阿里巴巴延续了上一季度的战略方向，但在具体措施的侧重点稍有变化：在核心商业方面，加强商家运营，继续用淘宝特价版开发下沉市场， 挖掘存量用户价值等；另一方面则是在新零售业务上持续发力，开始整合盒马、高鑫和外部供应链资源，加强“电商基础设施（digital commerce infrastructure）”的建设，同时组建MMC事业群，再次向外界展示自己对于社区团购的志在必得。核心商业，阿里巴巴的“保留节目”根据这份财报，阿里巴巴当季营收为1873.95亿元人民币，剔除高鑫零售带来的增长后，收入为1599.52亿元，同比增长40%。具体来看，截至3月31日，阿里巴巴在核心商业、云计算、数字媒体及娱乐、创新及其他四项业务中的收入分别为1613.65亿元、167.61亿元、80.47亿元、12.22亿元，其中核心商业收入占总营收的86%，同比略有增加，但整体营收结构没有太大变化。比较而言，本季度核心商业收入环比下降17.5%，这是由于去年双11带来了季节性营收增长，本季度回归正常水平。在用户数据方面，阿里巴巴当季移动月活用户9.25亿，环比增加2300万。截至2021年3月底的12个月中，阿里巴巴生态体系全球年度活跃消费者（AAC）超10亿，其中包括淘宝天猫在内的中国零售市场AAC为8.11亿，环比增加3200万，海外AAC则达到2.4亿。另外，财报显示阿里巴巴生态体系中的商品交易额（GMV）达到8.119万亿元。在经历了多年的发展之后，淘系电商如何保持增速一直是备受关注的话题。4月10日，市场监管总局判定阿里巴巴自2015年以来滥用其市场支配地位，对平台内商家提出“二选一”要求，从而获取了不正当竞争优势。这一罚款创下了中国反垄断罚款的记录。此次罚款的依据很多指向淘系电商，阿里巴巴的核心商业业务。反垄断的单次处罚之外，更重要的是中国监管环境的变化。阿里巴巴在核心商业领域推出的许多相应措施，反映出对这些变化的应对：例如通过多种方式为商家降低准入门槛，减少商家经营成本，以此来提升对供给侧的吸引力等。同时，去年四季度阿里巴巴在中国零售市场的移动端MAU虽然首次突破9亿大关，同比增长率却仅为9.4%。也就是说，淘系电商用户也在面对增速放缓，它不能只依靠粗放的流量增长，如何精细化运营才是未来业务增长的关键。因此，阿里巴巴最近连续推出新政，例如天猫将开始在多个行业首次实施“试运营”期，对淘宝商家非常重要的运营工具“三宝一券”（即店铺宝、单品宝、搭配宝、优惠券）也将从原先的收费模式改为免费等。这些一方面是为了响应反垄断整改，另一方面也是为淘系平台挖掘新的增长点。事实上，从去年开始，包括天猫、聚划算在内的淘系平台也非常注重对新品牌的扶持和培养。近期淘宝行业负责人凯夫在一次媒体交流会上指出，“淘宝的增量在新品类、新供给”，为商家减负和培养新品牌无疑都是为了用新供给激活新需求，为淘系带来更大的增长。在消费端，淘系电商更注重挖掘用户潜力。阿里巴巴CEO张勇在财报电话会议上指出，“在获得新的消费者之后，我们另一个关键的考虑就是如何把每一个客户的生命周期价值最大化，这里面要进行很多的交叉销售，为此我们会建立每个用户的画像，为其提供个性化的定制。”除此之外，淘宝特价版也是阿里巴巴在电商方面的重要布局，能够持续在下沉市场发力，实现电商矩阵的搭建，覆盖各类消费者的需求。在过去一年中，淘宝特价版的MAU达到1.3亿。“淘宝特价版在供给方面的聚焦点是工厂和田地，继而将商品直供给价格敏感型的消费者，”张勇明确表示，“在广大的低线级城市和农村，还是有巨大的人口空间，就像整个财年当中，我们在中国零售市场增加了8400万的用户，70%是来自于低层级的地区。我们希望在未来的财年在中国率先做到10亿的购买用户，这也是我们第二个投入的领域。”新零售战略：电商基建投资不会局限在“防守”，也要开始进攻。阿里巴巴再次强调对新零售的投入。去年10月，阿里巴巴集团宣布投入280亿港币(约合36亿美元)收购高鑫零售约72%的股份，成为最大控股股东。据报道，同年12月三名阿里系高管进入高鑫集团管理层。在高鑫零售的加持下，阿里巴巴在新零售领域不断加码。与之前不同的是，阿里巴巴在这次的财报中就新零售业务提出了一个更明确的概念，即通过整合线上和线下资源来加强“电商基础设施（Digital Commerce Infrastructure）”的建设，覆盖不同的服务半径，提升消费者体验。在原有的一小时配送（盒马鲜生）、半日和当日达（天猫超市、高鑫零售）、多日达（菜鸟驿站）的基础上，阿里巴巴新近开始在社区团购赛道发力，为消费者提供“今日下单，明天取货”的服务，丰富新零售业务的形式。据晚点Late Post报道，阿里巴巴于3月1日成立MMC事业群，整合零售通的社区团购业务和盒马集市，聚焦社区团购业务。该事业群的负责人由阿里十八罗汉之一的戴珊（花名：苏荃）担任，她同时也是阿里 B2B 事业群总裁。在一次内部会议上，戴珊表示对社区团购的投入将不设上限。在今年2月份的财报电话会议上张勇曾表示，“通过淘宝买菜可以帮助消费者，尤其是低线城市的消费者更容易地获得本地菜品，并且能够帮助我们获得新用户。我们会继续利用不同资源，包括新零售、企业和多样的供应渠道”。同时他强调，淘宝买菜并不会依赖烧钱补贴来进行业务拓展，而是更重视用户体验和业务的可持续性，未来淘宝买菜将会推广到全国。虽然愿景是美好的，但从目前社区团购赛道的竞争中看，淘宝买菜的起步还是晚了，落后于美团买菜、橙心优选等对手。更让人忧心的是，社区团购依然是个烧钱的大坑，目前还很难看到“回头钱”。就在这几天，市场上传出了滴滴将要剥离橙心优选业务单独上市的消息，虽然还没有实锤，但隐约可见社区团购业务对公司的拖累大于助益。即使是体量庞大如阿里巴巴，也很难保证能真正把社区团购做大做强。此次财报在不考虑一次性反垄断罚款的前提下，阿里巴巴的营收增长较为稳定。同时从上个季度开始明确规划出了较为长期的整体战略，看起来阿里巴巴的确定性正在回来。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190107954,"gmtCreate":1620604078678,"gmtModify":1704345273645,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569319906313275","authorIdStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190107954","repostId":"1124499400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124499400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620461113,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124499400?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-08 16:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"\"Sister Wood\" laughs at ARK's sharp drop: A slight drop would actually be better, with higher annual returns.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124499400","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摘要：木头姐在采访中透露，今年家族基金Archegos暴雷事件的始作俑者Bill Hwang，曾在其2014年创立ARK时发挥过核心作用，为ARK首批四只ETF提供了种子资金。\n\n近期美股市场大幅抛售","content":"<p>Abstract: In an interview, Sister Wood revealed that Bill Hwang, the instigator of the collapse of the family fund Archegos this year, played a central role in ARK's founding in 2014, providing seed funding for ARK's first four ETFs. The recent sharp sell-off in overvalued technology stocks in the US stock market has caused a severe blow to Cathie Wood's Ark fund.</p><p>This week, Ark's flagship fund, ARKK, fell more than 9%, after declining for eight consecutive days, marking its biggest consecutive drop in two and a half years. This fund is known for its heavy holdings in innovative technology stocks such as Tesla and Zoom. Last year, it won the top spot among US funds with an annual return of about 150%. However, this year it has fallen from its peak due to the volatility of technology stocks, and its net asset value has fallen by more than 30% from its peak in February.</p><p>However, Sister Wood remained calm about this.</p><p>On Friday, in an interview with CNBC, she reiterated her long-term investment philosophy, stating that the decline in tech stocks is not a cause for concern.<b>If we look at long-term returns over a five-year period, \"nothing has changed except the price.\"</b></p><p>She even believes that the appropriate decline signals a healthier outlook for her fund. In a CNBC program called Closing Bell, Sister Wood stated:</p><p><b>I like this situation (after the tech stock correction). For us, if the market all crowds into the innovation areas we focus on, that would be the worst-case scenario.</b>Therefore,<b>She raised her annual earnings forecast, expecting a compound annual return of 25%-30% this year.</b>That's more than 10 percentage points higher than the 15% she predicted in February.</p><p>Based on this, Sister Wood has recently been continuously selling off Apple stock and increasing her holdings in other innovative companies.<b>This move is equivalent to buying innovative stocks on dips.</b></p><p>In Sister Wood's eyes, Apple is a very conservative technology stock. Buying Apple is not much different from holding cash. Since her ETF does not allow holding any cash, she previously used buying Apple stock as an alternative to cash.</p><p>In the current volatile period, we will sell stocks like (Apple) and invest more purely in innovative businesses, or early-stage innovative companies that are being impacted by market risk aversion. On Friday, ARKK's net asset value rebounded slightly by 1.3%. Previously, Andrew Adams, a technical analyst at Saut Strategy, pointed out in a report that ARKK is clearly oversold, and its net asset value has fallen below a bottom trend line since September (red dashed line in the chart below). If it does not rebound soon and return above the trend line, it may suffer a larger \"waterfall\" and bring trouble to the entire market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd95e936956985c63c8e23b7f3f70475\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Bill Huang provided seed funding for ARK</b></p><p>It's worth mentioning that Sister Wood revealed in an interview that Bill Hwang, the instigator of the collapse of his family fund Archegos this year, played a central role when he founded ARK in 2014.</p><p>Bill Hwang initially provided seed funding for ARK's first four ETFs. Back in 2013, the two had exchanged investment ideas about US stocks, especially in the media sector.</p><p>We are very grateful to him. At the time, market makers were tired of new investment strategies and were unwilling to tie $2 million to an ETF with no returns. So we needed to look elsewhere for seed funding. Bill heard me talk about my startup ideas... and was very interested in the stocks we were following, as he was just starting to learn about them at the time. In fact, there is a closer connection between the two. They both lived in immigrant families, worked in the same industry, preferred high-risk investments, and were headquartered in Manhattan, very close to each other. But most importantly, the two men, who were also Christians, jointly sparked a wave of \"faith\" in the American financial world.</p><p>Before the pandemic, they would hold weekly Bible study meetings in their offices, inviting many Wall Street figures to attend. Around seven o'clock on Friday morning, everyone gathered around a long table, sipping coffee, eating Danish pastries and other snacks, and listening to Bible recordings.</p><p>Bill also frequently attends regular meetings of Wood's ARK Foundation as a mentor.</p><p>They all promote the idea that investing is a means of serving God by allocating money to areas that benefit humanity and the \"kingdom\" of God. Bill once said that he made money not for the money itself, but to help people change their lives through capital.</p><p>Over the past few years, Archegos, founded by Bill Hwang, has made a large number of highly leveraged investments in stocks until the end of March this year when it collapsed due to its inability to meet margin recovery requirements, causing huge losses of tens of billions of dollars to several major Wall Street banks.</p><p>Sister Wood stated that she does not know whether Bill Hwang is still a shareholder of ARK. She revealed that the two had not spoken since the Archegos incident; she only sent Bill Hwang a note wishing him all the best.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Sister Wood\" laughs at ARK's sharp drop: A slight drop would actually be better, with higher annual returns.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Sister Wood\" laughs at ARK's sharp drop: A slight drop would actually be better, with higher annual returns.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 16:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: In an interview, Sister Wood revealed that Bill Hwang, the instigator of the collapse of the family fund Archegos this year, played a central role in ARK's founding in 2014, providing seed funding for ARK's first four ETFs. The recent sharp sell-off in overvalued technology stocks in the US stock market has caused a severe blow to Cathie Wood's Ark fund.</p><p>This week, Ark's flagship fund, ARKK, fell more than 9%, after declining for eight consecutive days, marking its biggest consecutive drop in two and a half years. This fund is known for its heavy holdings in innovative technology stocks such as Tesla and Zoom. Last year, it won the top spot among US funds with an annual return of about 150%. However, this year it has fallen from its peak due to the volatility of technology stocks, and its net asset value has fallen by more than 30% from its peak in February.</p><p>However, Sister Wood remained calm about this.</p><p>On Friday, in an interview with CNBC, she reiterated her long-term investment philosophy, stating that the decline in tech stocks is not a cause for concern.<b>If we look at long-term returns over a five-year period, \"nothing has changed except the price.\"</b></p><p>She even believes that the appropriate decline signals a healthier outlook for her fund. In a CNBC program called Closing Bell, Sister Wood stated:</p><p><b>I like this situation (after the tech stock correction). For us, if the market all crowds into the innovation areas we focus on, that would be the worst-case scenario.</b>Therefore,<b>She raised her annual earnings forecast, expecting a compound annual return of 25%-30% this year.</b>That's more than 10 percentage points higher than the 15% she predicted in February.</p><p>Based on this, Sister Wood has recently been continuously selling off Apple stock and increasing her holdings in other innovative companies.<b>This move is equivalent to buying innovative stocks on dips.</b></p><p>In Sister Wood's eyes, Apple is a very conservative technology stock. Buying Apple is not much different from holding cash. Since her ETF does not allow holding any cash, she previously used buying Apple stock as an alternative to cash.</p><p>In the current volatile period, we will sell stocks like (Apple) and invest more purely in innovative businesses, or early-stage innovative companies that are being impacted by market risk aversion. On Friday, ARKK's net asset value rebounded slightly by 1.3%. Previously, Andrew Adams, a technical analyst at Saut Strategy, pointed out in a report that ARKK is clearly oversold, and its net asset value has fallen below a bottom trend line since September (red dashed line in the chart below). If it does not rebound soon and return above the trend line, it may suffer a larger \"waterfall\" and bring trouble to the entire market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd95e936956985c63c8e23b7f3f70475\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Bill Huang provided seed funding for ARK</b></p><p>It's worth mentioning that Sister Wood revealed in an interview that Bill Hwang, the instigator of the collapse of his family fund Archegos this year, played a central role when he founded ARK in 2014.</p><p>Bill Hwang initially provided seed funding for ARK's first four ETFs. Back in 2013, the two had exchanged investment ideas about US stocks, especially in the media sector.</p><p>We are very grateful to him. At the time, market makers were tired of new investment strategies and were unwilling to tie $2 million to an ETF with no returns. So we needed to look elsewhere for seed funding. Bill heard me talk about my startup ideas... and was very interested in the stocks we were following, as he was just starting to learn about them at the time. In fact, there is a closer connection between the two. They both lived in immigrant families, worked in the same industry, preferred high-risk investments, and were headquartered in Manhattan, very close to each other. But most importantly, the two men, who were also Christians, jointly sparked a wave of \"faith\" in the American financial world.</p><p>Before the pandemic, they would hold weekly Bible study meetings in their offices, inviting many Wall Street figures to attend. Around seven o'clock on Friday morning, everyone gathered around a long table, sipping coffee, eating Danish pastries and other snacks, and listening to Bible recordings.</p><p>Bill also frequently attends regular meetings of Wood's ARK Foundation as a mentor.</p><p>They all promote the idea that investing is a means of serving God by allocating money to areas that benefit humanity and the \"kingdom\" of God. Bill once said that he made money not for the money itself, but to help people change their lives through capital.</p><p>Over the past few years, Archegos, founded by Bill Hwang, has made a large number of highly leveraged investments in stocks until the end of March this year when it collapsed due to its inability to meet margin recovery requirements, causing huge losses of tens of billions of dollars to several major Wall Street banks.</p><p>Sister Wood stated that she does not know whether Bill Hwang is still a shareholder of ARK. She revealed that the two had not spoken since the Archegos incident; she only sent Bill Hwang a note wishing him all the best.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3629819\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc10dd92e6bbe5f89cf9438eabdad5c3","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3629819","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1124499400","content_text":"摘要：木头姐在采访中透露，今年家族基金Archegos暴雷事件的始作俑者Bill Hwang，曾在其2014年创立ARK时发挥过核心作用，为ARK首批四只ETF提供了种子资金。\n\n近期美股市场大幅抛售高估值科技股，使得“木头姐”（Cathie Wood）旗下Ark基金遭到重挫。\n本周，Ark旗舰基金ARKK跌去逾9%，此前一度连续8天下跌，录得两年半最大连续跌幅。这只基金以重仓特斯拉、Zoom等创新型科技股著称，去年以约150％的年度收益夺得美国基金业绩桂冠，但今年跟随科技股波动跌落神坛，净值较2月峰值已下跌30%以上。\n不过，木头姐对此仍然淡定。\n周五，她在接受CNBC采访时重申其长期投资理念，表示科技股回落不值得担忧，如果放眼5年看长期收益，“除了价格之外，什么都没有改变”。\n她甚至认为，适当的下跌标志着其基金更健康的前景。在CNBC一档名为Closing Bell的节目中，木头姐表示：\n\n我喜欢这样（科技股回调后）的局面，对我们来说，如果市场一股脑地挤在我们所关注的创新领域，那才是最糟糕的情况。\n\n因此，她上调了年度收益预期，预计今年将产生25%-30%的年度复合回报，比她2月预计的15%高出逾10个百分点。\n也是基于此，近期木头姐不断抛售苹果股票，加仓其它创新公司，此举相当于逢低增持创新型股票。\n在木头姐眼里，苹果是一只非常保守的科技股，买苹果和持有现金没太大区别，由于其该ETF不允许持有任何现金，她此前用购买苹果股票作为替代现金的方式。\n\n 在眼下的波动时期，我们则将出售（苹果）这类股票，更纯粹地投入创新业务，或处于早期阶段的创新公司，这些公司正受到市场风险规避的冲击。\n\n周五，ARKK净值出现1.3%的小幅反弹。此前Saut Strategy技术分析师Andrew Adams在报告中指出，ARKK明显超卖，目前净值已跌破9月来的一条底部趋势线（下图红色虚线），如果不能尽快出现反弹，回到趋势线上方，可能会遭受更大幅度的“瀑布式下跌”，给整个市场带来麻烦。\n\nBill Huang曾为ARK提供种子资金\n值得一提的是，木头姐在采访中透露，今年家族基金Archegos暴雷事件的始作俑者Bill Hwang，曾在其2014年创立ARK时发挥过核心作用。\n当初，Bill Hwang曾为ARK首批四只ETF提供种子资金。而早在2013年，两人就曾交流过有关美股，尤其是媒体领域的投资想法。\n\n 我们非常感谢他。当时做市商已经厌倦了投资新策略，他们不愿意将200万美元困在一只没有任何回报的ETF上。于是我们需要去别的地方寻找种子资金，Bill听到我说的创业想法……对我们关注的股票也非常感兴趣，他那时才刚刚开始了解它们。\n\n事实上，两人身上存在更密切的关联。他们同样生活在移民家庭，做着一样的行当，都偏好高风险投资，总部也都设在曼哈顿，而且相隔极近。但最重要的是，同样信奉基督的两个人，共同在美国金融界掀起了一股“信仰”之风。\n疫情之前，他们都会每周在办公室里举办圣经学习会议，邀请很多华尔街人士一起参加。大家在周五早晨七点钟左右，围在一张长桌子旁边，一边抿着咖啡，吃着丹麦酥之类的小点心，一边听着圣经的录音。\n比尔还常常以导师身份，出席伍德ARK基金的例行会议。\n他们都宣扬这样一种理念，那就是把投资当做一种服务上帝的手段，方法就是，把钱分配到有益于人类的领域，造福于上帝的“王国”。比尔曾说他赚钱并不是为了钱本身，而是要通过资本帮助人们改变生活。\n过去几年，Bill Hwang所创立的Archegos在股票上进行了大量高杠杆投资，直至今年3月末，由于无法满足追缴保证金要求而爆仓，给华尔街几家大银行造成了百亿美元的巨大损失。\n木头姐表示，并不知道Bill Hwang目前是否仍是ARK的股东。她透露，Archegos事发后，两人就没有过对话，她只给Bill Hwang发过一张字条，祝他一切顺利。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1090,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}