晶峰 personal page - To The Moon

晶峰

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2022-10-27

https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/halloween/?os=android&utm_campaign=20221019105824&adcode=20221019105824&utm_medium=wechat&skin=1&edition=fundamental&shareID=c6cca940ee7c4f60d920e4https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/halloween/?os=android&utm_campaign=20221019105824&adcode=20221019105824&utm_medium=wechat&skin=1&edition=fundamental&shareID=c6cca940ee7c4f60d920e4171f5212b3&platform=android&feature=Me&original_module=h5_material&actionID=244a4d320d6146c00f78c3fd211a7d31&invite=UTH3K7&lang=zh_CN&utm_source=invite#/171f5212b3&platform=android&feature=Me&original_module=h5_material&actionID=244a4d320d6146c00f78c3fd211a7d31&invite=UTH3K7&lang=zh_CN&utm_sourc

2024-02-17

wow

2022-05-05

$AMC院线(AMC)$up?

2022-12-23

Wow

2023-01-18

Goal

2023-04-08

Next week Will up again? Or same

2023-04-07

What's a beautify day, let's begin to invest

2022-12-11

Wow

2022-02-04

Good

What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?

2022-04-17

$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$ up

2022-02-04

Wow

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-12-30

Wow,wow，wow,, win big prizes

2023-04-06

Keep up ,go go go,how is trend today

2022-12-27

Wow

2022-08-13

$网联宽频信托(CJLU.SI)$up

2022-07-08

$Vertex SPAC U(VTA.SI)$up

2022-07-07

Hi morning🌄

2022-04-20

$Novo Tellus SPAC(NTA.SI)$?

2022-04-17

$NTSW(NTSW.SI)$?

2022-04-16

$南方恒生科技(03033)$trend

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","text":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","html":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss 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OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","text":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA","html":"# Tiger Securities OpenAI industry chain is super-full summary, and trading opportunities should not miss https://tigr.link/6DW1cA"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068030777,"gmtCreate":1651702675314,"gmtModify":1676534949998,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>up?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>up?","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$up?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74783f367cdfb95be7dfb2e31ad2c14f","width":"1080","height":"1994"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068030777","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922867585,"gmtCreate":1671739070047,"gmtModify":1676538585425,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922867585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956613649,"gmtCreate":1673989777882,"gmtModify":1676538912405,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goal","listText":"Goal","text":"Goal","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956613649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946153641,"gmtCreate":1680892775883,"gmtModify":1680892779539,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Next 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Or same","listText":"Next week Will up again? Or same","text":"Next week Will up again? 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11:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208151360","media":"格隆汇","summary":"已披露业绩预告的公司中，属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In our report \"Performance Forecast and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year\", we reviewed the guidance of annual report performance forecasts on the market structure over the years.<b>It is found that the performance of sectors whose annual report performance forecast exceeded expectations at the beginning of the year is also more prominent</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of annual report performance forecasts comes to an end, we<b>The 2021Q4 performance forecast \"exceeding expectations\" situation has been sorted out</b>, for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Report text</b></p><p><h3>1. Sector situation: All-A performance improved month-on-month</h3><b>Nearly 60% of all A companies disclosed performance forecasts.</b>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports, of which 2,417 have actually announced results, with an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (only considering December 31, 2020 before 4,161 listed companies, that is, excluding new shares within one year of listing), of which: 614 of the 891 listed companies on the GEM have completed disclosure, with a disclosure rate of 68.91%; After the small and medium-sized board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board were disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 56.24%; 105 of the 215 companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 48.84%; Three of the 41 companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 7.32%.</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, companies belong to the \"pre-profit\" type account for 55.87%.</b>According to the type of performance forecast, we are divided into two groups: pre-profit (including slight increase, turnaround loss, continued profit, pre-increase), pre-loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss, pre-decrease). Among the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed performance forecast types (some companies directly disclose performance reports and annual reports, which are not included in performance forecast statistics), a total of 1,295 companies are pre-profit, accounting for 55.87%; The proportions of pre-profit companies on the Main Board, Growth Enterprise Market, Science and Technology Innovation Board and Beijing Stock Exchange were 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00% and 100% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the performance forecast of the 2021 annual report, the growth rate of all A performance has improved month-on-month.</b>From the perspective of companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, based on 2020, the median performance growth rate of All A in 2021Q4 is 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points from 2021 Q3. Among them, the median performance growth rates of the main board/GEM/Science and Technology Innovation Board were 51.39%/44.22%/56.36% respectively, which were 29.49/27.27/30.70 percentage points from the 2021 Q3 quarter-on-quarter change respectively. Judging from the disclosed performance forecast, the absolute growth rate of science and technology innovation board leads all A's, followed by the main board, and finally the Growth Enterprise Market. The month-on-month improvement rate of performance is also science and technology innovation board, main board and Growth Enterprise Market. However, it is worth noting that since the A-share performance forecast disclosure fully implements conditional mandatory disclosure, that is, only companies with large performance fluctuations must make mandatory disclosure, and other companies do not make mandatory disclosure requirements. Most of the voluntarily disclosed companies may perform well, and the current announced performance growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>2. Which industries' performance growth rate has improved month-on-month</h3>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports and disclosed actual performance. We use this as a sample to conduct industry performance analysis based on all A-shares.</p><p><b>In terms of CITIC's first-level industries, only coal and banks have improved their performance growth rates month-on-month for two consecutive periods</b>。 We screened out industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%. There are 16 industries with positive performance growth rates in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%.<b>Among them, the top five industries with the largest month-on-month improvement</b>Respectively<b>Petroleum and petrochemical</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared with Q3, the same in brackets below),<b>Basic chemical</b>(73.18 percentage points)<b>Electronic</b>(47.19 percentage points)<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points)<b>Media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%,<b>Two consecutive periods of month-on-month improvement</b>The only industry<b>Coal</b>And<b>Banks</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industries, there are 43 industries with positive performance growth in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%. The top 10 industries with quarter-on-quarter growth include<b>Asset management Ⅱ, planting industry, white goods Ⅱ, multi-field holdings Ⅱ, insurance Ⅱ, hotels and catering, other chemicals Ⅱ, industrial Internet, optical optoelectronics and agrochemicals</b>。 Among CITIC's secondary industries with positive performance growth in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%, industries with quarter-on-quarter improvement in performance for two consecutive periods include<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>3. Which industries exceed expectations and account for the largest proportion of individual stocks</h3>After excluding industries where the number of stocks disclosed in the performance forecast is less than 5 and the number of stocks disclosed in the market is less than 5, we take the stocks in each industry that have disclosed performance forecasts as targets, and extract the wind consensus expected value of their performance growth rate in 2021 (wind The consensus forecast caliber is 180 days), and compare it with the growth rate disclosed in the performance forecast,<b>When the growth rate of performance forecast disclosure is greater than Wind's consensus expectation, we define it as \"stocks with exceeding expectations\", and calculate the proportion of the number of \"stocks with exceeding expectations\" to stocks with disclosed performance forecasts and market expectations, and sort each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's first-level industry,</b>As of 10:00 am on January 29, 2022,<b>Banks</b>Nineteen companies in the sector have disclosed performance forecasts, of which 18 companies are stocks with \"performance exceeding expectations\", accounting for 94.74% of the stocks exceeding expectations. Industries with the highest proportion of A-share stocks that exceed expectations also include<b>Non-bank finance</b>（56.25%）、<b>Coal</b>（42.86%）、<b>Basic chemical</b>（41.38%）、<b>Non-ferrous metals</b>（41.07%）、<b>Pharmaceutical</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industry,<b>National joint-stock bank Ⅱ</b>The proportion of \"unexpected stocks\" reached 100%, and<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>Franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other electronic components Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other chemicals Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other pharmaceutical medical</b>、<b>Agricultural chemical industry</b>And<b>logistics</b>The proportion of unexpected stocks in the sector is also over 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat is the 2021Q4 performance forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">格隆汇</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-03 11:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In our report \"Performance Forecast and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year\", we reviewed the guidance of annual report performance forecasts on the market structure over the years.<b>It is found that the performance of sectors whose annual report performance forecast exceeded expectations at the beginning of the year is also more prominent</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of annual report performance forecasts comes to an end, we<b>The 2021Q4 performance forecast \"exceeding expectations\" situation has been sorted out</b>, for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Report text</b></p><p><h3>1. Sector situation: All-A performance improved month-on-month</h3><b>Nearly 60% of all A companies disclosed performance forecasts.</b>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports, of which 2,417 have actually announced results, with an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (only considering December 31, 2020 before 4,161 listed companies, that is, excluding new shares within one year of listing), of which: 614 of the 891 listed companies on the GEM have completed disclosure, with a disclosure rate of 68.91%; After the small and medium-sized board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board were disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 56.24%; 105 of the 215 companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 48.84%; Three of the 41 companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange disclosed, with a disclosure rate of 7.32%.</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, companies belong to the \"pre-profit\" type account for 55.87%.</b>According to the type of performance forecast, we are divided into two groups: pre-profit (including slight increase, turnaround loss, continued profit, pre-increase), pre-loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss, pre-decrease). Among the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed performance forecast types (some companies directly disclose performance reports and annual reports, which are not included in performance forecast statistics), a total of 1,295 companies are pre-profit, accounting for 55.87%; The proportions of pre-profit companies on the Main Board, Growth Enterprise Market, Science and Technology Innovation Board and Beijing Stock Exchange were 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00% and 100% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the performance forecast of the 2021 annual report, the growth rate of all A performance has improved month-on-month.</b>From the perspective of companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, based on 2020, the median performance growth rate of All A in 2021Q4 is 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points from 2021 Q3. Among them, the median performance growth rates of the main board/GEM/Science and Technology Innovation Board were 51.39%/44.22%/56.36% respectively, which were 29.49/27.27/30.70 percentage points from the 2021 Q3 quarter-on-quarter change respectively. Judging from the disclosed performance forecast, the absolute growth rate of science and technology innovation board leads all A's, followed by the main board, and finally the Growth Enterprise Market. The month-on-month improvement rate of performance is also science and technology innovation board, main board and Growth Enterprise Market. However, it is worth noting that since the A-share performance forecast disclosure fully implements conditional mandatory disclosure, that is, only companies with large performance fluctuations must make mandatory disclosure, and other companies do not make mandatory disclosure requirements. Most of the voluntarily disclosed companies may perform well, and the current announced performance growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>2. Which industries' performance growth rate has improved month-on-month</h3>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies have released 2021Q4 performance forecasts/express reports/annual reports and disclosed actual performance. We use this as a sample to conduct industry performance analysis based on all A-shares.</p><p><b>In terms of CITIC's first-level industries, only coal and banks have improved their performance growth rates month-on-month for two consecutive periods</b>。 We screened out industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%. There are 16 industries with positive performance growth rates in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%.<b>Among them, the top five industries with the largest month-on-month improvement</b>Respectively<b>Petroleum and petrochemical</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared with Q3, the same in brackets below),<b>Basic chemical</b>(73.18 percentage points)<b>Electronic</b>(47.19 percentage points)<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points)<b>Media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive performance growth, month-on-month improvement and disclosure rate greater than or equal to 50%,<b>Two consecutive periods of month-on-month improvement</b>The only industry<b>Coal</b>And<b>Banks</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industries, there are 43 industries with positive performance growth in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%. The top 10 industries with quarter-on-quarter growth include<b>Asset management Ⅱ, planting industry, white goods Ⅱ, multi-field holdings Ⅱ, insurance Ⅱ, hotels and catering, other chemicals Ⅱ, industrial Internet, optical optoelectronics and agrochemicals</b>。 Among CITIC's secondary industries with positive performance growth in 2021Q4, quarter-on-quarter improvement, and disclosure rates greater than or equal to 50%, industries with quarter-on-quarter improvement in performance for two consecutive periods include<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>3. Which industries exceed expectations and account for the largest proportion of individual stocks</h3>After excluding industries where the number of stocks disclosed in the performance forecast is less than 5 and the number of stocks disclosed in the market is less than 5, we take the stocks in each industry that have disclosed performance forecasts as targets, and extract the wind consensus expected value of their performance growth rate in 2021 (wind The consensus forecast caliber is 180 days), and compare it with the growth rate disclosed in the performance forecast,<b>When the growth rate of performance forecast disclosure is greater than Wind's consensus expectation, we define it as \"stocks with exceeding expectations\", and calculate the proportion of the number of \"stocks with exceeding expectations\" to stocks with disclosed performance forecasts and market expectations, and sort each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's first-level industry,</b>As of 10:00 am on January 29, 2022,<b>Banks</b>Nineteen companies in the sector have disclosed performance forecasts, of which 18 companies are stocks with \"performance exceeding expectations\", accounting for 94.74% of the stocks exceeding expectations. Industries with the highest proportion of A-share stocks that exceed expectations also include<b>Non-bank finance</b>（56.25%）、<b>Coal</b>（42.86%）、<b>Basic chemical</b>（41.38%）、<b>Non-ferrous metals</b>（41.07%）、<b>Pharmaceutical</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industry,<b>National joint-stock bank Ⅱ</b>The proportion of \"unexpected stocks\" reached 100%, and<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>Franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other electronic components Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other chemicals Ⅱ</b>、<b>Other pharmaceutical medical</b>、<b>Agricultural chemical industry</b>And<b>logistics</b>The proportion of unexpected stocks in the sector is also over 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515\">格隆汇</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d37df08fc08f0ac2466b9b49c053bae7","relate_stocks":{"399006":"创业板指","09939":"开拓药业-B","BK1161":"生物科技","BK1574":"生物医药B类股","BK1515":"抗疫概念","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2208151360","content_text":"我们在《业绩预告与年初市场结构》的报告中，曾回顾了历年年报业绩预告对市场结构的指引性，结果发现年报业绩预告超预期的板块在年初的表现也更为突出。近期随着年报业绩预告披露进入尾声，我们对2021Q4业绩预告“超预期”的情况进行了梳理，供投资者参考。报告正文一、板块情况：全A业绩环比改善全A近六成公司披露业绩预告。截至2022年1月29日上午10时，A股整体共2417家上市公司发布了2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报，其中实际公布业绩2417家，实际披露率58.09%（仅考虑2020年12月31日之前上市的4161家公司，即剔除上市一年之内的新股），其中：创业板891家上市公司有614家披露完毕，披露率68.91%；中小板并入主板后，主板3014家上市公司有1695家披露，披露率为56.24%；科创板215家公司有105家披露，披露率为48.84%；北交所41家公司有3家披露，披露率为7.32%已披露业绩预告的公司中，属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%。我们按照业绩预告的类型，分为两组：预盈（包含略增、扭亏、续盈、预增）、预亏（略减、首亏、续亏、预减）。已披露业绩预告类型的2318家上市公司中（部分公司直接披露业绩快报与年报，不纳入业绩预告统计），共1295家为预盈，占比达到55.87%；主板、创业板、科创板和北交所的预盈公司占比分别为55.10%、56.34%、64.00%和100%。据2021年报业绩预告，全A业绩增速环比改善。从已披露业绩预告的公司来看，以2020年为基准，全A  2021Q4业绩增速中位数为50.00%，较2021 Q3环比改善29.27个百分点。其中主板/创业板/科创板的业绩增速中位数分别为51.39%/44.22%/56.36%，分别较2021 Q3环比变动29.49/27.27/30.70个百分点。从已披露业绩预告来看，科创板绝对增速领跑全A，其次是主板，最后是创业板，业绩环比改善幅度亦为科创板、主板和创业板。然而，值得注意的是，由于A股业绩预告披露全面实施有条件强制披露，即仅业绩波动较大的公司必须强制披露，其他公司不作强制披露要求。主动披露的公司可能大部分业绩表现较好，当前公布的业绩增速情况或存在高估。二、哪些行业业绩增速环比改善截至2022年1月29日上午10时，2417家上市公司已发布2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报并披露实际业绩，我们以此为样本，进行基于全部A股的行业业绩分析。按中信一级行业来看，仅有煤炭和银行连续两期业绩增速环比改善。我们筛选出业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业。2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有16个。其中环比改善幅度最大的前五个行业分别为石油石化（较Q3环比改善86.34个百分点，以下括号内皆同）、基础化工（73.18个百分点）、电子（47.19个百分点）、家电（45.31个百分点）和传媒（44.37个百分点）。而在业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业中，连续两期环比改善的行业仅有煤炭和银行。按中信二级行业来看，2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有43个，环比增幅居于前10的行业包括资产管理Ⅱ、种植业、白色家电Ⅱ、多领域控股Ⅱ、保险Ⅱ、酒店及餐饮、其他化学制品Ⅱ、产业互联网、光学光电和农用化工。而在2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的中信二级行业中，连续两期业绩环比改善的行业包括白色家电Ⅱ、黑色家电Ⅱ、元器件和生物医药Ⅱ。三、哪些行业超预期个股占比居前剔除业绩预告披露个股数量小于5、有市场一致预期个股数量小于5的行业后，我们以各行业中已披露业绩预告的个股为对象，拉取其2021年业绩增速的Wind一致预期值（wind的一致预测口径为180天），并与业绩预告披露增速进行对比，当业绩预告披露增速大于Wind一致预期值，我们将其定义为“业绩超预期个股”，并计算“业绩超预期个股”数量对已披露业绩预告且有市场预期的个股占比，并按这一比值对各板块进行排序。从中信一级行业来看，截至2022年1月29日上午10时，银行板块有19家公司已披露业绩预告，其中18家公司为“业绩超预期”个股，超预期个股占比高达94.74%。超预期个股数量占比在A股排名靠前的行业还包括非银行金融（56.25%）、煤炭（42.86%）、基础化工（41.38%）、有色金属（41.07%）、医药（41.07%）等。而从中信二级行业来看，全国性股份制银行Ⅱ的“超预期个股”占比达到100%，而区域性银行、专营连锁、证券Ⅱ、其他电子零组件Ⅱ、其他化学制品Ⅱ、其他医药医疗、农用化工和物流板块的超预期个股占比也都在50%以上（包括50%）。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.6,"09939":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083562933,"gmtCreate":1650149504165,"gmtModify":1676534654585,"author":{"id":"3581664705310259","authorId":"3581664705310259","name":"晶峰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9caff021499b03be6c3c8c4f30eb8da","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581664705310259","authorIdStr":"3581664705310259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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