badumdum
badumdum
Not investment advice. PDYOR.
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avatarbadumdum
2022-01-08
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$folks if you've no idea what is happening and why the stock is going up one moment seeing that there is some "DIP", please don't fall for the dips*&(?. Reason? T yields. Steepening of that curve leads to NASDAQ fall which drags all growth and tech stocks with it. Don't be the bagholder! It will just keep falling because the treasury bolds are being and will continue to be sold out. Interest rate hikes come next. This follow historical precedence as I've discussed in my previous posts. Don't fight the Fed. There is no one tech or growth stock that has escaped when liquidity recedes, interest rate hikes, T yields steepen. Not one. No "this time is different". Don't be a goondu
avatarbadumdum
2022-06-26

Thoughts on what will happen going forward

This chart was drawn up before that 3650 recent bottom and bounce on the SPX, but the general idea is how the market is likely to move. we are currently following wave 3 and will reach a certain resistance point. it might even cross 4000 and beyond. what might even possibly happen as a scenario is that the market continues to plough upwards further as there is net equity inflows coming in. the real deal comes in if the Fed continues to hike into a recession, then the collapse will be real. right now with so many people being bearish, to take on a bearish view is simply being an echo chamber and will likely set you up to be slaughtered if this is a mid wave rally. bear markets don't go down in straight lines. if you have shorts opened, be very very careful at this juncture. many retail
Thoughts on what will happen going forward
avatarbadumdum
10-09 09:12
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$   Lots of retail traders talking about the banks and giving their "views". It's better to understand this from an institutional trader's POV. if you had a position in this at the start of the year, and your OCBC position is up 50% YTD, and it is now October, this analyst's report is just the excuse for you to exit or trim your position. Why? Because your bonus at the end of year - that $2m bonus - yes you heard it - depends on it. That Brand new v12 Ferrari depends on it. So yes, those are all institutions trimming or exiting. Because also, long term yields are now slated to taper off. So yes, don't focus on that track record or whatever mention of the analyst being from a foreign bank. Those just goons making comme
avatarbadumdum
2022-01-09
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$just read on Twitter someone who said he bought into SOFI just on Friday because he sees it as a bank.A bank? Then we can bring in PB from banks. Bank of America - 1.63Goldman Sachs is doing 1.44DBS is doing 1.53And mind you, these are good banks. Good margins, profitable and doing really well. And here we have a "Fintech darling", making losses. Not narrowing losses but growing losses. Yes revenue is growing. But so are losses. And going at PB 2.63. Not that I mind, as long as it can prove that at some point it stops that haemorrhage and starts being profitable. Now when the Fed was at a furious QE pace, its valuationcan be afforded at even PB 3 or 4 or 5. Meaning investors were willing to cr
avatarbadumdum
2022-01-11
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$completely manipulated to draw in retail before making further way down. Retail just doesn't learn. "Oh the dip!" 
avatarbadumdum
2022-03-21
After going through countless of different categories of stocks, that include cyclicals, financial, growth, the concluding consensus is that growth is the way to go. And growth is not growth in earnings first. That is not how the market is valuing the stock. If not, then crappie stocks like CISCO would have returned to its dotcom highs and surpassed it. In fact, it has lagged very badly despite growing earnings by 4 x. So remember, not the earnings growth first. The market only looks at one thing at the start- revenue growth. How much are you growing and then, it looks at whether you will end up profitable in the long term. That ks why Amazon is 155,000% above IPO price, and despite dropping 90% during the dotcom bubble. Identifying the right ones early, dollar cost averaging through is al
avatarbadumdum
2022-01-10
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$at market open, if you are still holding onto HOPIUM, I'd suggest don't. Let it go. I'm anticipating if the indices rollover by 20 to 25%, Tesla should hit the 660s. It sounds darn ridiculously impossible. But look at the performance these few days and extrapolate. Market goes down 1%, Tesla does 2.5%. So at a conservative rate, we should not be surprised to see it hit 30% to 40% down. If the selldown is aggressive, then 50% to 60%. Those who said "darn impossible for Tesla to go under 1000" are now faced with this prospect tonight. Just watch the indices rollover and you will fully grasp the meaning of how a stock is discounted. 
$McDonald's(MCD)$  McDonald's is about to become a value meal very soon. I see jokers buying the dip in the wrong places. 
avatarbadumdum
2022-01-27
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$looking at the supply chain woes, the next quarter reporting will look nasty. You can have all the factories but if you're not producing your mainstay products, you're a sitting duck for earnings plunge. The shareholders should exit at this juncture and wait for reentry about two quarters from now actually. And because the level of growth is already baked in, any shortage that is so depending on chips and the supply chain is completely dampened. The next two quarters will be a bloodbath because the fact remains - it cannot be sustained in reality as you don't have the parts to go. Some are calling for $500. I'm not sure where they are plucking that figure. But if I see a production line with no chips and no products to go
avatarbadumdum
2022-02-04
$Marqeta, Inc.(MQ)$take note - many of MQ's partners are reporting excellent earnings. $BILL$Bill.Com Holdings, Inc.(BILL)$has exceeded expectations in earnings, just released. Who powers its card offering? Marqeta. 

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