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Bentofighter
06-01
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
Bentofighter
2025-11-03
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-10-27
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-10-20
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-10-13
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-10-09
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-10-06
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-09-29
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-09-22
$Alphabet(GOOG)$
Bentofighter
2025-09-15
$Alphabet(GOOG)$
Bentofighter
2025-09-08
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-09-01
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-08-30
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-08-25
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-08-18
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-08-11
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-08-04
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-07-28
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-07-21
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
Bentofighter
2025-07-14
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083422104","repostId":"1106632211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106632211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650152711,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106632211?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-17 07:45","market":"other","language":"en","title":"ASX Weekly Review: Choked Airports Bring a Positive Easter Surprise for Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106632211","media":"Small Caps","summary":"Those massive lines snaking out of Australia’s airports have finally produced a silver lining in the","content":"<div>\n<p>Those massive lines snaking out of Australia’s airports have finally produced a silver lining in the form of much stronger travel shares.While the lines were terrible news for everybody stuck in them ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://smallcaps.com.au/choked-airports-positive-easter-surprise-investors-weekly-review/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1647655037355","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Weekly Review: Choked Airports Bring a Positive Easter Surprise for Investors</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Weekly Review: Choked Airports Bring a Positive Easter Surprise for Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-17 07:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://smallcaps.com.au/choked-airports-positive-easter-surprise-investors-weekly-review/><strong>Small Caps</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Those massive lines snaking out of Australia’s airports have finally produced a silver lining in the form of much stronger travel shares.While the lines were terrible news for everybody stuck in them ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://smallcaps.com.au/choked-airports-positive-easter-surprise-investors-weekly-review/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数"},"source_url":"https://smallcaps.com.au/choked-airports-positive-easter-surprise-investors-weekly-review/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106632211","content_text":"Those massive lines snaking out of Australia’s airports have finally produced a silver lining in the form of much stronger travel shares.While the lines were terrible news for everybody stuck in them waiting to get away for Easter, investors finally connected the dots and marked up travel stocks as share market trading came to an early weekly close on Thursday.Those massive lines mean Australians are straining at the leash trying to get away on holiday and with COVID-19 restrictions now winding back in many countries, travel companies look set to rapidly move from bust to boom.Travel stocks achieve lift-offQantas (ASX: QAN) shares were a key recipient, up a healthy 7% or 36c to $5.45 while Webjet (ASX: WEB) shares jumped 7.5% or 41c to $5.85 while Flight Centre (ASX: FLT) shares firmed by a robust 5% or $1.01 to $21.18 as packed flights and strained security gates pointed to stronger activity to come.With household savings still strong after repeated lockdowns, investors grasped the message that rising prices will not prevent a massive spring back in travel for the remainder of this year.It wasn’t just travel stocks that were responsible for the ASX 200 adding a solid 0.6% or 44 points, to 7523 points after major US indices also turned up.Tech stocks finally break outTechnology stocks finally snapped out of their funk, following a 2% rally on the tech-heavy Nasdaq with a 1.3% rally of their own to snap a six-day losing streak.That and a weekly 1.6% rally in material stocks erased nervousness from earlier in the week and led to an overall 0.6% gain for the four-day, holiday shortened trading week.Small caps outperforming the broader marketOne of the more interesting features of the week’s trade was the renaissance of small cap shares which have carried a disproportionate share of sell off pressure in recent months.That underperformance position began to unwind significantly as the ASX Small Ords outperformed the broader index, adding an impressive 1.6%.Considering trading days were being lost for the Easter holidays, there was also a lot of stock specific news for investors to consider.Improved offer for Uniti creates share price recordInvestors cheered on an improved $5 a share takeover offer for Uniti (ASX: UWL), with shares climbing 2.9% to a record high of $4.96 after the company agreed to the sweetened $5.00-per-share takeover offer from a group including The Morrison & Co Infrastructure Partnership, Commonwealth Superannuation Corporation and Brookfield Australia.The original bid of $4.50 a share was offered to on 29 March.Margins falling for Bank of QueenslandIt was a less sunny response for Bank of Queensland (ASX: BOQ) shareholders, with shares down 6.3% after the company released mixed results.While the bank posted a 44% increase in revenue and a 38% jump in profits, a 12-basis point drop in its net interest margin was met by caution from investors.The Bank attributed the lower margins to “price competition, customers switching to fixed rate loans, higher swap rates and liquidity”.Electric cars push lithium stocks upwardsAllkem (ASX: AKE) shares hit record highs following a 2% rise after the company announced plans to triple lithium production by 2026 and maintain a 10% share of the global lithium market over the next decade.With strong revenue and a good cash position, the company seems well positioned to continue to surf the wave of demand coming from the electric car revolution.Woodside Petroleum (ASX: WPL) shares rose 1.1% after the company said it planned to list American Depository Shares on the New York Stock Exchange after the completion of its merger with BHP’s petroleum assets.Small cap stock actionThe Small Ords index rose 1.59% this week to close on 3368.2 points.Easter 2022 ASX 200 chartASX 200 vs Small OrdsSmall cap companies making headlines this week were:AD1 Holdings (ASX: AD1)Software technology company AD1 Holdings’ subsidiary Art of Mentoring (AoM) has continued to beat revenue records and exceed expectations.AoM’s revenue for March 2022 was 400% higher than March 2021 levels, while for the entire March quarter, revenue was up 38% on the December quarter.The record performance was attributed to growing subscription sales, strong renewals and recent onboarding of five new customers.AD1 chief executive officer Brendan Kavenagh says AoM’s is “beautifully positioned” in a market in great need for mentoring platforms and content.Nimy Resources (ASX: NIM)A second hole at the Godley prospect within Nimy Resources’ Mons nickel project has intercepted a 438m nickel-copper sulphide zone.The zone was identified using a pXRF and is larger than the first hole at the prospect that hit 275m last month.Assays are pending for both holes, with Nimy chairman Simon Lill saying the company will now prioritise down hole electromagnetic survey along with a moving loop EM survey across the target.Kalamazoo Resources (ASX: KZR)Multiple lithium pegmatites have been discovered across Kalamazoo Resources’ Marble Bar project in WA’s Pilbara where Chilean lithium giant Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM) is earning a 30% stake.SQM is also earning 30% of Kalamazoo’s nearby DOM’s Hill project under a recent joint venture.Field reconnaissance activities using pXRF across Marble Bar have identified numerous pegmatite dyke outcrops, with many of these containing visible lepidolite lithium.Given the project’s proximity to other known lithium deposits and world-renowned operations, Kalamazoo chairman and chief executive officer Luke Reinehr said the company considers the likelihood for lithium-caesium-tantalum pegmatite mineralisation in the immediate area is “very high”.Kalamazoo has also increased its footprint in the region with the grant of two new exploration licences.Blackstone Minerals (ASX: BSX)Advanced nickel explorer Blackstone Minerals has inked a cooperative framework agreement with Vietnam’s Son La Province authority to facilitate development of the Ta Khoa nickel mine and downstream refinery in the province.“Vietnam, and the Son La Province, is blessed with mineral potential, excellent infrastructure, loyal people and has all the key ingredients to be at the forefront of the movement towards electrification of transport,” Blackstone managing director Scott Williamson said.The memorandum of understanding between Blackstone and Son La Province builds on the Australian and Vietnamese government commitments to deepening trade between the countries and promoting investment in Vietnamese project.Earlier in the week, Blackstone’s wider collaboration with the Vietnamese Government’s General Department of Geology and Minerals to identify new nickel opportunities entered a new phase.The duo had completed modelling of the Chim Van target, which has been likened to Blackstone’s Ban Phuc disseminated sulphide nickel deposit, within Ta Khoa.A drill rig has been mobilised to Chim Van to begin the first priority hole.LiveHire (ASX: LVH)SaaS developer for the recruitment sector LiveHire has secured a contract with UK-listed SERCO Group’s subsidiary SERCO Australia.Under the deal, LiveHire will provide recruitment services to SERCO for three years, with the contract valued at about $500,000 over three years.The contract news followed LiveHire reporting record performance for the March quarter.Cash receipts for the period reached $2.5 million, which was a 64% increase on the previous corresponding period.The company closed out Q3 FY2022 with $9.3 million in cash to fund its accelerated expansion strategy in North America.The week aheadOnce again, the continuing Easter holiday will reduce trading days and the volume of news hitting the market.There are signs, however, that even shocking news will be taken in its stride with the unprecedented 11.2% annual jump in the US producer price index (PPI) in March – the highest on record – being accompanied by a rising market.Rising prices and inflation seem to have been factored in and continuing reminders – even if they are unprecedented – seemed to have lost their shock value.In the US, the concentration in the coming week has moved to company profit results with market players now measuring the pricing power of individual companies rather than the existence of strong price inflation.In that context, company results are likely to take precedence over data such as housing starts, manufacturing and global purchasing managers releases – all of which are bound to confirm rising prices.It is probably a similar situation here in Australia with the only possible exception being the release of the minutes from the April Reserve Bank board meeting on Tuesday.There is a growing consensus that official rates will be rising at the May meeting so any confirmation of that would inform rather than surprise markets.It is unlikely that consumer confidence and purchasing manager releases will do anything other than add emphasis to the inflation story, although Chinese quarterly economic growth numbers out on Monday might show some damage from extensive COVID-19 lockdowns there.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XAO.AU":0.9,"XKO.AU":0.9,"XJO.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997648159,"gmtCreate":1661812576273,"gmtModify":1676536581031,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997648159","repostId":"1167448448","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167448448","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661786204,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167448448?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-29 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Commodity Prices May Have Peaked","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167448448","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAmong the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Among the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements in the prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities.</li><li>The price of oil decreased by about 30 percent between early June and mid-August. The politically sensitive American price of gasoline also has fallen 20 percent since June, from $5/gallon to $4 in mid-August.</li><li>Real interest rates currently appear to be on a firm upward trend, both because nominal interest rates will rise and because inflation will fall.</li></ul><p>Among the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements in the prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities. It was hard to miss the big rise in commodity prices. The Brent oil price increased from a low $20 a barrel in April 2020, during the first Covid-19 wave, to a peak of $122, in March 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine. But it was not just oil. The price of copper doubled over this period. Wheat more than doubled. And so on. Global indices of commodity prices almost tripled from April 2020 to March 2022.</p><p>These figures are in dollars. Prices rose even more when viewed in terms of euros, yen, won, or other currencies.</p><p>Not quite as widely observed is that prices of many commodities fell somewhat over the summer. The price of oil decreased by about 30 percent between early June and mid-August. The politically sensitive American price of gasoline also has fallen 20 percent since June, from $5/gallon to $4 in mid-August. The overall CRB index has fallen 12 percent as of August 17.</p><p>Is this dip in commodity prices just temporary? Or is it a sign that they have peaked and can be expected to fall further in the future?</p><h3>1. Why are prices of different commodities so correlated?</h3><p>Mostly, the prices of different commodities are highly correlated. In many cases, this is due to direct microeconomic linkages. When the price of oil rises, the costs to wheat producers rise, because harvesting equipment runs on diesel while fertilizer is made from natural gas, which puts upward pressure on grain prices. But the correlation across widely disparate energy, mineral and agricultural commodities begs for a macroeconomic explanation.</p><p>There are two macroeconomic reasons to think that commodity prices in general will fall further. One of them is self-evident, the other less so.</p><p>Different stories apply to different commodities, of course, due to microeconomic particulars. The price of natural gas in Europe is bound to rise, as the continent learns to manage winter without Russian gas. But the story is likely to be different elsewhere.</p><h3>2. Global growth</h3><p>The most obvious macroeconomic factor is the overall level of economic activity. GDP is an important determinant of the demand for commodities and therefore their real price. Less obviously, the real interest rate is another determinant. As of now, the outlook for world growth (slowing) and the outlook for interest rates (upward) both suggest a downward path for commodity prices.</p><p>Strong global growth, especially in China, can explain the major upswings of commodity prices in 2004-07, 2010-11, and 2021. Conversely, abrupt recessions can explain the plunge in commodity prices from June 2008 to February 2009 (during the Great Recession), and again from January to April 2020 (in the pandemic recession). This leaves unexplained, for the moment, the spike in commodity prices in the first half of 2008 and the decline in 2014-15.</p><p>Global growth is currently slowing, for well-known reasons. China's growth rate has faltered dramatically (particularly in the commodity-intensive manufacturing sector). It actually turned negative in the second quarter, as Shanghai and some other cities endured shutdowns in support of a futile zero-Covid policy. Europe is hard-hit by the side effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Even US growth is slower in 2022 than it was last year, with many proclaiming that a recession has begun. (Personally, however, I am still willing to bet that no US recession started in the first part of the year and that either first quarter or second quarter GDP will be revised upward by end-September.)</p><p>Overall, according to the IMF's most recent World Economic Outlook update, global growth is projected to slow substantially, from 6.1 % in 2021, to 3.2 % in 2022 and 2.9 % in 2023. Slowing growth means lower demand for commodities, and hence lower prices.</p><h3>3. Real interest rates</h3><p>In addition, as the Fed and other central banks tighten monetary policy, real interest rates are expected to rise. This is likely to lower commodity prices, and not just because high real interest rates make a recession more likely. Interest rates have an effect independently of GDP, both in theory and statistically.</p><p>The theory of the relationship between interest rates and commodity prices is long-established. I like the "overshooting" formulation of the theory. The simplest intuition behind the relationship is that the interest rate is a "cost of carrying" inventories. A rise in the interest rate reduces firms' demand for holding inventories and therefore reduces the commodity price.</p><p>Three other mechanisms operate, in addition to inventories. First, for an exhaustible resource, an increase in the interest rate increases the incentive to extract today, rather than leaving deposits in the ground for tomorrow. Second, for commodities that have been "financialized," an increase in the interest rate encourages institutional investors to shift out of the commodities asset class and into treasury bills. Third, for a commodity that is internationally traded, an increase in the domestic real interest rate may cause a real appreciation of the domestic currency, which works to lower the domestic-currency price of the commodity.</p><p>The relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices is also established statistically, by econometric analyses that range from:</p><p>i) simple correlations; to</p><p>ii) regressions that control for other important determinants, such as GDP and inventories in a "carry trade" model; to</p><p>iii) high-frequency event studies, which are much less sensitive to the econometric problems of the regressions, namely issues of causality and time series properties.</p><p>Two episodes illustrate the claim that the effect of monetary policy operates independently of the effect of GDP. Neither the spike in dollar commodity prices in the first half of 2008 nor the decline in 2014-15 can be explained by fluctuations in economic activity; but they can be interpreted as the result of easy US monetary policy (QE) and tightening US monetary policy (the end of QE), respectively.</p><p>Real interest rates currently appear to be on a firm upward trend, both because nominal interest rates will rise and because inflation will fall. That could mean that real prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural products are on their way down.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Commodity Prices May Have Peaked</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Commodity Prices May Have Peaked\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-29 23:16 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537465-why-commodity-prices-may-peaked><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAmong the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements in the prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities.The price of oil decreased by about 30...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537465-why-commodity-prices-may-peaked\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537465-why-commodity-prices-may-peaked","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167448448","content_text":"SummaryAmong the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements in the prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities.The price of oil decreased by about 30 percent between early June and mid-August. The politically sensitive American price of gasoline also has fallen 20 percent since June, from $5/gallon to $4 in mid-August.Real interest rates currently appear to be on a firm upward trend, both because nominal interest rates will rise and because inflation will fall.Among the most salient of economic developments in the last two years have been big movements in the prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities. It was hard to miss the big rise in commodity prices. The Brent oil price increased from a low $20 a barrel in April 2020, during the first Covid-19 wave, to a peak of $122, in March 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine. But it was not just oil. The price of copper doubled over this period. Wheat more than doubled. And so on. Global indices of commodity prices almost tripled from April 2020 to March 2022.These figures are in dollars. Prices rose even more when viewed in terms of euros, yen, won, or other currencies.Not quite as widely observed is that prices of many commodities fell somewhat over the summer. The price of oil decreased by about 30 percent between early June and mid-August. The politically sensitive American price of gasoline also has fallen 20 percent since June, from $5/gallon to $4 in mid-August. The overall CRB index has fallen 12 percent as of August 17.Is this dip in commodity prices just temporary? Or is it a sign that they have peaked and can be expected to fall further in the future?1. Why are prices of different commodities so correlated?Mostly, the prices of different commodities are highly correlated. In many cases, this is due to direct microeconomic linkages. When the price of oil rises, the costs to wheat producers rise, because harvesting equipment runs on diesel while fertilizer is made from natural gas, which puts upward pressure on grain prices. But the correlation across widely disparate energy, mineral and agricultural commodities begs for a macroeconomic explanation.There are two macroeconomic reasons to think that commodity prices in general will fall further. One of them is self-evident, the other less so.Different stories apply to different commodities, of course, due to microeconomic particulars. The price of natural gas in Europe is bound to rise, as the continent learns to manage winter without Russian gas. But the story is likely to be different elsewhere.2. Global growthThe most obvious macroeconomic factor is the overall level of economic activity. GDP is an important determinant of the demand for commodities and therefore their real price. Less obviously, the real interest rate is another determinant. As of now, the outlook for world growth (slowing) and the outlook for interest rates (upward) both suggest a downward path for commodity prices.Strong global growth, especially in China, can explain the major upswings of commodity prices in 2004-07, 2010-11, and 2021. Conversely, abrupt recessions can explain the plunge in commodity prices from June 2008 to February 2009 (during the Great Recession), and again from January to April 2020 (in the pandemic recession). This leaves unexplained, for the moment, the spike in commodity prices in the first half of 2008 and the decline in 2014-15.Global growth is currently slowing, for well-known reasons. China's growth rate has faltered dramatically (particularly in the commodity-intensive manufacturing sector). It actually turned negative in the second quarter, as Shanghai and some other cities endured shutdowns in support of a futile zero-Covid policy. Europe is hard-hit by the side effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Even US growth is slower in 2022 than it was last year, with many proclaiming that a recession has begun. (Personally, however, I am still willing to bet that no US recession started in the first part of the year and that either first quarter or second quarter GDP will be revised upward by end-September.)Overall, according to the IMF's most recent World Economic Outlook update, global growth is projected to slow substantially, from 6.1 % in 2021, to 3.2 % in 2022 and 2.9 % in 2023. Slowing growth means lower demand for commodities, and hence lower prices.3. Real interest ratesIn addition, as the Fed and other central banks tighten monetary policy, real interest rates are expected to rise. This is likely to lower commodity prices, and not just because high real interest rates make a recession more likely. Interest rates have an effect independently of GDP, both in theory and statistically.The theory of the relationship between interest rates and commodity prices is long-established. I like the \"overshooting\" formulation of the theory. The simplest intuition behind the relationship is that the interest rate is a \"cost of carrying\" inventories. A rise in the interest rate reduces firms' demand for holding inventories and therefore reduces the commodity price.Three other mechanisms operate, in addition to inventories. First, for an exhaustible resource, an increase in the interest rate increases the incentive to extract today, rather than leaving deposits in the ground for tomorrow. Second, for commodities that have been \"financialized,\" an increase in the interest rate encourages institutional investors to shift out of the commodities asset class and into treasury bills. Third, for a commodity that is internationally traded, an increase in the domestic real interest rate may cause a real appreciation of the domestic currency, which works to lower the domestic-currency price of the commodity.The relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices is also established statistically, by econometric analyses that range from:i) simple correlations; toii) regressions that control for other important determinants, such as GDP and inventories in a \"carry trade\" model; toiii) high-frequency event studies, which are much less sensitive to the econometric problems of the regressions, namely issues of causality and time series properties.Two episodes illustrate the claim that the effect of monetary policy operates independently of the effect of GDP. Neither the spike in dollar commodity prices in the first half of 2008 nor the decline in 2014-15 can be explained by fluctuations in economic activity; but they can be interpreted as the result of easy US monetary policy (QE) and tightening US monetary policy (the end of QE), respectively.Real interest rates currently appear to be on a firm upward trend, both because nominal interest rates will rise and because inflation will fall. That could mean that real prices of oil, minerals, and agricultural products are on their way down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9001958011,"gmtCreate":1641164879411,"gmtModify":1676533576474,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9001958011","repostId":"2200544080","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171673180,"gmtCreate":1626744163540,"gmtModify":1703764265914,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like thx","listText":"Pls like thx","text":"Pls like thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171673180","repostId":"2152652796","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153390666,"gmtCreate":1625008941955,"gmtModify":1703849850929,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153390666","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004992102,"gmtCreate":1642467800443,"gmtModify":1676533713179,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004992102","repostId":"1146520803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9015424914,"gmtCreate":1649548064692,"gmtModify":1676534526814,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9015424914","repostId":"2225524274","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225524274","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1649462464,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225524274?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-09 08:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225524274","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The math adds up if these companies can keep performing.","content":"<div>\n<p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $100,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-09 08:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTM":"塔塔汽车","BK4007":"制药","BK4531":"中概回港概念","HCM":"和黄医药","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4523":"印度概念"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/08/want-1-million-in-retirement-invest-100000-in-thes/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225524274","content_text":"Who wants to be a millionaire? With the possible exception of billionaires, just about everyone does. The idea spawned a British (and then an American) quiz show. On television, it can happen overnight.In investing, becoming a millionaire takes time. Buying shares of high-performing companies can, over time, produce life-changing gains. The Trade Desk, Paycom Software, and Align Technology are three that I believe have that potential.Let's look at their earnings, growth rates, and valuations to see how they could transform a $100,000 portfolio into a seven-figure retirement nest egg over the next decade.1. The Trade DeskThere is an old saying in the advertising business that half of ad spending is wasted, but nobody knows which half. The Trade Desk is eliminating that waste with its data-driven self-service platform. Its customers manage their ad spending on more than 500 billion digital opportunities per day. The goal is to help customers make the most intelligent ad-buying decisions and provide them with an abundance of performance feedback. In today's digital economy, it's invaluable.And business is growing like a weed. Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to climb more than 23% next year. That's a reasonable rate to use in our calculation. The company has grown revenue 375% over the past five years. Also, gross spend on Trade Desk's platform climbed 47% last year to $6.2 billion. And management pegs the global ad-spend opportunity at $750 billion, with about $50 billion in display advertising. That offers plenty of room to grow for years.TTD revenue (TTM). Data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months.Wall Street sees the potential. The Trade Desk's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has varied between 40 and 120 over the past few years. We'll use 50 for our calculations.Doing the math on an initial investment of $33,333.33 (a third of the $100,000) leads to a stake in The Trade Desk worth almost $190,000 in 2032. That relies on bold assumptions. But they are well within what the company has delivered so far.2. PaycomPaycom offers businesses a platform to manage employee payroll, time and attendance, and benefits administration, among other things. Its product was built for the cloud. That's different from many traditional human capital management (HCM) vendors that have pieced together acquired software over the years.Customers can clearly tell the difference. Paycom topped $1 billion in revenue last year for the first time, a 26% increase over 2020. Most importantly, that revenue is recurring and sticky. Revenue retention was 94% in 2021. Customers stick around once they start using the platform.Before the pandemic, Paycom's top line was expanding between 30% and 45% each year. We'll use last year's 26% for our calculation and apply a multiple of 60 times earnings. That seems high. But shares have stayed within a range of 50 to 100 times earnings over the years.For Paycom, that one-third of the $100,000 hypothetically invested in 2022 turns into more than $350,000 a decade from now. That would make it a 10-bagger. While it might seem unlikely, if the market continues to reward predictable revenue, and Paycom continues to grow, it's possible. After all, its $1.1 billion in 2021 revenue is a drop in the bucket of an HCM market that is predicted to reach $47 billion by 2029.3. Align TechnologyThe company best known for its Invisalign clear teeth-straightening system is actually a vertically integrated combination of several businesses. They all help people get straighter teeth faster, and orthodontists and dentists see more clients every year. It also provides scanners and software -- two acquisitions -- that help practitioners develop and communicate a plan for patients.The growth opportunity is tremendous. Management estimates 500 million potential customers in the world with 21 million orthodontic starts each year -- two-thirds of them teens. For context, it shipped 2.55 million aligners last year.Align is the crown jewel in our attempt to grow a million-dollar portfolio. The $33,333.33 invested in it could grow over the next 10 years into $461,000. That's assuming the $12.50 analysts expect this year grows at the midpoint of management's long-term guidance of 20% to 30% a year. Similar to the other two stocks, Align typically trades at a premium. We'll use 50 times earnings, slightly above the bottom of the 40 to 100 historical P/E range. It's an amazing potential return when running the numbers.\"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future\"That quote from Yankees legend Yogi Berra underscores a key point in the analysis above. No one knows what the world is going to look like in 10 years. Investors with a long-term mindset need to block out the noise without being irresponsible.The Trade Desk, Paycom, and Align have all grown rapidly while turning a profit. I expect that to continue. If the assumptions hold, a $100,000 investment will be worth $1 million in 10 short years.Calculations and chart by author.It's an interesting exercise that relies on the past as a guide. If the performance changes, so can the outcome. That's why it's best to build a diversified portfolio of a lot more than three stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTM":1,"HCM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819730005,"gmtCreate":1630106229607,"gmtModify":1676530224315,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819730005","repostId":"1184815007","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128013805,"gmtCreate":1624495107507,"gmtModify":1703838242594,"author":{"id":"3583478720415511","authorId":"3583478720415511","name":"Bentofighter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d3b444e1397cd8d1ec1b18c5c8c5db5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583478720415511","authorIdStr":"3583478720415511"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment. Thx ","listText":"Like and comment. Thx ","text":"Like and comment. Thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/128013805","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
