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JKY5978

JKY5978

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2021-07-18

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@苗喵猫:風險的本質-波動率

2021-08-04

Nice

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2021-08-04

???

2021-07-22

Nice

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在上一篇文章【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/54000\">止損-也許只是一廂情願</a>】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 &nbsp; 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 &nbsp; 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 是指過去某個時","listText":"摘要：到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 在上一篇文章【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/54000\">止損-也許只是一廂情願</a>】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 &nbsp; 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 &nbsp; 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 是指過去某個時","text":"摘要：到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 在上一篇文章【止損-也許只是一廂情願】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 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在上一篇文章【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/54000\">止損-也許只是一廂情願</a>】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 &nbsp; 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 &nbsp; 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 是指過去某個時","listText":"摘要：到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 在上一篇文章【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/54000\">止損-也許只是一廂情願</a>】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 &nbsp; 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 &nbsp; 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 是指過去某個時","text":"摘要：到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 在上一篇文章【止損-也許只是一廂情願】中，我通過一些實際的例子，來表明簡單的止損止盈策略並不能真正的降低風險，風險其實包含在你的策略本身。要想真正的降低風險，我們就必須改變觀念，徹底的調整那些不正確的投資思路。 到底什麼是風險？很多散戶，尤其是長期玩A股的散戶，會脫口而出，跌了就是風險，虧錢就是風險，或者說回撤就是風險。這樣的回答，正確嗎？我只能說，答對了一部分。 毋庸置疑，下跌確實是風險，跌的越狠，風險越大，這是直觀的。但是我要說，上漲也是風險，漲的越狠，風險越大，大家會同意嗎？在美股市場，有比較完善的做空機制，你既可以通過借券做空，也可以通過期權做空。如果你是一個空軍，那麼你肯定能夠感受到，上漲給你帶來的“陣痛”。有人說我從來都不做空，我玩A股，不能做空，那麼你感受過踏空嗎？舉個例子，從去年開始的房價快速上漲，對於那些錯失上車機會的人們，是多麼的恐懼和絕望。 哪怕對風險的計算一無所知，僅憑直覺，我們也能夠知道，股票的風險大於國債，小盤股的風險大於藍籌股，$陌陌(MOMO)$的風險大於$阿里巴巴(BABA)$，期權的風險大於股票，諸如此類。因爲風險越高，它的漲跌幅度就越大。我們把這種，衡量資產價格波動程度的指標，叫做波動率。 我們主要關注這三類： 實際波動率。 也稱爲未來波動率，也就是某個資產的最真實的波動程度。由於資產的漲跌都是隨機的，所以我們永遠也沒法確切的知道這個數據的真實值，誰要是能預測準了，那全世界的財富都是ta的。其他幾種波動率，主要也是對實際波動率的一種估計。 歷史波動率。 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