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2022-04-12

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Currently, SolarEdge Technologies has a market capitalization of $14.48 billion. </p>\n<p><strong>Buying $100 In SEDG:</strong> If an investor had bought $100 of SEDG stock 5 years ago, it would be worth <strong>$1,638.18</strong> today based on a price of $261.42 for SEDG at the time of writing.</p>\n<h3>SolarEdge Technologies's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2022/1651597286_0.png\"/></p>\n<p>Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.</p>\n<p><em>This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4519":"光伏太阳能","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.","BK4147":"半导体设备"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/05/26970445/100-invested-in-this-stock-5-years-ago-would-be-worth-this-much","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2232625063","content_text":"SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 63.01% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 74.71%. Currently, SolarEdge Technologies has a market capitalization of $14.48 billion. \nBuying $100 In SEDG: If an investor had bought $100 of SEDG stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $1,638.18 today based on a price of $261.42 for SEDG at the time of writing.\nSolarEdge Technologies's Performance Over Last 5 Years\n\nFinally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.\nThis article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068116397,"gmtCreate":1651734281860,"gmtModify":1676534958671,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108295096110120","authorIdStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So good!","listText":"So good!","text":"So good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068116397","repostId":"2233006666","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2233006666","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651681367,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233006666?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 00:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Solaredge Technologies Inc盘中异动 大幅拉升5.06%报275.95美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233006666","media":"自选股智能写手","summary":"北京时间2022年05月05日00时22分，Solaredge Technologies Inc股票出现波动，股价快速拉升5.06%。截至发稿，该股报275.95美元/股，成交量43.3062万股，换手率0.78%，振幅5.10%。Solaredge Technologies Inc股票所在的太阳能行业中，整体涨幅为5.08%。Solaredge Technologies Inc公司简介：SolarEdge Technologies Inc设计、开发和销售用于太阳能光伏装置的直流优化逆变器系统。","content":"<html><body><article><p>北京时间2022年05月05日00时22分，Solaredge Technologies Inc（SEDG.us）股票出现波动，股价快速<span>拉升</span>5.06%。截至发稿，该股报275.95美元/股，成交量43.3062万股，<span>换手率</span>0.78%，振幅5.10%。</p><p>最近的财报数据显示，该股实现<span>营业收入</span>6.55亿美元，<span>净利润</span>33.12百万美元，<span>每股收益</span>0.62美元，<span>毛利</span>1.78亿美元，市盈率88.54倍。</p><p>机构评级方面，在所有27家参与评级的机构中，67%的券商给予买入建议，26%的券商给予持有建议，7%的券商给予卖出建议。</p><p>Solaredge Technologies Inc股票所在的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>行业中，整体涨幅为5.08%。其相关个股中，Sunnova Energy International Inc、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">Enphase Energy</a> Inc、Array生物制药涨幅较大，Sunworks Inc、Array生物制药、Sunrun Inc较为活跃，换手率分别为2.89%、1.66%、1.35%，振幅较大的相关个股有Ftc Solar Inc、Array生物制药、Sunworks Inc，振幅分别为10.17%、8.13%、6.70%。</p><p>Solaredge Technologies Inc公司简介：SolarEdge Technologies Inc设计、开发和销售用于太阳能光伏装置的直流优化逆变器系统。 该公司系统由功率优化器、逆变器和基于云的监控平台组成，适用于广泛的太阳能市场领域，从住宅太阳能装置到商业和小型公用事业规模的太阳能装置。 该公司将其产品直接销售给太阳能安装商、工程、采购和建筑公司，并通过分销商和电气设备批发商间接销售给太阳能安装商。 此外，该公司还拥有针对储能、电动汽车和超临界电力解决方案行业的非太阳能产品。</p><p>（以上内容为自选股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>机器写手Money Call完成，仅作为用户看盘参考，不作为交易依据。）</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Solaredge Technologies Inc盘中异动 大幅拉升5.06%报275.95美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSolaredge Technologies Inc盘中异动 大幅拉升5.06%报275.95美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-05 00:22 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202205050022487a6f88f3&s=b><strong>自选股智能写手</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间2022年05月05日00时22分，Solaredge Technologies Inc（SEDG.us）股票出现波动，股价快速拉升5.06%。截至发稿，该股报275.95美元/股，成交量43.3062万股，换手率0.78%，振幅5.10%。最近的财报数据显示，该股实现营业收入6.55亿美元，净利润33.12百万美元，每股收益0.62美元，毛利1.78亿美元，市盈率88.54倍。机构评级...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202205050022487a6f88f3&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202205050022487a6f88f3&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2233006666","content_text":"北京时间2022年05月05日00时22分，Solaredge Technologies Inc（SEDG.us）股票出现波动，股价快速拉升5.06%。截至发稿，该股报275.95美元/股，成交量43.3062万股，换手率0.78%，振幅5.10%。最近的财报数据显示，该股实现营业收入6.55亿美元，净利润33.12百万美元，每股收益0.62美元，毛利1.78亿美元，市盈率88.54倍。机构评级方面，在所有27家参与评级的机构中，67%的券商给予买入建议，26%的券商给予持有建议，7%的券商给予卖出建议。Solaredge Technologies Inc股票所在的太阳能行业中，整体涨幅为5.08%。其相关个股中，Sunnova Energy International Inc、Enphase Energy Inc、Array生物制药涨幅较大，Sunworks Inc、Array生物制药、Sunrun Inc较为活跃，换手率分别为2.89%、1.66%、1.35%，振幅较大的相关个股有Ftc Solar Inc、Array生物制药、Sunworks Inc，振幅分别为10.17%、8.13%、6.70%。Solaredge Technologies Inc公司简介：SolarEdge Technologies Inc设计、开发和销售用于太阳能光伏装置的直流优化逆变器系统。 该公司系统由功率优化器、逆变器和基于云的监控平台组成，适用于广泛的太阳能市场领域，从住宅太阳能装置到商业和小型公用事业规模的太阳能装置。 该公司将其产品直接销售给太阳能安装商、工程、采购和建筑公司，并通过分销商和电气设备批发商间接销售给太阳能安装商。 此外，该公司还拥有针对储能、电动汽车和超临界电力解决方案行业的非太阳能产品。（以上内容为自选股智能机器写手Money Call完成，仅作为用户看盘参考，不作为交易依据。）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017629922,"gmtCreate":1649772949821,"gmtModify":1676534571500,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108295096110120","authorIdStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017629922","repostId":"2226549016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2226549016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649777471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2226549016?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-12 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2226549016","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a> could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.</p><p>Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, Juva adds. Furthermore, the Cupertino-based titan could also raise its dividend by 5-10%, Citi analyst said.</p><p>As far as fundamentals are concerned, Suva sees several positive drivers for Apple‘s products and services.</p><p>“While supply chain headwinds are likely to linger, we see demand driven by mix shift away from lower priced Android phones towards more mid end and premium pricing products. We note recent media news of production cuts is nothing unusual at this point in the product cycle given Apple tends to overshoot on build estimates to ensure sufficient supply,” the Citi analyst wrote in a client note.</p><p>News concerning regulatory risks could eventually act as a “major overhang” on Apple shares, however, the analyst says this is a headline risk rather than a fundamental risk.</p><p>Still, he recognizes that Apple stock could correct lower on such headlines but these pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities.</p><p>The analyst also reflected on the recent media report that Apple is working on subscription offerings for its hardware products.</p><p>“Many technology companies are offering more as a service offerings rather than full purchase price. We believe at some point in the future Apple may do this with its Mac, iPads, Apple Watch, and other devices. This is not that dissimilar to the iPhone leasing program, but will make these other devices more affordable as they will not require the large upfront cash outlay,” Suva added.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-12 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4017":"黄金","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","AAPL":"苹果","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","C":"花旗","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2226549016","content_text":"Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, Juva adds. Furthermore, the Cupertino-based titan could also raise its dividend by 5-10%, Citi analyst said.As far as fundamentals are concerned, Suva sees several positive drivers for Apple‘s products and services.“While supply chain headwinds are likely to linger, we see demand driven by mix shift away from lower priced Android phones towards more mid end and premium pricing products. We note recent media news of production cuts is nothing unusual at this point in the product cycle given Apple tends to overshoot on build estimates to ensure sufficient supply,” the Citi analyst wrote in a client note.News concerning regulatory risks could eventually act as a “major overhang” on Apple shares, however, the analyst says this is a headline risk rather than a fundamental risk.Still, he recognizes that Apple stock could correct lower on such headlines but these pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities.The analyst also reflected on the recent media report that Apple is working on subscription offerings for its hardware products.“Many technology companies are offering more as a service offerings rather than full purchase price. We believe at some point in the future Apple may do this with its Mac, iPads, Apple Watch, and other devices. This is not that dissimilar to the iPhone leasing program, but will make these other devices more affordable as they will not require the large upfront cash outlay,” Suva added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016151242,"gmtCreate":1649155527999,"gmtModify":1676534460099,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108295096110120","authorIdStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016151242","repostId":"2225304673","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225304673","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649171373,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225304673?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225304673","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least a mild recession looming. However, what we have today is very strong up moves in growth leaders, which must be respected regardless of your view on the outlook for the rest of the year.</p><p>One such growth leader is <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA), which is up almost 60% since the bottom it made just over a month ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216590ddcd33c72a94dc961eb2b82eb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>StockCharts</p><p>The daily chart shows a downtrend line from the ATH that was made late last year, and which proved to be resistance in the past few trading days. I don’t believe this will be a persistent issue for Tesla, but is something that could cause a temporary delay in the rally. Once Tesla clears that downtrend line, next resistance is the prior relative high at $1,200, and then finally, the ATH near $1,250. Tesla will crest those, I believe; it is just a matter of when.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line remains tremendously strong and is at its own all-time high, indicating this rally is once again the real deal. That’s not surprising given Tesla’s prior leadership, but it’s good to see nonetheless.</p><p>The PPO made its way well into bullish territory, which is a great sign for the long-term health of this bull run. It’s pulling back slightly now but remember we saw a nearly 60% move in the space of a few weeks, so it needs to come back a bit. Moves like this in the PPO show very strong bullish momentum that portends more strength in the weeks ahead.</p><p>The same is true of the 14-day RSI, which reached overbought territory. That’s yet another bullish sign that shows buying momentum is strong, and after a consolidation/pullback, I fully expect this move to continue.</p><p>Let’s now briefly look at the weekly chart, because I think there’s further proof we’re closer to the beginning of this rally than the end.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/4/4/5847171-16490695942655022.png\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>StockCharts</p><p>The weekly PPO recently tested the centerline after being overbought for some time, and has turned higher. The last time this happened, the stock ran from just over $500 to its ATH at $1,243. That doesn’t guarantee the same sort of thing this time, but it definitely helps. Big transitions like this in weekly charts often portend bigger, longer-term moves, and that’s what I think we’re seeing in Tesla right now.</p><p>Now, Tesla is in process of splitting its stock (again), a move that catalyzed the move to the ATH last year. Investors love a stock split and this is either a bullish catalyst, or no catalyst at all. In other words, the split will either produce further rallying from FOMO’ing investors, or it won’t change anything; it&#39;s not a negative catalyst. I personally don’t understand the obsession with buying splitting stocks because the actual impact to shareholders is nothing, but as I mentioned, splitting kicked off a massive rally last year, and it could do the same this time around.</p><p>In addition, Tesla is due to report earnings in about three weeks, and the stock tends to rally into earnings. What happens after the report comes out is another matter, but there is a good chance this buying continues through the end of April, as Tesla is due out with earnings on the 26th.</p><p>To be clear, the split and the earnings date are not part of the core bullish thesis here, but they are key short-term catalysts that could keep the stock afloat in the weeks ahead.</p><h2>Tesla keeps delivering</h2><p>The reason Tesla has delivered world-beating returns over the years is because, well, its business has been unbelievably strong. You don’t reach a trillion dollar valuation through luck, and the fact is that Tesla continues to outpace its competition.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b9f94b2a445ebec61e56ba6428aa207\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Revenue revisions have been a bit choppy, but over time, they go higher. Despite the fact that we’ve seen meteoric rises in revenue over the years, trend is still higher. This is what you want/need from growth stocks that you own, because the second revenue estimates begin to roll over, the stock price will follow suit. That’s why Tesla is volatile, and that volatility will remain for the foreseeable future. However, if you can stomach the up and down moves, you stand to do well over time.</p><p>Tesla’s specific growth catalysts are tied to vehicle production, which it has continued to ramp over time. The company has facilities in Germany, China, and the US pumping out vehicles at ever-increasing rates, and that’s because Tesla continues to ramp production to meet ramping demand. As the company can decrease the cost of production per unit, it can either lower prices, or keep more revenue as operating profit. As we can see below, Tesla’s growth rate continues to blow past the competition globally, and as long as this is the case, Tesla’s share price will almost certainly move higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31aebbc3b67f7c0fb3b361dca6dc3e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Investor presentation</p><p>If anyone needs a reason why Tesla is valued so highly against other automakers, I believe this <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> chart here is all you need to understand. When a company is so dominant, the share price follows, and Tesla isn’t any different.</p><p>Now, I mentioned operating profits, which Tesla has done an exemplary job of improving in recent quarters after so many years of losses. Below we have trailing-twelve-months, or TTM, operating profits as a percentage of revenue.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91743b7e140a79259184dbc124d2d471\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>We know Tesla has world-beating gross margins on its cars and services, but up until a couple of years ago, that margin was spent on relatively inefficient production. Production is much more efficient now, thanks to the ramping of new factories built to produce a lot of vehicles at lower costs, and the growth in operating margins has been nothing short of outstanding.</p><p>These are the kinds of margins the likes of the Big 3 and European automakers would drool over, but Tesla is doing it, with further improvements likely ahead.</p><p>Operating margin growth is subject to continued growth rates in vehicle production, which lowers per-unit costs, which will be offset somewhat by rising SG&amp;A costs, as well as input cost inflation. Batteries in particular take a lot of expensive raw materials, and with supply chain shortages and geopolitical risk of some of these commodities, Tesla isn’t immune to input cost shocks from time to time. However, on the whole, it’s employing a tried and true strategy of boosting production to lower per-unit costs, and I don’t see input cost inflation as a big derailer at the moment.</p><p>Let’s now take a look at cash flow, because for many years, Tesla was cash flow negative, which created nearly constant financing issues. However, positive operating profits have fixed that issue, as we’ll see below with TTM operating cash flow and capex, both in millions of dollars.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2880b04e5cacd1d6f033f9fd41d8bd41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>The growth here has been exponential, and what’s interesting is that Tesla is not sitting back and collecting this new found cash; it is investing most of it. Capex was $8 billion in the TTM period, against operating cash flow of $11.5 billion, so Tesla is investing heavily in future growth while funding its operations. While that sounds like a given, for many years the company was unable to do this, and issued a huge amount of stock to fund operations. That was a headwind for shareholders, but I do think that headwind has well and truly gone.</p><p>Below we have the share count and the YoY change for the past several years to see what I’m on about.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f2c53ea6f3ab1fdee88f1fa6e24c0fe\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>You can see some pretty massive moves in the share count over time, but the past few quarters have seen essentially no movement in the share count. For a company with a history of diluting shareholders, you cannot really say investors are out of the woods entirely. However, because Tesla has ample cash flow to invest in the business <i>and</i> run its operations, you have to say the incentive for Tesla to issue more shares is certainly reduced. This isn’t a tailwind for the stock, but it does effectively remove a headwind, which is sort of the same thing.</p><p>Indeed, this set of conditions has enormously improved Tesla’s balance sheet, which we can measure via net debt, which is below in millions of dollars.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337b199bd17e0714458a637de7193d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>Net debt is negative, meaning Tesla has more cash than obligations by almost $9 billion. That gives it supreme financial flexibility, which should scare competitors. Tesla was always hindered by its lack of financial flexibility, but that is no longer the case, and it can do essentially whatever it needs to do in order to compete and win.</p><h2>Squint to see the value</h2><p>Of course, valuing a stock like this takes some faith because you’re buying a stream of future growth that may or may not occur. In Tesla’s case, I believe it is doing everything it needs to do to win in the future, but there are risks that it may not be able to overcome. We’ll get to that in a second, but for now, let’s take a look at earnings and the valuation to see what’s what.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4921a31b085b778a7a18c4c4d5da0ff3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Seeking Alpha</p><p>EPS revisions remain very strong, which you’d expect given the company’s ramping revenue and soaring profit margins. This virtuous cycle is incredibly lucrative for shareholders, and you can see the product of it above. As long as these lines move up and to the right, Tesla shares should do very well. I have zero concerns about this and I believe EPS revisions support an ever-higher share price.</p><p>Now, let’s take a look at the valuation, which we can use price-to-sales for; it’s plotted below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a629edeeaa941e86715f05b601ba5f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>This stock is never going to be “cheap” in the traditional sense; it’s a disruptor in a gargantuan industry with world-beating growth rates. Thus, comparing it to the old-world manufacturers is useless, but we can compare it to its own history. Shares go for 13X forward sales today, which is somewhat elevated against its historical mean. The stock has been 15X forward sales or better a handful of times, but the point here is that Tesla looks pretty fairly valued to me. I don’t think it’s particularly cheap right now, which raises the risk of a consolidation or pullback to help with the valuation.</p><p>One thing that’s very clear to me is that if Tesla pulls back to 10X or 11X sales, it’s a screaming buy. The times that has happened in the past were outstanding buying chances, with the most recent one being its trip to $700 earlier this year. Something to keep in mind going forward but for now, the stock looks fairly valued to me.</p><h2>Risks and final thoughts</h2><p>The valuation is one risk, because Tesla is much closer to the top of its historical valuation range than the bottom. That doesn’t mean it absolutely has to revisit 10X forward sales, but the point is that I think valuation expansion from here is likely limited for the time being. That increases the risk to the bulls.</p><p>In addition, input cost inflation is a real threat to margins. It shouldn’t impact unit sales – unless raw materials simply become unavailable – but it is already impacting operating margins, and certainly could in the months to come. I believe the company can raise prices and/or offset some of this with manufacturing efficiencies, but input cost inflation is largely out of Tesla’s control, and is a risk to consider if you’re bullish.</p><p>While I noted share issuances have decreased enormously in the past few quarters, Tesla has proven it is willing to use its stock as an ATM in the past, and that could certainly be the case going forward. Employee compensation and share issuances for corporate purposes could drive the share count ever higher over time, which dilutes shareholders, and makes it more difficult for the price to move higher.</p><p>Finally, the biggest risk to Tesla is that unit sales rates fall off of their current trajectory. An automaker with a valuation of 13X forward sales is pricing in a huge amount of future growth. I don’t believe we have any reason to think we won’t see that growth, given Tesla’s history of delivering. However, it is possible the growth trajectory doesn’t meet expectations, and the share price would suffer if this were to occur. In fact, Q1 deliveries were a bit light against expectations, so it’s a real risk.</p><p>Despite all of this, I still think Tesla has ample room to grow in the years to come, and I think the share price will ultimately go much higher. We’ve had a massive move in the past few weeks, and the stock looks fairly valued, so it wouldn’t be unusual to see a consolidation or pullback. However, any such event would be a chance to buy, and I’m quite bullish on Tesla despite its big move.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 23:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2225304673","content_text":"Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least a mild recession looming. However, what we have today is very strong up moves in growth leaders, which must be respected regardless of your view on the outlook for the rest of the year.One such growth leader is Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which is up almost 60% since the bottom it made just over a month ago.StockChartsThe daily chart shows a downtrend line from the ATH that was made late last year, and which proved to be resistance in the past few trading days. I don’t believe this will be a persistent issue for Tesla, but is something that could cause a temporary delay in the rally. Once Tesla clears that downtrend line, next resistance is the prior relative high at $1,200, and then finally, the ATH near $1,250. Tesla will crest those, I believe; it is just a matter of when.The accumulation/distribution line remains tremendously strong and is at its own all-time high, indicating this rally is once again the real deal. That’s not surprising given Tesla’s prior leadership, but it’s good to see nonetheless.The PPO made its way well into bullish territory, which is a great sign for the long-term health of this bull run. It’s pulling back slightly now but remember we saw a nearly 60% move in the space of a few weeks, so it needs to come back a bit. Moves like this in the PPO show very strong bullish momentum that portends more strength in the weeks ahead.The same is true of the 14-day RSI, which reached overbought territory. That’s yet another bullish sign that shows buying momentum is strong, and after a consolidation/pullback, I fully expect this move to continue.Let’s now briefly look at the weekly chart, because I think there’s further proof we’re closer to the beginning of this rally than the end.StockChartsThe weekly PPO recently tested the centerline after being overbought for some time, and has turned higher. The last time this happened, the stock ran from just over $500 to its ATH at $1,243. That doesn’t guarantee the same sort of thing this time, but it definitely helps. Big transitions like this in weekly charts often portend bigger, longer-term moves, and that’s what I think we’re seeing in Tesla right now.Now, Tesla is in process of splitting its stock (again), a move that catalyzed the move to the ATH last year. Investors love a stock split and this is either a bullish catalyst, or no catalyst at all. In other words, the split will either produce further rallying from FOMO’ing investors, or it won’t change anything; it's not a negative catalyst. I personally don’t understand the obsession with buying splitting stocks because the actual impact to shareholders is nothing, but as I mentioned, splitting kicked off a massive rally last year, and it could do the same this time around.In addition, Tesla is due to report earnings in about three weeks, and the stock tends to rally into earnings. What happens after the report comes out is another matter, but there is a good chance this buying continues through the end of April, as Tesla is due out with earnings on the 26th.To be clear, the split and the earnings date are not part of the core bullish thesis here, but they are key short-term catalysts that could keep the stock afloat in the weeks ahead.Tesla keeps deliveringThe reason Tesla has delivered world-beating returns over the years is because, well, its business has been unbelievably strong. You don’t reach a trillion dollar valuation through luck, and the fact is that Tesla continues to outpace its competition.Seeking AlphaRevenue revisions have been a bit choppy, but over time, they go higher. Despite the fact that we’ve seen meteoric rises in revenue over the years, trend is still higher. This is what you want/need from growth stocks that you own, because the second revenue estimates begin to roll over, the stock price will follow suit. That’s why Tesla is volatile, and that volatility will remain for the foreseeable future. However, if you can stomach the up and down moves, you stand to do well over time.Tesla’s specific growth catalysts are tied to vehicle production, which it has continued to ramp over time. The company has facilities in Germany, China, and the US pumping out vehicles at ever-increasing rates, and that’s because Tesla continues to ramp production to meet ramping demand. As the company can decrease the cost of production per unit, it can either lower prices, or keep more revenue as operating profit. As we can see below, Tesla’s growth rate continues to blow past the competition globally, and as long as this is the case, Tesla’s share price will almost certainly move higher.Investor presentationIf anyone needs a reason why Tesla is valued so highly against other automakers, I believe this one chart here is all you need to understand. When a company is so dominant, the share price follows, and Tesla isn’t any different.Now, I mentioned operating profits, which Tesla has done an exemplary job of improving in recent quarters after so many years of losses. Below we have trailing-twelve-months, or TTM, operating profits as a percentage of revenue.TIKRWe know Tesla has world-beating gross margins on its cars and services, but up until a couple of years ago, that margin was spent on relatively inefficient production. Production is much more efficient now, thanks to the ramping of new factories built to produce a lot of vehicles at lower costs, and the growth in operating margins has been nothing short of outstanding.These are the kinds of margins the likes of the Big 3 and European automakers would drool over, but Tesla is doing it, with further improvements likely ahead.Operating margin growth is subject to continued growth rates in vehicle production, which lowers per-unit costs, which will be offset somewhat by rising SG&A costs, as well as input cost inflation. Batteries in particular take a lot of expensive raw materials, and with supply chain shortages and geopolitical risk of some of these commodities, Tesla isn’t immune to input cost shocks from time to time. However, on the whole, it’s employing a tried and true strategy of boosting production to lower per-unit costs, and I don’t see input cost inflation as a big derailer at the moment.Let’s now take a look at cash flow, because for many years, Tesla was cash flow negative, which created nearly constant financing issues. However, positive operating profits have fixed that issue, as we’ll see below with TTM operating cash flow and capex, both in millions of dollars.TIKRThe growth here has been exponential, and what’s interesting is that Tesla is not sitting back and collecting this new found cash; it is investing most of it. Capex was $8 billion in the TTM period, against operating cash flow of $11.5 billion, so Tesla is investing heavily in future growth while funding its operations. While that sounds like a given, for many years the company was unable to do this, and issued a huge amount of stock to fund operations. That was a headwind for shareholders, but I do think that headwind has well and truly gone.Below we have the share count and the YoY change for the past several years to see what I’m on about.TIKRYou can see some pretty massive moves in the share count over time, but the past few quarters have seen essentially no movement in the share count. For a company with a history of diluting shareholders, you cannot really say investors are out of the woods entirely. However, because Tesla has ample cash flow to invest in the business and run its operations, you have to say the incentive for Tesla to issue more shares is certainly reduced. This isn’t a tailwind for the stock, but it does effectively remove a headwind, which is sort of the same thing.Indeed, this set of conditions has enormously improved Tesla’s balance sheet, which we can measure via net debt, which is below in millions of dollars.TIKRNet debt is negative, meaning Tesla has more cash than obligations by almost $9 billion. That gives it supreme financial flexibility, which should scare competitors. Tesla was always hindered by its lack of financial flexibility, but that is no longer the case, and it can do essentially whatever it needs to do in order to compete and win.Squint to see the valueOf course, valuing a stock like this takes some faith because you’re buying a stream of future growth that may or may not occur. In Tesla’s case, I believe it is doing everything it needs to do to win in the future, but there are risks that it may not be able to overcome. We’ll get to that in a second, but for now, let’s take a look at earnings and the valuation to see what’s what.Seeking AlphaEPS revisions remain very strong, which you’d expect given the company’s ramping revenue and soaring profit margins. This virtuous cycle is incredibly lucrative for shareholders, and you can see the product of it above. As long as these lines move up and to the right, Tesla shares should do very well. I have zero concerns about this and I believe EPS revisions support an ever-higher share price.Now, let’s take a look at the valuation, which we can use price-to-sales for; it’s plotted below.TIKRThis stock is never going to be “cheap” in the traditional sense; it’s a disruptor in a gargantuan industry with world-beating growth rates. Thus, comparing it to the old-world manufacturers is useless, but we can compare it to its own history. Shares go for 13X forward sales today, which is somewhat elevated against its historical mean. The stock has been 15X forward sales or better a handful of times, but the point here is that Tesla looks pretty fairly valued to me. I don’t think it’s particularly cheap right now, which raises the risk of a consolidation or pullback to help with the valuation.One thing that’s very clear to me is that if Tesla pulls back to 10X or 11X sales, it’s a screaming buy. The times that has happened in the past were outstanding buying chances, with the most recent one being its trip to $700 earlier this year. Something to keep in mind going forward but for now, the stock looks fairly valued to me.Risks and final thoughtsThe valuation is one risk, because Tesla is much closer to the top of its historical valuation range than the bottom. That doesn’t mean it absolutely has to revisit 10X forward sales, but the point is that I think valuation expansion from here is likely limited for the time being. That increases the risk to the bulls.In addition, input cost inflation is a real threat to margins. It shouldn’t impact unit sales – unless raw materials simply become unavailable – but it is already impacting operating margins, and certainly could in the months to come. I believe the company can raise prices and/or offset some of this with manufacturing efficiencies, but input cost inflation is largely out of Tesla’s control, and is a risk to consider if you’re bullish.While I noted share issuances have decreased enormously in the past few quarters, Tesla has proven it is willing to use its stock as an ATM in the past, and that could certainly be the case going forward. Employee compensation and share issuances for corporate purposes could drive the share count ever higher over time, which dilutes shareholders, and makes it more difficult for the price to move higher.Finally, the biggest risk to Tesla is that unit sales rates fall off of their current trajectory. An automaker with a valuation of 13X forward sales is pricing in a huge amount of future growth. I don’t believe we have any reason to think we won’t see that growth, given Tesla’s history of delivering. However, it is possible the growth trajectory doesn’t meet expectations, and the share price would suffer if this were to occur. In fact, Q1 deliveries were a bit light against expectations, so it’s a real risk.Despite all of this, I still think Tesla has ample room to grow in the years to come, and I think the share price will ultimately go much higher. We’ve had a massive move in the past few weeks, and the stock looks fairly valued, so it wouldn’t be unusual to see a consolidation or pullback. However, any such event would be a chance to buy, and I’m quite bullish on Tesla despite its big move.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9017629922,"gmtCreate":1649772949821,"gmtModify":1676534571500,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4108295096110120","idStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017629922","repostId":"2226549016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2226549016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649777471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2226549016?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-12 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2226549016","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a> could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.</p><p>Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, Juva adds. Furthermore, the Cupertino-based titan could also raise its dividend by 5-10%, Citi analyst said.</p><p>As far as fundamentals are concerned, Suva sees several positive drivers for Apple‘s products and services.</p><p>“While supply chain headwinds are likely to linger, we see demand driven by mix shift away from lower priced Android phones towards more mid end and premium pricing products. We note recent media news of production cuts is nothing unusual at this point in the product cycle given Apple tends to overshoot on build estimates to ensure sufficient supply,” the Citi analyst wrote in a client note.</p><p>News concerning regulatory risks could eventually act as a “major overhang” on Apple shares, however, the analyst says this is a headline risk rather than a fundamental risk.</p><p>Still, he recognizes that Apple stock could correct lower on such headlines but these pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities.</p><p>The analyst also reflected on the recent media report that Apple is working on subscription offerings for its hardware products.</p><p>“Many technology companies are offering more as a service offerings rather than full purchase price. We believe at some point in the future Apple may do this with its Mac, iPads, Apple Watch, and other devices. This is not that dissimilar to the iPhone leasing program, but will make these other devices more affordable as they will not require the large upfront cash outlay,” Suva added.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Announce a New $80-90 Billion Stock Buyback Plan - Citi\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-12 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4017":"黄金","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","AAPL":"苹果","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","C":"花旗","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=19902793","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2226549016","content_text":"Apple  could announce an incremental stock buyback of $80-90 billion this month, according to Citi analyst Jim Suva.Apple spent roughly $81 billion in the last 12 months on buying back its shares, Juva adds. Furthermore, the Cupertino-based titan could also raise its dividend by 5-10%, Citi analyst said.As far as fundamentals are concerned, Suva sees several positive drivers for Apple‘s products and services.“While supply chain headwinds are likely to linger, we see demand driven by mix shift away from lower priced Android phones towards more mid end and premium pricing products. We note recent media news of production cuts is nothing unusual at this point in the product cycle given Apple tends to overshoot on build estimates to ensure sufficient supply,” the Citi analyst wrote in a client note.News concerning regulatory risks could eventually act as a “major overhang” on Apple shares, however, the analyst says this is a headline risk rather than a fundamental risk.Still, he recognizes that Apple stock could correct lower on such headlines but these pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities.The analyst also reflected on the recent media report that Apple is working on subscription offerings for its hardware products.“Many technology companies are offering more as a service offerings rather than full purchase price. We believe at some point in the future Apple may do this with its Mac, iPads, Apple Watch, and other devices. This is not that dissimilar to the iPhone leasing program, but will make these other devices more affordable as they will not require the large upfront cash outlay,” Suva added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016151242,"gmtCreate":1649155527999,"gmtModify":1676534460099,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4108295096110120","idStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016151242","repostId":"2225304673","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225304673","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649171373,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225304673?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225304673","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least a mild recession looming. However, what we have today is very strong up moves in growth leaders, which must be respected regardless of your view on the outlook for the rest of the year.</p><p>One such growth leader is <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA), which is up almost 60% since the bottom it made just over a month ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216590ddcd33c72a94dc961eb2b82eb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>StockCharts</p><p>The daily chart shows a downtrend line from the ATH that was made late last year, and which proved to be resistance in the past few trading days. I don’t believe this will be a persistent issue for Tesla, but is something that could cause a temporary delay in the rally. Once Tesla clears that downtrend line, next resistance is the prior relative high at $1,200, and then finally, the ATH near $1,250. Tesla will crest those, I believe; it is just a matter of when.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line remains tremendously strong and is at its own all-time high, indicating this rally is once again the real deal. That’s not surprising given Tesla’s prior leadership, but it’s good to see nonetheless.</p><p>The PPO made its way well into bullish territory, which is a great sign for the long-term health of this bull run. It’s pulling back slightly now but remember we saw a nearly 60% move in the space of a few weeks, so it needs to come back a bit. Moves like this in the PPO show very strong bullish momentum that portends more strength in the weeks ahead.</p><p>The same is true of the 14-day RSI, which reached overbought territory. That’s yet another bullish sign that shows buying momentum is strong, and after a consolidation/pullback, I fully expect this move to continue.</p><p>Let’s now briefly look at the weekly chart, because I think there’s further proof we’re closer to the beginning of this rally than the end.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2022/4/4/5847171-16490695942655022.png\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>StockCharts</p><p>The weekly PPO recently tested the centerline after being overbought for some time, and has turned higher. The last time this happened, the stock ran from just over $500 to its ATH at $1,243. That doesn’t guarantee the same sort of thing this time, but it definitely helps. Big transitions like this in weekly charts often portend bigger, longer-term moves, and that’s what I think we’re seeing in Tesla right now.</p><p>Now, Tesla is in process of splitting its stock (again), a move that catalyzed the move to the ATH last year. Investors love a stock split and this is either a bullish catalyst, or no catalyst at all. In other words, the split will either produce further rallying from FOMO’ing investors, or it won’t change anything; it&#39;s not a negative catalyst. I personally don’t understand the obsession with buying splitting stocks because the actual impact to shareholders is nothing, but as I mentioned, splitting kicked off a massive rally last year, and it could do the same this time around.</p><p>In addition, Tesla is due to report earnings in about three weeks, and the stock tends to rally into earnings. What happens after the report comes out is another matter, but there is a good chance this buying continues through the end of April, as Tesla is due out with earnings on the 26th.</p><p>To be clear, the split and the earnings date are not part of the core bullish thesis here, but they are key short-term catalysts that could keep the stock afloat in the weeks ahead.</p><h2>Tesla keeps delivering</h2><p>The reason Tesla has delivered world-beating returns over the years is because, well, its business has been unbelievably strong. You don’t reach a trillion dollar valuation through luck, and the fact is that Tesla continues to outpace its competition.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b9f94b2a445ebec61e56ba6428aa207\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Revenue revisions have been a bit choppy, but over time, they go higher. Despite the fact that we’ve seen meteoric rises in revenue over the years, trend is still higher. This is what you want/need from growth stocks that you own, because the second revenue estimates begin to roll over, the stock price will follow suit. That’s why Tesla is volatile, and that volatility will remain for the foreseeable future. However, if you can stomach the up and down moves, you stand to do well over time.</p><p>Tesla’s specific growth catalysts are tied to vehicle production, which it has continued to ramp over time. The company has facilities in Germany, China, and the US pumping out vehicles at ever-increasing rates, and that’s because Tesla continues to ramp production to meet ramping demand. As the company can decrease the cost of production per unit, it can either lower prices, or keep more revenue as operating profit. As we can see below, Tesla’s growth rate continues to blow past the competition globally, and as long as this is the case, Tesla’s share price will almost certainly move higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31aebbc3b67f7c0fb3b361dca6dc3e6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Investor presentation</p><p>If anyone needs a reason why Tesla is valued so highly against other automakers, I believe this <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> chart here is all you need to understand. When a company is so dominant, the share price follows, and Tesla isn’t any different.</p><p>Now, I mentioned operating profits, which Tesla has done an exemplary job of improving in recent quarters after so many years of losses. Below we have trailing-twelve-months, or TTM, operating profits as a percentage of revenue.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91743b7e140a79259184dbc124d2d471\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>We know Tesla has world-beating gross margins on its cars and services, but up until a couple of years ago, that margin was spent on relatively inefficient production. Production is much more efficient now, thanks to the ramping of new factories built to produce a lot of vehicles at lower costs, and the growth in operating margins has been nothing short of outstanding.</p><p>These are the kinds of margins the likes of the Big 3 and European automakers would drool over, but Tesla is doing it, with further improvements likely ahead.</p><p>Operating margin growth is subject to continued growth rates in vehicle production, which lowers per-unit costs, which will be offset somewhat by rising SG&amp;A costs, as well as input cost inflation. Batteries in particular take a lot of expensive raw materials, and with supply chain shortages and geopolitical risk of some of these commodities, Tesla isn’t immune to input cost shocks from time to time. However, on the whole, it’s employing a tried and true strategy of boosting production to lower per-unit costs, and I don’t see input cost inflation as a big derailer at the moment.</p><p>Let’s now take a look at cash flow, because for many years, Tesla was cash flow negative, which created nearly constant financing issues. However, positive operating profits have fixed that issue, as we’ll see below with TTM operating cash flow and capex, both in millions of dollars.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2880b04e5cacd1d6f033f9fd41d8bd41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>The growth here has been exponential, and what’s interesting is that Tesla is not sitting back and collecting this new found cash; it is investing most of it. Capex was $8 billion in the TTM period, against operating cash flow of $11.5 billion, so Tesla is investing heavily in future growth while funding its operations. While that sounds like a given, for many years the company was unable to do this, and issued a huge amount of stock to fund operations. That was a headwind for shareholders, but I do think that headwind has well and truly gone.</p><p>Below we have the share count and the YoY change for the past several years to see what I’m on about.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f2c53ea6f3ab1fdee88f1fa6e24c0fe\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>You can see some pretty massive moves in the share count over time, but the past few quarters have seen essentially no movement in the share count. For a company with a history of diluting shareholders, you cannot really say investors are out of the woods entirely. However, because Tesla has ample cash flow to invest in the business <i>and</i> run its operations, you have to say the incentive for Tesla to issue more shares is certainly reduced. This isn’t a tailwind for the stock, but it does effectively remove a headwind, which is sort of the same thing.</p><p>Indeed, this set of conditions has enormously improved Tesla’s balance sheet, which we can measure via net debt, which is below in millions of dollars.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337b199bd17e0714458a637de7193d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>Net debt is negative, meaning Tesla has more cash than obligations by almost $9 billion. That gives it supreme financial flexibility, which should scare competitors. Tesla was always hindered by its lack of financial flexibility, but that is no longer the case, and it can do essentially whatever it needs to do in order to compete and win.</p><h2>Squint to see the value</h2><p>Of course, valuing a stock like this takes some faith because you’re buying a stream of future growth that may or may not occur. In Tesla’s case, I believe it is doing everything it needs to do to win in the future, but there are risks that it may not be able to overcome. We’ll get to that in a second, but for now, let’s take a look at earnings and the valuation to see what’s what.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4921a31b085b778a7a18c4c4d5da0ff3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Seeking Alpha</p><p>EPS revisions remain very strong, which you’d expect given the company’s ramping revenue and soaring profit margins. This virtuous cycle is incredibly lucrative for shareholders, and you can see the product of it above. As long as these lines move up and to the right, Tesla shares should do very well. I have zero concerns about this and I believe EPS revisions support an ever-higher share price.</p><p>Now, let’s take a look at the valuation, which we can use price-to-sales for; it’s plotted below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a629edeeaa941e86715f05b601ba5f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TIKR</p><p>This stock is never going to be “cheap” in the traditional sense; it’s a disruptor in a gargantuan industry with world-beating growth rates. Thus, comparing it to the old-world manufacturers is useless, but we can compare it to its own history. Shares go for 13X forward sales today, which is somewhat elevated against its historical mean. The stock has been 15X forward sales or better a handful of times, but the point here is that Tesla looks pretty fairly valued to me. I don’t think it’s particularly cheap right now, which raises the risk of a consolidation or pullback to help with the valuation.</p><p>One thing that’s very clear to me is that if Tesla pulls back to 10X or 11X sales, it’s a screaming buy. The times that has happened in the past were outstanding buying chances, with the most recent one being its trip to $700 earlier this year. Something to keep in mind going forward but for now, the stock looks fairly valued to me.</p><h2>Risks and final thoughts</h2><p>The valuation is one risk, because Tesla is much closer to the top of its historical valuation range than the bottom. That doesn’t mean it absolutely has to revisit 10X forward sales, but the point is that I think valuation expansion from here is likely limited for the time being. That increases the risk to the bulls.</p><p>In addition, input cost inflation is a real threat to margins. It shouldn’t impact unit sales – unless raw materials simply become unavailable – but it is already impacting operating margins, and certainly could in the months to come. I believe the company can raise prices and/or offset some of this with manufacturing efficiencies, but input cost inflation is largely out of Tesla’s control, and is a risk to consider if you’re bullish.</p><p>While I noted share issuances have decreased enormously in the past few quarters, Tesla has proven it is willing to use its stock as an ATM in the past, and that could certainly be the case going forward. Employee compensation and share issuances for corporate purposes could drive the share count ever higher over time, which dilutes shareholders, and makes it more difficult for the price to move higher.</p><p>Finally, the biggest risk to Tesla is that unit sales rates fall off of their current trajectory. An automaker with a valuation of 13X forward sales is pricing in a huge amount of future growth. I don’t believe we have any reason to think we won’t see that growth, given Tesla’s history of delivering. However, it is possible the growth trajectory doesn’t meet expectations, and the share price would suffer if this were to occur. In fact, Q1 deliveries were a bit light against expectations, so it’s a real risk.</p><p>Despite all of this, I still think Tesla has ample room to grow in the years to come, and I think the share price will ultimately go much higher. We’ve had a massive move in the past few weeks, and the stock looks fairly valued, so it wouldn’t be unusual to see a consolidation or pullback. However, any such event would be a chance to buy, and I’m quite bullish on Tesla despite its big move.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: After A ~60% Rally, There's More In Store\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 23:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4499688-tesla-after-a-60-percent-rally-theres-more-in-store","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2225304673","content_text":"Growth stocks that were left for dead earlier this year have suddenly roared back to life. Whether that move sticks or not is still up for debate, with rates moving wildly and the prospect of at least a mild recession looming. However, what we have today is very strong up moves in growth leaders, which must be respected regardless of your view on the outlook for the rest of the year.One such growth leader is Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which is up almost 60% since the bottom it made just over a month ago.StockChartsThe daily chart shows a downtrend line from the ATH that was made late last year, and which proved to be resistance in the past few trading days. I don’t believe this will be a persistent issue for Tesla, but is something that could cause a temporary delay in the rally. Once Tesla clears that downtrend line, next resistance is the prior relative high at $1,200, and then finally, the ATH near $1,250. Tesla will crest those, I believe; it is just a matter of when.The accumulation/distribution line remains tremendously strong and is at its own all-time high, indicating this rally is once again the real deal. That’s not surprising given Tesla’s prior leadership, but it’s good to see nonetheless.The PPO made its way well into bullish territory, which is a great sign for the long-term health of this bull run. It’s pulling back slightly now but remember we saw a nearly 60% move in the space of a few weeks, so it needs to come back a bit. Moves like this in the PPO show very strong bullish momentum that portends more strength in the weeks ahead.The same is true of the 14-day RSI, which reached overbought territory. That’s yet another bullish sign that shows buying momentum is strong, and after a consolidation/pullback, I fully expect this move to continue.Let’s now briefly look at the weekly chart, because I think there’s further proof we’re closer to the beginning of this rally than the end.StockChartsThe weekly PPO recently tested the centerline after being overbought for some time, and has turned higher. The last time this happened, the stock ran from just over $500 to its ATH at $1,243. That doesn’t guarantee the same sort of thing this time, but it definitely helps. Big transitions like this in weekly charts often portend bigger, longer-term moves, and that’s what I think we’re seeing in Tesla right now.Now, Tesla is in process of splitting its stock (again), a move that catalyzed the move to the ATH last year. Investors love a stock split and this is either a bullish catalyst, or no catalyst at all. In other words, the split will either produce further rallying from FOMO’ing investors, or it won’t change anything; it's not a negative catalyst. I personally don’t understand the obsession with buying splitting stocks because the actual impact to shareholders is nothing, but as I mentioned, splitting kicked off a massive rally last year, and it could do the same this time around.In addition, Tesla is due to report earnings in about three weeks, and the stock tends to rally into earnings. What happens after the report comes out is another matter, but there is a good chance this buying continues through the end of April, as Tesla is due out with earnings on the 26th.To be clear, the split and the earnings date are not part of the core bullish thesis here, but they are key short-term catalysts that could keep the stock afloat in the weeks ahead.Tesla keeps deliveringThe reason Tesla has delivered world-beating returns over the years is because, well, its business has been unbelievably strong. You don’t reach a trillion dollar valuation through luck, and the fact is that Tesla continues to outpace its competition.Seeking AlphaRevenue revisions have been a bit choppy, but over time, they go higher. Despite the fact that we’ve seen meteoric rises in revenue over the years, trend is still higher. This is what you want/need from growth stocks that you own, because the second revenue estimates begin to roll over, the stock price will follow suit. That’s why Tesla is volatile, and that volatility will remain for the foreseeable future. However, if you can stomach the up and down moves, you stand to do well over time.Tesla’s specific growth catalysts are tied to vehicle production, which it has continued to ramp over time. The company has facilities in Germany, China, and the US pumping out vehicles at ever-increasing rates, and that’s because Tesla continues to ramp production to meet ramping demand. As the company can decrease the cost of production per unit, it can either lower prices, or keep more revenue as operating profit. As we can see below, Tesla’s growth rate continues to blow past the competition globally, and as long as this is the case, Tesla’s share price will almost certainly move higher.Investor presentationIf anyone needs a reason why Tesla is valued so highly against other automakers, I believe this one chart here is all you need to understand. When a company is so dominant, the share price follows, and Tesla isn’t any different.Now, I mentioned operating profits, which Tesla has done an exemplary job of improving in recent quarters after so many years of losses. Below we have trailing-twelve-months, or TTM, operating profits as a percentage of revenue.TIKRWe know Tesla has world-beating gross margins on its cars and services, but up until a couple of years ago, that margin was spent on relatively inefficient production. Production is much more efficient now, thanks to the ramping of new factories built to produce a lot of vehicles at lower costs, and the growth in operating margins has been nothing short of outstanding.These are the kinds of margins the likes of the Big 3 and European automakers would drool over, but Tesla is doing it, with further improvements likely ahead.Operating margin growth is subject to continued growth rates in vehicle production, which lowers per-unit costs, which will be offset somewhat by rising SG&A costs, as well as input cost inflation. Batteries in particular take a lot of expensive raw materials, and with supply chain shortages and geopolitical risk of some of these commodities, Tesla isn’t immune to input cost shocks from time to time. However, on the whole, it’s employing a tried and true strategy of boosting production to lower per-unit costs, and I don’t see input cost inflation as a big derailer at the moment.Let’s now take a look at cash flow, because for many years, Tesla was cash flow negative, which created nearly constant financing issues. However, positive operating profits have fixed that issue, as we’ll see below with TTM operating cash flow and capex, both in millions of dollars.TIKRThe growth here has been exponential, and what’s interesting is that Tesla is not sitting back and collecting this new found cash; it is investing most of it. Capex was $8 billion in the TTM period, against operating cash flow of $11.5 billion, so Tesla is investing heavily in future growth while funding its operations. While that sounds like a given, for many years the company was unable to do this, and issued a huge amount of stock to fund operations. That was a headwind for shareholders, but I do think that headwind has well and truly gone.Below we have the share count and the YoY change for the past several years to see what I’m on about.TIKRYou can see some pretty massive moves in the share count over time, but the past few quarters have seen essentially no movement in the share count. For a company with a history of diluting shareholders, you cannot really say investors are out of the woods entirely. However, because Tesla has ample cash flow to invest in the business and run its operations, you have to say the incentive for Tesla to issue more shares is certainly reduced. This isn’t a tailwind for the stock, but it does effectively remove a headwind, which is sort of the same thing.Indeed, this set of conditions has enormously improved Tesla’s balance sheet, which we can measure via net debt, which is below in millions of dollars.TIKRNet debt is negative, meaning Tesla has more cash than obligations by almost $9 billion. That gives it supreme financial flexibility, which should scare competitors. Tesla was always hindered by its lack of financial flexibility, but that is no longer the case, and it can do essentially whatever it needs to do in order to compete and win.Squint to see the valueOf course, valuing a stock like this takes some faith because you’re buying a stream of future growth that may or may not occur. In Tesla’s case, I believe it is doing everything it needs to do to win in the future, but there are risks that it may not be able to overcome. We’ll get to that in a second, but for now, let’s take a look at earnings and the valuation to see what’s what.Seeking AlphaEPS revisions remain very strong, which you’d expect given the company’s ramping revenue and soaring profit margins. This virtuous cycle is incredibly lucrative for shareholders, and you can see the product of it above. As long as these lines move up and to the right, Tesla shares should do very well. I have zero concerns about this and I believe EPS revisions support an ever-higher share price.Now, let’s take a look at the valuation, which we can use price-to-sales for; it’s plotted below.TIKRThis stock is never going to be “cheap” in the traditional sense; it’s a disruptor in a gargantuan industry with world-beating growth rates. Thus, comparing it to the old-world manufacturers is useless, but we can compare it to its own history. Shares go for 13X forward sales today, which is somewhat elevated against its historical mean. The stock has been 15X forward sales or better a handful of times, but the point here is that Tesla looks pretty fairly valued to me. I don’t think it’s particularly cheap right now, which raises the risk of a consolidation or pullback to help with the valuation.One thing that’s very clear to me is that if Tesla pulls back to 10X or 11X sales, it’s a screaming buy. The times that has happened in the past were outstanding buying chances, with the most recent one being its trip to $700 earlier this year. Something to keep in mind going forward but for now, the stock looks fairly valued to me.Risks and final thoughtsThe valuation is one risk, because Tesla is much closer to the top of its historical valuation range than the bottom. That doesn’t mean it absolutely has to revisit 10X forward sales, but the point is that I think valuation expansion from here is likely limited for the time being. That increases the risk to the bulls.In addition, input cost inflation is a real threat to margins. It shouldn’t impact unit sales – unless raw materials simply become unavailable – but it is already impacting operating margins, and certainly could in the months to come. I believe the company can raise prices and/or offset some of this with manufacturing efficiencies, but input cost inflation is largely out of Tesla’s control, and is a risk to consider if you’re bullish.While I noted share issuances have decreased enormously in the past few quarters, Tesla has proven it is willing to use its stock as an ATM in the past, and that could certainly be the case going forward. Employee compensation and share issuances for corporate purposes could drive the share count ever higher over time, which dilutes shareholders, and makes it more difficult for the price to move higher.Finally, the biggest risk to Tesla is that unit sales rates fall off of their current trajectory. An automaker with a valuation of 13X forward sales is pricing in a huge amount of future growth. I don’t believe we have any reason to think we won’t see that growth, given Tesla’s history of delivering. However, it is possible the growth trajectory doesn’t meet expectations, and the share price would suffer if this were to occur. In fact, Q1 deliveries were a bit light against expectations, so it’s a real risk.Despite all of this, I still think Tesla has ample room to grow in the years to come, and I think the share price will ultimately go much higher. We’ve had a massive move in the past few weeks, and the stock looks fairly valued, so it wouldn’t be unusual to see a consolidation or pullback. However, any such event would be a chance to buy, and I’m quite bullish on Tesla despite its big move.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068116813,"gmtCreate":1651734306456,"gmtModify":1676534958750,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4108295096110120","idStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow!","listText":"Wow!","text":"Wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068116813","repostId":"2232625063","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068116397,"gmtCreate":1651734281860,"gmtModify":1676534958671,"author":{"id":"4108295096110120","authorId":"4108295096110120","name":"Allwin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4108295096110120","idStr":"4108295096110120"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So good!","listText":"So good!","text":"So good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068116397","repostId":"2233006666","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}