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【经济学家:实际关税政策实施仍高度不确定】摩根士丹利经济学家写道,即使在特朗普表示即将开始对墨西哥和加拿大征收25%的关税之后,加大贸易限制的道路仍不明朗。在他们看来,美元已经消化了足够多的关税风险,以至于美元看起来被高估了。摩根士丹利写道:“简而言之,由于在范围和规模方面目标可能改变,关税实施之路可能没有普适的关税基准所暗示的那么直接明了。”尽管如此,该行的研究人员认为关税将拖累美国的经济增长,使实际GDP增速降至今年约2%,明年约为1.5%。

金融界01-21 23:26

摩根士丹利经济学家写道,即使在特朗普表示即将开始对墨西哥和加拿大征收25%的关税之后,加大贸易限制的道路仍不明朗。在他们看来,美元已经消化了足够多的关税风险,以至于美元看起来被高估了。摩根士丹利写道:“简而言之,由于在范围和规模方面目标可能改变,关税实施之路可能没有普适的关税基准所暗示的那么直接明了。”尽管如此,该行的研究人员认为关税将拖累美国的经济增长,使实际GDP增速降至今年约2%,明年约为...

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