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'He claims to be a nihilist': I told my friend to sell his Tesla shares. He stopped speaking to me. Is that normal?

Dow Jones03-14

MW 'He claims to be a nihilist': I told my friend to sell his Tesla shares. He stopped speaking to me. Is that normal?

By Quentin Fottrell

'I've been trying to get him to diversify his retirement portfolio'

Dear Quentin,

I have or had a friend who owned two Teslas, and had his entire stock in Tesla. He is a Democrat and he claims to be a nihilist. I don't see how one can identify as a nihilist and also try to save the environment. In any case, I had been trying to get him to diversify his retirement portfolio.

I told him, "If you are able, I think you should get out of Tesla. It's not that the company won't be able to recover - it might - but considering everything else, why would anyone stay vested in Tesla?" This largely random subject caused us to cease communications.

Tesla's acceleration is amazing, but that is a small sacrifice. Other companies offer hybrids and EVs. Are MAGA supporters going to take up the slack in sales? I doubt it. I was a lifelong Republican before Trump, so my comments to my (former) friend were not political.

Yet he stopped speaking to me. Is that normal?

Former Friend

Related: I'm a Democrat who drives a Tesla. A guy shouted abuse at me for driving a car made by Elon Musk. Should I sell my car?

Dear Friend,

Your friend hailed a robotaxi, and drove directly out of the friendzone.

If your friendship was strong and close, even a clumsily-worded piece of unsolicited advice about his Tesla stock should not be enough to break it, regardless of whether he is a Democrat or a Republican. He may have thought you were making a political point, even if you had no intention of doing so. Generally, when it comes to finance and politics, unsolicited opinions can go down like Tesla's stock.

To your point: Even if you are a diehard MAGA supporter and a Tesla fan, you may look at Musk's attention being diverted away from the company, which Musk himself has acknowledged. He may see that it has, by virtue of Musk's role cutting federal spending with the Department of Government Efficiency and reason, "This is going to hurt sales." And sell. Politics aside, people sell stocks if they believe they'll lose money.

The most recent, drastic slide in Elon Musk's electric-vehicle company should be taken in context. Tesla $(TSLA)$ is down nearly 50% from $477 at the end of last year to $240 currently, but it's still higher than the $170 at this time last year. And if you're a medium- or long-term investor, you're still in the green: Lest we forget that the stock was hovering at around $23 five years ago. It may, of course, still have a long way to go.

Related: Has Tesla stock hit bottom? Here's what the options market is saying.

Tesla 'shocking' sales decline

You are hardly a lone voice when it comes to your opinion on Tesla's stock uncertain future, at least in the short term. On Tuesday, Trump bought a Tesla after parading a group of the electric vehicles on the South Lawn of the White House in a show of support for Musk. That may end up being a black eye for Musk: Trump supporters will probably like the stunt, but Democrats who have ignored the brouhaha until now could feel more pressured to choose another EV.

Overseas sales are also a concern. Tesla sold 7,517 cars in Europe in January 2025 - down over 50% on the same time last year, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association. EV sales are strong in China, but Tesla sales there are falling. MAGA's policies - from Trump's desire to purchase Greenland to Musk's support for Germany's hard-right Alternative fur Deutschland party - have not endeared him to Europeans. The U.S.-led trade war has not helped either.

It's no wonder your friend is sensitive. Wells Fargo $(WFC)$ analyst Colin Langan, in an analyst note on Friday, described Tesl'a sales decline as "shocking." Your friend holds a stock that has 1) become highly politicized and 2) his holding has been suffering of late as a result. Some 85% of clients of Morgan Stanley auto analyst Adam Jonas, in a 245-person survey this week, said they believe Musk's political activities are hurting Tesla. They agreed with the statement that his political activism had either a "negative" or "extremely negative" effect on the business.

President Trump paraded a group of Teslas on the South Lawn of the White House. That may end up being a black eye for Elon Musk.

In California, the largest market for Tesla in the U.S., sales have also fallen. "Tesla's dominance in the electric-vehicle market continues to falter as the brand reported its fifth consecutive quarterly registration decline," according to the California New Car Dealers Association. Tesla's registrations fell 7.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, bringing the total decline in 2024 to 11.6%.

Several analysts have said the Tesla slide is not nearly over yet. J.P. Morgan auto analyst Ryan Brinkman slashed his forecast for first-quarter deliveries by 20%, to 355,000 from 444,000, and cut his price target to $120 from $135. "We struggle to think of anything analogous in the history of the automotive industry, in which a brand has lost so much value so quickly," Brinkman wrote.

Tesla is still considered among the "Magnificent Seven" of tech stocks, which also include Alphabet $(GOOGL)$ , Amazon $(AMZN)$, Apple $(AAPL)$, Meta $(META)$, Microsoft $(MSFT)$ and Nvidia $(NVDA)$. But some observers, including Barron's columnist Al Root, believe Tesla does not belong in that group. "Tesla's market value is no longer in the top seven among S&P 500 SPX," Root writes. The other six are "profit machines," he adds, while Tesla trades for 85 times earnings, down from 200 times three months ago.

Related: 'Is it finally time to freak out?' I'm in my 50s and worried about the $650K in my 401(k).

Finance and friendship

There's another uncomfortable reality that your friend may not be ready to face: Musk, who is also the CEO and founder of SpaceX and purchased Twitter for $44 billion in 2022 - rebranding it as X - has something of a fanatical following or, put another way, investors who believe in his dreams. And yet he is, many analysts argue, also the main cause of the current turmoil for the stock. For his fans, that's a hard pill to swallow. Your friend, given his exposure to Tesla, may be one of those fans.

Finance and friendship don't always make good bedfellows. I'm reminded of this couple whose neighbors introduced them to a financial adviser. The letter writers took the adviser's advice, invested in the market and drove an old car - not a Tesla - while their neighbors lived the high life. They announced they were retiring early. Their neighbors couldn't reconcile this news with their own financial hubris, and they stopped speaking to them.

By giving your friend advice about his Tesla stock, which may have been already weighing heavily on his mind, he may have felt exposed - diversify, diversify, diversify are the first three rules of investing - and could also have felt judged. In 2025, the cars people drive and even the stocks they own have become politicized. Nihilism, the belief that nothing has meaning or purpose, exists on a sliding scale. As does tact. It's always better to ask: "Could I give you some advice?"

It may help soften the blow, but the blow may still end the friendship.

Related: 'It's been a scary ride': My family has $800K in stocks. We lost 2 years of market gains in a few weeks. Do we sell - or buy?

You can email The Moneyist with any financial and ethical questions at qfottrell@marketwatch.com, and follow Quentin Fottrell on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

More columns from Quentin Fottrell:

'I'm deeply disturbed': My portfolio lost 20%. With Trump's trade war, do I sell my stocks and buy gold?

America's job market is eerily similar to the 1990s dot-com bubble - and, yes, it's a worry

Egg prices represent the cracks in the facade of America's economic wellbeing

The Moneyist regrets he cannot respond to letters individually.Check out The Moneyist's private Facebook group, where members help answer life's thorniest money issues. Post your questions, or weigh in on the latest Moneyist columns.

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-Quentin Fottrell

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March 14, 2025 07:50 ET (11:50 GMT)

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  • ARTOTLE
    ·03-14
    Can see that you are hater for Tesla. If I am yr friend I will not only end the friend ship. I will even beat u up
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