环球市场播报13:56
麦格理表示，如果伊朗战争持续到6月份，且关键航道霍尔木兹海峡维持关闭状态，油价恐将创下每桶200美元的纪录高点。
Vikas Dwivedi等分析师在一份报告中指出，如果冲突持续到第二季度，将导致实际价格升至历史高点，这种可能性为40%。他们也表示，战争也可能会在本月底结束，这种可能性为60%。
随着美国、以色列对伊朗动武震动了石油丰富的中东地区，布伦特原油价格预计将在3月创下月度涨幅纪录。在这场冲突中，德黑兰几乎完全关闭霍尔木兹海峡，严重限制了对全球经济至关重要的能源流动。
布伦特周五接近每桶107美元，本月稍早一度触及每桶119.50美元的危机高点。数据显示，该基准原油价格在2008年曾创下每桶147.50美元的名目高峰。
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