智通财经03-26 13:54
智通财经APP获悉，有色股再度走低，截至发稿，紫金矿业(02899)跌5.9%，报33.52港元；五矿资源(01208)跌5.36%，报7.41港元；洛阳钼业(03993)跌3.93%，报16.64港元；中国铝业(02600)跌3.48%，报10.81港元。
消息面上，中东地缘冲突趋于持久战，冲突持续推高能源价格，进而引发市场通胀担忧。在此背景下，美联储3月议息会议维持利率不变，市场对年内降息预期大幅回落，定价年内降息次数不足一次，美元与美债收益率随之走强，对铜等有色大宗商品估值形成明显压制。
南华期货指出，近期影响铝价核心因素仍为地缘政治，但市场关注因素的转变使得价格出现了先涨后跌的情况。战争开始两周内，中东地区铝供应问题是电解铝盘面交易的重点，卡塔尔铝业减产，巴林铝业发运暂停都使得电解铝大幅上涨。然而随着战争时间拉长且双方暂时均无缓和意愿，原油成本持续上升，并且暂无新的中东铝厂减产消息传来，对经济衰退和流动性的担忧逐渐占据上风，铝价震荡变弱。
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