PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·43 minutes ago

      $SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures

      SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is at a key decision level while leaders like Deckers Outdoor Corporation extend and others turn extended. This is a manage, not chase environment — wait for confirmation before new entries. 1. $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$ $DECK is up +15% since bouncing on the 33 FVB Our combined signal system still has this as an open trade setup and the next target is $120 2. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ $EOSE is forming a potential bottom inside the Smart Money Zone. Historically this is where institutions step in to defend structure. Not buying yet. Waiting for the monthly chart to confirm buying pressure before I enter. 3. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)
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      $SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-13 07:00

      $SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing

      Cut losers when your system breaks — no exceptions. Both SoundHound AI Inc. and Snowflake Inc. show the same lesson: once the Monthly BX flips red, macro pressure turns against you. That’s not a dip to buy — it’s risk to avoid. Good trading isn’t about being right, it’s about managing risk. 1. $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Rode $SOUN through a mega rally last year. Sold the rest in January when the MBX flipped red. Stock is down another 50% in 3 months since. Losing trades are part of this. Bag holding is a choice. Stop out when rules break, wait for a clean re-entry. Every time. 2. $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $SNOW is a good example of why the Monthly BX matters. Flipped dark red in January. Down almost 40% since. Sti
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      $SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-13 06:56

      Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY

      The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just ripped higher over the past two weeks. That move was fueled by optimism around a US and Iran ceasefire and the possibility of broader de-escalation. Once again, the market reminded us how fast it can recover when sentiment shifts. But I'm not trusting this move blindly. There are a few technical concerns that need to be respected before anyone gets comfortable chasing this bounce. The Monthly BX Is Still Dark Red Even after this rally, the Monthly BX has not flipped. It's still dark red. That matters more than most people realize. When macro buying pressure isn't there, rallies can turn into traps. In real bull cycles, dips lead to breakouts. In weaker conditions, bounces lead to rejection. That's the structural differ
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      Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-11 15:13

      $AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands

      Here comes the real test for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Rooting for the bulls to break through this level 🤝 I’m still sitting this one out for now I’m not trying to make money on the next trade. I’m trying to follow my system. The edge comes from consistency, not one setup. Sticking to the system matters more than what happens next. Nothing bad happens from missing a trade. With AMZN, I don’t lose money by sitting this out. I’ve got ~50 positions on and there’s always another opportunity. Worst case, it rips and I miss it. Best case, it pulls back and I get a better entry. Win win for me. Any stock with heavy compression is usually going to underperform with my system MBX doesn’t do well in sideways, low movement environments, and AMZN has been stuck in t
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      $AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-11 15:10

      Profits Taken on $AMD, $NBIS Delivers, $SPY Flashes Trap Signals

      Strong week, profits secured. $AMD targets hit, $NBIS extended higher — but $SPY is now at a bearish zone with macro risk ahead. Focus shifts to protecting gains, not chasing upside. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD target hit 🎯 Locking in profits on calls and shares here. No reason to get greedy into the weekend in case we see a rejection. 2. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $NBIS +40% since our Combined Signal System buy We called this setup last week. Congrats if you took it I passed since I haven’t profited on prior moves this cycle That said, last 2 callouts in 2 months have printed 60%+ 🔥 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPY at a bearish smart money zone into the wee
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      Profits Taken on $AMD, $NBIS Delivers, $SPY Flashes Trap Signals
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-10

      $CROX $PLTR $SPY $AMZN $AMD Mixed Signals as Patience Meets Momentum

      Momentum is building across select names, with $CROX and $AMD delivering strong upside, but overall positioning remains cautious. Key resistance levels and unmet criteria are keeping traders patient on $PLTR, $SPY, and $AMZN. The current environment reflects selective conviction rather than broad risk-on behavior, with many waiting for confirmation before committing to new longs. 1. $Crocs(CROX)$ +17% move up since this post $CROX ✅ $100 is a strong resistance and chance we reject short term here. Once we sweep this in the coming weeks, I’m expecting $120 by June 2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ This is why I’m still not long and remaining patient. Once criteria is finally met, I will go long. Until
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      $CROX $PLTR $SPY $AMZN $AMD Mixed Signals as Patience Meets Momentum
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-09

      Leadership Holds, Breakouts Building | $AMD, $PLUG, $ENPH, $NIO Set the Tone

      Despite mixed macro signals, select names are showing clean structure, strong follow-through, and actionable levels. This is a tape where execution matters more than direction — leaders are separating, and key triggers are clearly defined. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD moving towards our first target of $240-$250 🎯 2. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ PLUG first target hit and +40% move up since February Very thin volume on the VP If we sweep this $2.60 resistance, expect a passive rally up to $3.50 3. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ Pulled right back to $33 and respecting smart money zone $ENPH This is exactly what we want to see from a re-test 😎 4.
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      Leadership Holds, Breakouts Building | $AMD, $PLUG, $ENPH, $NIO Set the Tone
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-09

      Still Long $SPY, But Overhead Supply Raises Trap Risk

      Remaining optimistic but objective $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ My fund is fully long and would only benefit from a push to all-time highs That said both of our bull cycle indicators are still red. Hope for the best, expect the worst Not to mention point of control & smart money zones are sitting right overhead All while Monthly BX is still red on $SPY I’m still fully long, but I’ve rotated out of tech into other sectors Still… this is starting to feel like a trap
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      Still Long $SPY, But Overhead Supply Raises Trap Risk
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-08

      From Bullish to Break Even: TSLA +51% Gains Mostly Reversed

      Let me say this. I genuinely hope this is the bottom for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ . I gain nothing from it falling more. If I miss the move, so be it. Plenty of other setups out there. My ego isn’t tied to being right. Maybe I’m the bottom indicator ❤️ I was loudly bullish TSLA to $550 by end of March 2026 I was wrong ❌ Price ran +51%, then gave most back. I closed the trade and my system is now OFF Tesla. PS: It’s built to catch multi-year breakouts. The long-term system, based on the monthly BX, enters a bull cycle about 50% of the time and typically sees moves of 125% to 250% over a 1–2 year period. It’s about positioning for the bigger cycle. And because of that, if the breakout doesn’t happen, it will naturally exit a bit late. I have no way to f
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      From Bullish to Break Even: TSLA +51% Gains Mostly Reversed
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-08

      Cautious Optimism: SPY After-Hours Rally Tests Technical Limits

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Huge 2% move up for SPY after hours 🚀 Price is now pushing into the Daily and Weekly fair value bands which are both still red. If we are going to see a rejection this is the level where it happens. As we covered in last week's videos if the short term trend flips bullish again and the monthly BX closes a higher low this would confirm the bottom. For now I am staying cautious. Note: I want this to be the bottom for $SPY and $QQQ just as much as anyone. As you all know I do not short and my fund is fully exposed long right now. The market moving back toward all time highs would only help my positions. But I have to stay objective regardless of what I want to happen. The reason I am out of most big tech is simple. Th
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      Cautious Optimism: SPY After-Hours Rally Tests Technical Limits
       
       
       
       

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