PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·01-04 06:52

      LLY& TSLA still look strong and can keep breaking out

      1. $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ LLY still looks strong and can keep breaking out.My system flagged it as a buy back in Oct–Nov with room toward the 1300 area (~30% from there). Up here, the reward vs risk isn’t as attractive.I’d wait for a pullback unless you’re comfortable paying up. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or break time for TSLAOur $440 - $435 support target just hitBuyers need to step in now or things will get uglyMost traders are freaking out about this TSLA pullback. I’m still targeting 560–600 by March… and I want it lower first. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
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      LLY& TSLA still look strong and can keep breaking out
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·01-03 07:58

      Risk Management in Action: $MSFT, $TSLA, BTC & $RKLB

      1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft just flashed the same monthly sell signal that preceded its last 20–30% corrections.I’m not buying MSFT for the next 2–4 months.2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or break time for TSLAOur $440 - $435 support target just hitBuyers need to step in now or things will get ugly3.Bitcoin is knocking on the door of 90K.I’m still expecting a push toward 100K first before any real chance of a deeper selloff shows up.4. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ RKLB +85% in just over a month 😎 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.<
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      Risk Management in Action: $MSFT, $TSLA, BTC & $RKLB
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·01-03 07:53

      Buying Strength, Not Hope: $AVGO / $BABA / $ORCL

      1. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ AVGO is down 16% in a month, but my data still points to $400–440 by mid‑2026… and I’m not buying this dip.Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle, but the risk/reward isn’t there yet. 2. $Alibaba(BABA)$ Last 3 times this exact setup fired on BABA, it ripped ~80% 🔥We just triggered it again and price has already started to bounce.I break down why this could be the start of the next leg, where I’d expect a pullback first (135 area), and how I’m planning to trade the next 50–80% if it plays out. 3. $Oracle(ORCL)$ We were bullish ORCL at 184 and it popped $10… now my system just flipped to sell. 🚨Monthly BX turned red here – the same signal that prec
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      Buying Strength, Not Hope: $AVGO / $BABA / $ORCL
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·01-01

      Silver Overextended, OKLO at Critical Support

      1. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ SLV / #silver is finally pulling back after flashing “overpriced” for a while.It just tagged the 2x Deviation Band this month – a level that’s historically where I trim profits, not add risk (think 2011 behavior).I wouldn’t short silver, but I’d be taking profits here, and I definitely wouldn’t be a new buyer at this stage of the cycle. 2. $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ If OKLO is going to bounce, it’s here or nowhere.Price is sitting on a 451M share THT Volume Pro support shelf with Monthly BX still green (bull cycle intact).Big volume. Bull cycle. Clean level. This is the spot where serious buyers either show up… or the thesis dies. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enj
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      Silver Overextended, OKLO at Critical Support
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·01-01

      TSLA Near Major Support as Traders Panic

      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Most traders are freaking out about this TSLA pullback. I’m still targeting 560–600 by March… and I want it lower first.There’s a 3B‑share support block between $430– $450 where I expect the real bounce.Video update dropping after the bell, but I’m expecting TSLA to bounce soon.There’s a major THT Volume Pro support block sitting in the 440–450 zone. If buyers are going to step in, that’s where I expect them to show up.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibi
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      TSLA Near Major Support as Traders Panic
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·2025-12-31

      SLV, GLD, HOOD: Bull Cycles Running Hot, Avoid Entry

      1. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ I would NOT be buying #silver / $SLV / $Global X Silver Miners ETF(SIL)$ here.This isn’t “Silver is about to crash.” It’s “you’re massively overpaying.”Monthly BX has been in a bull cycle since March 2024 and $SLV is now +190%, trading well above the 2x deviation bands.Historically that’s where pullbacks show up. 2. $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ GLD is up 117%+ since Monthly BX confirmed a bull cycle in Nov 2023.My model had an expected move to 320 by Dec 2025 – we’re already there, trading at a massive premium.Yes, it’s stayed “expensive” and kept rallying, but I would not be buying here. My goal is to buy strong bull cycles at discounts, and
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      SLV, GLD, HOOD: Bull Cycles Running Hot, Avoid Entry
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·2025-12-31

      Trading by Cycle: BABA (Buy Zone), PYPL (Wait), NBIS (Pullback)

      1. $Alibaba(BABA)$ Last 3 times this setup fired on BABA, it rallied ~80% within months.Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle and price is back in the same weekly buy zone.I like 135–145 as an entry range for a potential 50%+ leg higher. 2. $PayPal(PYPL)$ PYPL has a real shot to be a massive winner in 2026 – but not yet.Price is in a strong discount range, but Monthly BX is still dark red = Bear Cycle ❌I’m staying patient on this one. No position for me until Monthly BX confirms a new bull cycle. 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ NBIS Bull Cycle started in May 2025 and it’s now up 200%+ since that confirmation.Last 2 months it’s sold off 42% and is now testing Weekly Bias = short‑
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      Trading by Cycle: BABA (Buy Zone), PYPL (Wait), NBIS (Pullback)
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·2025-12-30

      Great Stocks, Late Entries: Risk/Reward Check on $PLTR, $MU, $SOFI

      1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR is up 2300% since Monthly BX signaled a bull rally in Feb 2023.The average bull cycle lasts 12–24 months. PLTR is in the late stages now.Every dip so far has been great to buy, but I would not start a new position here. R/R isn’t ideal this late. I’d rather be patient and stalk fresher cycles. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ MU is up 200%+ in 7 months, almost 2x what my model expected.I still think we see $400+ in Q3 2027, but short term this is clearly overpriced.Monthly BX is still strong, but if I were still in, I’d be trimming into Q1 and hoping for a reload sub‑200 rather than chasing here.Congrats if you followed our call out in June 🤝 3.
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      Great Stocks, Late Entries: Risk/Reward Check on $PLTR, $MU, $SOFI
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·2025-12-30

      Hold, Base, Breakout: Reading $AAPL, $SBUX, $OKE Into 2026

      1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL is up 20%+ since Monthly BX triggered a new bull cycle in September. Our model targeted 270 by Jan 2026 and we’re right on track, still pricing in a move toward 325 by July 2026. If I were in, I’d hold. But this is not where I’d start a new position. Short term it’s a bit overpriced. 2. $Starbucks(SBUX)$ SBUX has been compressing for almost 5 years and finally looks ready to release.My model is pricing in roughly a 15% move by June 2026 and about +40% by the end of 2026 if this breakout holds.Long, boring bases often turn into the best trends. 3. $ONEOK Inc(OKE)$ Big year setting up for $OKE in 2026 🚨Monthly BX just confirmed a new bull cycle
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      Hold, Base, Breakout: Reading $AAPL, $SBUX, $OKE Into 2026
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·2025-12-30

      Why Losing $93K on $JD Wasn’t a Mistake

      Lost $93,000 on $JD.com(JD)$ this year following an A+ setup. ❌Monthly BX had just triggered a new bull cycle (55% win rate, 12–15 month rallies on average) and a whale bought 300k worth of Jan 2026 40C. I took the same calls, sized correctly… and they went basically to zero.If I had traded shares, I would’ve only lost ~15% when our exit criteria hit in December. The options amplified the loss, but here’s the key point:I lost $93K and I did not do anything wrong.-The setup met my rules.-Position sizing was correct.-I sold when the system said sell.-A+ setups fail. Whales are wrong. That’s part of trading any real system.-You’re only “wrong” when you:-Oversize-Ignore your exit criteria-Double down out of ego-Bag hold and pray-The moral:Losing money ≠
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      Why Losing $93K on $JD Wasn’t a Mistake
       
       
       
       

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