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KSHoSG

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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-11-03
  [Thinking]
  Singapore Stocks to Watch: DBS, CLI, NetLink, The Hour Glass, Nanofilm Tech, SMG
  The following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Thursday
  Singapore Stocks to Watch: DBS, CLI, NetLink, The Hour Glass, Nanofilm Tech, SMG
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-11-02
  [Thinking]
  The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near
  The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. Th
  The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near
  3.09K 1
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-10-14
  [Thinking]
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
  2.42K Comment
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-10-11
  [Thinking]
  Alphabet Stock: Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Intact
  Story HighlightsAlphabet stock has lost substantial value due to the moderation in ad growth and tou
  Alphabet Stock: Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Intact
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-10-11
  [Thinking]
  The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over
  SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.
  The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-10-09
  [Thinking]
  1.85K Comment
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-09-12
  [Thinking]
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
  2.84K Comment
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-08-18
  [Thinking]
  U.S. Stock Futures Edge Up Ahead of Jobs Data
  Federal Reserve meeting minutes Wednesday showed the central bank sees risks in both raising interes
  U.S. Stock Futures Edge Up Ahead of Jobs Data
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-08-11
  [Thinking]
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KSHoSGKSHoSG
  ·2022-08-05
  [Thinking]
  Coinbase Has Rallied 90% This Week. It Could Be Another GameStop Moment
  Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder, CoinbaseShares in beaten-down cryptocurrency exchan
  Coinbase Has Rallied 90% This Week. It Could Be Another GameStop Moment
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stable fee income.</p><p>DBS’ net profit for the three months ended September stood at S$2.24 billion, beating a S$1.87 billion consensus forecast in a Bloomberg survey of four analysts.</p><p>The results translate to an earnings per share of S$3.41, compared with S$2.58 in the year-ago period. Total income for the quarter came in at S$4.54 billion, 28 per cent higher than the previous year.</p><p><b>CapitaLand Investment Limited </b>(CLI) has established two new onshore RMB funds to invest in business park opportunities in China. These are CLI’s first business park private funds in the country.</p><p>The first, China Business Park Core RMB Fund I (CBPCF I), is a RMB380 million ($76 million) fund that was established with four domestic investors.</p><p>CBPCF II, the second fund, is a RMB3.6 billion fund that was established with six domestic investors.</p><p><b>Fibre network infrastructure provider NetLink NBN Trust</b> on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 36.1 per cent jump in net profit to S$54.6 million for the half year ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.</p><p>The jump in net profit came despite a slower 6.2 per cent rise in revenue to S$199.6 million in H1, compared to the year-ago period, NetLink’s interim financial statements showed. This was due to significantly lower operating expenses in H1, the company noted. In H1 FY22, there was a S$12.4 million remeasurement loss due to change in rental rates upon the renewal of its central office lease agreements.</p><p>Luxury watch retailer <b>The Hour Glass </b>on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 35 per cent jump in net profit for the six months ended Sep 30 to S$84.6 million, compared with the same period last year.</p><p>Revenue rose 18 per cent in the half year to S$555.5 million, compared with the year-ago period, the mainboard-listed company’s interim financial statement showed.</p><p>Costs and expenses also increased by 15 per cent to S$466.7 million in H1. The company noted that the higher operating expenses were due to increased staff costs, rental expenses and advertising and promotion activities.</p><p><b>Nanofilm Technologies</b>, which specialises in advanced materials and coatings, on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a revenue growth of 10 per cent for the nine months ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.</p><p>This is despite the challenging operating environment resulting from macroeconomic headwinds, supply-chain disruptions and a slowdown in customers’ capital investment, the mainboard-listed company said in exchange filings.</p><p>Dr Beng Teck Liang, who is leading a takeover offer of <b>Singapore Medical Group</b>, has raised the offer price to 40 cents from the original 37 cents.</p><p>The offer, by Beng, SMG’s CEO and other individuals, was first announced on September 13, adding SMG to the list of SGX-listed companies that are being privatised, or have done so.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stocks to Watch: DBS, CLI, NetLink, The Hour Glass, Nanofilm Tech, SMG</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stocks to Watch: DBS, CLI, NetLink, The Hour Glass, Nanofilm Tech, SMG\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-03 08:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Thursday (Nov 3):</p><p><b>DBS</b> on Thursday (Nov 3) reported a 32 per cent year-on-year rise in net profit for the third quarter, buoyed by higher net interest margins, healthy loan momentum and a stable fee income.</p><p>DBS’ net profit for the three months ended September stood at S$2.24 billion, beating a S$1.87 billion consensus forecast in a Bloomberg survey of four analysts.</p><p>The results translate to an earnings per share of S$3.41, compared with S$2.58 in the year-ago period. Total income for the quarter came in at S$4.54 billion, 28 per cent higher than the previous year.</p><p><b>CapitaLand Investment Limited </b>(CLI) has established two new onshore RMB funds to invest in business park opportunities in China. These are CLI’s first business park private funds in the country.</p><p>The first, China Business Park Core RMB Fund I (CBPCF I), is a RMB380 million ($76 million) fund that was established with four domestic investors.</p><p>CBPCF II, the second fund, is a RMB3.6 billion fund that was established with six domestic investors.</p><p><b>Fibre network infrastructure provider NetLink NBN Trust</b> on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 36.1 per cent jump in net profit to S$54.6 million for the half year ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.</p><p>The jump in net profit came despite a slower 6.2 per cent rise in revenue to S$199.6 million in H1, compared to the year-ago period, NetLink’s interim financial statements showed. This was due to significantly lower operating expenses in H1, the company noted. In H1 FY22, there was a S$12.4 million remeasurement loss due to change in rental rates upon the renewal of its central office lease agreements.</p><p>Luxury watch retailer <b>The Hour Glass </b>on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 35 per cent jump in net profit for the six months ended Sep 30 to S$84.6 million, compared with the same period last year.</p><p>Revenue rose 18 per cent in the half year to S$555.5 million, compared with the year-ago period, the mainboard-listed company’s interim financial statement showed.</p><p>Costs and expenses also increased by 15 per cent to S$466.7 million in H1. The company noted that the higher operating expenses were due to increased staff costs, rental expenses and advertising and promotion activities.</p><p><b>Nanofilm Technologies</b>, which specialises in advanced materials and coatings, on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a revenue growth of 10 per cent for the nine months ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.</p><p>This is despite the challenging operating environment resulting from macroeconomic headwinds, supply-chain disruptions and a slowdown in customers’ capital investment, the mainboard-listed company said in exchange filings.</p><p>Dr Beng Teck Liang, who is leading a takeover offer of <b>Singapore Medical Group</b>, has raised the offer price to 40 cents from the original 37 cents.</p><p>The offer, by Beng, SMG’s CEO and other individuals, was first announced on September 13, adding SMG to the list of SGX-listed companies that are being privatised, or have done so.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"9CI.SI":"凯德投资","D05.SI":"星展集团控股","CJLU.SI":"网联宽频信托","MZH.SI":"Nanofilm","AGS.SI":"欧佳时","S08.SI":"新邮政"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131381610","content_text":"The following companies saw new developments that may affect trading of their securities on Thursday (Nov 3):DBS on Thursday (Nov 3) reported a 32 per cent year-on-year rise in net profit for the third quarter, buoyed by higher net interest margins, healthy loan momentum and a stable fee income.DBS’ net profit for the three months ended September stood at S$2.24 billion, beating a S$1.87 billion consensus forecast in a Bloomberg survey of four analysts.The results translate to an earnings per share of S$3.41, compared with S$2.58 in the year-ago period. Total income for the quarter came in at S$4.54 billion, 28 per cent higher than the previous year.CapitaLand Investment Limited (CLI) has established two new onshore RMB funds to invest in business park opportunities in China. These are CLI’s first business park private funds in the country.The first, China Business Park Core RMB Fund I (CBPCF I), is a RMB380 million ($76 million) fund that was established with four domestic investors.CBPCF II, the second fund, is a RMB3.6 billion fund that was established with six domestic investors.Fibre network infrastructure provider NetLink NBN Trust on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 36.1 per cent jump in net profit to S$54.6 million for the half year ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.The jump in net profit came despite a slower 6.2 per cent rise in revenue to S$199.6 million in H1, compared to the year-ago period, NetLink’s interim financial statements showed. This was due to significantly lower operating expenses in H1, the company noted. In H1 FY22, there was a S$12.4 million remeasurement loss due to change in rental rates upon the renewal of its central office lease agreements.Luxury watch retailer The Hour Glass on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a 35 per cent jump in net profit for the six months ended Sep 30 to S$84.6 million, compared with the same period last year.Revenue rose 18 per cent in the half year to S$555.5 million, compared with the year-ago period, the mainboard-listed company’s interim financial statement showed.Costs and expenses also increased by 15 per cent to S$466.7 million in H1. The company noted that the higher operating expenses were due to increased staff costs, rental expenses and advertising and promotion activities.Nanofilm Technologies, which specialises in advanced materials and coatings, on Wednesday (Nov 2) reported a revenue growth of 10 per cent for the nine months ended Sep 30, compared to the same period last year.This is despite the challenging operating environment resulting from macroeconomic headwinds, supply-chain disruptions and a slowdown in customers’ capital investment, the mainboard-listed company said in exchange filings.Dr Beng Teck Liang, who is leading a takeover offer of Singapore Medical Group, has raised the offer price to 40 cents from the original 37 cents.The offer, by Beng, SMG’s CEO and other individuals, was first announced on September 13, adding SMG to the list of SGX-listed companies that are being privatised, or have done so.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"9CI.SI":0.9,"5OT.SI":0.9,"MZH.SI":0.9,"CJLU.SI":0.9,"AGS.SI":0.9,"D05.SI":0.9,"S08.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985685874,"gmtCreate":1667374424498,"gmtModify":1676537907294,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985685874","repostId":"1179075819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179075819","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667367390,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179075819?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179075819","media":"Barron's","summary":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.</p><p>Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.</p><p>There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.</p><p>“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.</p><p>Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.</p><p>Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.</p><p>All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.</p><p>A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”</p><p>“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”</p><p>Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.</p><p>So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.</p><p>“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”</p><p>The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.</p><p>Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed’s Next Big Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 13:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/the-feds-next-big-rate-hike-is-coming-why-powell-wont-say-the-end-is-near-51667341692?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179075819","content_text":"The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference. Markets won’t get their much-anticipated all-clear signal from the Fed.Futures markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a fed-funds rate target range of 3.75% to 4.00% after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which began on Tuesday. That would mean the sixth rate hike of 2022 and fourth-straight 0.75 percentage-point bump. The committee’s policy statement is out at 2 p.m. ET and Powell speaks at 2:30 p.m. ET.There is reason to believe the Fed is much closer to the end of its hiking cycle than the beginning. Just don’t expect Powell to say as much.“The Fed’s best hand is to hike [0.75 percentage point] and otherwise zip it,” writes Richard Farr, chief market strategist at Merion Capital Group.Several indicators of economic activity have slowed over the past year, particularly in interest-rate sensitive areas of the economy such as housing. Economies abroad are in tougher shape. The labor market is a key holdout in the U.S.: The unemployment rate is at 3.5% and jobs and wages are still growing. The so-called wage-price spiral is helping to keep core inflation uncomfortably high, up 8.2% in the year through September.Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a peak, or terminal, rate of 5.00% to 5.25% sometime in the first half of 2023, then a decline by the end of next year. Investors and traders have been fixated lately on the prospects of a “Fed pivot,” or the moment when the central bank moves its stance from tightening to loosening policy, or at least pausing hikes and holding rates steady for some time.All fall long, risk assets have rallied in unison on days when the collective mood leaned toward a closer pivot, and sold off on the reverse days. Part of the Fed’s dilemma is that monetary policy works with “long and variable lags,” in the words of Milton Friedman. That means that it will take time for higher interest rates to affect the real economy and damp inflation, and it might make sense to slow or stop rate hikes before inflation is anywhere near a comfortable level.A sign that FOMC members see a looming end to rate hikes could come in the policy statement. Watch for an alternation or removal of the line from the prior statement that says the committee “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate.”“They are working hard to ensure that inflationary psychology is routed,” writes John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management. “Not just one negative data point, but a string of such over a period of months is required for a change in the Fed stance from its current data-dependent, but generally hawkish bias, to something a bit more neutral.”Any indication of such a shift in Fed policy will be interpreted by the market as dovish, prompting rallies in stocks and bonds. A bond rally would push down yields and make financial conditions easier, working against the Fed’s tightening and inflation fight.So, expect Powell to remain hawkish in his remarks on Wednesday, even if the chairman believes that a pivot or pause may soon be warranted.“The problem is the moment he relinquishes this hawkish stance—the moment he utters anything remotely resembling a dovish word—is the moment financial conditions ease far more than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks,” writes RBC Capital Markets chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli. “As much as we think this hiking cycle is virtually over and should be over, we just don’t see how there is any incentive for him to suggest as much right now given the financial conditions consideration.”The opposite risk of over-tightening also exists. Inflation needs to come down, and it may cost a recession to get there. The longer the Fed keeps rates higher, the lower the return investors can expect from many asset classes.Officials will get a look at two months of employment and Consumer Price Index readings before the FOMC next meets in December. Those could go a long way toward determining the details of the central bank’s next moves. For now, however, the message will remain “we still have work to do.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SGXZ80611742":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980240034,"gmtCreate":1665752471829,"gmtModify":1676537659854,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980240034","repostId":"1116627256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917339326,"gmtCreate":1665441025865,"gmtModify":1676537604618,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917339326","repostId":"1186797880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186797880","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665412776,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186797880?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-10 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Stock: Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Intact","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186797880","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story HighlightsAlphabet stock has lost substantial value due to the moderation in ad growth and tou","content":"<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAlphabet stock has lost substantial value due to the moderation in ad growth and tough comparisons. However, the Monness analyst is bullish about its long-term prospects.Alphabet (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-nasdaqgoogl-stock-long-term-fundamentals-remain-intact\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Stock: Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Intact</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Stock: Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Intact\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 22:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-nasdaqgoogl-stock-long-term-fundamentals-remain-intact><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story HighlightsAlphabet stock has lost substantial value due to the moderation in ad growth and tough comparisons. However, the Monness analyst is bullish about its long-term prospects.Alphabet (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-nasdaqgoogl-stock-long-term-fundamentals-remain-intact\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/alphabet-nasdaqgoogl-stock-long-term-fundamentals-remain-intact","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186797880","content_text":"Story HighlightsAlphabet stock has lost substantial value due to the moderation in ad growth and tough comparisons. However, the Monness analyst is bullish about its long-term prospects.Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL)(NASDAQ: GOOG) stock lost considerable value this year. The tough year-over-year comparisons, currency headwinds, and moderation in ad growth remained a drag. However, Monness analyst Brian White maintains a Buy recommendation on GOOGL stock as the company’s long-term fundamentals remain intact. Moreover, his price target of $145 represents 46.9% upside potential.White said that the internet giant is poised to gain from “long-term digital ad trend.” Further, the “shift of workloads to the cloud and benefit from digital transformation” will accelerate its growth.Alphabet’s continued investments in AI (artificial intelligence), cloud, and search provide a solid base for long-term growth. Meanwhile, growing deal volume in the cloud business and large addressable market will support its growth.While Alphabet’s long-term prospects remain solid, White is skeptical about regulatory headwinds. For instance, TipRanks’ data shows that GOOGL stock’s legal & regulatory risks account for 22.6% of its total risks. Further, its legal & regulatory risks are higher than the sector average of 20.2%.Is Google a Buy, Hold, or Sell?On TipRanks, Alphabet stock commands a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 30 Buy and two Hold recommendations. Further, analysts’ average price target of $142.16 implies 44.1% upside potential.While analysts are bullish about GOOGL’s prospects, hedge funds have a negative outlook. Hedge funds sold 132.1M GOOGL stock last quarter. Further, Alphabet stock has a Neutral Smart Score of six out of 10 on TipRanks.Bottom LineThe ongoing macro headwinds impacting advertising spending, adverse currency movement, and pressure on near-term earnings could restrict the upside in GOOGL stock. However, momentum in its cloud business, strength in google search, digital transformation, growing engagement in short-form YouTube videos, and recovery in ad spending will support its long-term growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917330344,"gmtCreate":1665440917888,"gmtModify":1676537604594,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917330344","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129204631","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665415321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129204631?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-10 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129204631","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.</li><li>However, that doesn&#39;t mean it will be the bottom.</li><li>Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.</li></ul><p>The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.</p><p>The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&amp;P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a5b3b87d56cd4bd4441ffe78d7917b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>An October New Low?</b></p><p>From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.</p><p>It&#39;s All About Rates</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn&#39;t see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe9b42330ab57d8cb7fcad9ad287b66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Since 2014, the average spread between the S&amp;P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716b902ff03171d3d6501fc54cd5e4ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Another 9% Decline?</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&amp;P 500 back to a historically average fair value.</p><p>With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&amp;P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e039fb8224601f45af66fa8d842e51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&amp;P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.</p><p>Rate Cuts?</p><p>Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446920a17ef8c631f042c4e6c66a83c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebdd77840eddc274c550c53a8b6d962\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37e7dfd2cd888c6f32ea805482bc8b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>In this case, Friday&#39;s job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.</p><p>If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren&#39;t finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129204631","content_text":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.BloombergAn October New Low?From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.It's All About RatesThe S&P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn't see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.BloombergSince 2014, the average spread between the S&P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.BloombergAnother 9% Decline?The S&P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&P 500 back to a historically average fair value.With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.BloombergWhat will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.Rate Cuts?Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.BloombergAs the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.BloombergMeanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.BloombergIn this case, Friday's job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren't finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914567147,"gmtCreate":1665321118490,"gmtModify":1676537587345,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914567147","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932599299,"gmtCreate":1662951700212,"gmtModify":1676537170372,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932599299","repostId":"1103698697","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991698998,"gmtCreate":1660821617518,"gmtModify":1676536405212,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991698998","repostId":"1134876839","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134876839","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660819367,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134876839?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-18 18:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Futures Edge Up Ahead of Jobs Data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134876839","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Federal Reserve meeting minutes Wednesday showed the central bank sees risks in both raising interes","content":"<div>\n<p>Federal Reserve meeting minutes Wednesday showed the central bank sees risks in both raising interest rates too high and not high enoughU.S. stock futures nudged higher as investors awaited data on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-08-18-2022-11660817791?page=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Futures Edge Up Ahead of Jobs Data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Futures Edge Up Ahead of Jobs Data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 18:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-08-18-2022-11660817791?page=1><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Federal Reserve meeting minutes Wednesday showed the central bank sees risks in both raising interest rates too high and not high enoughU.S. stock futures nudged higher as investors awaited data on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-08-18-2022-11660817791?page=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","VIX":"标普500波动率指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-08-18-2022-11660817791?page=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134876839","content_text":"Federal Reserve meeting minutes Wednesday showed the central bank sees risks in both raising interest rates too high and not high enoughU.S. stock futures nudged higher as investors awaited data on the labor and housing markets and mulled meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve that showed officials could cool the pace of interest-rate increases.Futures tied to the S&P 500 on Thursday added 0.2% a day after the broad index halted a three-day rally. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.1% and technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 futures also edged up 0.1%.VIX, rose 1.2% and VIXmain fell 0.1% separately.Gold rose 0.4% and stood at $1783.Stock indexes have climbed in recent weeks on signs that inflation was moderating and hopes that the Fed would ease off from its aggressive campaign of rate rises.The rally—which had pushed the S&P 500 to its highest level since April—showed signs of easing after minutes from the Fed’s July meeting indicated policy makers are still willing to raise rates more than currently anticipated if inflation fails to abate. Still, officials said they would be cautious, acknowledging the risk that too much monetary policy tightening could cause economic pain.“Sentiment has become a lot less negative but I’d be reluctant to say things are bullish. We still have a lot of constraints, lots of uncertainty, and a profits recession is coming,” said Joe Little, global chief strategist at HSBC Asset Management. “There is still a narrow pathway toward a ‘soft landing’ but it is getting harder and harder to achieve.”Bed Bath & Beyond fell 13.6% in premarket trading after investor Ryan Cohen filed to sell his stake in the company. The premarket losses reverse some of the stock’s recent, frenzied gains driven by individual investors in moves reminiscent of last year’s meme stock craze.Later in the day, data on initial jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, are expected to have risen, continuing a slow trend upward. Existing home sales data are expected to show a further cooling of the U.S. housing market as mortgage rates weigh on sales.The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was little changed at 2.890% from 2.894% on Wednesday. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.In commodity markets, Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose 1.4% to $94.97 a barrel, easings its decline for the month to less than 10%. The prospect of weakening demand and additional supplies have dragged on crude prices in recent weeks. Gold prices edged up 0.1%.Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 edged up 0.1%. Dutch payments processor Adyen slumped 11% after reporting higher costs and revenue that missed analysts’ forecasts.In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declined 0.8% and the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907293083,"gmtCreate":1660191465445,"gmtModify":1703478961234,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907293083","repostId":"2240454191","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902850424,"gmtCreate":1659673032670,"gmtModify":1705053938220,"author":{"id":"3575616552570301","authorId":"3575616552570301","name":"KSHoSG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e9c60ddd65dd7dca218423e8951ee3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575616552570301","idStr":"3575616552570301"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902850424","repostId":"1161086620","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161086620","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659667266,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161086620?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-05 10:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase Has Rallied 90% This Week. It Could Be Another GameStop Moment","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161086620","media":"barron's","summary":"Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder, CoinbaseShares in beaten-down cryptocurrency exchan","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04c03c857f81ef5d474d684c393db99b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"426\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder, Coinbase</span></p><p>Shares in beaten-down cryptocurrency exchangeCoinbase Globalhave torn higher this week. Investors are likely witnessing a “short squeeze” that is driving the stock higher — similar toGameStop’seye-popping stock rocket during the “meme stock” trading frenzy of early 2021.</p><p>Coinbase (ticker: COIN) opened at $60.96 a share on Monday and traded above $116 at points early Thursday, a staggering rally of 90%. The move higher has largely come from price action on Wednesday, when the stock jumped 20%, and Thursday, with the shares last up another 18%.</p><p>Much like other companies exposed to digital assets, Coinbase stock has proved to belargely correlated to swings in Bitcoin— and gains seen in recent weeks do match a rise in the price ofBitcoin,whichclimbed almost 20% in Julyfor its best month all year.</p><p>But Coinbase’s recent advances have now become completely divorced from fundamentals, said Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities.</p><p>The rally on Wednesday happened “for no good reason,” Dolev said.</p><p>Analysis of the average daily volume on Coinbase’s network — some $1.8 billion— revealed little substantial change from July levels, Dolev added. There was no substantial or sharp change to challengethe “crypto winter” narrativethat the digital asset space is in a prolonged slump.</p><p>Daily volumes arekey to Coinbase fundamentalsbecause the company largely makes money for trading fees it charges customers, and a slowdown in trading volume this year has exacerbated pressures on the stock.</p><p>Thursday’s continuation of the ride higher makes sense but just by a little more. There was some news to spur a spike in the shares.</p><p>Asset management giantBlackRock(BLK) and Coinbase are partnering to make crypto services available tomutual institutional investor clients, covering trading, prime brokerage, and custody solutions, initially for Bitcoin.</p><p>It’s good news, but not a huge deal. While the partnership is an endorsement of the exchange by one of Wall Street’s most influential players, it does not represent incremental revenue, since services will only be available to existing Coinbase clients.</p><p>“Fundamentally, nothing really changed,” Dolev said.</p><p>That leaves technical factors in the market that would be driving the shares higher.Enter the short squeeze.</p><p>Short positions are bets that a stock will fall and involve investors borrowing shares and selling them with the intention of buying the stock back at a lower price. But this strategy can backfire dramatically if the stock moves up, not down. Traders with short positions may have to “cover their shorts,” which involves buying back the stock at an unfavorably high price, taking a loss on their bets and adding buying pressure into an already upward-trending market.</p><p>En masse, this phenomenon can create what is known as a “short squeeze,” which is when a significant volume of short-covering drives the share price relentlessly higher. Short squeezesplayed an influential rolein the “meme stock” frenzy of early 2021, when stocks likeGameStop(GME) andAMC(AMC) made wild intraday moves and notched triple-digit gains in days.</p><p>Coinbase stock remains down more than 60% so far this year even after the recent rally, and may have been an attractive target for short-sellers. Indeed, 24% of Coinbase’s shares have been sold short, which is much, much higher than is typical, according to Mizuho, which cited the latest Bloomberg data.</p><p>“I think what happened is there’s been a lot of people on the buy side who are betting against the stock — are short it,” Dolev said. “When there’s a shiny headline like this, it creates a very significant short squeeze, especially in this kind of environment. So that explains the move today.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase Has Rallied 90% This Week. It Could Be Another GameStop Moment</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase Has Rallied 90% This Week. It Could Be Another GameStop Moment\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-05 10:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/coinbase-stock-rally-bitcoin-short-squeeze-51659625476?mod=search_headline><strong>barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder, CoinbaseShares in beaten-down cryptocurrency exchangeCoinbase Globalhave torn higher this week. Investors are likely witnessing a “short squeeze” that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/coinbase-stock-rally-bitcoin-short-squeeze-51659625476?mod=search_headline\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/coinbase-stock-rally-bitcoin-short-squeeze-51659625476?mod=search_headline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161086620","content_text":"Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder, CoinbaseShares in beaten-down cryptocurrency exchangeCoinbase Globalhave torn higher this week. Investors are likely witnessing a “short squeeze” that is driving the stock higher — similar toGameStop’seye-popping stock rocket during the “meme stock” trading frenzy of early 2021.Coinbase (ticker: COIN) opened at $60.96 a share on Monday and traded above $116 at points early Thursday, a staggering rally of 90%. The move higher has largely come from price action on Wednesday, when the stock jumped 20%, and Thursday, with the shares last up another 18%.Much like other companies exposed to digital assets, Coinbase stock has proved to belargely correlated to swings in Bitcoin— and gains seen in recent weeks do match a rise in the price ofBitcoin,whichclimbed almost 20% in Julyfor its best month all year.But Coinbase’s recent advances have now become completely divorced from fundamentals, said Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities.The rally on Wednesday happened “for no good reason,” Dolev said.Analysis of the average daily volume on Coinbase’s network — some $1.8 billion— revealed little substantial change from July levels, Dolev added. There was no substantial or sharp change to challengethe “crypto winter” narrativethat the digital asset space is in a prolonged slump.Daily volumes arekey to Coinbase fundamentalsbecause the company largely makes money for trading fees it charges customers, and a slowdown in trading volume this year has exacerbated pressures on the stock.Thursday’s continuation of the ride higher makes sense but just by a little more. There was some news to spur a spike in the shares.Asset management giantBlackRock(BLK) and Coinbase are partnering to make crypto services available tomutual institutional investor clients, covering trading, prime brokerage, and custody solutions, initially for Bitcoin.It’s good news, but not a huge deal. While the partnership is an endorsement of the exchange by one of Wall Street’s most influential players, it does not represent incremental revenue, since services will only be available to existing Coinbase clients.“Fundamentally, nothing really changed,” Dolev said.That leaves technical factors in the market that would be driving the shares higher.Enter the short squeeze.Short positions are bets that a stock will fall and involve investors borrowing shares and selling them with the intention of buying the stock back at a lower price. But this strategy can backfire dramatically if the stock moves up, not down. Traders with short positions may have to “cover their shorts,” which involves buying back the stock at an unfavorably high price, taking a loss on their bets and adding buying pressure into an already upward-trending market.En masse, this phenomenon can create what is known as a “short squeeze,” which is when a significant volume of short-covering drives the share price relentlessly higher. Short squeezesplayed an influential rolein the “meme stock” frenzy of early 2021, when stocks likeGameStop(GME) andAMC(AMC) made wild intraday moves and notched triple-digit gains in days.Coinbase stock remains down more than 60% so far this year even after the recent rally, and may have been an attractive target for short-sellers. Indeed, 24% of Coinbase’s shares have been sold short, which is much, much higher than is typical, according to Mizuho, which cited the latest Bloomberg data.“I think what happened is there’s been a lot of people on the buy side who are betting against the stock — are short it,” Dolev said. “When there’s a shiny headline like this, it creates a very significant short squeeze, especially in this kind of environment. So that explains the move today.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}