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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-09
[Comfort]
7 Stocks to Avoid in a Recession
While economic downturns bring opportunities for discount divers, it might be better to avoid these
7 Stocks to Avoid in a Recession
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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-09
[Comfort]
The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market
SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 20
The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market
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T7822
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2022-08-08
[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Comfort]
Palantir, Disney, Coinbase, BioNTech, Rivian, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
Second-quarter earnings season continues this week, while a pair of July inflation figures and consu
Palantir, Disney, Coinbase, BioNTech, Rivian, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-07
To the moon
TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week
Tesla's(TSLA) highly awaited shareholder meeting is in the books.Investors voted to approve the prop
TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week
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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-07
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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-07
[Call] [Call] [Call]
Better Buy: iShares S&P Core 500 Small Cap ETF or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF?
Would you be better off with a small-cap ETF or a large-cap ETF in your portfolio?
Better Buy: iShares S&P Core 500 Small Cap ETF or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF?
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T7822
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2022-08-07
[Call] [Call] [Call]
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T7822
T7822
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2022-08-02
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Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful
SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a
Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful
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T7822
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2022-08-01
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CGS-CIMB Initiates "Add" on Grab With TP of US$3.60
CGS-CIMB Research analysts Ong Khang Chuen and Kenneth Tan have initiated coverage on Grab with an “
CGS-CIMB Initiates "Add" on Grab With TP of US$3.60
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T7822
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2022-08-01
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Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 23:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/stocks-to-avoid-in-a-recession/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While economic downturns bring opportunities for discount divers, it might be better to avoid these stocks in a recession.Toll Brothers(TOL): Since big-ticket items are usually out of the question ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/stocks-to-avoid-in-a-recession/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TOL":"托尔兄弟","RUTH":"鲁斯集团","LIND":"Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc","M":"梅西百货","VRM":"Vroom, Inc.","Z":"Zillow","SIG":"西格内特珠宝"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/stocks-to-avoid-in-a-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179326728","content_text":"While economic downturns bring opportunities for discount divers, it might be better to avoid these stocks in a recession.Toll Brothers(TOL): Since big-ticket items are usually out of the question during recessions, homebuilding firm Toll Brothers would be incredibly suspect.Zillow(Z,ZG): With rising interest rates pressuring would-be homebuyers, now’s not the time to consider Zillow.Vroom(VRM): Although cars represent a necessity, Vroom’s premium on its delivery services makes VRM one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Signet Jewelers(SIG): With some evidence correlating economic downturns with reduced marriages, Signet Jewelers may be one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Macy’s(M): As inflation forces households to focus their spending on the essentials, department store giant Macy’s faces an uphill battle.Ruth’s Hospitality Group(RUTH): Economic downturns pose huge challenges for premium restaurants, hurting prospects for Ruth’s Hospitality Group.Lindblad Expeditions(LIND): With money tight during a recession, fewer people will seek exotic vacations, thus challenging Lindblad Expeditions.With recent indicators suggesting that the U.S. is in the middle of a downturn, interest regarding stocks to avoid in a recession has naturally picked up. Though contrarianism is an exciting concept, in many cases, it’s better not to fight the tape. Here, large-scale fundamentals along with common sense are your best friends.During the second quarter, the U.S. economy shrank by 0.9%, representing the second consecutive quarter where the economy has contracted. During Q1, the gross domestic product decreased at an annualized rate of 1.6%. Interestingly, while many analysts regard two quarters of back-to-back red ink as a recessionary slump, it’s not an official definition. Nevertheless, investors need to pay attention to the worst stocks to buy in a recession.While the non-profit, non-partisan National Bureau of Economic Research will make the official determination of a recession, investors shouldn’t wait for such confirmation. Instead, it’s best to think about protecting your portfolio right now. To help strategize your next moves, take some pieces off the board by being cognizant of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Stocks to Avoid in a Recession: Toll Brothers (TOL)One of the easiest names to identify as a stock to avoid in a recession is homebuilding specialist Toll Brothers(NYSE:TOL). While people with means saw real estate as an intuitive opportunity last year during a monetary ecosystem of low interest rates, this year, the Federal Reserve’s commitment to attacking inflation with raised borrowing costs bodes poorly for TOL and similar investments.The cancellation rate among homebuilders reach 14.5% in June, implying a growing number of people concerned about higher interest rates and the impact they could have on economic viability. As if that news wasn’t bad enough, pending home sales slipped 20%in June versus a year earlier as soaring mortgage rates began taking a toll on Toll Brothers.While shares have moved up slightly in the trailing month, the momentum could be largely based on misguided contrarian trading. Fundamentally, higher borrowing costs don’t provide a favorable backdrop for homebuilders, making TOL one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Zillow (Z, ZG)Although one of the beneficiaries of the initial dynamics associated with Covid-19, Zillow(NASDAQ:Z, NASDAQ:ZG) – a technology-driven real estate marketplace firm – is now an embattled organization. On a year-to-date basis, shares of the company’s Class C stock slipped 45%. Zillow’s Class A shares didn’t fare much better, down over 43% during the same period.As with Toll Brothers above, the headwinds of higher interest rates and concerns about underlying economic stability represent major distractions for Zillow. Recently, the Federal Reserve lifted the benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points, essentially exacerbating the affordability crisis for prospective homebuyers. In addition, sellers who rushed into the arena may be stubborn about lowering prices, considering that they heard so many stories about buyers bidding up prices well above asking last year.In addition, the increasing number of layoffs– especially in the tech sector – suggests that even folks who have the money to participate in real estate are going to back off. If the economy stumbles, there will be better discounts to be had. Thus, Zillow is one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Stocks to Avoid in a Recession: Vroom (VRM)During any period of economic pressure, purchases toward big-ticket items – homes, cars, boats – are incredibly suspect for obvious reasons. With money harder to come by during deflationary cycles, it’s irresponsible to open your wallet to an unnecessary magnitude. Therefore, this dynamic hurts the case for online used-car retailer Vroom(NASDAQ:VRM).On the other hand, people need cars. According to data cited by the World Economic Forum,76% of American commuters use their personal vehicles to move between home and work, making it the most popular mode of transportation in the U.S. By logical deduction, if the majority of employers recall their workers back to the office, demand for car wills likely increase.Therefore, I see both sides of the issue when it comes to the used-car segment. However, VRM is probably one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession because the underlying company must charge a premium for the convenience of delivery services. It’s one cost structure that traditional dealerships don’t have to bother with, making Vroom unfortunately uncompetitive.Signet Jewelers (SIG)Emblematic of the human desire for connection and socialization,Signet Jewelers(NYSE:SIG) may be an ideal choice for investors when underlying circumstances are bullish. Billed as the world’s largest retailer of diamond jewelry, Signet operates under various brands, like Kay Jewelers, Zales and Jared. When people feel good about their finances, they may be more inclined to pop the question to their future life partners.But what happens when economic circumstances sour? It’s a complicated issue. Some evidence indicates that as recessions materialize, both divorces and marriage proposals decline, eventually rising when the good times return. However, when it comes to divorces, recessions can both increase breakups due to rising stress and reduce them through exacerbating cost barriers.Again, it’s a complicated backdrop. But in my estimation, recessions aren’t great for family planning-related endeavors. Therefore, I would have to peg SIG as one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Stocks to Avoid in a Recession: Macy’s (M)Based on the available evidence, department store icon Macy’s(NYSE:M) is sadly one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession. Perhaps the best insight as to why comes from Walmart(NYSE:WMT). Recently, the CEO of the big-box retailer, Doug McMillon, had this to say about his company:The increasing levels of food and fuel inflation are affecting how consumers spend, and while we’ve made good progress clearing hardline categories, apparel in Walmart U.S. is requiring more markdown dollars. We’re now anticipating more pressure on general merchandise in the back half; however, we’re encouraged by the start we’re seeing on school supplies.Here’s why the above assessment is problematic for Macy’s and its ilk. Essentially, Walmart is saying that consumers are spending money on the essentials, such as education-related products. However, when it comes to discretionary items like apparel, Walmart is having trouble offloading them.Likely, this matter will be even more challenging for Macy’s, which usually deals with higher-end discretionary goods. Therefore, M is one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Ruth’s Hospitality Group (RUTH)Back when the Covid-19 crisis initially capsized the U.S. economy, Ruth’s Hospitality Group(NASDAQ:RUTH) – which owns Ruth’s Chris Steak House – suffered a catastrophic drop. With the pandemic forcing government agencies to temporarily shut down non-essential businesses, premium-level restaurateurs faced enormous competition.Part of the allure of going to a fancy restaurant is the social experience. Therefore, when various jurisdictions relaxed Covid protocols, RUTH rebounded. However, as inflation rises and economic anxieties mount, investors are starting to have a dim view on the company. Since the start of the year, RUTH is down nearly 9%.While it’s difficult to say with absolute certainty that RUTH is one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession, some evidence suggests that the eateries sector will experience a“trade-down market” effect. Basically, consumers will spend down a level or two, making the higher-priced restaurants struggle.Stocks to Avoid in a Recession: Lindblad Expeditions (LIND)Specializing in unique vacation experiences, Lindblad Expeditions(NASDAQ:LIND) facilitates trips to Antarctica and other extreme bucket list destinations. However, with money getting tight, LIND may be one of the worst stocks to buy in a recession.Indeed, there’s an argument to be made that Lindblad is a value trap. Sure, LIND may be down more than 45% YTD, initially attracting discount divers to the mix. In addition, certain financial performance metrics – such as growth in the first quarter of this year being nearly 38x – seemingly justify the positive speculation.However, Q1’s extraordinary year-over-year growth rate only happened because in the year-ago quarter, sales were only $1.8 million. Further, on a trailing-12-month basis, the revenue tally of $213.2 million is significantly below the run rate seen in 2018 and 2019, which averaged $326.4 million.Should economic challenges rise, the expenses associated with Lindblad-facilitated vacations will probably be too much for most consumers to handle.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LIND":0.9,"VRM":0.9,"TOL":0.9,"RUTH":0.9,"Z":0.9,"SIG":0.9,"M":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904984939,"gmtCreate":1659974919422,"gmtModify":1703476551676,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Comfort] ","listText":"[Comfort] ","text":"[Comfort]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904984939","repostId":"1111364601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111364601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659972720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111364601?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 23:32","market":"other","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111364601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 20","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.</li><li>The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.</li><li>If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.</li></ul><p>History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.</p><p>Similarities in today's stock market and S&P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn't to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.</p><p><b>1937</b></p><p>After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.</p><p>Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9e75e86ede6d5127a530f868dcedf3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2000</b></p><p>The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.</p><p>Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67e3a7716980557c4c7d467f03d1b40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2008</b></p><p>Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d85ceaf1cd7900663bbf9dbbe300dee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Similarities</b></p><p>The declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn't the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c254a06087baa45767c1b5a5d0c6aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Does this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34566ce27f9a5b7d5ac6c173ee363be9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What happens next for stocks is anyone's guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what <i>may</i> happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 23:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111364601","content_text":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.Similarities in today's stock market and S&P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn't to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.1937After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.Bloomberg2000The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.Bloomberg2008Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.BloombergSimilaritiesThe declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn't the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.BloombergDoes this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.BloombergWhat happens next for stocks is anyone's guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what may happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905422442,"gmtCreate":1659927324788,"gmtModify":1703476081262,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Comfort] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Comfort] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Comfort]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905422442","repostId":"2257743302","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2257743302","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1659913279,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2257743302?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 07:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir, Disney, Coinbase, BioNTech, Rivian, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2257743302","media":"barrons","summary":"Second-quarter earnings season continues this week, while a pair of July inflation figures and consu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Second-quarter earnings season continues this week, while a pair of July inflation figures and consumer sentiment surveys will be the highlights on the economic-data calendar.</p><p>On Monday, Palantir, Tyson Foods, BioNTech, AIG, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two Interactive Software</a> will report. Coinbase Global, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Sysco, and Ralph Lauren go on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney and Fox Corp on Wednesday. Cardinal Health, Rivian Automotive, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a> report on Thursday, then Broadridge Financial Solutions closes the week on Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7365de7079bf0cabc8bf5ebaba40021\" tg-width=\"2044\" tg-height=\"1448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Economic data out this week will include the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for July on Wednesday. Economists are expecting a 0.2% rise in the headline index and a 0.5% increase in the core CPI last month. On Thursday, the BLS will report the Producer Price Index for July. That's forecasted to have risen 0.3% at the index level and 0.4% for the core.</p><p>On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release the Small Business Optimism Index for July, then the University of Michigan reports the August Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. Both surveys have shown declining optimism in recent months.</p><p><b>Monday 8/8</b></p><p>Palantir, American International Group, Barrick Gold, BioNTech, Dominion Energy, International Flavors & Fragrances, Take-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> Interactive Software, and Tyson Foods report earnings.</p><p><b>Tuesday 8/9</b></p><p>Coinbase Global, Emerson Electric, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Ralph Lauren, Sysco, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> Group, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WELL\">Welltower</a> announce quarterly results.</p><p>Nielsen Holdings convenes a special shareholder meeting to seek approval to be acquired by a private-equity consortium led by Elliott Investment Management. The proposed deal values the TV-ratings firm at $16 billion, including debt.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 89 reading, slightly less than June's 89.5, which is the lowest reading since early 2013. Small-business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months were at a net negative 61% in June, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year history of the survey.</p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports preliminary employee compensation and productivity data for the second quarter. Unit labor costs are expected to increase at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.7%, while productivity is seen declining 4.1%. This compares with a 12.6% jump and 7.3% decrease, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><b>Wednesday 8/10</b></p><p>Walt Disney releases fiscal-third quarter 2022 results.</p><p>The BLS releases the consumer price index for July. Economists forecast a 8.7% year-over-year rise, compared with a 9.1% jump in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen increasing 6.1%, versus a 5.9% gain previously. The 9.1% reading was the highest since 1981, while the core CPI is off slightly from the recent peak of 6.5% in March. The S&P 500 index jumped 9.1% in July, its best month since November 2020, in anticipation of a less hawkish Federal Reserve on the assumption that inflation has peaked.</p><p><b>Thursday 8/11</b></p><p>The BLS releases the producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 10.4% year-over-year increase, less than June's 11.3%. The core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to rise 7.7%, down from 8.2%.</p><p>Brookfield Asset Management, Cardinal Health, Illumina, ResMed, and Rivian Automotive hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>Friday 8/12</b></p><p>Broadridge Financial Solutions reports earnings.</p><p>The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for August. The consensus call is for a 53 reading, slightly more than July's 51.5. The index is near its record low, as inflation remains top of mind for consumers.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir, Disney, Coinbase, BioNTech, Rivian, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir, Disney, Coinbase, BioNTech, Rivian, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 07:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-coinbase-biontech-rivian-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51659898822?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Second-quarter earnings season continues this week, while a pair of July inflation figures and consumer sentiment surveys will be the highlights on the economic-data calendar.On Monday, Palantir, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-coinbase-biontech-rivian-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51659898822?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ILMN":"Illumina","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","INO":"伊诺维奥制药","SYY":"西思科公司","U":"Unity Software Inc.","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","JMIA":"Jumia Technologies AG","ISBC":"投资者银行",".DJI":"道琼斯","BR":"Broadridge金融解决方案","TSN":"泰森食品","SAVE":"Spirit Airlines",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","CPNG":"Coupang, Inc.","APP":"AppLovin Corporation","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FOXA":"福克斯-A","DIS":"迪士尼","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","CAH":"卡地纳健康","GOOS":"加拿大鹅"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-coinbase-biontech-rivian-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51659898822?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2257743302","content_text":"Second-quarter earnings season continues this week, while a pair of July inflation figures and consumer sentiment surveys will be the highlights on the economic-data calendar.On Monday, Palantir, Tyson Foods, BioNTech, AIG, and Take-Two Interactive Software will report. Coinbase Global, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Sysco, and Ralph Lauren go on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney and Fox Corp on Wednesday. Cardinal Health, Rivian Automotive, and Illumina report on Thursday, then Broadridge Financial Solutions closes the week on Friday.Economic data out this week will include the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index for July on Wednesday. Economists are expecting a 0.2% rise in the headline index and a 0.5% increase in the core CPI last month. On Thursday, the BLS will report the Producer Price Index for July. That's forecasted to have risen 0.3% at the index level and 0.4% for the core.On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release the Small Business Optimism Index for July, then the University of Michigan reports the August Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. Both surveys have shown declining optimism in recent months.Monday 8/8Palantir, American International Group, Barrick Gold, BioNTech, Dominion Energy, International Flavors & Fragrances, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Tyson Foods report earnings.Tuesday 8/9Coinbase Global, Emerson Electric, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Ralph Lauren, Sysco, TransDigm Group, and Welltower announce quarterly results.Nielsen Holdings convenes a special shareholder meeting to seek approval to be acquired by a private-equity consortium led by Elliott Investment Management. The proposed deal values the TV-ratings firm at $16 billion, including debt.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 89 reading, slightly less than June's 89.5, which is the lowest reading since early 2013. Small-business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months were at a net negative 61% in June, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year history of the survey.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports preliminary employee compensation and productivity data for the second quarter. Unit labor costs are expected to increase at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.7%, while productivity is seen declining 4.1%. This compares with a 12.6% jump and 7.3% decrease, respectively, in the first quarter.Wednesday 8/10Walt Disney releases fiscal-third quarter 2022 results.The BLS releases the consumer price index for July. Economists forecast a 8.7% year-over-year rise, compared with a 9.1% jump in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen increasing 6.1%, versus a 5.9% gain previously. The 9.1% reading was the highest since 1981, while the core CPI is off slightly from the recent peak of 6.5% in March. The S&P 500 index jumped 9.1% in July, its best month since November 2020, in anticipation of a less hawkish Federal Reserve on the assumption that inflation has peaked.Thursday 8/11The BLS releases the producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 10.4% year-over-year increase, less than June's 11.3%. The core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to rise 7.7%, down from 8.2%.Brookfield Asset Management, Cardinal Health, Illumina, ResMed, and Rivian Automotive hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.Friday 8/12Broadridge Financial Solutions reports earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for August. The consensus call is for a 53 reading, slightly more than July's 51.5. The index is near its record low, as inflation remains top of mind for consumers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"U":0.9,"FOXA":0.9,"CPNG":0.9,"CAH":0.9,"SAVE":0.9,"NCLH":0.9,"UPST":0.9,"BR":0.9,"SYY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"INO":0.9,"TSN":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"COIN":1,"ISBC":1,"JMIA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"GOOS":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"APP":0.9,"RBLX":0.9,"ILMN":0.9,"PLTR":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DIS":1,"TTWO":0.9,"RIVN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905138697,"gmtCreate":1659837241021,"gmtModify":1703766901557,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon ","listText":"To the moon ","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905138697","repostId":"1153380051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153380051","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659834939,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153380051?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-07 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153380051","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla's(TSLA) highly awaited shareholder meeting is in the books.Investors voted to approve the prop","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla's(TSLA) highly awaited shareholder meeting is in the books.Investors voted to approve the proposed 3-for-1 TSLA stock split.But that isn't the only good news the company has reported this week....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-8/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSLA Stock News: 5 Biggest Headlines That Tesla Investors Need to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-07 09:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-8/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's(TSLA) highly awaited shareholder meeting is in the books.Investors voted to approve the proposed 3-for-1 TSLA stock split.But that isn't the only good news the company has reported this week....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-8/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/tsla-stock-news-5-biggest-headlines-that-tesla-investors-need-to-know-this-week-8/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153380051","content_text":"Tesla's(TSLA) highly awaited shareholder meeting is in the books.Investors voted to approve the proposed 3-for-1 TSLA stock split.But that isn't the only good news the company has reported this week.Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is poised to end the week in the red after some exciting gains. Fans and investors alike were eagerly awaiting the shareholder meeting, rebranded as the Cyber Roundup. This meeting brought the updates that Wall Street had been waiting for weeks; the 3-for-1 stock split has been approved by Tesla’s shareholders. Elon Musk also discussed other aspects of Tesla’s business, such as the long-awaited Cyber Truck. On top of it, the company is ramping up production at its gigafactories in Berlin and Austin, Texas despite the recent shutdowns. Musk also hinted that the company might be able to announce another factory location later this year,” though he provided no further details.Despite the positive news regarding the stock split, TSLA stock is still falling today as the momentum that carried it through this week dies down. However, it will likely pick back up in the weeks ahead as anticipation mounts for the Tesla stock split. Musk did not reveal a date for the split but until he does, TSLA stock will have a looming growth catalyst to push it upward. The shareholder vote isn’t the only good news for Tesla investors, though.Let’s take a look at this week’s top Tesla stories that investors should be reading.Top Headlines for TSLA Stock Investors1. Tesla’s 3:1 Stock Split Wins Shareholder Approval — Here’s What It Means For InvestorsAs noted, the motion to split TSLA stock again received the approval it needed from shareholders. Few experts expressed any doubts that the motion would pass. However, not that it is confirmed, Tesla investors have something important to look forward to. A stock split does not change anything fundamentally about a company,” notesInvestorPlaceassistant news writer Eddie Pan. “Still, retail investors maybe more inclined to buy whole shares at lower prices.” That logic carried TSLA stock to impressive gains leading up to its 2020 stock split. Now it looks primed to embark on a similar growth trajectory.2. Elon Musk Says Inflation Will Fall. That Bet Has Helped Tesla’s Stock Soar 45% Since JuneThe stock split isn’t the only noteworthy event from the Cyber Rodeo. Musk stated that he felt peak inflation had passed but predicted a “mild recession,” which could last as long as 18 months. “The trend is down, which suggests we are past peak inflation,” Musk stated at the event at Tesla’s Austin, Texas gigafactory. “I think inflation is going to drop rapidly at some point in the future.” This bet essentially assumes that the Federal Reserve will ease the trend of severe interest rate hikes. While TSLA stock has been rising since June, inflation subsiding could also help it rise.3. Tesla Model Y is on track to be the world’s best-selling carIt’s well known that Tesla’s Model Y is the world’s best-selling electric vehicle (EV). But according to Musk, it may soon have an even more impressive and important statistic to report. As Electrek reports, “the electric SUV is going to be the best-selling vehicle in the world by revenue this year, and the company expects that it will be the best-selling vehicle by volume next year once Tesla has ramped up production at Gigafactory Texas and Gigafactory Berlin.” To obtain the title of the world’s best-selling car, Tesla would have to unseat the Toyota Corolla, which currently boasts1,150,000 sales.4. Tesla’s Cybertruck is going to be more expensive than originally plannedBoth investors and auto buffs have been waiting patiently for the Tesla Cybertruck to hit the road. The Cyber Roundup brought an update but it may not be one that prospective buyers were hoping for. Musk informed viewers that the futuristic vehicle would no longer be priced at $39,900 when it debuts in 2023. He still promises it will be “one hell of a product” but did not provide an exact figure for what buyers can expect to pay for their Cybertrucks. It is unclear how much this update will affect sales when Tesla’s answer to the modern pickup truck finally takes to the roads.5. Electric Cars’ Surging Prices Mean Fewer Buyers Can Use Tax CreditLast week, Tesla got some good news when an environmental protection bill received unexpected support from the U.S. Senate. The bill included an EV tax credit that stood to benefit companies like Tesla. However, some experts are speculating that the rising EV prices mean fewer consumers will be buying EVs in the near future, thereby rendering the tax credit less effective for stocks like TSLA. Executive Analyst Michelle Krebs of Cox Automotive states, regarding EV markers: “To proliferate EVs, they need to cost less and be accessible to more consumers, either by price and/or incentives. In the future, automakers are promising less expensive EVs.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2070,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905138847,"gmtCreate":1659837214191,"gmtModify":1703766901395,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905138847","repostId":"1162375126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905138081,"gmtCreate":1659837182845,"gmtModify":1703766900748,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905138081","repostId":"2257755122","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2257755122","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1659950825,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2257755122?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 17:27","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Better Buy: iShares S&P Core 500 Small Cap ETF or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2257755122","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Would you be better off with a small-cap ETF or a large-cap ETF in your portfolio?","content":"<div>\n<p>It's a good idea to include exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in your investment portfolio, but with close to 3,000 to choose from in the U.S. alone, how can you decide which ones are best for you? The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/06/better-buy-ijr-or-voo/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy: iShares S&P Core 500 Small Cap ETF or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy: iShares S&P Core 500 Small Cap ETF or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 17:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/06/better-buy-ijr-or-voo/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's a good idea to include exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in your investment portfolio, but with close to 3,000 to choose from in the U.S. alone, how can you decide which ones are best for you? The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/06/better-buy-ijr-or-voo/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IJR":"标普小型股600指数ETF-iShares","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/06/better-buy-ijr-or-voo/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2257755122","content_text":"It's a good idea to include exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in your investment portfolio, but with close to 3,000 to choose from in the U.S. alone, how can you decide which ones are best for you? The answer will generally depend on your circumstances, strategy, and investing philosophy, but one good way to start narrowing down your list is to compare their features and performance metrics.The large-cap index ETFThe Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is one of the largest ETFs on the market, and it's a quintessential index fund. It tracks the S&P 500, which includes 500 of the largest U.S. companies by market cap. Its portfolio includes most major sectors and industries, and its long-term returns should reflect overall economic activity. When people talk about \"the market\" being up or down, they're generally talking about this index.The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF offers all the key benefits of index investing. Diversification dilutes the impact of company-specific issues and it limits volatility. Index investors will never enjoy the monster upside that a portfolio with a heavy concentration of a few growth stocks can conceivably deliver, but buying and holding index funds for the long haul is a simple strategy with a great track record.The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF also provides that market-matching performance with a 0.03% expense ratio, which is as low as they come. Investors are paying fees of just $3 a year for every $10,000 they have in the ETF. Its holdings include a host of dividend payers, and the fund currently has a 1.5% yield. With extremely high trading volumes, the ETF is also among the most liquid investments out there.This ETF doesn't do anything fancy, but it's extremely efficient. That's why it's so popular as a foundational piece for many investors' portfolios.The small-cap index ETFThe iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF has been one of the most popular funds among investors over the past month. It holds a market-cap-weighted portfolio of 600 small-cap stocks that are selected by S&P. The selection methodology puts all of the obligations on a third party, so the fund's passive approach keeps its expenses low. Investors should be pleased with the fund's 0.06% expense ratio. Management fees can add up for investors over the long term, sapping your returns, but that's not a concern here.Small-cap investing comes with a unique blend of pros and cons. Many small-caps are young corporations or companies with niche focuses. As a result, the S&P SmallCap 600 Index is relatively more exposed to unstable, uncertain, and unprofitable companies, but many of them have enormous growth potential. Amazon and Tesla are now among the most valuable enterprises in the world, but they were once small caps.As a whole, small caps tend to be more volatile than large caps, enduring bigger losses during broad market downturns, and proving more sensitive to company-specific bad news. However, many studies have shown that small-cap portfolios outperform the market over the long term. Of course, relative performance depends on the specific time frame in question -- there have been long periods during which the biggest stocks triumphed.It's fair to expect the iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF to exhibit relatively high volatility over the long term, but investors should weigh its key performance metrics next to those of other small-cap investments, such as the Russell 2000. The iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF's beta is below 1.0, which suggests relatively low volatility. It's also very similar to the S&P 500 in terms of forward price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios, and dividend yield. At this moment, don't expect it to deliver performance that varies drastically from the market.The better buyNeither of these funds is inherently superior to the other, but they deliver different qualities to a portfolio. While they track different indexes, their passive methodologies are similar. These ETFs are also similar in expense ratio, liquidity, dividend yield, and valuation. Depending on your needs, either could be preferable.For most investors, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF should be a higher priority. That's especially true if you use it as a base to support a handful of high-conviction individual stock holdings. If you're looking for a higher-upside index investment and you can withstand more volatility, then the iShares S&P Small Cap ETF is a better option.The small-cap index is likely to deliver better short-term results if we've hit a market bottom and a few months of gains are about to hit the stock market. If the market continues to slide due to recession fears and rising interest rates, then the small-cap index will probably fare worse than the large-cap index.If you still can't choose, consider buying both. They can be great complementary pieces in a portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IJR":0.9,"VOO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905131642,"gmtCreate":1659837158888,"gmtModify":1703766899934,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905131642","repostId":"1190917927","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906084718,"gmtCreate":1659454984136,"gmtModify":1705980532382,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906084718","repostId":"1188690484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188690484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659454673,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188690484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-02 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188690484","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.</li><li>The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward levels.</li><li>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>I am very bullish on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock. I strongly believe that the market has priced in too much negativity and pessimism as compared to reality and investors are well advised to follow one of Buffett's key maxims:</p><blockquote>Be greedy when others are fearful.</blockquote><p>Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17. This indicates a clear undervaluation.</p><p>Of course, I understand that investors are worried about a potential ADR delisting, slowing economy and crackdown on internet/tech companies. However, just like a bull market tops on the most bullish conditions, a bear market bottoms on the most bearish conditions. While investors should study and understand the risks, I personally believe that Alibaba stock will rebound strongly from current price levels of below $100/share.</p><p>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model anchored on fundamentals and analyst consensus estimates. My target price is $133.92.</p><p><b>A Best-In-Class Company</b></p><p>Alibaba is one of the biggest e-commerce companies in the world. The company operates three main shopping sites Taobao, Tmall and Alibaba.com, which cumulatively serve some 828 million monthly active buyers (fiscal year ending March 31, 2021).</p><p>Alibaba also has stakes in multiple innovative internet/technology businesses such as Youku (video entertainment), Pony.Ai (Autonomous Driving) and most notably Ant Group (The world's biggest financial service company). Alipay serves almost the entire population in China. The platform has 1.3 billion users and 80 million merchants. Notably, the total payment volume of Alipay was more than $19 trillion in 2021.</p><p>Moreover, Alibaba is a dominant force in China's cloud market with about37% market share. China's cloud market is expected to grow at a 4-year CAGR of more than 25%, reaching $85 billion in 2026. As the market leader in China, Alibaba is poised to benefit from this super-charged cloud-growth. Cloud is also a business vertical where the company should enjoy government tailwind, as the Chinese Communist Party is actively supporting digitalization efforts of the economy and has made cloud development a key-priority in the party's5-year development plan.</p><p><b>Bullish Financials</b></p><p>In the past financial year, the Alibaba Group generated total revenues of about $134.5 billion and recorded an operating income of about $15 billion. Most notably in the past five years, from March 2017 to March 2022, Alibaba has grown at an unbelievable 5-year CAGR of 42%. For reference, this is almost double the growth rate of Amazon, which grew at a 5-year CAGR of 22% CAGR over the same period. Alibaba closed the fiscal year 2021 with 9.8 billion of net-income available to common shareholders.</p><p>Alibaba'sbalance sheet is very strong: As of March 2022, the company recorded $71.7 billion of cash and cash equivalents and only $27.85 of total financial debt. This makes Alibaba a net-creditor of about $43 billion -- which is 17% of the company's market capitalization. Moreover, Alibaba's business operations, despite the strong growth, are cash-accretive. In fiscal 2021, the company generated cash from operations of $22.5 billion. Under these circumstances it should come to no surprise that the company announced a $25 billion share-buyback program, more than 10% of the outstanding shares) in March 2022.</p><p>Alibaba will announce earnings for the quarter from April to end of June on August 4th before the market open. Analyst consensus expects total revenues of $30.21 billion and EPS of $1.56.</p><p><b>The Buying Opportunity</b></p><p>Despite the strong business fundamentals, Alibaba stock suffered a spectacular sell-off. BABA shares are down about 70% from ATH as the company was pressured by multiple headwinds: ADR delisting fears, as slowing economy , Covid-19 lockdowns and an aggressive regulatory crackdown that started with the cancellation of the Ant Group IPO in November 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c01e6eab7204bcc90b5af9aa0d87ac85\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Alibaba is a quality company, and the stock's undervaluation is no secret to investors. The key-question is: is the worst behind, and can investors safely invest in Alibaba stock?</p><p>I strongly believe that a safe investment does not exist. In my opinion, every investment opportunity must be judged as a function of its price. And the lower the price, the less risky an investment becomes. Thus, investing is a question of risk/reward. Given Alibaba's extremely depressed valuation - now the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17- I argue an investment is justified.</p><p>Moreover, there are signs that all of Alibaba's headwinds are easing and the negativity surrounding the stock has peaked. China has on multiple occasions tried to communicate to investors that the internet/technology crackdown is coming to an end and is actively supporting the healthy expansion of digital platform economies.</p><p>In addition, China has vowed to push more fiscal economic support- with a special focus on digitalization. While western economies are hawkish on fiscal and monetary stimulus - ending a decade long easing cycle, China is one of the few economies that appears to start a new stimulus cycle.</p><p>Analysts agree with the bullish thesis. In general, analysts are very bullish on Alibaba stock. Based on ratings of 44 analysts, 33 analysts give a Strong Buy rating, 8 are Buy rated and 3 assign a Hold recommendation. There is no Sell or Strong Sell rating. The average price target is $155.47/share, indicating more than 70% upside.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa3c940aeeed4780c87b1ca71bdb180\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Residual Earnings Valuation</b></p><p>Let us now look at the valuation. What could be a fair per-share value for Alibaba stock? To answer the question, I have constructed a Residual Earnings framework and anchor on the following assumptions:</p><ul><li>To forecast EPS, I anchor on consensus analyst forecast as available on the Bloomberg Terminal 'till 2025. In my opinion, any estimate beyond 2025 is too speculative to include in a valuation framework. But for 2-3 years, analyst consensus is usually quite precise.</li><li>To estimate the cost of capital, I use the WACC framework. I model a three-year regression against the Hang Seng to find the stock's beta. For the risk-free rate, I used the U.S. 10-year treasury yield as of July 22nd, 2022. My calculation indicates a fair WACC of about 9.8%. I adjust upward to 12% in order to reflect the company's idiosyncratic market risk.</li><li>To derive Baidu's tax rate, I extrapolate the 3-year average effective tax-rate from 2019, 2020 and 2021.</li><li>For the terminal growth rate, I apply expected nominal GDP growth plus one percentage point to reflect a favorable growth outlook for Alibaba's high-potential initiatives</li><li>I do not model any share buyback further supporting a conservative valuation.</li></ul><p>Based on the above assumptions, my calculation returns a base-case target price for Alibaba of $133.92/share, implying material upside of more than 50%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb860aca7fa48ef2afe7e265d3effa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's Calculation</p><p>I understand that investors might have different assumptions with regards to Alibaba's required return and terminal business growth. Thus, I also enclose a sensitivity table to test varying assumptions. For reference, red-cells imply an overvaluation as compared to the current market price, and green-cells imply an undervaluation. Notably, all tested combinations imply an undervaluation!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62ba3323a1f09e75477921298d84cbf8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"154\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's Calculation</p><p><b>Investment Risks</b></p><p>Investors should be aware of the following downside risks that might cause Alibaba stock to materially deviate from my base-case target price of $133.92/share:</p><p>First, the economy is currently pressured by multiple headwinds including inflation, real-estate crisis and COVID-19 lockdowns. If the economy would slow more than what is expected and priced in, investors should adjust expectations for Alibaba's short/mid-term business monetization accordingly.</p><p>Secondly, China's internet/tech companies are strongly exposed to regulatory risk. While the worst seems to be behind us, the elevated risk exposure persists -- and will arguably never completely fade.</p><p>Third, much of BABA's share price volatility is currently driven by investor sentiment towards Chinese ADRs and risk assets. Thus, BABA stock price might show strong price volatility even though the company's business fundamentals remain unchanged.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Alibaba stock is down 70% from ATH, but the company remains a global powerhouse with enormous long-term potential. Trading at a PE of below x17, despite growing like a start-up, I argue Alibaba's sell-off could offer long-term focused investors, that can stomach short term share-price volatility, a generational buying opportunity.</p><p>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, despite cautious and conservative valuation assumptions. Strong Buy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-02 23:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188690484","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward levels.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model.ThesisI am very bullish on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock. I strongly believe that the market has priced in too much negativity and pessimism as compared to reality and investors are well advised to follow one of Buffett's key maxims:Be greedy when others are fearful.Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17. This indicates a clear undervaluation.Of course, I understand that investors are worried about a potential ADR delisting, slowing economy and crackdown on internet/tech companies. However, just like a bull market tops on the most bullish conditions, a bear market bottoms on the most bearish conditions. While investors should study and understand the risks, I personally believe that Alibaba stock will rebound strongly from current price levels of below $100/share.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model anchored on fundamentals and analyst consensus estimates. My target price is $133.92.A Best-In-Class CompanyAlibaba is one of the biggest e-commerce companies in the world. The company operates three main shopping sites Taobao, Tmall and Alibaba.com, which cumulatively serve some 828 million monthly active buyers (fiscal year ending March 31, 2021).Alibaba also has stakes in multiple innovative internet/technology businesses such as Youku (video entertainment), Pony.Ai (Autonomous Driving) and most notably Ant Group (The world's biggest financial service company). Alipay serves almost the entire population in China. The platform has 1.3 billion users and 80 million merchants. Notably, the total payment volume of Alipay was more than $19 trillion in 2021.Moreover, Alibaba is a dominant force in China's cloud market with about37% market share. China's cloud market is expected to grow at a 4-year CAGR of more than 25%, reaching $85 billion in 2026. As the market leader in China, Alibaba is poised to benefit from this super-charged cloud-growth. Cloud is also a business vertical where the company should enjoy government tailwind, as the Chinese Communist Party is actively supporting digitalization efforts of the economy and has made cloud development a key-priority in the party's5-year development plan.Bullish FinancialsIn the past financial year, the Alibaba Group generated total revenues of about $134.5 billion and recorded an operating income of about $15 billion. Most notably in the past five years, from March 2017 to March 2022, Alibaba has grown at an unbelievable 5-year CAGR of 42%. For reference, this is almost double the growth rate of Amazon, which grew at a 5-year CAGR of 22% CAGR over the same period. Alibaba closed the fiscal year 2021 with 9.8 billion of net-income available to common shareholders.Alibaba'sbalance sheet is very strong: As of March 2022, the company recorded $71.7 billion of cash and cash equivalents and only $27.85 of total financial debt. This makes Alibaba a net-creditor of about $43 billion -- which is 17% of the company's market capitalization. Moreover, Alibaba's business operations, despite the strong growth, are cash-accretive. In fiscal 2021, the company generated cash from operations of $22.5 billion. Under these circumstances it should come to no surprise that the company announced a $25 billion share-buyback program, more than 10% of the outstanding shares) in March 2022.Alibaba will announce earnings for the quarter from April to end of June on August 4th before the market open. Analyst consensus expects total revenues of $30.21 billion and EPS of $1.56.The Buying OpportunityDespite the strong business fundamentals, Alibaba stock suffered a spectacular sell-off. BABA shares are down about 70% from ATH as the company was pressured by multiple headwinds: ADR delisting fears, as slowing economy , Covid-19 lockdowns and an aggressive regulatory crackdown that started with the cancellation of the Ant Group IPO in November 2020.Seeking AlphaAlibaba is a quality company, and the stock's undervaluation is no secret to investors. The key-question is: is the worst behind, and can investors safely invest in Alibaba stock?I strongly believe that a safe investment does not exist. In my opinion, every investment opportunity must be judged as a function of its price. And the lower the price, the less risky an investment becomes. Thus, investing is a question of risk/reward. Given Alibaba's extremely depressed valuation - now the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17- I argue an investment is justified.Moreover, there are signs that all of Alibaba's headwinds are easing and the negativity surrounding the stock has peaked. China has on multiple occasions tried to communicate to investors that the internet/technology crackdown is coming to an end and is actively supporting the healthy expansion of digital platform economies.In addition, China has vowed to push more fiscal economic support- with a special focus on digitalization. While western economies are hawkish on fiscal and monetary stimulus - ending a decade long easing cycle, China is one of the few economies that appears to start a new stimulus cycle.Analysts agree with the bullish thesis. In general, analysts are very bullish on Alibaba stock. Based on ratings of 44 analysts, 33 analysts give a Strong Buy rating, 8 are Buy rated and 3 assign a Hold recommendation. There is no Sell or Strong Sell rating. The average price target is $155.47/share, indicating more than 70% upside.Seeking AlphaResidual Earnings ValuationLet us now look at the valuation. What could be a fair per-share value for Alibaba stock? To answer the question, I have constructed a Residual Earnings framework and anchor on the following assumptions:To forecast EPS, I anchor on consensus analyst forecast as available on the Bloomberg Terminal 'till 2025. In my opinion, any estimate beyond 2025 is too speculative to include in a valuation framework. But for 2-3 years, analyst consensus is usually quite precise.To estimate the cost of capital, I use the WACC framework. I model a three-year regression against the Hang Seng to find the stock's beta. For the risk-free rate, I used the U.S. 10-year treasury yield as of July 22nd, 2022. My calculation indicates a fair WACC of about 9.8%. I adjust upward to 12% in order to reflect the company's idiosyncratic market risk.To derive Baidu's tax rate, I extrapolate the 3-year average effective tax-rate from 2019, 2020 and 2021.For the terminal growth rate, I apply expected nominal GDP growth plus one percentage point to reflect a favorable growth outlook for Alibaba's high-potential initiativesI do not model any share buyback further supporting a conservative valuation.Based on the above assumptions, my calculation returns a base-case target price for Alibaba of $133.92/share, implying material upside of more than 50%.Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's CalculationI understand that investors might have different assumptions with regards to Alibaba's required return and terminal business growth. Thus, I also enclose a sensitivity table to test varying assumptions. For reference, red-cells imply an overvaluation as compared to the current market price, and green-cells imply an undervaluation. Notably, all tested combinations imply an undervaluation!Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's CalculationInvestment RisksInvestors should be aware of the following downside risks that might cause Alibaba stock to materially deviate from my base-case target price of $133.92/share:First, the economy is currently pressured by multiple headwinds including inflation, real-estate crisis and COVID-19 lockdowns. If the economy would slow more than what is expected and priced in, investors should adjust expectations for Alibaba's short/mid-term business monetization accordingly.Secondly, China's internet/tech companies are strongly exposed to regulatory risk. While the worst seems to be behind us, the elevated risk exposure persists -- and will arguably never completely fade.Third, much of BABA's share price volatility is currently driven by investor sentiment towards Chinese ADRs and risk assets. Thus, BABA stock price might show strong price volatility even though the company's business fundamentals remain unchanged.ConclusionAlibaba stock is down 70% from ATH, but the company remains a global powerhouse with enormous long-term potential. Trading at a PE of below x17, despite growing like a start-up, I argue Alibaba's sell-off could offer long-term focused investors, that can stomach short term share-price volatility, a generational buying opportunity.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, despite cautious and conservative valuation assumptions. Strong Buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908639265,"gmtCreate":1659369345057,"gmtModify":1705979611905,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908639265","repostId":"1187354053","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1187354053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659325291,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187354053?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-01 11:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CGS-CIMB Initiates \"Add\" on Grab With TP of US$3.60","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187354053","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"CGS-CIMB Research analysts Ong Khang Chuen and Kenneth Tan have initiated coverage on Grab with an “","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>CGS-CIMB Research analysts Ong Khang Chuen and Kenneth Tan have initiated coverage on Grab with an “add” rating and sum of the parts-based target price of US$3.60 ($4.97).</p><p>The analysts' valuations include US$1.60 per share for the on-demand services (deliveries and mobility), 50 US cents per share for the financial services segment and 40 US cents per share for the enterprise and new initiatives segment. The target price implies 4.9x FY2023 P/adjusted sales.</p><p>“We like Grab for its strong regional presence with market leadership across its key segments and its superapp strategy to tap on rapid Southeast Asia digitalisation which could open up further potential growth in total addressable market through new segments.</p><p>“We believe that at its current valuation of 5.4x FY2023 EV/sales, investors have yet to fully appreciate the easing competition in Southeast Asia, which could accelerate the path to profitability for Grab,” they added.</p><p>In their July 29 report, the analysts highlighted that the global market weakness has impacted valuations of both public and private companies. As cheap financing is no longer easily accessible, new economy players have to chart a path to profitability.</p><p>“We have observed a visible shift in strategy for new economy players to balance growth and profitability. Our channel checks indicate easing competition across key segments, especially the ones in Grab is operating,”</p><p>In mobility, for example, the analysts observed higher ride-hailing fares across markets YTD — in 2QFY2022, fares are up 22%-42% y-o-y in Singapore, while promotional levels reduced meaningfully. There is also lower discounting in food delivery, especially in Indonesia since 1QFY2022.</p><p>Grab is expected to report its 2QFY2022 results mid this month. Overall, CGS-CIMB forecast Grab to report robust GMV of US$5.1 billion (6% increase q-o-q and 31.3% increase y-o-y), with its mobility segment especially benefitting from the reopening of regional economies.</p><p>Amid easing competition, the analysts believe Grab is able to scale back on its incentive levels and continue to increase monetisation. Hence, they forecast revenue of US$281 million in 2QFY2022, a 23.2% growth q-o-q and 56.1% growth y-o-y.</p><p>“With better scale and easing competition, we expect adjusted EBITDA losses to further narrow on a q-o-q basis to US$241 million in 2QFY2022, though remain higher versus 2QFY2021,” they add.</p><p>Shares in Grab closed 2 US cents lower or 0.67% down on July 29 at US$2.95.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CGS-CIMB Initiates \"Add\" on Grab With TP of US$3.60</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCGS-CIMB Initiates \"Add\" on Grab With TP of US$3.60\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 11:41 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/brokers-calls/cgs-cimb-initiates-add-grab-tp-us360><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CGS-CIMB Research analysts Ong Khang Chuen and Kenneth Tan have initiated coverage on Grab with an “add” rating and sum of the parts-based target price of US$3.60 ($4.97).The analysts' valuations ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/brokers-calls/cgs-cimb-initiates-add-grab-tp-us360\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/brokers-calls/cgs-cimb-initiates-add-grab-tp-us360","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187354053","content_text":"CGS-CIMB Research analysts Ong Khang Chuen and Kenneth Tan have initiated coverage on Grab with an “add” rating and sum of the parts-based target price of US$3.60 ($4.97).The analysts' valuations include US$1.60 per share for the on-demand services (deliveries and mobility), 50 US cents per share for the financial services segment and 40 US cents per share for the enterprise and new initiatives segment. The target price implies 4.9x FY2023 P/adjusted sales.“We like Grab for its strong regional presence with market leadership across its key segments and its superapp strategy to tap on rapid Southeast Asia digitalisation which could open up further potential growth in total addressable market through new segments.“We believe that at its current valuation of 5.4x FY2023 EV/sales, investors have yet to fully appreciate the easing competition in Southeast Asia, which could accelerate the path to profitability for Grab,” they added.In their July 29 report, the analysts highlighted that the global market weakness has impacted valuations of both public and private companies. As cheap financing is no longer easily accessible, new economy players have to chart a path to profitability.“We have observed a visible shift in strategy for new economy players to balance growth and profitability. Our channel checks indicate easing competition across key segments, especially the ones in Grab is operating,”In mobility, for example, the analysts observed higher ride-hailing fares across markets YTD — in 2QFY2022, fares are up 22%-42% y-o-y in Singapore, while promotional levels reduced meaningfully. There is also lower discounting in food delivery, especially in Indonesia since 1QFY2022.Grab is expected to report its 2QFY2022 results mid this month. Overall, CGS-CIMB forecast Grab to report robust GMV of US$5.1 billion (6% increase q-o-q and 31.3% increase y-o-y), with its mobility segment especially benefitting from the reopening of regional economies.Amid easing competition, the analysts believe Grab is able to scale back on its incentive levels and continue to increase monetisation. Hence, they forecast revenue of US$281 million in 2QFY2022, a 23.2% growth q-o-q and 56.1% growth y-o-y.“With better scale and easing competition, we expect adjusted EBITDA losses to further narrow on a q-o-q basis to US$241 million in 2QFY2022, though remain higher versus 2QFY2021,” they add.Shares in Grab closed 2 US cents lower or 0.67% down on July 29 at US$2.95.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908107562,"gmtCreate":1659330748256,"gmtModify":1676536288453,"author":{"id":"3578180924356197","authorId":"3578180924356197","name":"T7822","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b235505e2a2bfad113f3cc20fbb369a0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578180924356197","authorIdStr":"3578180924356197"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","listText":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] ","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908107562","repostId":"2256011225","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}