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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-12-23
  https://www.drwealth.com/bitcoin-singapore/
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-26
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  Didi stock turned red to green
  Didi's share rose more than 1%, after falling by more than 10%. The outlook for Didi Global is stil
  Didi stock turned red to green
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-24
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-23
  Like pls
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-22
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-21
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  Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday
  Futures mixed. Treasury yields extend gains. Verizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Co
  Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-19
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  Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual
  This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.
  Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-18
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-17
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- computers80computers80
  ·2021-07-14
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and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800554735","repostId":"1172003910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172003910","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627307926,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172003910?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-26 21:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Didi stock turned red to green","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172003910","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Didi's share rose more than 1%, after falling by more than 10%.\n\nThe outlook for Didi Global is stil","content":"<p>Didi's share rose more than 1%, after falling by more than 10%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fc75f706a2efc7e55660325d2098531\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The outlook for&nbsp;Didi Global&nbsp;is still too murky amid the Chinese tech stock crackdown for investors to step in and buy the dip, according to Atlantic Equities.</p>\n<p>Analyst Xiao Ai downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight, saying that the stock was a risk until the regulatory issues are ironed out.</p>\n<p>“While we believe the most likely outcome will be manageable financial and operational penalties, the range of outcomes leaves us unable to recommend the stock until there is more certainty,” the note said.</p>\n<p>Atlantic, which is the only major Wall Street firm that covers Didi, said its year-end price target for the stock was $12 per share but warned that the stock should remain volatile. That target is still nearly 50% above where shares closed Friday.</p>\n<p>The ride-hailing company is one of several Chinese firms that are facing regulatory issues there. Chinese officials have limited Didi’s customer acquisition ability, including blocking app downloads. The stock has dropped more than 50% since July 1.</p>\n<p>For Didi in particular, this lost time in gaining market share could be a big hit to its long-term outlook, Atlantic said.</p>\n<p>“A significant premium comes with having a monopoly in ridehailing and hence there would not be a linear relationship between market share lost and the impact on valuation,” the note said.</p>\n<p>Notably, the move from Atlantic is not an overall call on stocks that are under increased scrutiny in Beijing. The firm reiterated its overweight rating on&nbsp;Alibaba&nbsp;and&nbsp;Tencent.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Didi stock turned red to green</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDidi stock turned red to green\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-26 21:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Didi's share rose more than 1%, after falling by more than 10%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fc75f706a2efc7e55660325d2098531\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The outlook for&nbsp;Didi Global&nbsp;is still too murky amid the Chinese tech stock crackdown for investors to step in and buy the dip, according to Atlantic Equities.</p>\n<p>Analyst Xiao Ai downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight, saying that the stock was a risk until the regulatory issues are ironed out.</p>\n<p>“While we believe the most likely outcome will be manageable financial and operational penalties, the range of outcomes leaves us unable to recommend the stock until there is more certainty,” the note said.</p>\n<p>Atlantic, which is the only major Wall Street firm that covers Didi, said its year-end price target for the stock was $12 per share but warned that the stock should remain volatile. That target is still nearly 50% above where shares closed Friday.</p>\n<p>The ride-hailing company is one of several Chinese firms that are facing regulatory issues there. Chinese officials have limited Didi’s customer acquisition ability, including blocking app downloads. The stock has dropped more than 50% since July 1.</p>\n<p>For Didi in particular, this lost time in gaining market share could be a big hit to its long-term outlook, Atlantic said.</p>\n<p>“A significant premium comes with having a monopoly in ridehailing and hence there would not be a linear relationship between market share lost and the impact on valuation,” the note said.</p>\n<p>Notably, the move from Atlantic is not an overall call on stocks that are under increased scrutiny in Beijing. The firm reiterated its overweight rating on&nbsp;Alibaba&nbsp;and&nbsp;Tencent.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172003910","content_text":"Didi's share rose more than 1%, after falling by more than 10%.\n\nThe outlook for Didi Global is still too murky amid the Chinese tech stock crackdown for investors to step in and buy the dip, according to Atlantic Equities.\nAnalyst Xiao Ai downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight, saying that the stock was a risk until the regulatory issues are ironed out.\n“While we believe the most likely outcome will be manageable financial and operational penalties, the range of outcomes leaves us unable to recommend the stock until there is more certainty,” the note said.\nAtlantic, which is the only major Wall Street firm that covers Didi, said its year-end price target for the stock was $12 per share but warned that the stock should remain volatile. That target is still nearly 50% above where shares closed Friday.\nThe ride-hailing company is one of several Chinese firms that are facing regulatory issues there. Chinese officials have limited Didi’s customer acquisition ability, including blocking app downloads. The stock has dropped more than 50% since July 1.\nFor Didi in particular, this lost time in gaining market share could be a big hit to its long-term outlook, Atlantic said.\n“A significant premium comes with having a monopoly in ridehailing and hence there would not be a linear relationship between market share lost and the impact on valuation,” the note said.\nNotably, the move from Atlantic is not an overall call on stocks that are under increased scrutiny in Beijing. The firm reiterated its overweight rating on Alibaba and Tencent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174718885,"gmtCreate":1627138547847,"gmtModify":1703484721107,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174718885","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174047673,"gmtCreate":1627054509592,"gmtModify":1703483530140,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174047673","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172510696,"gmtCreate":1626965726115,"gmtModify":1703481588606,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lile pls","listText":"Lile pls","text":"Lile pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172510696","repostId":"2153671844","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176167042,"gmtCreate":1626872637486,"gmtModify":1703479636305,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176167042","repostId":"1199453596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199453596","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626868481,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199453596?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199453596","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures mixed.\nTreasury yields extend gains.\nVerizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Co","content":"<ul>\n <li>Futures&nbsp;mixed.</li>\n <li>Treasury yields extend gains.</li>\n <li>Verizon Communications Inc., Johnson &amp; Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&amp;P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.</p>\n<p><b>“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,</b>”&nbsp;Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”</p>\n<p>At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75&nbsp;points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%.&nbsp;Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc4ef529489e25f7c52e4a3f54940d\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Here are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cryptocurrency-related stocks jump in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.</li>\n <li>Moderna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&amp;P 500 Index.</li>\n <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.</li>\n <li>Next shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.</li>\n <li>Thule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.</li>\n <li>ASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”</li>\n <li>SAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.</li>\n <li>Ubisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.</li>\n <li>Daimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Result&nbsp;posted&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;ASML</b>-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Coca-Cola</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter.&nbsp;Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened.&nbsp;Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;</b><b>Verizon</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> - Johnson &amp; Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson &amp; Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.</p>\n<p>Treasury&nbsp;10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to&nbsp;pare back&nbsp;bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.</p>\n<p>In FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.</p>\n<p>In commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.<b>Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month</b>, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.</p>\n<p>On day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 19:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Futures&nbsp;mixed.</li>\n <li>Treasury yields extend gains.</li>\n <li>Verizon Communications Inc., Johnson &amp; Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&amp;P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.</p>\n<p><b>“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,</b>”&nbsp;Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”</p>\n<p>At 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75&nbsp;points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%.&nbsp;Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc4ef529489e25f7c52e4a3f54940d\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Here are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cryptocurrency-related stocks jump in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.</li>\n <li>Moderna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&amp;P 500 Index.</li>\n <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.</li>\n <li>Next shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.</li>\n <li>Thule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.</li>\n <li>ASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”</li>\n <li>SAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.</li>\n <li>Ubisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.</li>\n <li>Daimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Result&nbsp;posted&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>1)&nbsp;ASML</b>-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.</p>\n<p><b>2)&nbsp;Coca-Cola</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter.&nbsp;Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened.&nbsp;Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p><b>3)&nbsp;</b><b>Verizon</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.</p>\n<p><b>4)&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> - Johnson &amp; Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson &amp; Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.</p>\n<p>Treasury&nbsp;10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to&nbsp;pare back&nbsp;bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.</p>\n<p>In FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.</p>\n<p>In commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.<b>Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month</b>, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.</p>\n<p>On day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199453596","content_text":"Futures mixed.\nTreasury yields extend gains.\nVerizon Communications Inc., Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola Co and Anthem, Inc. posted earnings results in premarket.\nBitcoin Storms Back Over $31,000.\n\n(July 21) US equity futures, European bourses and Treasury yields rose for a second day clawing back much of the week's losses that were sparked by fears over spiking COVID-19 cases, as well as the \"peak growth\" and \"peak inflation\" narratives, as bargain hunters helped the S&P 500 to all but erase Monday’s slide in a rally led by cyclicals such as industrial stocks even though the dollar notched further gains on concerns over the impact of a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.\n“The correction we had is healthy to clear some of the excess out of the market and to get better balancing between growth and value,” Katie Koch, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s co-head of fundamental equity, said on Bloomberg Television. “From a long-term perspective we are really still very constructive on equity markets, so we’d encourage clients to be overweight risk assets.”\nAt 7:55 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 77 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis were ip 2.75 points, or 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 45.25 points, or 0.31%. Bitcoin recovered from its drop below 30,000 jumping back over $31,000 ahead of a conference that sees Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Woodspeak on cryptos.\n\nHere are some of the biggest U.S. movers today:\n\nCryptocurrency-related stocks jump in premarket trading, tracking a rebound for Bitcoin back above the $30,000 level. Marathon Digital (MARA) rises 6.9% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) gains 6.3%.\nModerna (MRNA) slips 1.5% ahead of its inclusion into the S&P 500 Index.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 0.3% in premarket trading with most analysts maintaining a positive view on the stock despite second-quarter results and forecast for subscriber growth that came in below expectations.\nNext shares surge as much as 11%, the most since April 2020, after the U.K. retailer raised its profit forecast again as shoppers returned to stores after the end of lockdowns. RBC sees consensus estimates being increased by mid-to-high single digits.\nThule rises as much as 11% in its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 10 as the maker of bike racks and bags beats the highest profit estimate in the consensus range.\nASML shares rise as much as 4.6%, the most intraday since May 5, after the company reported record orders that Oddo BHF (outperform) says were “slightly above expectations.”\nSAP’s shares fall more than 5.1% after earnings, with analysts underwhelmed by the software giant’s slightly raised outlook for cloud revenue.\nUbisoft shares drop as much as 4.3% to a two-month low after giving a sales update. Jefferies notes the video game maker’s guidance remains a wide range.\nDaimler shares fall as much as 4% in Frankfurt after lowering the sales outlook for its Mercedes-Benz division amid a chip shortage. Warburg says the reduction “is clearly negative” while noting that the margin target corridor for Mercedes-Benz Cars and Vans was confirmed.\n\nFinancial Result posted in premarket:\n1) ASML-ASML reports €4.0 billion net sales and €1.0 billion net income in Q2 2021 Net sales now expected to grow by around 35% in 2021.Q2 net sales of €4.0 billion, gross margin of 50.9%, net income of €1.0 billion; Q2 net bookings of €8.3 billion; ASML expects Q3 2021 net sales between €5.2 billion and €5.4 billion and a gross margin between 51% and 52%; ASML announces a new share buyback program of up to €9 billion to be executed by December 31, 2023.\n2) Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola rallied almost 2% in premarket trading following an upbeat quarter. Coca-Cola came in 12 cents above estimates withadjusted quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share, with revenue beating forecasts as venues like stadiums and movie theaters reopened. Coca-Cola also raised its full-year forecast.\n3) Verizon - Verizon beats on Q2 earnings, issues robust FY21 outlook. Verizon Communications Inc reported second-quarter FY21 operating revenue growth of 10.9% year-on-year to $33.8 billion, beating the analyst consensus of $32.68 billion. Wireless revenue growth, strong Fios and Verizon Media results, and increased wireless equipment revenue drove the revenue numbers.\n4) Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson Q2 earnings beat expectations; raises FY21 outlook, sees $2.5B sales from COVID vaccine. Johnson & Johnson reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $2.48 per share, almost 50% higher than the $1.67 posted a year ago and better than the consensus of $2.27. Net sales increased 27% Y/Y to $23.3 billion, and ahead of the $22.1 billion consensus.\nTreasury 10-year yields rose further above 1.2% though it remains to be seen if the recovery in yields has legs amid lingering concerns about the delta virus variant that led traders to pare back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Treasuries bear-steepened with long-end yields cheaper by 3bp-4bp as U.S. stock futures rise to weekly highs, with focus turning to corporate earnings. Treasury 10-year yields 1.243%, were cheaper by ~2bp on the day and mildly underperforming bunds and gilts; long-end-led losses steepen 2s10s and 5s30s by ~2bp. The Asian session produced gains for Treasuries, led by Aussie bonds, that began to erode during European morning helped by 10-year futures block sale. U.S. session’s main event is 20-year bond reopening.\nIn FX, the dollar index edged up 0.07% to 93.030, with the euro down 0.07% to $1.1771. The Bloomberg dollar index advanced to its highest since early April and risk-sensitive currencies rallied as a slew of corporate earnings took the focus off the coronavirus. The Aussie headed for its longest run of losses since September amid stricter virus curbs and a weaker-than-expected retail sales print. The Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar led G-10 gains while the yen underperformed.\nIn commodities, Brent crude oil climbed back above $70 a barrel. The precious metals complex moved in tandem with yields, with spot gold in a tight range just above USD 1,800/oz (1,803-13/oz) and spot silver north of USD 25/oz (24.76-25.12/oz). Base metals have nursed overnight losses as the risk appetite across the markets offers base metals with some solace from China’s NDRC resuming its jawboning.Chinese state media noted that China is to auction 30k tonnes of copper, 90k tonnes of aluminium, and 50k tonnes of zinc from state reserves later this month, whilst the NDRC urged stepping up supervision on commodity prices and ensure overall price level targets this year.\nOn day after sliding below $30,000, a key support level which many said has to hold, it did just that with bitcoin storming higher and back over $31,000.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171987784,"gmtCreate":1626702748848,"gmtModify":1703763639094,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/171987784","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146536243?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p>\n<p>The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p>\n<p>But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p>\n<p>Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p>\n<p>Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p>\n<p>If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p>\n<p>Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p>\n<p>Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p>\n<p>All this has a number of implications:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>\n <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>\n <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>\n <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 16:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle '...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173370614,"gmtCreate":1626622942438,"gmtModify":1703762425220,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173370614","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179688977,"gmtCreate":1626518029499,"gmtModify":1703761386722,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179688977","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144329369,"gmtCreate":1626269151151,"gmtModify":1703756710857,"author":{"id":"3579253238684353","authorId":"3579253238684353","name":"computers80","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e43a3c84885b9d5e8a51ea009efa7cf0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579253238684353","idStr":"3579253238684353"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lile and comment","listText":"Lile and comment","text":"Lile and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144329369","repostId":"1154987666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}