bluekiwiseed

Duck of Wall Street High volatility = Shorting half + DCA

    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-17
      $Intel(INTC)$  An institution is manipulating the stockprice. At 00:00, one 15-minute candlestick rose by $1.5 from 19.5 to 20.99. Afterward, the next 15-minute candle did not follow through with a red doji candlestick at $20.64. No follow through. I further spot a 14.2k worth of position in the order book at the opening of 3rd candlestick at 00:30 being bought, when the price fell to $20.54. This position then quickly disappeared within seconds.  This is clearly a fakeout. 99% confidence that this institution has insider news on INTC, as the earnings date draws near.
      18.47K2
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-13
      Growth/tech stocks facing a tripe blow in January. December Fed to reduce rate cuts over time Job growth, yields increase Biden stifling competition with tariffs Can CPI outlook reverse the trend? Can Trump reverse the trend?
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-13
      $Tempus AI(TEM)$  US economy doing too well (job growth, yields raise) and too bad (CPI potentially worse?) at the same time, contributing to market downturn (reduced interest rates cuts). Growth stocks suffer most, while defensive sectors (healthcare, utilities, etc.) become safer alternatives. This places TEM in an awkard position. It is a growth stock in a defensive sector. The market downturn reduces present value of future earnings, leading to lower stock prices, while strong demand for healthcare provides buffer against cyclical risks. Will TEM go beyond $40 in the next few months?  TEM has substantial cash buffer (roughly 500mil liquidity) as of Q3 2024 to ride through 12-18mths of market downturn, but it needs to reduce its cash b
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-07
      $Tempus AI(TEM)$  TEM just broke $40 upon news catalyst of further regulatory approvals, which I expected to happen near-term.  I anticipate it will retest 2-3 more times in 4HR chart in order to secure a solid foundation before heading to the previous higher lows: $42-45.  In the unlikely event, it may retrace to $38-39 before testing $40-41 for a few days, giving more opportunity to enter.  We are near the peak golden hours for buying TEM. Missing this timing and you may come back the next year. Any price below $40 is risk-free bargain.
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-03
      $MARA Holdings(MARA)$  I see 2 alternatives. 1. Drop to $15.3 previous resistance. 2. Plummet to $10-12.5 in line with changes in BTC in a few days. 3. Bullish trend reversal only appears with good catalyst (i.e. Trump 20 Jan) This is a good time to buy puts, whether you currently hold a position or not. In case everything goes south. But don't buy too many and cause you to FOMO.
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·01-02
      $Tempus AI(TEM)$  This is one of the top AI trades of 2025.  1. AI development is transitioning from hardware/software/model developers that harness Generative AI & LLM to data-centric AI (annotation, analytics), application providers & vertical solutions. In 2024, we saw the former nearing maturity (NVDA & semicon industry slowdown), and the latter taking off (TEM, INOD, PLTR, BBAI, etc.). The latter's experimental success is a sign of greater things to come; we're not in an AI bubble but an AI boom. 2. Increasing role of AI in an expanding global precision medicine market potentially exceeding $100 billion by 2030, growing at ~11% CAGR. TEM forming strategic partnerships with healthca
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·2024-12-31
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ There are days when you shouldn't look at your trading app and this is one of those days. Tax loss harvesting. Simple as that. As a contrarian, this is also a great day to double down.
      1.24K1
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·2024-12-30
      It's obvious that since Xmas Rally fails to effect, tax loss harvesting will double down, hence all market indexes are currently in the red until New Year. This is a good time to add more and DCA.
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·2024-12-30
      Santa Rally is not happening this year. Instead, we'll have January Rally.
      143Comment
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    • bluekiwiseedbluekiwiseed
      ·2024-12-23
      $Tempus AI(TEM)$  Understanding what happened on 21 Dec by applying liquidity theory. Institutions steps in massively at ~32.5, possibly half of the green candlestick was institutional setup. This is confirmed by the RVOL (an indicator for unusual volume) and the lack of liquidity at the bottom of the body.  Retail traders then steps in to push prices up, thinking we've hit the bottom as insider selling seemed to end (news catalyst), and by ~33 institutions further assisted a little to reassure and attract more retail traders, leading to the consolidation of 3 long green candles followed by price consolidation at 35-36 before market closed. This is an institutional setup for an inducement. The inducement hasn't ended.
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