$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ the present year has been rather bad to me personally on many fronts: health & some domestic issues and also portfolio wise. Really hoping the year of the 🐎 🐴 will be much better & gallop ahead in the gains 📈 Lane. I plan to focus more on blue-chip bets like DBS, UOB, NVDA in this year. They have stood the test of time.
Softer CPI print increases the possibility of rate cuts by providing the Fed with the flexibility & reassurance needed to shift focus from fighting inflation to supporting labor market. There will be few major factors behind this: (1) Probability Shift where people have bet for a June cut, with probabilities as high as 83% to 90% (2) Timing: a March cut remains highly unlikely due to a still-strong labor market, the disinflation trend keeps this likely for H2 2026 (3) Qquantum of cuts: Markets now price in approximately 63 basis points of total easing for 2026, equivalent to about two to three quarter-point reductions by year-end. (4) how markets react: S&P 500 and other major indices initially rallied on the news, as lower inflation and the prospect of
Supply tightening and liquid float decrease will be the first outcomes. Steady sovereign accumulation on this scale would likely exert a structural tightening effect on the market with significantly reduced liquid float, the logically expected price elasticity as and when there are demand shocks. Both these can lead to a market multiplier i.e. a "reflexive" effect where every $1 of net inflow can increase Bitcoin's market cap by $3.70 in bull markets, as institutional buyers typically hold with higher conviction than retail - any good macroeconomics student can explain this. Many points to note wouos be a fragile sentiment, maintaining support levels: & being mindful of structural shifts.
Hmm, interesting take. Let me put a different pessimistic hat than the one I usually do: The recent action on Feb 12, with a sharp tech selloff and a flight to defensive sectors, might currently be a heavy tactical rotation rather than a confirmed long-term regime shift. Nasdaq fell 2.03% and Goldman's AI Risk Basket experienced a significant 5.1% plunge, broader market sentiment is being held in check by stabilizing economic data. But despite the tech slump, market breadth has remained relatively healthy, with industrials, energy, and REITs seeing selective inflows. The inflation tailwinds, valuation reset & economic growth being robust indicate a Tactical Pause rather than a Regime Shift.
No, I feel the recent plunge in AppLovin & Palantir reflects a sharp market recalibration rather than a purely fundamental collapse. Both reported robust growth but their prices have been caught in a broader sell-off triggered by fears of AI-driven disruption and high valuations rather than any wipeout scenario. However, the market is sharply recalibrating the price multiples it is willing to pay and this is healthy for the long run sustainability too.