Thank you, I tagged 3 more stocks. The ones you shared are all companies with good fundamentals, and some may even benefit from the economic recession.
6 Value Stock To Buying Jan 2025!
@Mickey082024：
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $FMC Corp(FMC)$ $Pepsi(PEP)$ What Companies I'm Buying and My Investment Philosophy Let’s revisit my approach and philosophy to investing, as it’s always helpful to articulate and refresh these principles. Around 50% of my portfolio consists of what I call dividend compounders. These are businesses that excel in their operations, driving stock price appreciation over time, all while paying consistent and growing dividends. The remaining 50% of my portfolio focuses on value & growth companies that may or don’t pay dividends but have significant upside potential. Occasionally, I also invest in decent dividend payers, which, while not compounders, are still solid companies with above-average potential. I see these as interim opportunities when high-quality companies are overpriced or unavailable. Why Not 100% Dividend Compounders? It’s a fair question: why not go all-in on dividend compounders? The answer lies in market realities. Sometimes the best companies are overpriced for extended periods. Rather than sitting on cash, I prefer to invest in decent companies that are undervalued or temporarily underperforming. This aligns with the principle of value investing, inspired by Warren Buffett: buy great companies at good prices, not overvalued ones. Even decent dividend payers can turn into compounders if their setbacks are temporary. I aim to capitalize on these opportunities while staying patient for the right price on my top picks. Companies I’m Buying Right Now Currently, I’m buying six companies due to their sector selloffs or dips. Stick around for a bonus pick at the end. Let’s dive into the first one: AMD. Why AMD? AMD is one of my top picks in the AI space, where many competitors, like Nvidia and Broadcom, appear overvalued. AMD recently presented at the CES Tech Conference, but their presentation fell flat due to uninspiring delivery and lackluster marketing. Despite this, there’s exciting news: AMD has entered the U.S. PC market through a partnership with Dell, breaking Intel’s long-standing dominance. This partnership is a significant milestone. Corporate contracts, like those with Dell, are crucial for market share growth, especially as AMD continues to challenge Intel in performance and value. While Intel still dominates consumer laptops sold at retailers like Costco, AMD is steadily gaining ground. Positive reviews from the tech community signal that AMD’s chips are performing well. The challenge for AMD lies in improving its marketing and sales strategy to secure more contracts and expand its presence. The good news? They’re moving in the right direction. For more on why I’m bullish on AMD as a long-term play, check out my previous articles. Moving on to the Next Company: FMC Let’s talk about FMC, a company I believe is significantly undervalued, which is why I’m buying into it right now. Here’s a quick summary. FMC operates in the crop chemical industry, producing sprays, chemicals, and insecticides that enable farmers worldwide to mass-produce essential crops like rice, corn, and wheat. The company’s stock has been on a selloff due to industry-wide challenges, including unfavorable weather, inflation, and most notably, destocking. However, in their most recent earnings, FMC appears to be turning a corner, showing signs of improvement and what seems like a rebound from their bottom. Despite these headwinds, FMC has a long history of producing essential products that the agricultural sector depends on. Looking ahead, if the global population continues to grow, the demand for crops and food will naturally increase—and FMC is positioned to benefit from that trend. While FMC might not qualify as a classic dividend compounder, its total return (excluding the past two challenging years) is surprisingly strong, even shocking. I trust FMC as a long-term investment, at least for the next 10 to 20 years, based on the thesis that an expanding global population will drive the need for greater agricultural output—and FMC will play a vital role in meeting that demand. The Best of Them All: Realty Income Corporation (Ticker: $Realty Income(O)$ ) The crown jewel of this list is Realty Income Corporation (O). This company has the best combination of undervaluation, long-term growth potential, and reliable income. Realty Income pays a healthy and safe monthly dividend, which they’ve been growing longer than most of us have been alive. PepsiCo (Ticker: PEP) Next up is PepsiCo, a high-quality consumer packaged goods (CPG) company currently trading at a discount. When I see opportunities like this, I don’t hesitate to act. While people often think of PepsiCo as just a soda company, they’re so much more—they own a portfolio that spans comfort foods, sports drinks, and everything in between. When comparing PepsiCo to its rival, Coca-Cola, I prefer PepsiCo because of their diverse portfolio. And with shares trading below their intrinsic valuation, I’ve been consistently buying shares over the last few weeks. It’s been on my watchlist for nearly six years, and I’m finally getting the chance to build a position. Papa John’s (Ticker: $Papa John's(PZZA)$ ) While Papa John’s isn’t a superstar in the restaurant industry like McDonald’s or Domino’s, it’s still a strong player. In fact, they recorded their best sales day ever on Halloween, proving they have plenty of growth potential. Papa John’s is also expanding globally, with strong performances in markets like South Korea and South America. However, they’ve faced challenges like inflation, which has hurt margins for franchisees, and a 6% decline in North American sales year-over-year. Despite these setbacks, I see Papa John’s as a decent dividend-paying company with room to grow. While it’s riskier than other names on this list, I believe the market is underestimating its potential. For more details, check out my deep-dive video on Papa John’s. My Target Buy Prices Here’s what I’ve been paying for the companies mentioned: AMD: I’m buying whenever it trades below $125/share. Recently, it’s been bouncing between $120 and $130. Depending on their upcoming earnings, we might see it either shoot up to $140–$150 or face a pullback. Regardless, I see AMD as a high-risk, high-reward stock with strong long-term potential. FMC: I think it’s a screaming buy at $52/share or lower. Realty Income Corporation (O): This is the best REIT out there, and I’m buying whenever it’s under $53/share. The REIT industry is currently depressed due to high interest rates, but I expect Realty Income to bounce back to $65–$70 once inflation stabilizes. PepsiCo: My buy price is $150/share, and right now, Pepsi is trading well below that. I’ve been buying shares almost daily for the past three weeks because I believe in their long-term success. Papa John: Unless they prove otherwise to be a poor operation, I believe Papa John’s is a fantastic company. As I mentioned earlier, it’s not the top restaurant company out there, but at its current price, it’s an absolute steal. I’m buying shares at this valuation because I find it incredibly cheap—anything under $50 feels like a bargain to me. Hershey (Ticker: $Hershey(HSY)$ ) Now, let’s talk about Hershey. The company is navigating through a stormy period right now. First, there was the scare from weight-loss drugs like Ozempic, which led Wall Street to worry that nobody would ever eat candy or chocolate again. On top of that, cocoa prices—the key raw material for chocolate—are at historic highs. Hershey’s procurement team is frontloading their cocoa inventory because prices are forecasted to keep rising into late 2025 and 2026. Unfortunately, this has put pressure on their margins, and Wall Street is bearish. Investors are pricing in a grim future for Hershey, assuming the worst is yet to come. The Long-Term Outlook In the short term (the next year or two), I don’t expect great things from Hershey. The stock might trade flat or even decline. But here’s the thing: Hershey has weathered inflationary environments like this dozens of times in its long history, and I believe they’ll emerge stronger once again. The key question is whether their dividend will remain safe during this rough patch. Let’s look at the numbers: Dividend Yield: 3.3% – Average, but solid. Payout Ratio: Healthy and sustainable, with room for growth. Dividend Growth: Hershey is growing their dividend at an impressive 22.9% year-over-year. This makes Hershey a true dividend compounder. Despite the current challenges, the dividend remains safe and lucrative. Hershey vs. Intel: A Similar Story Are They Really Comparable? Hershey reminds me of Intel—a beaten-down, undesirable company that Wall Street has labeled a dumpster fire. Yet, people are betting on Intel for a turnaround and a rebound story. Hershey is in the same boat. While I’m not aligning with Wall Street’s pessimism, I recognize that this period presents a potential opportunity for long-term investors who believe in Hershey’s resilience. For Wall Street, the comparison between Hershey and Intel might seem valid at a glance, but let’s examine the fundamentals to see if they truly belong in the same category. Financial Performance Looking at Hershey’s cash flow statement, the company is generating $1.6 billion in free cash flow over the past 12 months. While this is a decline from their 2022 high of $1.8 billion, it’s largely due to operational challenges tied to rising cocoa prices. Hershey’s top-line revenue also declined modestly by -1.6% year-over-year, but overall, the business remains healthy. Now, compare this to Intel. Their revenue has dropped by a staggering -20% to -24% year-over-year, and it’s currently flat at $54 billion. While Intel still generates significant revenue, their free cash flow tells a different story: Fiscal Year 2021: $9.1 billion in free cash flow Fiscal Year 2022: Negative $9.6 billion That’s a massive reversal, and unlike Hershey, Intel also cut its dividend—something Hershey has not done. In fact, Hershey continues to grow its dividend at double-digit rates, while Intel no longer even pays one. Why Hershey Stands Out The idea that Hershey and Intel are in the same category of rebound or turnaround stories seems unfair to Hershey. Despite challenges, Hershey’s fundamentals are significantly stronger: Free Cash Flow: Positive and sustainable, even under pressure. Dividend Growth: Consistent and growing at an impressive rate. Balance Sheet: Solid, with no glaring red flags. Intel, on the other hand, is plagued by speculation. The success of its foundry business remains uncertain, making it a much riskier investment. Hershey’s Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain It’s true that Hershey is currently facing headwinds: cocoa prices are at historic highs, margins are tightening, and Wall Street sentiment is largely negative. As a result, I don’t expect Hershey’s stock price to perform like Nvidia, whose future looks undeniably bright. Instead, Hershey’s focus is on navigating these challenges, which I believe are temporary. While Hershey’s stock might underperform in the near term, the company’s fundamentals suggest that it will emerge stronger. For long-term investors like myself, this presents an opportunity to buy into a high-quality dividend compounder at a discount. Why Hershey Isn’t in the Top Five My personal buy price for Hershey is $160 or below. At this level, I believe the stock is undervalued and offers a compelling opportunity for long-term growth. However, Hershey didn’t make my Top Five list because of the negative sentiment surrounding the company. Wall Street’s pessimism about Hershey’s future means the stock price likely won’t see significant upward momentum in the short term. For me, this isn’t a dealbreaker, but it does make Hershey a riskier play compared to others like Papa John’s. The Bottom Line Hershey’s fundamentals—positive free cash flow, a growing dividend, and a solid balance sheet—make it a compelling investment for long-term investors willing to weather the current storm. If the company’s free cash flow were negative and its revenue were declining by -30% to -40%, I’d steer clear. But that’s not the case here. That said, Hershey is risky right now, so I recommend conducting your own due diligence before investing. I’m optimistic that Hershey will see brighter days in the next 5-10 years, and I’m confident in my decision to buy at today’s levels. Looking Ahead This wraps up my thoughts on Hershey and its investment potential. This series will include weekly portfolio updates covering my buys, sells, and strategy. While I’m a long-term investor who holds positions for years, I’ll make it entertaining for you. Disclaimer this is not financial advice. @Daily_Discussion @TigerPM @TigerObserver @Tiger_comments @TigerClub
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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