To The Moon

Recent quarters have shown promising signs. Grab has trimmed costs, optimized operations, and shifted its focus from aggressive subsidies to building a healthier bottom line. Food delivery margins have improved, and mobility demand remains resilient despite economic headwinds. Financial services growth, while slower than initial projections, still offers future optionality.

However, investors must stay cautious. Competition in Southeast Asia remains fierce, and promotional spending could creep back up if rivals become aggressive. Macro uncertainties like inflation and currency fluctuations could also dampen consumer spending, squeezing margins once again.

The key figure to watch will be Grab’s adjusted EBITDA — if they deliver another beat, it could finally cement investor confidence that profitability isn't just a one-quarter wonder but a new normal. If earnings disappoint, though, patience among shareholders could run thin quickly.

Will Grab’s earnings deliver enough evidence of a profitable, scalable business model? Or will it remain trapped in the cycle of promising growth without sustainable profits?

For now, cautious optimism seems warranted. But in this market, strong earnings beats are the real ticket to unlocking higher valuations — and Grab needs to prove it has the goods.