Trading Against the Crowd
When I went long and entered trades on April 7th (T), right at the market bottom, it was met with significant pushback. Some argued the risk of the trade with current price action capitulation and pointed to the ongoing negative and uncertain tariff narrative. Worse, some even resorted to personal attacks in their feeds.
It’s easy to dismiss the April 7th call as just another tweet on hindsight, but what many overlooked was the depth of research shared leading up to it. Since April 1st, despite holding sizable shorts, I had been laying out the groundwork: tracking market breadth hitting 5-year historic lows of 10/20/50/100/200-MA % to every index component stocks, observing the development of historical stretch of ATR% multiples relative to the 50-day MA extension, and just waiting for an intraday r2g move from capitulation at open like an expansive rate-of-change, then flipping green intraday at 60% ATR below LoD. This is an exquisite spot for highest RRR at such extreme volatility, and i standby my word that you need to be involved in such an market as a swing trader. Outcome can't be controlled, but always be in control of your risk. This also wasn’t just a chart-based decision— it's experience built day by day from turning up daily with 15-16 years of market dedication, still unmarried.
Next month marks my 15th year on Twitter. I’ve never asked for anything in return—just sharing quantifiable approaches during my free time, ideas, and some hard truths that I wish I had to shorten my own learning curve in the early years. To let trading truly change your life, you need to take full ownership of it. Really let that sink in—ownership in your own trading. You need to understand what that actually means.
Going forward, I’m exploring the idea of building a more gated community—one where I can share a more personalized take on daily market commentary, trading watchlists, actionable trades and entry strategies with 3-point stop setups, and risk management, all in a space free from bot-filled replies and noise. This episode made me realize that a more controlled environment for sharing market commentary and insights could be more constructive—and allow me to focus my attention on like-minded peers who value a trading approach grounded in the law of large numbers and adjustment based on periodic statistical analysis of their own trading journal.
PS: Now already T+14, the naysayers have flipped their script to scouting for long ideas below the declining 50-MA. And...... what's their net worth made from the market, without selling course?
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