Long-Term Real Returns
This is only the 4th time in history where bond investors suffered long-term losses (in real, total return terms). Equity market returns on the other hand have been spectacularly good.
Indeed, you might say bonds are at long-cycle lows, while equities are at long-cycle highs based on the chart below. This lines up with the same logic and intuition as in the chart above, and though it may not matter in the coming days, weeks, or even months, I think it’s fair to argue that these charts will matter immensely in the coming years and decades (if anyone out there is actually thinking that far ahead…!). $S&P 500(.SPX)$
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