To The Moon

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 

🎯 The Setup: From GPUs to AI’s Cash Engine

I’m looking at Nvidia expected to generate $97.5B in free cash flow in FY26; that’s up nearly $37B YoY and a staggering 26× since FY23 ($3.75B). By contrast, AMD is projected at $7.5B, a 7× lift in the same span. The divergence isn’t incremental; it’s exponential. Nvidia has followed the AI script almost perfectly, evolving from a GPU vendor into the cash machine of the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

📈 The Ascent: Market Power at Unprecedented Scale

I’m seeing Nvidia’s stock surge 1,200% since late 2022, the fastest rise for any U.S. mega-cap. With a $4.4T valuation, it now represents 8% of the S&P 500. Daily market cap swings exceed $200B, more than its entire yearly revenue. At 58× earnings and nearly 30× sales, Nvidia trades 1.8× the Nasdaq multiple, over twice TSMC, and nearly double industry averages.

But Nvidia isn’t standing alone. Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon are powering the AI super-stack. Azure AI revenue grew +34% YoY, Google is scaling Gemini and DeepMind, Meta is open-sourcing LLaMA while building compute at scale, and Amazon’s AWS is embedding AI chips through Bedrock and Anthropic. Together, these names lock Nvidia into the Magnificent Seven AI loop.

⚡ The Backbone: Semiconductors Beyond GPUs

I’m convinced the AI race isn’t just about GPUs. Micron is emerging as the high-bandwidth memory king with LPDDR5 and HBM supplying Nvidia’s GB200. Broadcom is producing custom ASICs for Google, Meta, and more, with Mizuho calling it a top AI pick. TSMC remains the foundry that makes Nvidia possible; its bullish base breakout is a technical confirmation that the ecosystem’s core is strengthening.

🚀 The Sentiment Engine: Viral Catalysts Fueling the Narrative

I’m watching Palantir explode on a $10B Army contract, surging over 460% as the AI defense stock of choice. Coinbase is gaining momentum from S&P 500 inclusion while bridging crypto with AI narratives. Robinhood has become a retail meme magnet with call sweeps lighting up the tape. Rocket Lab is building the AI-space frontier, with its Mars Telecommunications Orbiter giving retail traders a reason to connect AI and space exploration.

🪄 The Turn: The Illusion and the Cracks

I’m also watching where the illusion falters. $123M poured into Nvidia OTM calls today, betting it cannot fall. Yet gross margins dropped 270–300bps YoY; only a $180M reserve release on unsellable H20 chips softened the blow. Cash flow is lagging earnings. China, once 13% of sales, shipped zero H20 chips last quarter and management is assuming zero again.

⚖️ The Prestige: Risk, Reward, and What’s Next

I’m convinced Nvidia remains the defining equity of this AI era: a software–hardware flywheel amplified by the Magnificent Seven, powered by Micron, Broadcom, and TSMC, and energized by Palantir, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Rocket Lab. But every illusion has a reveal. Can free cash flow compound at this pace while geopolitics and valuation gravity circle overhead? Act Three will test the spell.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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