<Part 1 of 5> Fed's Interest Rate, Retail Sales & Manufacturing sector - Economic Calendar (15Sep25)
Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 15Sep25)
Public Holidays
There are no public holidays in Singapore, the USA, Hong Kong and China.
Observations (Economic Calendar)
Retail Sales and Consumption
Retail sales and retail sales data serve as crucial indicators for understanding consumer consumption trends within the U.S. market. This information provides insight into consumer spending habits and overall economic health.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
The most closely watched economic event is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The market has largely anticipated a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut, a sentiment likely influenced by pressure from President Trump. This expectation is already priced into current market positions, which means a decision not to cut rates could introduce significant volatility. The Federal Reserve's decision-making process is complicated by a challenging economic environment characterised by persistent inflation alongside rising unemployment. Some analysts have even suggested that an interest rate increase may be necessary to address the inflationary pressures.
Manufacturing Sector Performance
The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is a key metric for assessing the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. The index's performance serves as an important indication of the sector's current conditions and provides a forward-looking view on its trajectory.
Labour Market Health
Finally, the report on Initial Jobless Claims should be monitored closely. This data point is a vital reference for assessing the overall health of the economy and is another factor that the Federal Reserve considers when determining its interest rate policy.
Crude oil inventories are an item to monitor. A higher-than-expected inventory level can raise concerns about oil demand.
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