To The Moon

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ NVIDIA’s stock has rocketed to a new high of $184.59, up 2.05% to $181.85, as its AI empire expands, but the real fireworks are in the ecosystem: CoreWeave soared 15.9% to $138.88 after a $14.2 billion Meta compute deal through 2031, while Nebius hit $117.40 (up 2.34% to $110.22), Applied Digital gained 1.52% to $22.55, and Super Micro climbed 1.2% to $47.38. With NVIDIA’s rally showing no signs of slowing, can it push further? Will CoreWeave or Nebius steal the show and outperform? What’s the top pick to surf NVIDIA’s wave? Dive into the momentum, dissect the deals, and map your strategy in this AI constellation.

NVIDIA’s New Peak: The Rally’s Fuel

The ascent is unstoppable:

• Stock High: Intraday $184.59, closing $181.85 (up 2.05%), with a 28.83% YTD gain, per finance data.

• AI Empire: Jensen Huang’s “three laws of AI scaling” and OpenAI’s multi-trillion potential drive $4.3 trillion market cap.

• Market Sentiment: Posts found on X celebrate “NVIDIA’s endless rally” and “$200 call,” though some eye “overbought.”

• Economic Backdrop: Fed’s 25 bps cut to 4.13% and CPI at 2.9% support growth, with S&P 500 at 6,650 up 0.5%.

• Global Strength: Nasdaq at 22,200 up 0.4%, Bitcoin at $128,500 up 0.5% reflect tech dominance.

• Forecast: $370 by 2030 (103% upside), per predictions, with $205 short-term target.

The peak’s just the start.

Ecosystem Explosion: CoreWeave Leads the Charge

The partners are shining:

• CoreWeave Blast: 15.9% to $138.88, 235% YTD, on $14.2B Meta deal for AI cloud through 2031, adding $2B revenue.

• Nebius High: New 52-week high $117.40, closing $110.22 (up 2.34%), 102% YTD, with $1B offering fueling growth.

• Applied Digital Gain: 1.52% to $22.55, 50% YTD, benefiting from AI data centers.

• Super Micro Jump: 1.2% to $47.38, 20% YTD, with $187.32 2025 target on server demand.

• Sentiment Check: X buzzes with “CoreWeave outshines NVIDIA” and “Nebius breakout.”

• Risk Factor: A 5-10% pullback to $132-$125 for CoreWeave if Meta delays.

The orbit’s expanding.

Outperformance Potential: CoreWeave or Nebius Next?

The challengers rise:

• CoreWeave Edge: 235% YTD vs. NVIDIA’s 28.83%, with $14.2B deal projecting 50% revenue growth, targeting $150 (8% upside).

• Nebius Momentum: 102% YTD, $1B offering and analyst upgrade to $117.40 high, eyeing $120 (9% upside) on AI.

• NVIDIA Lead: $181.85, 28.83% YTD, but ecosystem plays like CoreWeave could outpace 20-30% if deals multiply.

• Sentiment Check: X favors “CoreWeave’s 15% pop” for outperformance.

• Technical View: CoreWeave’s RSI at 75 signals strength, Nebius at 72.

• Long-Term View: CoreWeave to $200 (44% upside) by 2026, Nebius to $150 (36%).

The underdogs bite.

Trading Opportunities: Catch the AI Wave

Strategic moves to consider:

• NVDA: Buy at $181.85, target $200, stop at $175. A 10% gain on highs.

• CoreWeave: Buy at $138.88, target $150, stop at $132. A 8% rise on Meta.

• Nebius: Buy at $110.22, target $120, stop at $105. A 9% upside on offering.

• Applied Digital: Buy at $22.55, target $25, stop at $21. A 10.9% lift.

• Super Micro: Buy at $47.38, target $50, stop at $45. A 5.6% gain on servers.

• Options Edge: Buy $200 NVDA calls or $150 CoreWeave calls (December expiry) for 100-120% gains on a 5% move.

• Cash Reserve: Hold 15% cash to buy dips at $175 or below.

Surf the surge.

Trading Strategies: Swing with the Galaxy

Short-Term Swings

• NVDA Pop: Buy at $181.85, sell at $185, stop at $179. A 1.7% scalp on volume.

• CoreWeave Lift: Buy at $138.88, target $142, stop at $136. A 2.2% rise on news.

• Nebius Bump: Buy at $110.22, target $112, stop at $108. A 1.6% gain on trend.

• Bearish Guard: Buy S&P 500 puts at 6,650, target 6,400, stop at 6,700. A 3.8% win if dip hits.

• Profit Lock: Sell Nasdaq at 22,200, target 21,800, stop at 22,300. A 1.8% buffer.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold NVDA: Buy at $181.85, target $240 by 2026, for 32% upside. Stop at $170.

• Hold CoreWeave: Buy at $138.88, target $200, for 44% upside on AI. Stop at $125.

• Value Anchor: Buy Walmart at $78, target $85, for 9% upside. Stop at $75.

• Defensive Hold: Buy Procter & Gamble at $180, target $195, for 8.3% upside. Stop at $170.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $14.60, target $16, stop at $13.60, to hedge volatility.

• Gold (GLD): Buy at $205, target $210, stop at $200, as a buffer.

• T-Bond Futures: Buy at 108, target 110, stop at 106, on rate shifts.

My Investment Plan: Surfing NVIDIA’s Galaxy

I’m riding the AI orbit. I’ll buy NVDA at $181.85, targeting $200, with a $175 stop, on Huang’s vision. I’ll add CoreWeave at $138.88, aiming for $150, with a $132 stop, on Meta deal. I’ll include Nebius at $110.22, targeting $120, with a $105 stop, and Applied Digital at $22.55, targeting $25, with a $21 stop. For stability, I’ll buy Walmart at $78, targeting $82, with a $75 stop. I’ll hedge with VIXY at $14.60, targeting $15.5, and hold 15% cash for a dip to $175. I’ll monitor Q3 earnings and X sentiment closely.

Key Metrics

The Bigger Picture

NVIDIA at $181.85 hits a new high, up 2.05%, with CoreWeave at $138.88 up 15.9%, Nebius at $110.22 up 2.34%, Applied Digital at $22.55 up 1.52%, and Super Micro at $47.38 up 1.2%. A 7.1% NVDA rise to $200 is in play, with CoreWeave (44% to $200) and Nebius (9% to $120) as outperformers. A 5-10% pullback to $172-$163 looms if momentum stalls. The AI galaxy’s expanding—pick your star!

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