NASDAQ remains in a strong Bullish phase
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2512(NQmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
The NASDAQ remains firmly in a Bullish trend zone, with the appropriate investment stance being Buy and Hold.
Within this Bullish phase, the market alternates between an Uptrend—characterized by strong upward momentum—and a Correction Trend, which reflects temporary price or time-based pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
Long-term investors should view these corrections as healthy pauses that allow the market to absorb prior gains and reset for the next upward phase. Historical data shows that remaining invested throughout these minor fluctuations yields significantly higher cumulative returns over time.
The NASDAQ’s Bullish zone has now persisted for 22 weeks, generating a cumulative return of +23.8% since May 2025. The probability of entering a Bearish zone within the next 10 weeks is currently estimated at 0%, underscoring the durability of the current long-term uptrend.
Key Figures:
Entry Price: 17,928.9
Current Price: 22,204.4
Gain: +4,275.5 points (+23.8%)
Duration in Bullish Zone: 22 weeks
➡️ Analyst Insight:
For long-term investors, the sustained Bullish momentum continues to favor a “Buy and Hold” approach. The uptrend remains structurally intact, and corrections should be interpreted as strategic accumulation opportunities rather than exit signals.
Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
Short-term market behavior currently exhibits a Correction Trend within a Bullish zone, marked by sideways movement and increased volatility. The buy-sell intensity has recently shifted toward sellers, signaling a temporary cooling period after strong multi-week gains.
Despite the current fluctuation pattern, the short-term outlook remains positive, with upward intensity expected to outweigh downward momentum in the coming weeks. Short-term traders are advised to apply a selective buying strategy near support levels and employ partial profit-taking during brief rallies.
Short-Term Trading Plan:
Buying Window: Oct 13, 2025
Buy Price: 21,968.3
Selling Window: Dec 01–Dec 08, 2025
Sell Target: 24,187.7
➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should treat the current dip as a tactical buying opportunity. Accumulate gradually near 21,900–22,000 and aim to lock in profits as prices approach the 24,000–24,200 range, maintaining flexibility amid volatility.
10-Week Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights
Forecast Range (Next 10 Weeks):
Expected Price Range: 22,070.3 – 23,886.6
Expected % Change: –0.6% to +7.6%
Median Price Target: 22,978.4 (+3.5%)
The next 10 weeks are projected to feature a balanced 5:5 ratio between upward and downward movements, though the upward intensity (85%) is significantly stronger than the downward side (–30%). The trend is expected to consolidate before resuming its upward path.
Trend Zone Outlook:
Current: Bullish 57%
10-Week Average Forecast: Bullish 30%
Long-Term 30-Week Average: Bullish 21%
Volatility may rise temporarily as short-term sentiment oscillates, but the broader directional bias remains to the upside.
➡️ Interpretation:
The medium-term projection supports continued strength with limited downside risk. Investors should expect a consolidation phase followed by renewed bullish momentum heading into early December.
Comparison to Previous Weekly Forecast
Category | Previous Forecast | Current Forecast | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
Trend Zone | Bullish | Bullish | ➡️ No change |
Trend Bias | Uptrend | Correction within Bullish | 🔽 Short-term cooling |
10-Week Target | 23,750 | 23,886.6 | Slightly higher |
Bearish Probability | 0% | 0% | No change |
Investment Stance | Buy & Hold | Buy & Hold | Maintain |
Summary:
While the short-term intensity eased slightly, the overall structural trend remains bullish, with an upward price range adjustment reflecting continued market resilience.
Key Considerations for Daily Strategy Based on Weekly Forecast
Monitor support near 21,900–22,000 for potential intraday rebounds.
Gradual accumulation during weak sessions is preferred to chasing rallies.
Watch for confirmation of renewed buying pressure before aggressive entries.
Manage risk by setting stop-loss near 21,700 to protect against unexpected sentiment reversals.
Daily traders should adapt to short-term volatility, focusing on buying dips rather than reacting to brief sell-offs.
Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
The NASDAQ’s correction this week is consistent with normal cyclical behavior within a Bullish trend. While sentiment cooled due to short-term profit-taking, the broader uptrend remains intact.
Long-term investors should maintain positions confidently, while short-term traders can capitalize on temporary weakness to enter at favorable prices. Overall, the index continues to project strength into year-end, supported by sustained sector leadership and low probability of a structural reversal.
Investment Strategy Summary
In summary, the NASDAQ remains in a strong Bullish phase, with short-term consolidation offering a strategic entry point for both long-term investors and traders. The 10-week forecast suggests steady upward potential of up to 7–8%, supported by stable trend intensity.
For investors facing increased uncertainty in daily trading, extending the timeframe for decision-making can help transform frequent market noise into actionable opportunities. From a medium- to long-term perspective, this period represents an attractive buying window that may enhance future returns.
In the short term, daily declines are expected to stabilize next week, with trends shifting toward a rebound. However, sudden reversals remain possible depending on news developments. By the time of the APEC Summit in two weeks, liquidity is anticipated to gradually stabilize, supporting moderate upward movement. On a weekly scale, the market remains in a Bullish zone under a corrective trend. We expect a return to a broader upward trend by early November, potentially carrying momentum through the year-end Santa Rally.
We recommend that short-term daily strategies align with these weekly forecasts, adjusting positions accordingly should the outlook change. While the weekend may bring uncertainty, it also offers a valuable opportunity to plan strategic adjustments to current positions.
For investors: Hold existing positions, accumulate on dips, and stay alert for renewed buying momentum in November.
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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
