$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚗⚡️🔥 Tesla: MACD Coil Tightens as Shorts Bet on the Final Dip Before Liftoff 🔥⚡️🚗

📊 Technicals Tell the Tale

I’m watching Tesla ($TSLA) consolidate near 444 after a sharp 3.6% slide. Price has rebounded off the lower Bollinger–Keltner cluster, with short-term resistance stacked between $457 and $466. Those levels are critical for a bullish pivot; until Tesla closes above $466, momentum remains capped. The MACD is still lagging beneath the signal line, showing bearish momentum fading but not yet reversed. Once that cross confirms, it could spark a new acceleration phase.

💡 Momentum Mechanics

I’m seeing deceleration in downside momentum on the histogram, meaning the selling pressure’s losing steam. EMAs (13, 21, 240) are still downward sloping, but the slope is softening. If Tesla pushes through $457 on strong volume, it could shift the entire short-term trend structure. That’s the pivot I’m waiting for.

🌍 Macro & Market Context

The macro backdrop is shifting in Tesla’s favour. The Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 bps to 3.75 %–4.00 %, easing financing costs for high-ticket items like EVs. However, US EV tax credits are expiring, creating a near-term rush in demand but also margin uncertainty into Q4. Inflation remains sticky, and the Fed’s message was clear; it’s pausing further tightening to protect growth.

Meanwhile, the broader equity landscape is rotating. Meta fell 12.4 % post-earnings, Microsoft slipped 1.6 %, and AI sentiment cooled temporarily. Alphabet’s 2.1 % rise was the exception, showing the bifurcation between quality tech and over-owned momentum names. Tesla’s caught in between, seen both as a cyclical EV play and a long-term AI-anchored robotics and autonomy powerhouse.

🧠 What’s Pressuring the Stock

Tesla’s regulatory paperwork delays for robotaxi launches in Arizona and Nevada have temporarily clipped optimism, while CalPERS’ opposition to Musk’s $1 trillion pay plan ahead of the 06Nov25 shareholder vote has introduced short-term political noise. Yet most analysts still expect the plan to pass; failure would likely only irritate Musk and delay, not derail, Tesla’s roadmap.

⚙️ The Bigger Picture

Tesla remains up ~14 % YTD and ~79 % over the past 12 months, proof that the longer trend structure is still intact. This correction looks less like a breakdown and more like a liquidity flush before the next leg higher. Short interest has ticked up, but historically, Tesla’s largest rallies begin when the bears over-commit, exactly where we are now.

📈 Key Levels I’m Tracking

Support: $438–$440

Near-term test: $457

Major breakout trigger: $466

Targets on breakout confirmation: $480 and $495

If that MACD cross confirms and volume expands above the 21 EMA, the setup transitions from defensive to opportunistic. I’m staying laser-focused for that alignment.

👉❓Do you think Tesla’s next rally starts before or after the 06Nov shareholder vote?

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerObserver @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @TigerPM 

# 1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?

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  • I’m aligned with your view, BC. The $TSLA MACD lag you pointed out mirrors what I’m seeing on $NVDA’s 4H too, both losing short-term momentum while holding key structural support. If Tesla clears $466, the broader AI complex could reprice quickly into next week’s macro window.
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      10-31
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  • Queengirlypops
    ·10-31
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    This setup’s insane fr. $TSLA under $466 looks like a quiet rocket building pressure. Shorts think they’re safe but that’s exactly when it flips. Same kind of tension we saw before $NVDA went wild. Momentum’s loading, energy’s unreal 🧃
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  • Tui Jude
    ·10-31
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    ⚡️ I like how you connected the Fed’s 25 bp cut to Tesla’s setup; rate-sensitive growth names like $RIVN are already reacting. If the $457 retest confirms demand, this might be the pivot that drives a sector-wide EV resurgence.
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  • Hen Solo
    ·10-31
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    📈🚗 That MACD compression you noted on Tesla looks identical to $NVDA’s flatline phase before its last breakout. The CalPERS headline adds noise but not structural risk; once that 06Nov vote’s behind us, sentiment could flip quickly.
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·10-31
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    The Fed’s shift helps Tesla’s cost base immediately. I’m not worried about CalPERS; institutional resistance like that often fades post-vote. What stands out is how Dojo’s compute scaling could converge with Nvidia’s rebound, giving Tesla a margin edge that few are modelling yet
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  • PetS
    ·10-31
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    📊 You nailed it, BC. Robotaxi paperwork delays are the real constraint here, not recalls. If Tesla secures approvals in Arizona and Nevada before the vote, the narrative changes overnight. I’m watching $GOOGL too since its AI strength could lift sentiment across autonomy plays.
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  • Barcode
    ·11-01
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    I’m not surprised to see a $5 pullback here after I identified price testing a key Fibonacci level while 15 min. RSI overheated above 80 🔥 (extended-hours chart). Still plenty of time for short-term price to cool off and attempt another run this afternoon!
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  • PetS
    ·10-31

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
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  • Hen Solo
    ·10-31

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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      H̤̮A̤̮P̤̮P̤̮Y̤̮ T̤̮R̤̮A̤̮D̤̮I̤̮N̤̮G̤̮ A̤̮H̤̮E̤̮A̤̮D̤̮! Cheers BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
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      🥂✨ Happy Friyay! 🌞📊
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