Yes, a 50% drop is possible, but not guaranteed.
Why it could happen
Macro risk – inflation, high interest rates, recession fears, or market shocks could trigger big sell-offs.
High volatility & leverage – Bitcoin markets are thin; if leveraged positions get liquidated, prices can fall fast.
Cycle cooling down – Post-halving cycles often include big pullbacks.
Regulation risk – New rules or crackdowns could scare investors.
Why it might NOT happen
Strong institutional support – ETFs, corporate treasuries, and big funds provide buying strength.
Adoption continues – Bitcoin is still seen as “digital gold” by many investors.
Long-term holders help stabilize price during corrections.
Overall
A 50% drop is possible, especially if macro economy turns bad.
But strong institutional buying makes a full crash less likely than in past cycles.
Good to be cautious, manage risk, and avoid too much leverage.
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