To The Moon

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ 472 Dollar Support Test: Azure Growth Concerns Weigh, 458-510 Range Awaits Breakout》 Latest Close (ET): MSFT closed at $472.12 (-1.32%), down from previous close of $478.43. The stock remains 14.9% below its 52-week high of $555.45, testing critical support levels amid market uncertainty. Core Market Drivers: Microsoft-NVIDIA-Anthropic strategic partnership announced with $50B Microsoft investment commitment signals AI diversification beyond OpenAI; Azure growth concerns persist as Q3 earnings revealed AI infrastructure bottlenecks; institutional rebalancing shows mixed sentiment with Morgan Stanley adding positions while Citigroup reduces tech exposure. Technical Indicator Analysis: Volume at 31.77M shares with 1.21x ratio indicates moderate selling pressure without panic liquidation; RSI(6) at 16.58 signals oversold conditions with potential bounce setup; MACD shows deepening bearish momentum at -7.97 with widening negative divergence, suggesting continued near-term weakness. Key Price Levels: Primary Support Zone: $460-468 – Critical technical floor from November lows; break below could trigger decline to $440-445 Resistance Cluster: $480-487 – Initial recovery target; sustained break above $510 needed for trend reversal Pivot Point: $472 – Current trading level; hold above maintains consolidation structure Valuation Perspective: MSFT trades at 33.6x TTM P/E vs S&P 500's ~20-25x multiple; Forward P/E of 28.72 below historical average of 31.98, suggesting relative value emergence despite premium valuation. Analyst Price Targets: Wall Street consensus at $622.39 (average of 55 analysts), with range $444.65-$730; 60 analysts recommend Buy/Strong Buy vs 4 Hold ratings, indicating institutional confidence in long-term AI positioning. Weekly Outlook: Expect continued $458-$510 range-bound trading with bias toward testing lower support first; breakthrough above $485 could spark recovery toward $500-$510 resistance; failure at $458 may extend decline to $440 area. Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD 5000* to get SGD 688 stock vouchers*! The trade can be executed using any payment type available under the Cash Boost Account: Cash, CPF, SRS, or CDP. Click to access the activity Other helpful links: 💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉 How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.