To The Moon

1. Options trading review this week

This week my trading is highly focused onIndexes, hot stocks, extreme commodity pricesOn, a total of 4 option strategies were executed. The overall idea is very clear:In a high volatility environment, use structure instead of direction and discipline for certainty.

1. CRWV's short-term long strategy following the Nvidia incident

Target:$CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) $

Strategy:Sell CRWV 0130 90 PUT, Buy CRWV 0130 85 PUT

Nature of strategy:Event-driven/short-term strategy

Features:

• Follow the emotional market trend of Nvidia's shareholding news

• Control Risk Using a Bull Put Spread Structure

• Don't chase high underlying shares, but participate in the rise through structure

Current status:

• Has expired,Approximately 62% of the income from a single strategy

  

2. Silver (SLV) short-term short selling strategy

Target:$Silver ETF-iShares (SLV) $

Strategy:Sell SLV 0130 115 CALL, Buy SLV 0130 120 CALL

Nature of strategy:Short-term strategy/extreme commodity market

Features:

• Built against a backdrop of extremely high implied volatility

• Bet that the price will not continue to rise excessively in the short term by selling CALL

• The core of income comes from emotional cooling and falling time value

Current status:

• Short-term holding/Executed as planned (result to be finalized)

  

3. Microsoft (MSFT) earnings options strategy

Target:$Microsoft (MSFT) $

Strategy:Sell MSFT 0130 440 PUT, Buy MSFT 0130 430 PUT

Nature of strategy:Earnings game/uncertain events

Features:

• Typical pre-earnings spread structure

• Clearly define the maximum loss with structure

• Bet No Extreme Drop After Earnings

Current status:

• After the financial report, it hit the largest structural loss,Settled, was the biggest source of losses this week

  

4. S&P 500 (SPX) intraday short spread strategy

Target:$S&P 500 (. SPX) $

Strategy:Sell SPXW 0129 7010 CALL, Buy SPXW 0129 7040 CALL

Nature of strategy:Intraday Strategy/Intraday Trading

Features:

• Extremely high leverage

• Profit and loss mainly come from intraday index fluctuations

• Extremely high requirements for market marking and execution

• The essence is to bet that the index will not rise excessively in a short time

Current status:

• Successfully completed closing and taking profit amid intraday fluctuations

  

2. review of macro and market core themes

1. Re-judgment of precious metal market

The current rise in precious metals is driven by three logical resonances:

1. Geopolitics and uncertainty

2. The dollar weakens

3. Real interest rate downward expectation

But in my trading perspective:

• These three logics have been highly interpreted by the market

• The position is obviously crowded

• The proportion of emotional transactions is too high

This kind of environment is more suitableStructured Trading and Seller's Thinking, rather than unilaterally chasing prices.

2. The expected transaction significance of the new Fed chairman

If the Trump nominee finally lands, I will focus on tracking:

• Is it biased towards shrinking balance sheet?

• Do interest rate cuts and shrinking balance sheet advance at the same time?

• Fed independence changes

• Long-term impact on US Treasury yields, inflation and risk asset pricing

These variables will progressively affectTrading Main Line Judgment in 2026。

3. Unified pricing logic of technology stock financial reports

The current market's criteria for judging technology stocks are very consistent:Whether AI investment can be converted into real profits.

• Microsoft: Large investment, slow realization → stock price under pressure

• Meta: High Investment, High Returns → Stock Price Rises

• Tesla: Valuation Highly Story-Based, Sales Impact Weakens

• Apple:

  • The financial report itself is solid

  • But cost pressure and AI route still need to be verified

3. Summary of core transaction disciplines

1. Short-term/intraday strategy, you must take profit

2. Uncertain events must be structured to limit risk

3. Extreme market prefers sellers

4. Avoid permanent losses, priority above all else

5. Ensure the survival of the account first, and then consider attacking