Is a sell now and definite buy back after SpaceX goes Public! 

SpaceX is gg public, it will definitely move Rocket Lab (RKLB) — but not in a simple “good or bad way. Think short-term noise, long-term separation. So best to sell it, takes profit and buy it back against after Space X goes public and settle down.

Short term: pressure + comparison shock

This is where RKLB can get hit.

Why:

SpaceX IPO would suck up massive capital and attention

Institutions that wanted SpaceX exposure may rotate out of RKLB

Media will frame Rocket Lab as “mini SpaceX” (not fair, but it’ll happen)

Likely effects: (We r seeing it now!)

Temporary sell-off or underperformance

Valuation compression due to side-by-side comparisons

RKLB judged against SpaceX metrics it cannot match (yet)

This is the danger zone — especially if the IPO hype is extreme.

Long term: Rocket Lab stops being “mini SpaceX”

This is the real thesis.

Rocket Lab is not trying to be SpaceX anymore.

Where Rocket Lab differentiates

Small & medium launch (Electron / Neutron ≠ Falcon)

 Space systems (satellites, components, spacecraft)

Vertically integrated but capital-lighter

🌍 Strong government & defense customers outside SpaceX's orbit

Rocket Lab Stock Tanks Again. The Mini SpaceX Is Having a Wild Ride. -- Barrons.com

Rocket Lab stock is having a crazy week, for no good reason.Shares of the space technology company, sometimes referred to as a mini SpaceX because of its reusable launch capacity and satellite expertise, were down 13% in midday trading on Wednesday. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.4% and up 0.5%, respectively.The drop followed a nearly 10% gain on Tuesday, possibly in response to SpaceX announcing it had acquired xAI on Monday. The deal valuation implied a 25% bump for both companies, to $1 trillion for SpaceX and $250 billion for xAI.Space "is kind of a beta industry," says Andrew Chanin, CEO of ProcureAM, which offers the Procure Space ETF. "It's not surprising to see days where numerous [space] companies move more than 5% in one day.". Some of Tuesday's gain was also a rebound from a miserable Monday. Shares fell about 8%, apparently because Congress killed a plan to bring samples back to Earth from the Mars Perseverance Rover, which has been on the red plan
Rocket Lab Stock Tanks Again. The Mini SpaceX Is Having a Wild Ride. -- Barrons.com

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