The Netflix stock price fell by -1.27% on the last day (Thursday, 19th Feb 2026) from $77.99 to $77.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.69% from a day low at $76.64 to a day high of $78.70. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.94% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 191 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 30 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.31 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -25.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.87 and $62.12 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
NFLX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, February 12, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Netflix stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $78.08 and $84.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Netflix stock
Netflix finds support from accumulated volume at $76.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.06 between high and low, or 2.69%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NFLX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 20th we expect Netflix to open at $77.45, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $75.77 and $78.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.47 (+/-3.26%) up or down from last closing price. If Netflix takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $76.87 (0.17%) than the resistance at $85.36 (10.86%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Insider sentiment for Netflix (NFLX) is Negative, driven by significant open-market selling from key executives. This negative signal outweighs the higher total volume of low-impact acquisitions (e.g., stock awards).
Over the last year, insiders have collectively bought or received $0.12B worth of shares and sold $79.3M across 100 transactions. However, focusing on high-impact open-market transactions, insiders purchased $0 and sold $50.1M worth of Netflix stocks. The most recent trade was made 10 days ago by Peters Gregory K (Co-ceo), who sold shares worth approximately $110.6K. The overall evaluation results in a strongly negative Insider Power Score. The system gives more weight to recent, high-impact sales from key executives than to routine, low-impact transactions like stock awards or option exercises. Even though the total buy value appears higher, the negative score indicates that the selling activity was considered more significant by the algorithm.
Is Netflix stock A Buy?
Netflix holds several positive signals and is within a wide and topsy turvy trend, so we believe it will still perform better in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock.
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