What trap? Even if you bought

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Dan1192
05-05 14:02

What trap? Even if you bought $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ in July 2025 before the dip, you have already doubled by now. Any dips just get bought up doubly fast.

Based on the big tech earnings, they have largely been able to justify that the AI capex spend are generating decent returns on investment. In that case, it is giving the semicons confidence to raise their fees further.

If you want to be the next multi-millionaire, find the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure and put your fortune in it.

Yes I'm vested in $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ $Infleqtion(INFQ)$ $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ as the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure.

Nvidia’s Big Move: Breakout or Bear Trap?

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF’s upward move might show signs of fatigue.

Nvidia’s Big Move: Breakout or Bear Trap?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Dan1192
·05-05 14:02
ooo..what's the elite badge about
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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":560861837238776,"tweetId":"560861837238776","gmtCreate":1777960950002,"gmtModify":1777960955256,"author":{"id":3580519485452891,"idStr":"3580519485452891","authorId":3580519485452891,"authorIdStr":"3580519485452891","name":"Dan1192","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b81c29971d6ab7fd0c6f219b749f40ee","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":126,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>What trap? Even if you bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMH\">$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; in July 2025 before the dip, you have already doubled by now. Any dips just get bought up doubly fast.\n \nBased on the big tech earnings, they have largely been able to justify that the AI capex spend are generating decent returns on investment. In that case, it is giving the semicons confidence to raise their fees further.&nbsp;\n \nIf you want to be the next multi-millionaire, find the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure and put your fortune in it.&nbsp;\nYes I'm vested in&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APLD\">$APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INFQ\">$Infleqtion(INFQ)$ </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$&nbsp;</a> as the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>What trap? Even if you bought&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMH\">$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; in July 2025 before the dip, you have already doubled by now. Any dips just get bought up doubly fast.\n \nBased on the big tech earnings, they have largely been able to justify that the AI capex spend are generating decent returns on investment. In that case, it is giving the semicons confidence to raise their fees further.&nbsp;\n \nIf you want to be the next multi-millionaire, find the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure and put your fortune in it.&nbsp;\nYes I'm vested in&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/APLD\">$APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INFQ\">$Infleqtion(INFQ)$ </a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$&nbsp;</a> as the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure.</body></html>","text":"What trap? Even if you bought $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ in July 2025 before the dip, you have already doubled by now. Any dips just get bought up doubly fast. Based on the big tech earnings, they have largely been able to justify that the AI capex spend are generating decent returns on investment. In that case, it is giving the semicons confidence to raise their fees further. If you want to be the next multi-millionaire, find the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure and put your fortune in it. Yes I'm vested in $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ $Infleqtion(INFQ)$ $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ as the next bottleneck in AI infrastructure.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/560861837238776","repostId":2633968404,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2633968404","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1777953600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2633968404?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-05-05 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia’s Big Move: Breakout or Bear Trap?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2633968404","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The VanEck Semiconductor ETF’s upward move might show signs of fatigue.","content":"<html><head></head><body>The recent breakout attempt in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a> is starting to look vulnerable.Bulls are still in control but their grip isn’t firming. Perhaps we will shortly see why the stock did not participate in the enormous semiconductor rally the group enjoyed.The VanEck Semiconductor ETF’s parabolic upward move might show signs of fatigue after recording a rare doji candle last week, which often predicts potential trend changes from the prevailing direction.Notice that volume during the current five week winning streak has been subpar compared with prior weeks, when volume was robust during declining weeks. The fund is now more than 150 points above its rising 50 week simple moving average, making a prudent pullback a possibly healthy development.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7386c175274f9204151b2bd5c67bd370\" alt=\"Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.\" title=\"Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.Looking at the daily chart bears might be excited by the possibility of a double top just above the very round $200 number. It coincides with the peak from last Nov. 4, when a bearish island reversal occurred. That started a quick 20% drawdown, followed by sideways action after a very nice price run from April 2025 into November.It did indeed break out above a double bottom pivot of $197.73 on April 15, but it is now facing a rare five session losing streak on Monday. Technicians often say the best breakouts work right away, and continue to march higher. So this retreat is a bit of a red flag. Notice on the ratio chart against the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMH\">VanEck Semiconductor ETF</a> has lagged behind since last October. This retest is critical for the name to hold right here as it still has a chance to accelerate higher, but each passing day makes that less likely. Remain bullish above $185.Nvidia traded around $199 Monday.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/50a530dd2ca7ef06c054c46cba8e4e98\" alt=\"Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.\" title=\"Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.The weekly chart also suggests some fragility. The double top at $200 showed eerie similarities as both the week ending Nov. 7, 2025, and last week recorded bearish engulfing candles closing at the lows of their respective weekly ranges. Last year’s example declined 7% while last week fell 5%.Notice volume was elevated both weeks and there has been some frequent distribution, which is a bit worrisome. Couple that with the bearish RSI divergence, where the RSI made a lower high as the price made a higher one and bulls should be thinking somewhat defensively.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/35ee31fc78a9c2751a7cc53331b230c0\" alt=\"Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.\" title=\"Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.Until Nvidia can deliver clear follow-through, the risk remains that this move may have been a false start rather than the beginning of a sustained advance.</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia’s Big Move: Breakout or Bear Trap?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia’s Big Move: Breakout or Bear Trap?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nDow Jones \n2026-05-05 12:00\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>The recent breakout attempt in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a> is starting to look vulnerable.Bulls are still in control but their grip isn’t firming. Perhaps we will shortly see why the stock did not participate in the enormous semiconductor rally the group enjoyed.The VanEck Semiconductor ETF’s parabolic upward move might show signs of fatigue after recording a rare doji candle last week, which often predicts potential trend changes from the prevailing direction.Notice that volume during the current five week winning streak has been subpar compared with prior weeks, when volume was robust during declining weeks. The fund is now more than 150 points above its rising 50 week simple moving average, making a prudent pullback a possibly healthy development.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7386c175274f9204151b2bd5c67bd370\" alt=\"Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.\" title=\"Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.Looking at the daily chart bears might be excited by the possibility of a double top just above the very round $200 number. It coincides with the peak from last Nov. 4, when a bearish island reversal occurred. That started a quick 20% drawdown, followed by sideways action after a very nice price run from April 2025 into November.It did indeed break out above a double bottom pivot of $197.73 on April 15, but it is now facing a rare five session losing streak on Monday. Technicians often say the best breakouts work right away, and continue to march higher. So this retreat is a bit of a red flag. Notice on the ratio chart against the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMH\">VanEck Semiconductor ETF</a> has lagged behind since last October. This retest is critical for the name to hold right here as it still has a chance to accelerate higher, but each passing day makes that less likely. Remain bullish above $185.Nvidia traded around $199 Monday.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/50a530dd2ca7ef06c054c46cba8e4e98\" alt=\"Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.\" title=\"Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.The weekly chart also suggests some fragility. The double top at $200 showed eerie similarities as both the week ending Nov. 7, 2025, and last week recorded bearish engulfing candles closing at the lows of their respective weekly ranges. Last year’s example declined 7% while last week fell 5%.Notice volume was elevated both weeks and there has been some frequent distribution, which is a bit worrisome. Couple that with the bearish RSI divergence, where the RSI made a lower high as the price made a higher one and bulls should be thinking somewhat defensively.<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/35ee31fc78a9c2751a7cc53331b230c0\" alt=\"Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.\" title=\"Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"541\"/>Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.Until Nvidia can deliver clear follow-through, the risk remains that this move may have been a false start rather than the beginning of a sustained advance.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","IE0034235295.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2092937148.SGD":"Blackrock ESG Multi-Asset A8 SGD-H","LU2092627202.USD":"Blackrock ESG Multi-Asset A8 USD-H","LU1992135472.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INTELLIGENT CITIES \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BKPKM429.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0225283273.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2077746001.SGD":"Blackrock ESG Multi-Asset A2 SGD-H","LU0868494708.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - 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Perhaps we will shortly see why the stock did not participate in the enormous semiconductor rally the group enjoyed.The VanEck Semiconductor ETF’s parabolic upward move might show signs of fatigue after recording a rare doji candle last week, which often predicts potential trend changes from the prevailing direction.Notice that volume during the current five week winning streak has been subpar compared with prior weeks, when volume was robust during declining weeks. The fund is now more than 150 points above its rising 50 week simple moving average, making a prudent pullback a possibly healthy development.Bearish weekly doji candle after a parabolic run is sign of fatigue.Looking at the daily chart bears might be excited by the possibility of a double top just above the very round $200 number. It coincides with the peak from last Nov. 4, when a bearish island reversal occurred. That started a quick 20% drawdown, followed by sideways action after a very nice price run from April 2025 into November.It did indeed break out above a double bottom pivot of $197.73 on April 15, but it is now facing a rare five session losing streak on Monday. Technicians often say the best breakouts work right away, and continue to march higher. So this retreat is a bit of a red flag. Notice on the ratio chart against the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has lagged behind since last October. This retest is critical for the name to hold right here as it still has a chance to accelerate higher, but each passing day makes that less likely. Remain bullish above $185.Nvidia traded around $199 Monday.Daily chart looking at a five session losing streak and could be losing double bottom breakout pivot.The weekly chart also suggests some fragility. The double top at $200 showed eerie similarities as both the week ending Nov. 7, 2025, and last week recorded bearish engulfing candles closing at the lows of their respective weekly ranges. Last year’s example declined 7% while last week fell 5%.Notice volume was elevated both weeks and there has been some frequent distribution, which is a bit worrisome. Couple that with the bearish RSI divergence, where the RSI made a lower high as the price made a higher one and bulls should be thinking somewhat defensively.Weekly chart shows a double top just above $200 number each recording bearish engulfing candles.Until Nvidia can deliver clear follow-through, the risk remains that this move may have been a false start rather than the beginning of a sustained advance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDA":1.98,"NVDU":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["APLD","OKLO","SMH","INFQ"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":529,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":560861782025136,"commentId":"560861782025136","gmtCreate":1777960970619,"gmtModify":1777961184732,"authorId":3580519485452891,"author":{"id":3580519485452891,"idStr":"3580519485452891","authorId":3580519485452891,"name":"Dan1192","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b81c29971d6ab7fd0c6f219b749f40ee","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":560861837238776,"objectIdStr":"560861837238776","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"ooo..what's the elite badge about","text":"ooo..what's the elite badge about","html":"ooo..what's the elite badge about","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}