Smart Money Watchlist: $MSTR Holds, $TSLA Waits, $RBLX Discounts, $RDW Defends Support

Four stocks, four very different setups—but all worth watching.

This week's focus ranges from $MSTR testing a long-term Smart Money Zone, $TSLA waiting for an earnings-driven entry, $RBLX trading deep in a historical discount zone, to $RDW seeing buyers defend key support.

Here's what the charts are signaling and where the highest-probability opportunities may emerge.

1. $Strategy(MSTR)$

$MSTR holding macro Smart Money Zone

Historically this area marks the long term bottom about 65% of the time.

First resistance is around $130 at Weekly Fair Value.

A clean break above makes the long term bottom case even stronger.

From there, Bull Cycle would confirm.

2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

Still on the sidelines for $TSLA.

Earnings are this week and I want to see if we get a pullback into my monthly discount zone before I touch it.

If it rips after earnings and I miss it, so be it. There are plenty of clean names to trade. I do not need to force a setup.

Patience is the edge. Let’s see what the market gives us.

3. $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$

$RBLX is down about 75% from the highs and is now trading in one of the strongest discount zones on my framework.

Historically, about 65% of the time when price pulls back into this Smart Money Zone, we see a long term bottom form. That does not mean it has to happen, but it is where I want to pay attention.

If I wanted to hold this name for 12–24 months, this is the kind of level I would consider building a position from.

4. $Redwire Corp.(RDW)$

$RDW smart money stepping in and defending this support.

In the last video I shared how the same setup led to a 100%+ move in a few months.

Historically this level holds about 65% of the time.

With $RDW at this discount, the risk vs reward stands out.

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  • Seppe
    ·07-22 09:26
    Redwire is interesting
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