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Inflation Data Will be the Real Test for This AI Stock Rally

-- by Smead Capital Management's Bill Smead. Bill discusses his approach to portfolio diversification, and his favorite stocks, today at noon with Barron's Senior Managing Editor Lauren R. Rublin and Associate Editor Andrew Bary. Sign up here.Get more of the journalism you love. Choose Barron's as a preferred source in Google.Berkshire's Stock Buybacks Among Highest in a DecadeBerkshire Hathaway put its cash pile to work during the second quarter, buying back $4.5 billion of stock, one of the highest quarterly totals in the past decade. Investors have been curious about new CEO Greg Abel's appetite for buybacks since he succeeded Warren Buffett last year.-- Berkshire continued its buybacks in July, spending about $3.4 billion

Inflation Data Will be the Real Test for This AI Stock Rally

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Bill discusses his approach to portfolio diversification, and his favorite stocks, today at noon with Barron's Senior Managing Editor Lauren R. Rublin and Associate Editor Andrew Bary.  Sign up here.Get more of the journalism you love. Choose Barron's as a preferred source in Google.Berkshire's Stock Buybacks Among Highest in a DecadeBerkshire Hathaway put its cash pile to work during the second quarter, buying back $4.5 billion of stock, one of the highest quarterly totals in the past decade. Investors have been curious about new CEO Greg Abel's appetite for buybacks since he succeeded Warren Buffett last year.-- Berkshire continued its buybacks in July, spending about $3.4 billion","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The stock market took one bad piece of economic news in its stride, but watch out for a potential double whammy of gloom this week. Traders shrugged off a surprising contraction in the labor market, which wasn&#39;t too much of a concern, but the real risk is fresh inflation data on Wednesday, and a higher read.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Markets start off this week digesting Friday&#39;s payrolls report, which showed the economy lost 23,000 jobs last month. While a single month&#39;s data shouldn&#39;t cause too much alarm, it raises the stakes for the consumer price index. Equities, and especially technology stocks, could do with a benign reading.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The initial conclusion from the weak jobs data is it should prompt the Federal Reserve to act cautiously. Traders now price in a 56% chance the central bank will hold rates steady in September, up from 33% last week. But the danger is that inflation ahead of the Fed&#39;s target rate of 2% could leave the market confused about the central bank&#39;s intentions, with three monetary policymakers already having voted for higher rates at the previous meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The specter of stagflation -- slower economic growth amid rising prices -- still lingers over what is otherwise a thriving market. With most of the S&amp;P 500 having reported second-quarter figures, 86% have beaten Wall Street&#39;s expectations and earnings are around 29% higher on average than forecast. JPMorgan on Monday lifted its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 8,000, citing the exceptionally strong earnings season.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Still, investors are looking for reassurance that this isn&#39;t as good as it gets, especially around the artificial-intelligence trade. With cloud-computing provider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">CoreWeave</a>, server maker Super Micro Computer, and networking company Cisco Systems all reporting this week, there will be plenty more evidence for how the AI boom is faring.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Strong tech earnings and a benign CPI figure could send stocks surging higher. But watch out below if inflation heats up and any of the big AI names stumbles. Given what happened on Friday a surprise is possible.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data Will be the Real Test for This AI Stock Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data Will be the Real Test for This AI Stock Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-10 20:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The stock market took one bad piece of economic news in its stride, but watch out for a potential double whammy of gloom this week. Traders shrugged off a surprising contraction in the labor market, which wasn&#39;t too much of a concern, but the real risk is fresh inflation data on Wednesday, and a higher read.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Markets start off this week digesting Friday&#39;s payrolls report, which showed the economy lost 23,000 jobs last month. While a single month&#39;s data shouldn&#39;t cause too much alarm, it raises the stakes for the consumer price index. Equities, and especially technology stocks, could do with a benign reading.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The initial conclusion from the weak jobs data is it should prompt the Federal Reserve to act cautiously. Traders now price in a 56% chance the central bank will hold rates steady in September, up from 33% last week. But the danger is that inflation ahead of the Fed&#39;s target rate of 2% could leave the market confused about the central bank&#39;s intentions, with three monetary policymakers already having voted for higher rates at the previous meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The specter of stagflation -- slower economic growth amid rising prices -- still lingers over what is otherwise a thriving market. With most of the S&amp;P 500 having reported second-quarter figures, 86% have beaten Wall Street&#39;s expectations and earnings are around 29% higher on average than forecast. JPMorgan on Monday lifted its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 8,000, citing the exceptionally strong earnings season.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Still, investors are looking for reassurance that this isn&#39;t as good as it gets, especially around the artificial-intelligence trade. With cloud-computing provider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">CoreWeave</a>, server maker Super Micro Computer, and networking company Cisco Systems all reporting this week, there will be plenty more evidence for how the AI boom is faring.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Strong tech earnings and a benign CPI figure could send stocks surging higher. But watch out below if inflation heats up and any of the big AI names stumbles. Given what happened on Friday a surprise is possible.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","XLK":"高科技指数ETF-SPDR","SG9999014906.USD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc USD","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","FTXG":"First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF","BK4516":"特朗普概念","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU1935043023.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC A","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","JPMO":"JPM期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","BK4515":"5G概念","APLY":"AAPL期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","XLP":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR主要消费品","LU1291159041.SGD":"CPR Invest - 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Traders shrugged off a surprising contraction in the labor market, which wasn't too much of a concern, but the real risk is fresh inflation data on Wednesday, and a higher read.Markets start off this week digesting Friday's payrolls report, which showed the economy lost 23,000 jobs last month. While a single month's data shouldn't cause too much alarm, it raises the stakes for the consumer price index. Equities, and especially technology stocks, could do with a benign reading.The initial conclusion from the weak jobs data is it should prompt the Federal Reserve to act cautiously. Traders now price in a 56% chance the central bank will hold rates steady in September, up from 33% last week. But the danger is that inflation ahead of the Fed's target rate of 2% could leave the market confused about the central bank's intentions, with three monetary policymakers already having voted for higher rates at the previous meeting.The specter of stagflation -- slower economic growth amid rising prices -- still lingers over what is otherwise a thriving market. With most of the S&P 500 having reported second-quarter figures, 86% have beaten Wall Street's expectations and earnings are around 29% higher on average than forecast. JPMorgan on Monday lifted its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000, citing the exceptionally strong earnings season.Still, investors are looking for reassurance that this isn't as good as it gets, especially around the artificial-intelligence trade. With cloud-computing provider CoreWeave, server maker Super Micro Computer, and networking company Cisco Systems all reporting this week, there will be plenty more evidence for how the AI boom is faring.Strong tech earnings and a benign CPI figure could send stocks surging higher. But watch out below if inflation heats up and any of the big AI names stumbles. Given what happened on Friday a surprise is possible.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XLF":0.6,"AAPE":0.6,"VFH":0.6,"TRUF":0.6,"TRUO":0.6,"KBWB":0.6,"SPTE":0.6,"JPMO":0.6,"ABFL":0.6,"BRKD":0.6,"IXN":0.6,"KO":1.93,"BREW":0.6,"BRKW":0.6,"METV":0.6,"BRKU":0.6,"BRKC":0.6,"IXG":0.6,"XLK":0.6,"AAPL":1.91,"BRK.B":1.94,"JPM":1.8,"RKTL":0.6,"Z":1.87,"CMAG":0.6,"FNCL":0.6,"ROM":0.6,"AAPY":0.6,"FSTA":0.6,"RKT":1.85,"AAPB":0.6,"TYLG":0.6,"AAPX":0.6,"UYG":0.6,"AAPW":0.6,"FTXO":0.6,"FTXG":0.6,"FTEC":0.6,"DFNL":0.6,"PBJ":0.6,"TTXU":0.6,"JPO":0.6,"APLY":0.6,"AAPD":0.6,"TFNS":0.6,"XLP":0.6,"JGRO":0.6,"IYF":0.6,"VGT":0.6,"JPX":0.6,"VT":0.6,"IYG":0.6,"AAPU":0.6,"UGE":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":29,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}