To The Moon

$Ferrari NV(RACE)$

$Ferrari NV (RACE) +0.54% Holds $417: Luxury Margin Shield Keeps Bulls in Control, $420 Breakout Eyed

Latest Close: $417.10 (+0.54%) on Aug 18, 2026. Range $416.21–$420.36. Still ~17% below 52-week high of $504.49, but well above 52-week low of $312.51.

Core Market Drivers: Goldman Sachs lifted Ferrari's target to €407, while Alpha Value raised its target to €422 — renewed institutional conviction in pricing power and luxury demand resilience. A quiet macro tape allowed the stock to grind higher on light volume.

Technical Analysis: Volume came in at just 475.4K shares (Volume Ratio 1.42), indicating accumulation rather than distribution. MACD remains bullish: DIF 11.45 > DEA 10.43, with positive histogram 2.03, though momentum is flattening. RSI(6) at 74.76 is approaching overbought, while RSI(12) at 68.86 and RSI(24) at 63.15 confirm a healthy medium-term uptrend. KDJ shows K=82.1, D=82.8, J=80.7 — high-level consolidation with no bearish crossover yet.

Key Price Levels:

• Primary Support: $358.99

• Strong Resistance: $420.67

• Immediate Pivot: $417.70

Valuation Perspective: P/E TTM 39.57x and P/S 9.41x remain premium to auto peers, but Forward PE of 36.29 sits below its historical average of 44.01 — a valuation compression that could attract long-term buyers.

Analyst Targets: 15 analysts covering: 5 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, 1 Hold. Average target $454.90 (range $400–$490), implying ~9% upside from current levels.

Weekly Outlook: Expect range-bound action between $412–$424. A daily close above $420.67 opens path toward $435–$440. Break below $410 would expose $400 psychological support and $358.99 structural floor.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Technical analysis reflects historical patterns and may not predict future performance.

🎯 $Ferrari NV (RACE) Options Strategy：Bull Call Spread – Tactical Breakout Play

• Underlying: RACE (Ferrari N.V.)

• View: Mildly Bullish / Accumulation Phase – Price consolidating below $420.67 resistance; a daily close above this level opens a path toward $435–$440. RSI(6) at 74.76 signals short-term overbought, but medium-term trend (RSI 12/24) remains healthy. MACD positive. Volume Ratio 1.42 suggests accumulation, not distribution.

• Strategy Type: Debit Call Spread (Vertical Bull Call Spread)

• Option Contract Portfolio:

  • Buy to Open: RACE 2026-08-28 415 Call @ $8.95 mid

  • Sell to Open: RACE 2026-08-28 430 Call @ $4.00 mid

  • Net Debit: $4.95 per spread

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: (430 – 415 – 4.95) × 100 = $1,005 per spread

  • Max Loss: $495 per spread (net debit paid)

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit of $4.95 (or $495 per spread)

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