To The Moon

$Ford(F)$

$F Surged +3.00%: Ford Reclaims $14.41, MACD Turns Bullish with $15.29 Resistance in Sight

Latest Close Data: Ford closed at $14.41 on Aug 24, +3.00% ($0.42), just 18.9% below its 52-week high of $17.78. Volume hit 45.12M shares, with a volume ratio of 1.13 indicating above-average participation. After-hours trading nudged to $14.39.

Core Market Drivers: Ford rallied alongside the auto sector as Stellantis, GM, and Rivian all posted gains. The company confirmed it will begin selling a mid-size electric truck at $28,350 from early 2027, reinforcing its EV affordability strategy. The stock's 4.16% dividend yield continues to attract income-focused buyers despite negative trailing earnings.

Technical Analysis: MACD just flipped bullish — DIF crossed above DEA with histogram at +0.021, signaling momentum shift. RSI(6) recovered to 57.16 from oversold territory, while RSI(12) sits at 53.62. KDJ shows K-line at 58.97 crossing above D-line at 46.90, with J-value spiking to 83.11 — a classic bullish continuation setup.

Key Price Levels: Primary Support: $13.46 (Aug 21 low). Strong Resistance: $15.29. Immediate Pivot: $14.13 (today's low) — holding above this keeps bulls in control.

Valuation Perspective: P/E TTM is -7.71 (negative due to EPS of -$1.87), while P/S is just 0.31 — well below legacy automaker averages. Forward P/E of 7.85 sits near its 2-year average of 7.79, suggesting fair value if earnings normalize.

Analyst Targets: 20 analysts cover Ford with an average target of $15.69 (range $11–$20). Ratings: 4 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 16 Hold, 1 Underperform — reflecting cautious institutional sentiment.

Weekly Outlook: Expect range-bound action between $13.46 and $15.29. A close above $15.29 opens path to $16.50; failure to hold $14.13 risks retest of $13.46 support.

⚠️ This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets carry risk — always do your own research.

🎯 Ford (F) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)

• Underlying: F (Ford Motor Co.)

• View: Cautiously bullish — MACD bullish crossover, RSI recovery from oversold, holding above $14.13 pivot; expect range-bound action with upside bias toward $15.29 resistance

• Strategy Type: Debit spread / Directional bullish with defined risk

• Option Contract Portfolio:

  • Buy 1x F 2026-09-04 14.0 Call @ $0.61 (mid)

  • Sell 1x F 2026-09-04 15.0 Call @ $0.15 (mid)

  • Net Debit: $0.46 per spread

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: $0.54 per share ($54 per contract) — achieved if F ≥ $15.00 at expiry

  • Max Loss: $0.46 per share ($46 per contract) — limited to net debit paid

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit $0.46 per share

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