Alphabet’s 3-horizon model is

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zhingle
08-25 22:21

Alphabet’s 3-horizon model is the most balanced. Using Search cash flow to fund Cloud growth and Gemini optionality protects margins better than Meta’s cash-compressing $130–145B CapEx plan.

This was a leveraged liquidity unwind, not a CapEx panic. Situational Awareness’s margin call forced liquidations across unrelated AI stocks before Citadel stepped in to buy the dip.

A dovish Fed tone supports growth multiples into the September FOMC, but the market will get selective. Future gains will favor companies converting CapEx into revenue over heavy spenders.

Own the Sellers (AWS, memory/chip suppliers) and disciplined spenders like MSFT/GOOG. Picks-and-shovels providers collect revenue today, avoiding the risk of compressed free cash flow.

[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]

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