To The Moon

Color Legend

• 🔴 Red: Broke above/below the forecast range, or broke above/below the simulated strike alternative.

• 🟠 Orange: Briefly broke above/below the forecast range, but closed within the strike range.

I. This Week's Simulation Results (All Four Seller Trades in Floating Profit)

• 🟢 SKHY Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 130 Put, entry price 0.62, current price 0.33 — floating profit.

• ✅ DELL Sell Put: Sold the September 4-expiry 380 Put, entry price 2.66, current price 0.02 — profitable and closed.

• 🟢 MRNA Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 120 Put, entry price 0.97, current price 0.70 — floating profit.

• 🟢 AMD Sell Put: Sold the September 11-expiry 410 Put, entry price 1.40, current price 0.82 — floating profit.

II. Broader Market Assessment

Volatility this week was generally at annual lows. As a result, when volatility picked up, stock prices easily broke above or below their ranges. Next time we encounter a low-volatility environment, extra caution is warranted.

• 🟠 SPY: Forecast range 761–778, closed Thursday at 773.17. Dipped below the lower bound of 761 intraday (weekly low 759.48), but closed back inside the range.

• 🟢 QQQ: Forecast range 704–729, closed Thursday at 717.67. Stayed within range throughout.

Macro factors outweighed industry-specific influences. The first three days of the week carried over hawkish pressure from Jackson Hole, with stocks consolidating at lower levels. On Thursday, September 3, Fed Governor Waller made a dovish statement — supporting a rate hold if inflation continues to ease — which lowered rate-hike expectations and drove a broad pre-market rally on Friday. However, a gap-up and sell-off cannot be ruled out: September 11 brings the August CPI report, and September 18 brings the Fed rate decision — two major events ahead.

Overall volatility expectation: SPY will not break below the 60-day MA; the structural tailwind remains intact.

III. Individual Stock Recap

• 🔴 TSLA: Forecast range 334–363, closed Thursday at 376.37. Broke above the upper bound and the 375 Call alternative strike. At Thursday's Cybercab event, the stock briefly broke above 380 intraday. The stock pulled back ahead of Friday's open but remains in an uptrend — Sell Put on dips is viable.

• 🔴 NVDA: Forecast range 209–226, closed Thursday at 228.45. Broke above the upper bound of 226. No particularly positive news, but 230 is a key resistance level.

• 🟢 SKHY: Forecast range 150–172, closed Thursday at 163.68. Stayed within range throughout.

• 🔴 AAPL: Forecast range 312–328, closed Thursday at 328.21. Barely broke above the upper bound of 328 (weekly high 330.81). Apple's new CEO John Ternus officially took office on September 1, 2026, with the stock surging 2.6% on that day.

• 🟠 AMZN: Forecast range 258–275, closed Thursday at 258.90. Dipped below the lower bound of 258 intraday (weekly low 251.93), but closed back inside the range. Cloud services company SNOW surged 16.55% on earnings, lifting cloud giants' stocks.

• 🟠 GOOGL: Forecast range 337–357, closed Thursday at 342.48. Dipped below the lower bound of 337 intraday (weekly low 332.82), but closed back inside the range. Cloud services company SNOW surged 16.55% on earnings, lifting cloud giants' stocks.

• 🔴 META: Forecast range 556–600, closed Thursday at 610.68. Broke above the upper bound and the 600 Call alternative strike. Cloud services company SNOW surged 16.55% on earnings, lifting cloud giants' stocks.

• 🟠 MSFT: Forecast range 500–527, closed Thursday at 510.12. Dipped below the lower bound of 500 intraday (weekly low 493.81), but closed back inside the range. Cloud services company SNOW surged 16.55% on earnings, lifting cloud giants' stocks.

• 🟢 AVGO: Forecast range 338–399, closed Thursday at 357.16. Stayed within range throughout. Reported earnings this week, dipped to 342 before rebounding on broad market strength.

• 🟢 TSM: Forecast range 404–431, closed Thursday at 417.01. Stayed within range throughout.

• 🟠 AMD: Forecast range 442–489, closed Thursday at 456.16. Dipped below the lower bound of 442 intraday (weekly low 440.50), but closed back inside the range.

• 🟢 INTC: Forecast range 84–95, closed Thursday at 91.67. Stayed within range throughout.

• 🟢 MU: Forecast range 881–984, closed Thursday at 958.16. Stayed within range throughout.

• 🟠 SNDK: Forecast range 1,378–1,592, closed Thursday at 1,554.99. Briefly broke above the upper bound of 1,592 intraday (weekly high 1,609.60), but closed back inside the range.

• 🔴 SPCX: Forecast range 134–149, closed Thursday at 149.74. Barely broke above the upper bound of 149 (weekly high 152.30). Cloud services company SNOW surged 16.55% on earnings, lifting cloud giants' stocks.

⚠️ Disclaimer: The above is a simulation recap and strategy discussion, provided for educational and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Sell Puts/Calls carry assignment/exercise risk; naked selling carries asymmetric risk. Please strictly control position sizes and stop-losses. Investing involves risk.