To The Moon

$Oracle(ORCL)$

$Oracle(ORCL) +2.00% Reclaims $143 as AI Cloud Momentum Builds, Bulls Eye $147–$150 Breakout Zone 📈

Latest Close Data: ORCL closed at $143.16 (+2.00%) on 2026-09-17, rebounding off a session low of $139.00. The stock sits roughly 56.6% below its 52-week high of $329.50, but has reclaimed its near-term pivot after Monday’s washout low near $128.44.

Core Market Drivers: Oracle’s Q1 earnings and revenue beat on 9/11 reignited AI-cloud optimism, with backlog surging $26B. Executive Chairman Larry Ellison also cancelled a planned sale of 50M shares, removing a major overhang and signaling insider confidence.

Technical Analysis: Latest MACD remains bearish — DIF at 0.70, DEA at 2.06, MACD histogram at -2.70 — though downside momentum is fading. RSI(6) has recovered from oversold 29.5 to 37.3, while RSI(12) sits at 44.7, confirming a bullish divergence from price lows. Volume came in at 34.37M shares (Volume Ratio 0.72), lighter than recent distribution days, suggesting selling pressure is easing.

Key Price Levels:

• 🟢 Primary Support: $128.44 (9/15 swing low)

• 🔴 Strong Resistance: $166.87 (9/15 breakdown level)

• ⚡ Immediate Pivot: $147–$150 round-number zone

Valuation Perspective: TTM P/E of 22.4 is now trading below the historical average Forward P/E of 24.6, while P/S of 6.03 remains rich relative to software peers. Dividend yield stands at 1.40%.

Analyst Targets: 39 institutions cover ORCL with an average target of $247.89 (range $110–$400). Ratings skew overwhelmingly bullish: 13 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 7 Hold, 1 Underperform.

Weekly Outlook: Expect rangebound action between $139–$152 near term. A decisive close above $150 opens the door toward $167; failure to hold $139 risks a retest of $128–$130.

⚠️ Technical analysis is probabilistic, not predictive. This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

🎯 $Oracle(ORCL) Options Strategy：Bull Call Spread

• Underlying: ORCL

• View: Cautiously bullish – oversold bounce underway, with upside target of $147–$150 pivot zone

• Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Directional Bullish

• Option Contract Portfolio:

  • Buy to Open: ORCL 2026-09-25 143 Call @ ~$4.85 debit (mid ~$4.775)

  • Sell to Open: ORCL 2026-09-25 150 Call @ ~$2.19 credit (mid ~$2.14)

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: (150 – 143 – 2.64) × 100 = $436 per contract (if ORCL ≥ $150 at expiry)

  • Max Loss: $264 per contract (net debit paid, if ORCL ≤ $143 at expiry)

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit ≈ $2.64 per contract ($264 total)

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