Ferrari’s Scarcity Premium Lifts $RACE +1.33% Toward $417
$Ferrari NV(RACE)$
$Ferrari N.V.(RACE) +1.33% to $412.34 — Supercar Maker Holds $408 Pivot, $416.86 Resistance in Sight
Latest Close Data RACE closed at $412.34 on Sep 17, 2026, up +1.33% (+$5.42). Range: $408.38–$415.42. Price sits -18.26% below 52-week high of $504.49, but well above the 52-week low of $312.51.
Core Market Drivers Luxury demand remains resilient despite macro noise; Ferrari's low-volume, high-margin order book continues to support premium valuation. Goldman Sachs raised its Ferrari target from €381 to €407, and AlphaValue lifted its target from €401 to €422 — both signaling persistent institutional confidence in pricing power and brand scarcity.
Technical Analysis Volume came in at 467.7K shares with a volume ratio of 1.61, indicating above-average participation on the rebound. RSI(6) recovered to 52.80 from 42.12, reclaiming the neutral-bullish zone; RSI(12) at 51.71, RSI(24) at 54.22. MACD remains negative with DIF at 1.548 vs DEA at 3.423, but the MACD histogram narrowed to -3.75 from -4.69, showing early momentum stabilization. KDJ shows K=43.91, D=34.85, J=62.01 — a short-term bullish crossover in progress.
Key Price Levels 🟢 Primary Support: $357.99 🔴 Strong Resistance: $416.86 🟡 Immediate Pivot: $412.34 — holding above this level keeps the rebound bias intact; a break above $416.86 would target the $423-$430 zone.
Valuation Perspective P/E TTM stands at 39.12×. Forward PE is 35.78, notably below the historical average of 43.76 and near the -1 Std.Dev band of 36.15, suggesting the stock trades at a discount to its own long-term valuation range.
Analyst Targets 13 analysts cover RACE with an average target of $457.68 (range: $400–$490). Ratings: 4 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, 2 Hold — a strongly bullish consensus.
Weekly Outlook Expect range-bound consolidation between $408 and $417 in the coming sessions. A decisive break above $416.86 opens a path toward $430, while failure to hold $408 could trigger a retest of the $400 psychological level, then $393–$390.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets involve risk. Always do your own research before making any trading decision. 📉📈
🎯$Ferrari N.V.(RACE) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
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Underlying: RACE (Ferrari N.V.)
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View: Cautiously bullish / short-term rebound; stock holding above $408 pivot with resistance at $416.86 in sight
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Strategy Type: Debit Spread (defined risk, directional bullish)
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Option Contract Portfolio (Simulated):
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Buy 1× RACE Sep 25, 2026 $410 Call @ $9.00 (mid)
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Sell 1× RACE Sep 25, 2026 $420 Call @ $4.48 (mid, quoted $4.475)
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Max Gain & Loss:
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Max Gain: $5.52 per share ($552 per contract) = (420 – 410) – (9.00 – 4.48)
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Max Loss: $4.52 per share ($452 per contract) = Net Debit
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Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit: $4.52 (per share)
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